UK election - what happens now?
#61
Re: UK election - what happens now?
Anyone that's ever negotiated any kind of a business contract will know you never let the other side know what you hope for because if you do, they'll nail you to the minimum for you & the maximum for them and the Brexit negotiations are no different so I'm not at all surprised the UK Govt doesn't want to lay out it's plan beforehand.... anyone that did would be a fool...
The EU has been perfectly happy to communicate its negotiating stance to the UK
An EU source disclosed that Brussels had also been secretly briefing Downing Street on the 27 member states’ negotiating position for months, well ahead of it being public, to allow the government to shape its response.
“They have had everything, sometimes before senior people here have seen the positions”, the source said. “May has known about the sequencing of talks since last September. None of this has been a surprise to her.”
“They have had everything, sometimes before senior people here have seen the positions”, the source said. “May has known about the sequencing of talks since last September. None of this has been a surprise to her.”
May & Co were vague and appeared to me to be playing to the gallery with the "we tried but they wouldn't talk" line. They did nothing to reassure those who have moved in either direction and didn't even talk to the main groups representing those affected, whereas EU representatives did.
I think you've got it right this time though.
#62
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Re: UK election - what happens now?
May made more than one speech where she said she wanted to agree that EU immigrants already in the UK should have the right to stay but note the word agree......... Which meant she wanted a reciprocal agreement for Brits in the EU to stay & Junker said it'd have to wait for the official negotiations so consequently May has to wait & I can see the point of that stance.
However, I'd expect the matter to be very high on the list of priorities for both sides & probably one of the first things to be decided.
And of course none of us know what if anything has been unofficially discussed behind closed doors....... other than what the media tell us..... Most of which is probably yet more speculation & BS.
Yet again, time will tell.
However, I'd expect the matter to be very high on the list of priorities for both sides & probably one of the first things to be decided.
And of course none of us know what if anything has been unofficially discussed behind closed doors....... other than what the media tell us..... Most of which is probably yet more speculation & BS.
Yet again, time will tell.
Last edited by mfesharne; Jun 13th 2017 at 12:35 pm.
#63
Re: UK election - what happens now?
May made more than one speech where she said she wanted to agree that EU immigrants already in the UK should have the right to stay but note the word agree......... Which meant she wanted a reciprocal agreement for Brits in the EU to stay & Junker said it'd have to wait for the official negotiations so consequently May has to wait & I can see the point of that stance.
There are a mulitude of other people as well, of course, who see it very well indeed but simply choose not to and to instead go along with the May line.
#64
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Re: UK election - what happens now?
There's far, far more at stake than simply the right to continue residing, which particular right, to my mind anyway, was never in doubt. May was exploiting that blind spot on the part of the British public when she played that one and it appears to have worked a treat in many cases.
There are a mulitude of other people as well, of course, who see it very well indeed but simply choose not to and to instead go along with the May line.
There are a mulitude of other people as well, of course, who see it very well indeed but simply choose not to and to instead go along with the May line.
I'd bet that the majority of Brits in the UK & Europeans in the EU don't have a problem with the legal migrants here/there & are considerably more concerned with the other issue which no-one is addressing because it doesn't suit their agenda.
#65
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Re: UK election - what happens now?
I'm sure the right for legal immigrants already in the UK & EU will eventually be respected & even more sure that the UK Govt, EU & media are all deliberately ignoring the elephant in the room which is illegal immigration & asylum & instead diverting attention to the EU migration issue.
I'd bet that the majority of Brits in the UK & Europeans in the EU don't have a problem with the legal migrants here/there & are considerably more concerned with the other issue which no-one is addressing because it doesn't suit their agenda.
I'd bet that the majority of Brits in the UK & Europeans in the EU don't have a problem with the legal migrants here/there & are considerably more concerned with the other issue which no-one is addressing because it doesn't suit their agenda.
#66
Re: UK election - what happens now?
I'm sure the right for legal immigrants already in the UK & EU will eventually be respected & even more sure that the UK Govt, EU & media are all deliberately ignoring the elephant in the room which is illegal immigration & asylum & instead diverting attention to the EU migration issue.
I'd bet that the majority of Brits in the UK & Europeans in the EU don't have a problem with the legal migrants here/there & are considerably more concerned with the other issue which no-one is addressing because it doesn't suit their agenda.
