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Forum: Australia
Feb 20th 2016, 5:29 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

I wonder if one could do worse than shorting the AUD. Any sustained house price falls thrown in with a bit of rising unemployment and I think it'd drop another 20% in no time. Given the halving in...
Forum: Australia
Feb 19th 2016, 2:00 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

Sterling didn't exactly cover itself in glory during 2008: $2.00 to $1.40 about as quick as you can say "R-B-S"
Forum: Australia
Feb 19th 2016, 1:40 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

The main thing driving this has been the realisation that interest rates in the Northern Hemisphere aren't going up (from virtually 0%) anytime soon.
Forum: Australia
Aug 26th 2015, 3:26 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

Oh yeah, I'd forgotten about rental yields (like every bank and residential property "investor" in Aus)... shouldn't they be through the roof (instead of 2-3%) given this terrible "supply" problem in...
Forum: Australia
Aug 25th 2015, 10:52 pm
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

Wall Street went up the hill last night... then all the way back down (and some)

Aussie shares down almost 50% year-on-year in USD, and most other currencies

Govt running big deficits for...
Forum: Australia
Aug 24th 2015, 11:32 pm
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

Who would have thought that a developing economy (such as China) could possibly deviate from straight line upwards growth - is there any precedent for this in the history of economics?!

The last...
Forum: Australia
Aug 6th 2015, 4:44 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

Oh ok, so Britain's GDP relative to other countries in 2015 is on a par with its Victorian heyday :rofl:
Forum: Australia
Aug 5th 2015, 11:32 pm
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

No argument with that point. I guess it's one way of managing decline.
Forum: Australia
Aug 5th 2015, 5:54 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

Yes - to home renovation tv programmes and buying and selling overpriced houses to one another. A proven recipe for sustainable economic success the world over.
Forum: Australia
Jul 15th 2015, 10:42 pm
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

Nearly $2.12 this morning.... and he sayeth unto the Australian economy "Give us this day our daily one or two cents off against Sterling"
Forum: Australia
Jul 6th 2015, 10:42 pm
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

A dictatorship is manipulating the stockmarket and wider economy to keep itself in power - nothing more, nothing less. Roll up, roll up... everyone's a winner!
Forum: Australia
Jul 6th 2015, 10:33 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

The slow, steady collapse of AUD has far more to do with China, and the related fall in resource prices, than it does with Greece. I for one (and the market for more) would be amazed if the RBA were...
Forum: Australia
Jul 6th 2015, 6:03 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

All depends on personal circumstances. Each one cent drop nudges me a little bit closer to my 2011 London salary and, with it, a one-way ticket back to Heathrow.

There was an article over the...
Forum: Australia
Jul 6th 2015, 5:34 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

"Better" if you are contemplating a move to Aus, or don't mind your personal wealth in global terms losing a percent or two every month.

I am surprised there aren't more people on here...
Forum: Australia
Feb 23rd 2015, 2:26 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

I said deficit, not debt. The deficit is approaching European levels. I am not sure I follow your discussion about partisanship, and I think you brush over the effects of the mineral prices and the...
Forum: Australia
Feb 18th 2015, 11:43 pm
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

Not this week, no.

But the deficit goes up every day towards European levels and that is whilst the economy is (in theory) still growing. The political and (absurd) voting system harks to another...
Forum: Australia
Feb 17th 2015, 4:06 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

I just go back to the original point that a currency losing 25-30 percent of its value in a short space of time is not normally a good sign for the country involved. Nothing more, nothing less.
Forum: Australia
Feb 17th 2015, 1:53 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

Can you give some examples of currencies which have depreciated so quickly without being accompanied by a major financial crisis?
Forum: Australia
Feb 16th 2015, 4:21 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

Yes I can remember moving from Sydney to London in 2003 and going from a respectable entry-level job earning about $35,000 to a very similar role which paid almost $100,000 when converted

But the...
Forum: Australia
Feb 13th 2015, 1:33 am
Replies: 453
Views: 96,026
Posted By DC10

Re: Exchange rate AUD Vs GBP £1 buys $1.83

It's extraordinary how oblivious your average Aussie is to this 'benign collapse' in their currency.

Yes, the AUD has been overvalued for several years, yes the falling oil price helps to...
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