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-   -   Anyone got a crystal ball? (https://britishexpats.com/forum/usa-57/anyone-got-crystal-ball-668161/)

Dougster75 May 13th 2010 5:30 pm

Anyone got a crystal ball?
 
What do people reckon? Will the pound recover in the near future or set for a gentle slide towards the dollar?

penguinsix May 13th 2010 6:03 pm

Re: Anyone got a crystal ball?
 
$1.50-$1.60

If you look at the exchange rates over the past ten years, you'll see a pretty consistent happy medium right around this level. Yes, it shot up to 2:1 for a brief shining moment, but it also went down to $1.35 for a bit.

I think many folks would say $1.50-$1.60 is really what you should consider a good base point for future planning. As it is what, $1.48 or something today it's a bit under that baseline, so adjust accordingly.

FWIW, I try to keep a set amount in both currencies to handle my annual needs, and rarely trade $ when > $1.65 or £ when < $1.50.

lapin_windstar May 13th 2010 6:16 pm

Re: Anyone got a crystal ball?
 
Magic 8 Ball says..."ask again later".
http://web.ics.purdue.edu/~ssanty/cgi-bin/eightball.cgi

Manc May 13th 2010 6:20 pm

Re: Anyone got a crystal ball?
 
I think it will go up a bit. then down a bit, then up some more. might slide a little.

repeat...........

Michael May 13th 2010 6:42 pm

Re: Anyone got a crystal ball?
 
My crystal ball indicates that the pound will be at $1.35 by the end of the year and the Euro will be at $1.10. The Euro zone has gone to only a 0.2% gdp annual growth during the first quarter of the year and with the belt tightening in the southern countries, it will likely have problems creating any real growth.

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/Econ...spx?Symbol=EUR

The UK isn't fairing much better in gdp growth and will likely be held back by its trading partners on the continent.

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/Econ...spx?Symbol=GBP

The US is fairing better with 3.2% annual gdp growth in the first quarter.

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/Econ...spx?Symbol=USD

Although the recession has hit the US harder than Europe with greater gdp losses, the US has recovered much of the gdp losses over the past 3 quarters which should turn into job creation in the next several quarters.

Patrick Hasler May 15th 2010 12:03 pm

Re: Anyone got a crystal ball?
 
I heard that Fatbrit has two that they replaced his real ones with. :rofl:


He started with the insults a week or so back so he's fair game :rofl:

meauxna May 15th 2010 2:15 pm

Re: Anyone got a crystal ball?
 
1 Attachment(s)
I have this one...
I think it needs oil though, or new batteries.

20masonroad May 16th 2010 5:16 am

Re: Anyone got a crystal ball?
 
:D
if only you had asked a few months back, I had a real good one..........:rofl::lol:

Ash UK/US May 16th 2010 5:22 pm

Re: Anyone got a crystal ball?
 
Don't know about the pound but if you ever find crystal ball can I borrow it?

Thanks in advance!


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