I'd bet that the majority of Brits in the UK & Europeans in the EU don't have a problem with the legal migrants here/there & are considerably more concerned with the other issue which no-one is addressing because it doesn't suit their agenda.
- Start the registration process that was already allowed under UK law, but not used.
- Check for registration on any transactions
- Implement ID cards (but not the expensive garbage proposed last time)
- Start checking passports/ID properly (no checks on the way out and seemingly poor checks on the way in, given Abadi's ease of travel and the London Italian/Tunisian who was on an EU watch list!
- Clamp down on the black economy (look at the various processes in use elsewhere)
Otherwise, just suck it up and deal with the consequences.
#67
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Re: UK election - what happens now?
To tackle that, the UK government would actually have to spend some money....
- Start the registration process that was already allowed under UK law, but not used.
- Check for registration on any transactions
- Implement ID cards (but not the expensive garbage proposed last time)
- Start checking passports/ID properly (no checks on the way out and seemingly poor checks on the way in, given Abadi's ease of travel and the London Italian/Tunisian who was on an EU watch list!
- Clamp down on the black economy (look at the various processes in use elsewhere)
Otherwise, just suck it up and deal with the consequences.
- Start the registration process that was already allowed under UK law, but not used.
- Check for registration on any transactions
- Implement ID cards (but not the expensive garbage proposed last time)
- Start checking passports/ID properly (no checks on the way out and seemingly poor checks on the way in, given Abadi's ease of travel and the London Italian/Tunisian who was on an EU watch list!
- Clamp down on the black economy (look at the various processes in use elsewhere)
Otherwise, just suck it up and deal with the consequences.
As I see it, the current situation is unacceptable & must change & I think a significant percentage of Brits would agree.
#68
Re: UK election - what happens now?
I'm sure the right for legal immigrants already in the UK & EU will eventually be respected & even more sure that the UK Govt, EU & media are all deliberately ignoring the elephant in the room which is illegal immigration & asylum & instead diverting attention to the EU migration issue.
I'd bet that the majority of Brits in the UK & Europeans in the EU don't have a problem with the legal migrants here/there & are considerably more concerned with the other issue which no-one is addressing because it doesn't suit their agenda.
I'd bet that the majority of Brits in the UK & Europeans in the EU don't have a problem with the legal migrants here/there & are considerably more concerned with the other issue which no-one is addressing because it doesn't suit their agenda.
Nor will they be in the least altered when this is all over except that, if the UK doesn't play its cards right, it could find itself unable to return asylum seekers to EU countries as it currently can under the Dublin Agreement and if freedom of movement is severely curtailed there will be illegal immigration to count from EU countries as well as non-EU countries. Plus, if the Le Touquet Accord doesn't hold, the UK border will be moved back to ....er .... the UK, which could bring more border control problems.
#69
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Re: UK election - what happens now?
I should imagine the reason that illegal immigration & asylum are no longer being talked about in the Brexit debate is because neither has the slightest bearing on the matter. The shameful disgrace is that they were ever dragged in to the debate in the first place, given the enormous red herring they are.
Nor will they be in the least altered when this is all over except that, if the UK doesn't play its cards right, it could find itself unable to return asylum seekers to EU countries as it currently can under the Dublin Agreement and if freedom of movement is severely curtailed there will be illegal immigration to count from EU countries as well as non-EU countries. Plus, if the Le Touquet Accord doesn't hold, the UK border will be moved back to ....er .... the UK, which could bring more border control problems.
Nor will they be in the least altered when this is all over except that, if the UK doesn't play its cards right, it could find itself unable to return asylum seekers to EU countries as it currently can under the Dublin Agreement and if freedom of movement is severely curtailed there will be illegal immigration to count from EU countries as well as non-EU countries. Plus, if the Le Touquet Accord doesn't hold, the UK border will be moved back to ....er .... the UK, which could bring more border control problems.
#70
Re: UK election - what happens now?
The laws on asylum are the UK's own, completely unaffected by EU law. One of the famous opt-outs (with opt-in option) sees to that. The opt-in which has been exercised is to the Dublin Agreement, which assists the UK in fending off asylum seekers.
As to illegal immigration, well, it's illegal, isn't it? How can leaving the EU make it any more illegal?
