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-   -   NCR llockdown (https://britishexpats.com/forum/philippines-155/ncr-llockdown-931684/)

Raffin Dec 16th 2020 7:07 pm

Re: NCR llockdown
 
No. Luckily my wife also doesn't like Noche Buena.

Raffin Dec 17th 2020 6:07 am

Re: NCR llockdown
 
Yesterday 1,470 cases announced, 8 labs did not report. Tested were 25.1k and 1,582 positives found. Positivity 6.3%. The excess 112 will add to tomorrow's cases. The second day in a row with a backlog of positives showing. Tests on the way 28.9k.
Cases have been under 1,500 for 6 days, but yesterday only just.

Top 5 locations:

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...eb31bbdef6.jpg
Makati's entry into the top 5 unusual..see chart.

https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5a65d6ee76.jpg


Deaths at 17 with 3 RDs
Critical at 1,388, down 5.

More detail on December 16 cases:

Regions:

https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...96cfe56b84.jpg

The NCR plus Calabarzon contributing over 31% of national cases.

For NCR cities:
https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...202e2e70a3.jpg

Provinces:

https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...88f669384b.jpg
Davao del Sur leading. Three Region 4A provinces there.

https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e4bb8ae835.jpg
But Davao del Sur cases have ben falling recently.


https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9feaa73110.jpg

https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c5813ed177.jpg
Davao City with a recent rise.

The top 20 containing again the majority of NCR cities,

https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c5f58c7590.jpg
QC with the largest by population showing a rise lately.

https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f3d26d4b48.jpg
The NCR as a whole showing slightly less of a rise.



Raffin Dec 18th 2020 3:36 am

Re: NCR llockdown
 
Less than 6 weeks under 2k daily cases, but yesterday 2,122 announced. Positives were 1,142, so only 54% recent, the result of a large backlog as testing has increased lately. Positive rate 4.7%.found Tests in the pipeline at a higher 27.9k.

Top 5 locations:

https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d3d094a6ac.jpg
QC well in the lead, as is often the case.
Makati next highest in NCR.

Deaths 25 with 9 RDs.
Active cases now at a higher 27k.
Critical patients at 1,378, down 15.

More detail on December 17 cases:

https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4d50477d1d.jpg
https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c90cf0d852.jpg
All recent cases.

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...219d4ca612.jpg
https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a582a1eeaf.jpg
Note Makati again high up.

https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7bfc2759a0.jpg
Leyte unusually high up.

https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c218563bce.jpg
Ten NCR cities feature,
Two cities in Leyte feature.


This is the Leyte chart

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...488f00c27a.jpg
Erratic build up since September.

Generally, a deteriorating picture after the steady decreases of the last 3 to 4 months:

https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...edfd01faf0.jpg
Latest DOH national chart.




Bealinehx Dec 18th 2020 8:38 am

Re: NCR llockdown
 
Yes a worsening picture at the beginning off the Festive Season. I for one not surprised. This trend is repeated throughout the 'Christian' world. Expect more bad news to come and a repeat of draconian restrictions,
Happy holidays to one and all.

Raffin Dec 19th 2020 4:34 am

Re: NCR llockdown
 
After the day before;s 2k new cases it's now back down to between 1,000 and 1,500 at 1,491. Out of 26.1k tested there were 1,187 positives.....that's 80% recent cases. Seven labs did not report. Positivity 4.5%. Tests in progress are up at 36.6k, the highest figure for many weeks.

Top 5 locations:

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...bfaaa1d76d.jpg
Rizal again with a high count.

https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...eb72606c86.jpg
Rizal cases rising quickly.

Deaths at 36 with 9 RDs.
Critical 1,374, down 4.

More detail on December 18 cases:

https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...53c69e1f08.jpg
Plus Bicol 33, Other Mindanao 47, MIMAROPA 17.

NCR with a high number but cases were only 54% recent. So the rise in the latest cases down to around 380. Region 4A's to about 150.

https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...164a718529.jpg
https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4ffd397e22.jpg
A high daily figure even for QC.

https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8b7f9e8646.jpg
Leyte, Isabela and Rizal in triple digits.

https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5bc658518d.jpg
Leyte with a recent rapid rise.


https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...bd761332c3.jpg
Ten NCR cities with 4 in the top 5.
New entrant Enchague in Isabela.

The chart for Isabela shows the effect of evacuations due to the typhoon hit:

https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c0702898dd.jpg

Bealinehx Dec 19th 2020 9:03 am

Re: NCR llockdown
 
My wife, a frontliner, was informed by a colleague that Quezon City has returned to lockdown. If true, grim news for the rest of us.

Raffin Dec 19th 2020 12:30 pm

Re: NCR llockdown
 
There's a lot of rumours around impending lockdowns in NCR and even in Tagaytay. They've been denied online and just now on GMA News TV by a cabinet member and the QC, Tagaytay mayors. The mayors of the NCR cities all meet and give their view of the overall quarantine level to the government.

Last time I looked QC had one of the lower percentages of cases to population. It has well over 3m. San Juan was more than twice as high and QC, Pasay and Makati were almost as high. City of Manila was much lower. One caveat: there were many thousands of disputed cases QC didn't want to claim earlier in the year. I don't think they were ever put on their count.

Though QC has had an increase lately more than the NCR as a whole.

Raffin Dec 20th 2020 6:45 am

Re: NCR llockdown
 
Yesterday the DOH announced 1,754 new cases from 1,163 positives out of 21.3k tested plus a backlog. So 66% recent. Twelve labs not reporting. Tests on the way at 34.8k

Top 5 locations:

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a395b62d47.jpg

Rizal again over 100.

