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zargof Jul 29th 2016 7:12 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by Steerpike (Post 12015212)
I sure hope things improve over at 538 ...
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/
currently showing Hilary at 53.3, Trump at 46.7, and with AZ, NV, FL, NC, OH, IA, and NH all going to Trump. We need that post convention bump!

They have improved. A few days ago Trump had a 56% chance of winning.

Jerseygirl Jul 29th 2016 7:22 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by zargof (Post 12015325)
They have improved. A few days ago Trump had a 56% chance of winning.

I don't take any notice of the numbers...a lot can happen between now and November. Trump could carry on ranting...putting his foot in his mouth. Clinton could get him to bully her during the debates...as did RickLazio. Both of which hands it to her. More hacked emails could be made public...or a large terrorist attack on US soil would hand it to him.

zargof Jul 29th 2016 7:41 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by Jerseygirl (Post 12015333)
I don't take any notice of the numbers...a lot can happen between now and November. Trump could carry on ranting...putting his foot in his mouth. Clinton could get him to bully her during the debates...as did RickLazio. Both of which hands it to her. More hacked emails could be made public...or a large terrorist attack on US soil would hand it to him.

Sure that's all true. Although I wonder about the debates. What if Hillary made Trump look like an idiot who knew nothing about policy in the debates. Would the bullshit sexism in the country make that a bad thing. If the situation was reversed it would be bad, like when Biden debated Palin, he had to go easy so as not to look mean to a woman.

Another thought I had: there was a big appeal to Republicans at the DNC by saying Trump doesn't represent them and they should vote for Hillary instead. Now that has danger of alienating the left, and I thought the balance was about right. But doesn't this also run the risk of losses down ticket? If you tie all the GOP senators and Congressmen to Trump, then people would be less likely to vote for them, maybe stay at home. Now they could leave President black and go red down ticket.

sir_eccles Jul 29th 2016 9:04 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by zargof (Post 12015342)
Sure that's all true. Although I wonder about the debates. What if Hillary made Trump look like an idiot who knew nothing about policy in the debates.

Tough ask.

sir_eccles Jul 29th 2016 9:25 am

Re: 2016 Election
 
Umm no we don't.


SultanOfSwing Jul 29th 2016 9:30 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by sir_eccles (Post 12015395)

I do have a question about vaccines - why the clucking bell don't they make them mandatory already?

That's one of the things that really puts me off her. I line up with her on various social issues, but some of that anti-science BS that she comes off with just loses me.

At least she'd be the one candidate that would do something about climate change, but what's the point when the next generation of children all die from measles?

sir_eccles Jul 29th 2016 9:35 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by SultanOfSwing (Post 12015397)
I do have a question about vaccines - why the clucking bell don't they make them mandatory already?

That's one of the things that really puts me off her. I line up with her on various social issues, but some of that anti-science BS that she comes off with just loses me.

At least she'd be the one candidate that would do something about climate change, but what's the point when the next generation of children all die from measles?

Well yes OK that's one question. Though the majority are free thanks to the aca.

SultanOfSwing Jul 29th 2016 9:47 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by sir_eccles (Post 12015399)
Well yes OK that's one question. Though the majority are free thanks to the aca.

Obviously that's not what she was getting at ...

zargof Jul 29th 2016 9:57 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by SultanOfSwing (Post 12015397)
I do have a question about vaccines - why the clucking bell don't they make them mandatory already?

That's one of the things that really puts me off her. I line up with her on various social issues, but some of that anti-science BS that she comes off with just loses me.

At least she'd be the one candidate that would do something about climate change, but what's the point when the next generation of children all die from measles?

Yeah I agree this. What is it about medical doctors in politics questioning vaccines?

I for one would get behind a scientocracy.

sir_eccles Jul 29th 2016 11:16 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by zargof (Post 12015409)
Yeah I agree this. What is it about medical doctors in politics questioning vaccines?

I for one would get behind a scientocracy.

I was glad to see Hillary say she believed in science.

zargof Jul 29th 2016 11:20 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by sir_eccles (Post 12015450)
I was glad to see Hillary say she believed in science.

But you know she'd flip if it would win votes...

scrubbedexpat099 Jul 29th 2016 11:54 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by zargof (Post 12015454)
But you know she'd flip if it would win votes...

:thumbsup::thumbsup:

SultanOfSwing Jul 29th 2016 3:55 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by zargof (Post 12015409)
Yeah I agree this. What is it about medical doctors in politics questioning vaccines?

It's the current meme, they think it makes them look all hip and edgy, whereas it really makes them look like a malpractice suit waiting to happen.

Any doctor who advocates against vaccinations should be stripped of their right to practice medicine.


Originally Posted by zargof (Post 12015409)
I for one would get behind a scientocracy.

Utter utopia.

Steerpike Jul 29th 2016 6:21 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
Is this as good as it sounds? I hadn't heard much about it until I read this ...
Courts Crush Voter Suppression Just in Time for Election Day - The Daily Beast
Extract:

... after the Supreme Court ruled that part of the Voting Rights Act was unconstitutional, the state “requested data on the use, by race, of a number of voting practices. Upon receipt of the race data, the General Assembly enacted legislation that restricted voting and registration in five different ways, all of which disproportionately affected African Americans… Although the new provisions target African Americans with almost surgical precision, they constitute inapt remedies for the problems assertedly justifying them and, in fact, impose cures for problems that did not exist

amideislas Jul 29th 2016 9:46 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by zargof (Post 12015342)
Sure that's all true. Although I wonder about the debates. What if Hillary made Trump look like an idiot who knew nothing about policy in the debates.

You shouldn't underestimate either Trump or the gullibility of voters.

Hillary is not a great presenter. She doesn't exhibit charisma and her voice is generally irritating. She has a bad habit of unnecessarily raising her voice (appearing desperate) and rarely exhibits any great sense of conviction. Some people are naturals at these things. She isn't.

Trump, on the other hand, is well versed in showmanship, exhibits overwhelming confidence, and can actually appear likeable, despite his ominous character, and his outrageous narratives.

So, which one do you think will exhibit the most appeal in debates that will undoubtedly be broadcast to hundreds of millions of gullible voters in the midst of whipped up emotional hysteria?


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