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-   -   "Big Three" bailout .... (https://britishexpats.com/forum/usa-57/big-three-bailout-574107/)

Giantaxe Nov 20th 2008 2:43 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 

Originally Posted by robin1234 (Post 6992782)
Not just BL. I remember when the UK Government bailed out Chrysler. That was money down the drain too.

And Delorean :)


Originally Posted by robin1234 (Post 6992782)
I read that the German Government are reluctantly considering a GM bailout; I really don't understand that one. True, many thousands of Germans would lose there jobs if Opel (GM) failed ... but, wouldn't that help VW, Skoda, and other European based and European owned car companies, with which GM now directly competes? Surely, in a situation where there are too many companies competing for a finite and shrinking number of sales, isn't it good for the industry in general if a couple of companies fail?

There are a finite and shrinking number of sales in the developed world, but sales in the developing world are increasing rapidly. 2008 will actually be a record year for car sales worldwide according to this week's Economist.

Giantaxe Nov 20th 2008 2:45 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 

Originally Posted by Octang Frye (Post 6991748)
For the record, G1antaxe, I'm favor of a loan to the auto industry. I'll hold my nose and support it, because I'm a pragmatist and realize what the consequences would be if 100,000s of people are laid off, and are unable to contribute to the economy. All the suppliers will go to the wall etc.

I consider myself a pragamatist too, which is exactly why I don't want to see a bailout. Supporting inefficient companies like these simply doesn't save jobs in the long run and merely wastes taxpayers' money.

Steerpike Nov 20th 2008 3:09 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 

Originally Posted by Giantaxe (Post 6993070)
And Delorean :)

OMG! I forgot about that! :rofl: :rofl: The ultimate rip off!

robin1234 Nov 20th 2008 3:43 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 
The Wolseley Hornet was a nice motor -- oh, and the Riley Elf..

cindyabs Nov 20th 2008 3:53 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 
"Although the Detroit Three directly employed about 240,000 people last year, according to the industry-allied Center for Automotive Research (CAR) in Ann Arbor, Mich., the multiplier effect is large, which is typical in manufacturing. Throw in the partsmakers and other suppliers, and you have an additional 974,000 jobs. Together, says CAR, these 1.2 million workers spend enough to keep 1.7 million more people employed. That gets you to 2.9 million jobs tied to the Detroit Three, and even if you discount the figures because of CAR's allegiance, it's a big number. Shut down Detroit, and the national unemployment rate heads toward 10% in a hurry."

That's pretty sobering, the ripple effect I mean. While there may be compensation packages for their workers, you can bet your bottom dollar that not all of those other folks have that if they lose their jobs as well.

scrubbedexpat099 Nov 20th 2008 4:00 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 

Originally Posted by cindyabs (Post 6993320)
"Although the Detroit Three directly employed about 240,000 people last year, according to the industry-allied Center for Automotive Research (CAR) in Ann Arbor, Mich., the multiplier effect is large, which is typical in manufacturing. Throw in the partsmakers and other suppliers, and you have an additional 974,000 jobs. Together, says CAR, these 1.2 million workers spend enough to keep 1.7 million more people employed. That gets you to 2.9 million jobs tied to the Detroit Three, and even if you discount the figures because of CAR's allegiance, it's a big number. Shut down Detroit, and the national unemployment rate heads toward 10% in a hurry."

That's pretty sobering, the ripple effect I mean. While there may be compensation packages for their workers, you can bet your bottom dollar that not all of those other folks have that if they lose their jobs as well.

When Chrysler were bailed out they cut their wage force in half.

That woud seem the best you could hope for.

As others have said, the chances of things being this good are very low without major restructuring which is not going to happen.

cindyabs Nov 20th 2008 4:17 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 

Originally Posted by Boiler (Post 6993344)
When Chrysler were bailed out they cut their wage force in half.

That woud seem the best you could hope for.

As others have said, the chances of things being this good are very low without major restructuring which is not going to happen.

No and as the article from Time that I quoted stated, until you stop and think that it is a domino effect-A falls over, then B, then C and so on.

Chrysler had a federal loan guarantee, not quite the same as a bail out.

scrubbedexpat099 Nov 20th 2008 4:22 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 

Originally Posted by cindyabs (Post 6993396)
No and as the article from Time that I quoted stated, until you stop and think that it is a domino effect-A falls over, then B, then C and so on.

Chrysler had a federal loan guarantee, not quite the same as a bail out.

I watched the 3 on TV yesterday, they asked for a loan.

The loan whatever does not stop the dominos falling, just delays them.

Sounds a bit like Vietnam, same ending.

Giantaxe Nov 20th 2008 4:23 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 

Originally Posted by cindyabs (Post 6993320)
"Although the Detroit Three directly employed about 240,000 people last year, according to the industry-allied Center for Automotive Research (CAR) in Ann Arbor, Mich., the multiplier effect is large, which is typical in manufacturing. Throw in the partsmakers and other suppliers, and you have an additional 974,000 jobs. Together, says CAR, these 1.2 million workers spend enough to keep 1.7 million more people employed. That gets you to 2.9 million jobs tied to the Detroit Three, and even if you discount the figures because of CAR's allegiance, it's a big number. Shut down Detroit, and the national unemployment rate heads toward 10% in a hurry."

