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CORONAVIRUS PART II

CORONAVIRUS PART II

Old Jun 2nd 2020, 11:27 am
  #2476  
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Originally Posted by Bipat View Post
He uses the word "perhaps"-----so much is not known yet.
Yes, that why I quoted him saying "perhaps" and in my comment said "suggesting".

Certainly genetic components must play a part as with every disease. However ---why are BAME deaths in Europe high and % deaths in India for example lower (where certainly obesity and diabetes rates very high).
The sun.
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 12:00 pm
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Originally Posted by Cape Blue View Post
Yes, that why I quoted him saying "perhaps" and in my comment said "suggesting".

The sun.
There isn't sun everywhere----and monsoon has started in the south and will gradually extend--will be interesting to see any changes in infection rates. Certainly less interaction between people and heavier clothes covering.
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 12:07 pm
  #2478  
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Originally Posted by Bipat View Post
There isn't sun everywhere----and monsoon has started in the south and will gradually extend--will be interesting to see any changes in infection rates. Certainly less interaction between people and heavier clothes covering.
There's clearly more sun in India in general - if there wasn't they would be white.
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 1:11 pm
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Both the sun and higher temperatures could be a factor.
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 1:12 pm
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Originally Posted by mikelincs View Post
Just been informed that a resident in this retirement home has been taken ill and tested Coronavirus positive. The chance of onward transmission is saod to be very low, however, we are now in self isolation for the next 14 days. I'm going nowhere..

Good luck Mike. Wash your hands.
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 1:35 pm
  #2481  
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Originally Posted by mikelincs View Post
Just been informed that a resident in this retirement home has been taken ill and tested Coronavirus positive. The chance of onward transmission is saod to be very low, however, we are now in self isolation for the next 14 days. I'm going nowhere..
Stay safe Mike.
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 2:09 pm
  #2482  
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

why are BAME deaths in Europe high and % deaths in India for example lower
Originally Posted by Cape Blue View Post
The sun.
That terrible newspaper is responsible for many things but I don't think this is one of them.
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 5:20 pm
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Originally Posted by jimenato View Post
Both the sun and higher temperatures could be a factor.
There were quite a few locals here in AZ claiming that the high temperatures in AZ would wipe out the virus, come summer. Well, it's now getting over 100F every day (38c) and I'm not seeing any noticeable change in numbers ...
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 5:24 pm
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Originally Posted by pommybird View Post
So 2 morons decided to jump off the top of Durdle Door into the sea, yesterday (which is local to me). Paramedics, the coastguard and Dorset Police all had to attend, the beach had to be cleared so 2 helicopters could land and take each twat to hospital as one hit rocks and the other apparently was seriously ill. I bet they weren't even locals but probably day trippers from the land of thick.I despair!
The amount of rubbish the day trippers left behind was staggering. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-dorset-52890608
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 5:29 pm
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Originally Posted by yellowroom View Post
The amount of rubbish the day trippers left behind was staggering. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-dorset-52890608
People are pretty shit a lot of the time.
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 5:45 pm
  #2486  
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

The vast majority of our deaths have been people in long term care homes which are mostly seniors with health issues.

One question is how has BC managed thus far to control this virus with much fewer restrictions vs Washington state next door or other places in Canada.

BC is known to be the healthiest province in Canada so maybe that plays a role.

Something has been on our side here and with more relaxed restrictions as well.
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 5:57 pm
  #2487  
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Originally Posted by Steerpike View Post
There were quite a few locals here in AZ claiming that the high temperatures in AZ would wipe out the virus, come summer. Well, it's now getting over 100F every day (38c) and I'm not seeing any noticeable change in numbers ...
There are an awful lot of factors involved.

I don't suppose we will ever know exactly why one country fares better than another.
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 6:34 pm
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Originally Posted by Jsmth321 View Post
The vast majority of our deaths have been people in long term care homes which are mostly seniors with health issues.

One question is how has BC managed thus far to control this virus with much fewer restrictions vs Washington state next door or other places in Canada.

BC is known to be the healthiest province in Canada so maybe that plays a role.

Something has been on our side here and with more relaxed restrictions as well.
In Contra Costa County (Bay Area), this is the current state of 'cases' vs 'deaths', as relates to age:


Up until last week, there were zero deaths below 50. I don't have stats for how many of the deaths were in care homes.

In Maricopa county (AZ, Phoenix metro), a similar pattern exists:


The first column shows cases by age group, last column shows deaths by age group.

As someone over 60, not the most reassuring of numbers, but - it is what it is!
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 6:44 pm
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Originally Posted by Steerpike View Post
In Contra Costa County (Bay Area), this is the current state of 'cases' vs 'deaths', as relates to age:


Up until last week, there were zero deaths below 50. I don't have stats for how many of the deaths were in care homes.

In Maricopa county (AZ, Phoenix metro), a similar pattern exists:


The first column shows cases by age group, last column shows deaths by age group.

As someone over 60, not the most reassuring of numbers, but - it is what it is!
You'll be in the top 5% of fitness and within a healthy BMI - it's the 80 year olds that are falling fast.
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Old Jun 2nd 2020, 7:38 pm
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Default Re: CORONAVIRUS PART II

Originally Posted by Steerpike View Post
In Contra Costa County (Bay Area), this is the current state of 'cases' vs 'deaths', as relates to age:


Up until last week, there were zero deaths below 50. I don't have stats for how many of the deaths were in care homes.

In Maricopa county (AZ, Phoenix metro), a similar pattern exists:


The first column shows cases by age group, last column shows deaths by age group.

As someone over 60, not the most reassuring of numbers, but - it is what it is!

BC as far as I can tell doesn't break down deaths by age group.

Our most affected age group infection wise are

50 to 59 age group with 492 cases
30 to 39 age group with 452 cases
40-49 with 396 cases
60-69 with 325 cases
20-29 with 269 cases
70-79 with 240 cases
80-89 with 213 cases
90+ 128 cases
10-19 52 cases
under 10 28 cases

The above is current as of June 1, 2020 @ 1630

Below is a month old, but its the most recent I could find on a google search.

- higher number of cases among women than men.

- men ages 70 and older making up the majority of those hospitalized

- 60 per cent of COVID-19-diagnosed men between 70 and 79 admitted, 51 per cent of diagnosed men between 80 and 89 admitted and 54 per cent of all diagnosed men over 90 admitted.

- 32 per cent of diagnosed men in their 70s were admitted to ICU, compared to just 19 per cent of women in that age range.

- Most people admitted to intensive-care units have been in their 60s and 70s, with more men than women requiring that critical care.

- majority of people in B.C. who have died from COVID-19 are older than 70, with 50 per cent of men over the age of 90 with the virus having passed away, compared to just 21 per cent of women in that age group. Thirty-seven per cent of men ages 80 to 89 with the virus have died, compared to 20 per cent of women in their 80s.

- Of the 2,112 confirmed cases on April 30, 1,373 confirmed cases had additional risk factors of being over 50 years old, having at least one other chronic health condition and/or being male.

- 80 per cent of people admitted to hospital and 97 per cent of those who died were over age 50.

- 44 per cent of all COVID-19 cases were men with 70% of deaths being men.

- 199 people admitted to ICU, with 14% dying.


The above stats were based on total cases and deaths as of April 30, since then 55 more people have died.

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