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-   -   Economic storm this weekend? (https://britishexpats.com/forum/spain-75/economic-storm-weekend-765678/)

amideislas Jul 23rd 2012 2:48 am

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 

Originally Posted by HBG (Post 10188251)
I discovered this morning that the government controlled Chemists (famarcias) have gone on indefinite strike in the Valencian region from today. Because they haven't been paid by the Valencian government, who in turn haven't got the money left to pay them. They haven't got the money to pay their civil servants, police, teachers, pensioners and unemployed people either.

It sort of brings home the reality of the situation, the government has run out of money and has to borrow at punitive rates which will only make matters worse.

Spain has had a 30 billion bail-out over the weekend and should be able to send money to Valencia to allow the Spanish people to get their life-saving medicines for another six weeks or so, until they need more money.

What a terrible state of affairs! How did it come to this? The housing bubble and incredible corruption doesn't explain it, nor the reluctance of people to pay their taxes, there must be more to it, surely?

(Thank God for the many expats pumping money into the local economy, and the tourists).

Cause of Spain's economic problems

Europe's economic suicide

Pocaloca Jul 23rd 2012 3:26 am

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 

Originally Posted by HBG (Post 10188251)

What a terrible state of affairs! How did it come to this? The housing bubble and incredible corruption doesn't explain it, nor the reluctance of people to pay their taxes, there must be more to it, surely?

They have colossal debt repayment obligations, many to German banks, largely for prestige construction projects thrown up over the past couple of decades. Their repayment rate reached 7% in January this year. This article helps explain.

Valencia's total outstanding debt at the end of 2011 was EUR20.76 billion.

rspltd Jul 23rd 2012 3:54 am

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 
Portugal, Spain, Ireland and Greece take out almost twice what they put in to the EU. When they go the rest of us will be so much better off.

cricketman Jul 23rd 2012 4:08 am

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 

Originally Posted by rspltd (Post 10188395)
Portugal, Spain, Ireland and Greece take out almost twice what they put in to the EU. When they go the rest of us will be so much better off.

Well good luck funding the Eastern European countries now you wont have these guys to help you

From 2012-2015 Spain, Italy etc would have been sending a sizable chunk of their GDP that way

But instead now you'll have to makeup the shortfall

But that shouldnt be a problem for the UK with its minimal debt levels...oh wait....

rugbymatt Jul 23rd 2012 6:14 am

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 

Originally Posted by steviedeluxe (Post 10187659)
You obviously haven't seen developments so far this morning.
Apart from stock markets generally down, and Spanish yields soaring to record highs, the news has come in that trading in Italian bank shares have been suspended.

Maybe this is the worse that will happen today, but let's see?

Have any of the predictions come true? If not, my comment was valid.

johnnyone Jul 23rd 2012 12:32 pm

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 

Originally Posted by cricketman (Post 10187699)
Its easier to predict WHAT will happen rather than WHEN it will happen

I agree with you.
There have been other threads related to the problems in Europe some of which predicted the collapse of Spanish finances. You didn't have to be a genius. The genius is the guy/girl who predicted when.
I do believe history shall show that the problems of Spain (and other countries probably) were exacerbated by the failure to recognise the extent of the problems.
Whether this was through incompetence or dishonesty is another matter. I suspect the latter.

Fredbargate Jul 23rd 2012 5:58 pm

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 
Credit ratings agency Moody's has warned the outlook for Germany's AAA credit rating is negative, the first step towards a possible downgrade.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-18963810

The Yanks will not be happy until they have undermined all of Europe

amideislas Jul 23rd 2012 7:35 pm

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 

Originally Posted by Fredbargate (Post 10189398)
The Yanks will not be happy until they have undermined all of Europe

That's logical.