As to illegal immigration, well, it's illegal, isn't it? How can leaving the EU make it any more illegal?
#71
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Re: UK election - what happens now?
The laws on asylum are the UK's own, completely unaffected by EU law. One of the famous opt-outs (with opt-in option) sees to that. The opt-in which has been exercised is to the Dublin Agreement, which assists the UK in fending off asylum seekers.
As to illegal immigration, well, it's illegal, isn't it? How can leaving the EU make it any more illegal?
As to illegal immigration, well, it's illegal, isn't it? How can leaving the EU make it any more illegal?
#73
Re: UK election - what happens now?
My guess is that nothing will change as the UK will simply ignore not implementing EU rules in the same way that it has ignored implementing them until now......
Apart from making it more difficult for EU migrants to enter legally (but still enter because the UK economy needs them...), Brexit will achieve little that could not have been achieved before by using existing legislation on registration and the need to prove self-sufficiency.
Oh, and before the other Brexit red herring is waved, the ECHR is NOT an EU mandate, but an agreement by all 47 states of the Council of Europe. So, unless the UK withdraws from that, it will still "interfere" in the ability of the UK to expel unwanted residents. If we withdraw, even the Telegraph said "...any decision to withdraw from the Convention - a move the UK could make now - is likely to have a significant negative impact on the UK standing in Europe, the United Nations and the county’s moral authority around the world." (What would Brexit mean for British sovereignty?)
So, apart from leaving the EU - and dropping out of the Council of Europe - the UK will still need to make fundamental changes to have any impact on migration, legal, illegal or any shade in-between. Given its record to date, I wouldn't hold my breath!
Apart from making it more difficult for EU migrants to enter legally (but still enter because the UK economy needs them...), Brexit will achieve little that could not have been achieved before by using existing legislation on registration and the need to prove self-sufficiency.
Oh, and before the other Brexit red herring is waved, the ECHR is NOT an EU mandate, but an agreement by all 47 states of the Council of Europe. So, unless the UK withdraws from that, it will still "interfere" in the ability of the UK to expel unwanted residents. If we withdraw, even the Telegraph said "...any decision to withdraw from the Convention - a move the UK could make now - is likely to have a significant negative impact on the UK standing in Europe, the United Nations and the county’s moral authority around the world." (What would Brexit mean for British sovereignty?)
So, apart from leaving the EU - and dropping out of the Council of Europe - the UK will still need to make fundamental changes to have any impact on migration, legal, illegal or any shade in-between. Given its record to date, I wouldn't hold my breath!
#74
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Re: UK election - what happens now?
I should think changes in law/criteria would be the obvious answer.
My personal expectation would be asylum requests would have to be made from outside the UK, illegals deported with far shorter waiting periods, more limited appeal structures & a far more effective border control force etc.
Of course that's only a personal opinion & only time will tell........ & I certainly don't expect it to happen any time soon.
My personal expectation would be asylum requests would have to be made from outside the UK, illegals deported with far shorter waiting periods, more limited appeal structures & a far more effective border control force etc.
Of course that's only a personal opinion & only time will tell........ & I certainly don't expect it to happen any time soon.
#75
Re: UK election - what happens now?
I should imagine the reason that illegal immigration & asylum are no longer being talked about in the Brexit debate is because neither has the slightest bearing on the matter. The shameful disgrace is that they were ever dragged in to the debate in the first place, given the enormous red herring they are.
Nor will they be in the least altered when this is all over except that, if the UK doesn't play its cards right, it could find itself unable to return asylum seekers to EU countries as it currently can under the Dublin Agreement and if freedom of movement is severely curtailed there will be illegal immigration to count from EU countries as well as non-EU countries. Plus, if the Le Touquet Accord doesn't hold, the UK border will be moved back to ....er .... the UK, which could bring more border control problems.
Nor will they be in the least altered when this is all over except that, if the UK doesn't play its cards right, it could find itself unable to return asylum seekers to EU countries as it currently can under the Dublin Agreement and if freedom of movement is severely curtailed there will be illegal immigration to count from EU countries as well as non-EU countries. Plus, if the Le Touquet Accord doesn't hold, the UK border will be moved back to ....er .... the UK, which could bring more border control problems.