That's pretty sobering, the ripple effect I mean. While there may be compensation packages for their workers, you can bet your bottom dollar that not all of those other folks have that if they lose their jobs as well.

Except nobody's suggesting "shutting down" the big three. Yes, many jobs will be lost in a chapter 11 restructuring, but really there is no viable alternative. They simply can't make cars efficiently enough to compete in the marketplace and are consistently losing market share to nimbler competitors. Competitors who increasingly build cars in transplant factories in the US and who use US parts suppliers too - the flip side of the employment picture that the article you quote conveniently is silent on.

Here's a quote from yesterday's hearings:


"If we continue down the path of taking money from more efficient and competitive companies and giving them to companies which are less efficient and in trouble because of bad management and bad decisions, our overall productivity as a country will continue to suffer," said Rep. Spencer Bachus, the top Republican on the financial-services panel.
Not often i agree with the Republicans, but that one's spot on.

Giantaxe Nov 20th 2008 4:25 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 

Originally Posted by cindyabs (Post 6993396)
Chrysler had a federal loan guarantee, not quite the same as a bail out.

Yes it is. It allowed them to borrow money they wouldn't otherwise have been able to borrow and at a very advantageous rate compared to their competitors.

Steerpike Nov 20th 2008 4:36 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 

Originally Posted by cindyabs (Post 6993320)
"Although the Detroit Three directly employed about 240,000 people last year, according to the industry-allied Center for Automotive Research (CAR) in Ann Arbor, Mich., the multiplier effect is large, which is typical in manufacturing. Throw in the partsmakers and other suppliers, and you have an additional 974,000 jobs. Together, says CAR, these 1.2 million workers spend enough to keep 1.7 million more people employed. That gets you to 2.9 million jobs tied to the Detroit Three, and even if you discount the figures because of CAR's allegiance, it's a big number. Shut down Detroit, and the national unemployment rate heads toward 10% in a hurry."

That's pretty sobering, the ripple effect I mean. While there may be compensation packages for their workers, you can bet your bottom dollar that not all of those other folks have that if they lose their jobs as well.

I think the 1.2 - 2.9 million numbers are appropriate. But everyone seems to agree, if absolutely nothing is done, they won't shutter the factories tomorrow; they will declare bankruptcy, and that will allow for 'tough decisions' to be made that could otherwise not be made. Now, I'm no 'screw the workers', anti-union guy, but I have heard that the unions have negotiated some pretty sweet deals over the years, to the point where they have a pretty ridiculous package. Maybe a bankruptcy will allow for this to be renegotiated. Along with that, major management changes - cuts, tie compensation to profitability (or at least year-on-year performance), etc.

I'd personally feel best if they simply sold their assets to Honda/Toyota/etc, since they have a good track record, but I doubt Honda/Toyota would WANT much of their assets.

If the govt. (esp. a democratic govt) gets involved, they are not going to be able to take on those union contracts with a straight face - how can you be the 'party of the workers' and then agree to major benefits cuts.

This is a tough one but bankruptcy seems the least of all evils...

PS I own an Acura TL; built in Ohio, I believe. Super build quality, Consumer Reports predicted reliability is as good as it gets. So it can be done here in the US ...

Deedee13 Nov 20th 2008 4:54 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 

Originally Posted by Manc (Post 6993043)
as the big three decimated Flint MI, Detroit MI, and Toledo OH to move to factories in Mexico and Canada, and shipped half of their supply chain to China.

I would be interested to know when they're going before the governments of Canada, China and Mexico for their part of the bailout/loan/whatever

dont forget poland. How many made a mad dash to Poland and all the other opened up eastern block countries. Where they got tax breaks, free rental property - What happened did the grants run out? Now they still want to milk the cream off the top of the bottle.

People who worked for ford in the past were on a nice little package of money, great benefits. You have to go with the flow of the times and those packages are not available anymore. How much do u make at Kroger? 7 dollars an hour?

Its not a great future for any of us but it might only get worse if we keep throwing money to these businesses that through no fault but their own have landed where they landed. How dare they go to washington and want my hard earned money in a private jet. How bloody much of a cheek is that!!

scrubbedexpat099 Nov 20th 2008 4:59 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 
To be picky its your children and grandchildrens money.

They spent yours already.

Deedee13 Nov 20th 2008 5:36 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 
well its all mut now. They got some sort of bailout as its being reported on the detroit news. Press conference this afternoon.

Wonder if I am going to get any taxes back at all next year?

scrubbedexpat099 Nov 20th 2008 5:55 am

Re: "Big Three" bailout ....
 

Originally Posted by Deedee13 (Post 6993659)
well its all mut now. They got some sort of bailout as its being reported on the detroit news. Press conference this afternoon.

Wonder if I am going to get any taxes back at all next year?

Same deal they have been talking about, probably do not have the votes.


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