Especially considering that the "Yanks" economy is slowing due to the uncertainty of the European economic crisis, the Fed has been doing everything possible to encourage the ECB to take drastic action to solve it, it seems only logical that they would secretly force independent credit rating agencies to downgrade Europe in the hopes of destroying any chance of recovery. :blink:

I reckon like CMan says, they're just jealous of Europe's prosperity (particularly Spain's).

Probably like taking a key and putting a big scratch in that shiny new car of theirs. After all, if someone who appears to be prosperous shows up on your street, that's what you would do, right?

rugbymatt Jul 23rd 2012 7:38 pm

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 
Are the bars open already in Spain????



On a different note, I see Spain has banned short selling albeit temporarily, in an effort to stop a run. Desperate or genius, you decide!

amideislas Jul 23rd 2012 7:50 pm

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 

Originally Posted by rugbymatt (Post 10189525)
Are the bars open already in Spain????

Well, just think for a minute about the irony of that statement ("the yanks are trying to undermine Europe"). It doesn't take a few drinks to realise the sheer bollocks of it. In fact, it seems a coffee might be in order.


Originally Posted by rugbymatt (Post 10189525)
On a different note, I see Spain has banned short selling albeit temporarily, in an effort to stop a run. Desperate or genius, you decide!

There are a number of curious "anomalies" taking place at the moment. I'm wondering if maybe there might be something bigger in the works.

Domino Jul 23rd 2012 7:57 pm

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 

Originally Posted by amideislas (Post 10189541)
Well, just think for a minute about the irony of that statement ("the yanks are trying to undermine Europe"). It doesn't take a few drinks to realise the sheer bollocks of it. In fact, it seems a coffee might be in order.

There are a number of curious "anomalies" taking place at the moment. I'm wondering if maybe there might be something bigger in the works.

no one knew at the time George Soros was doing a number on the £ just that something was happening and they tried to get in on the action.
the same applies here, find a weakness and exploit it - sounds just like BE Spain
:rofl:

rugbymatt Jul 23rd 2012 8:02 pm

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 

Originally Posted by amideislas (Post 10189541)
Well, just think for a minute about the irony of that statement ("the yanks are trying to undermine Europe"). It doesn't take a few drinks to realise the sheer bollocks of it. In fact, it seems a coffee might be in order.



There are a number of curious "anomalies" taking place at the moment. I'm wondering if maybe there might be something bigger in the works.

Banning short selling actually makes sense. Why this practise is not looked into better is beyond me, its responsible, in no small way, to the mess we are all in now, short term gain for long term profits, its no secret that many super rich will relish recession and economic uncertainty in an effort to command better buying power and purchasing strength, they can buy at ridiculously low prices happy in the knowledge that they won't stay low for too long and they will make stupefying amounts of money in short spaces of time. We are all being manipulated and we happily let it go on, all the while worrying about things that don't really matter. While we look at the bell in the left hand the right hand turns the world.

Beaverstate Jul 23rd 2012 8:06 pm

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 

Originally Posted by Fredbargate (Post 10189398)
Credit ratings agency Moody's has warned the outlook for Germany's AAA credit rating is negative, the first step towards a possible downgrade.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-18963810

The Yanks will not be happy until they have undermined all of Europe

That same agency has already downgraded the US:huh:

amideislas Jul 23rd 2012 8:25 pm

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 

Originally Posted by Beaverstate (Post 10189559)
That same agency has already downgraded the US:huh:

Oh, that was just to make it look like they are "unbiased".
The secret conspiracy to destroy the world is still alive and well.

HBG Jul 23rd 2012 8:27 pm

Re: Economic storm this weekend?
 
A lot of countries are seething with indignity at the markets, and credit rating agencies; countries like the US, the UK, Germany, Spain and France. Mostly they are seething because the free markets don't believe the lies of their politicians.

The EU pumps money into Spain, thinking it will calm the markets, who promptly raise Spain's borrowing rates to 7.5%, an impossible level.

The US prints more monopoly money and is flooded with imports from China, while the cheeky Chinese refuse to lower the Yuan and try to buy up large chunks of the US.


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