Deaths 36 with a higher than usual RD finding of 25. Is the DOH validation process of looking at past recoveries not coming to an end soon?

Mass recoveries at 8.1k.
Active cases now 21,708, 272 less than a week ago.

More detail on the December 19 cases:

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...70da6829bf.jpg
Plus other Mindanao 41, Bicol 11, MIMAROPA 9
Estimating for recent cases: NCR 360, 4A 220

https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3f12ad16da.jpg
Plus Valenzuala 13, San Juan 10.

https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8b16daba3d.jpg
https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4a8380950a.jpg
Note 10 NCR cities,
Mankayan in Benguet. appearing again with Baguio and La Trinidad.

By the figures a better week. Cases down by over 500 to 9,730. Deaths down by 21 to 182.
Still not looking good in SE Asia though the Philippines looks in a better position than many European and countries in the Americas. It's just that Xmas/New Year is traditionally so intense here and many are nervously wondering whether people are going to heed government advice and not put the fragile health services under even greater strain next year. More restrictions will stunt any economic recovery but if case rise accelerates in January the government will have no choice but to put at least some back in place.







Raffin Dec 20th 2020 7:56 pm

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Originally Posted by Raffin (Post 12947073)
Refused entry this morning to a Robinsons supermarket in Tagaytay as over 65, but it was okay Monday. Needed a barangay pass the guard said. Another Robinsons 5 kms away, not in Tagaytay, was okay. A Mall in Tagyatay was also ok.

Passed by a large Tagaytay restaurant today displaying a new board listing entry restrictions from the City Hall, including over 65s not allowed to dine in. Back in September it was over 60s. That was relaxed later and now back again at 65. Going to disappoint many visitors over Xmas and New Year who like to dine with a view. Many restaurants here are open to the breezy air and are spacious .But the dynasty in charge in Tagaytay want to please.

Raffin Dec 21st 2020 8:28 am

Re: NCR llockdown
 
At 1,721 about the same number of new cases yesterday as the day before. Five labs did not report. Only 735 cases found positive out of 14k tested, that's a rate of 5.3% again over 5% as it was the day before. Only 43% of results were recent.

Top locations:
https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4485bf3da4.jpg
Deaths 10 with 4 of them RDs.
Critical 1,377..unchanged.

More detail on December 20:

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...87b3c0ec27.jpg
Plus other Mindanao 51, MIMAROPA 21.
Allowing for backlog only 330 recent NCR and 210 4A.

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0e11f67f9b.jpg
Other cities 55.

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6e82e8d04f.jpg
Four of the five Calabarzon provinces.

https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e3109938f5.jpg
Ten out of 17 NCR cities.
Now four Benguet locations.

https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...story/?just_in

The major research group here proposing the re-imposition of travel controls and pointing out that under GCQ in the NCR there is already a limit of 10 on social gatherings. Which I would guess most people are not aware of. Anyway it's too late to come out with limits on Xmas and New Year get togethers now. And the government seems to have already decided that the economy is the priority and to put back travel controls in the NCR and its surrounding areas goes against that.


Raffin Dec 22nd 2020 4:10 am

Re: NCR llockdown
 
Yesterday added 1,314 to the new cases total and 10 labs did not report. New cases were 80% recent with a positivity of 4.9% out of 21,2k tests. Only 17.7k tests on the way. Is there an Xmas effect causing a drop in testing when more will likely be needed?

Top 5 locations:

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6d043a0f7f.jpg

Rizal continues to feature with high numbers recently:

https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2d694cd21d.jpg

Deaths high at 66 as nearly half...31....were RDs.
Critical up 22 at 1,389.

More detail on December 21:

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...62d7bcb196.jpg
Plus other Mindanao 20, Bicol 13, MIMAROPA 20

High figures for NCR but adjusting for recent cases down to another260 or so. Region 4A about 140.

https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6bab7bbc82.jpg
https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...31d15540c1.jpg
Paranaque showing a much higher number than usual.

QC with a high number again:
Latest chart:

https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...767c428732.jpg


https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...aa8e01a019.jpg
All 4A provinces feature.

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1517a9378d.jpg
Headed again by Davao city and dominated by NCR cities with 7 in top 10. Baguio City and 2 other Benguet locations in top 20.

https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...31d5aa3910.jpg
Baguio City had been improving up to the start of this month.

Last, the latest NCR chart:


https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4c56182f5f.jpg
Rising new cases over the last 4 weeks or so.


Raffin Dec 23rd 2020 3:35 am

Re: NCR llockdown
 
Announced yesterday 1,196 new cases. Eight labs did not report. Nearly all recent cases from over 24k tests with a positivity of 4.6%. Tests coming along at just under 24k.

Top 5 locations:

https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...af9402018b.jpg
The latest national Reproductive estimate at 1.12.

Deaths at 27 with 7 RDs.
Critical at 1,374, down 15.

More detail on December 22 cases:

https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e25ef2e0e3.jpg
Other Mindanao 20

https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...21f607304c.jpg

https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...23e4c914c4.jpg

https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c50ca48798.jpg
Six entries from 3 provinces in N Luzon. Two cities in Misamis Oriental. QC and Davao City at the top.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/12/23/...a-disyembre-24

A temporary ban is not surprising as many other nations have done so. But those arriving from the UK before the ban are subject to 14 day quarantine even though they have had and presumably passed a swab test?
Welcome to the Philippines!
Seems to me the authorities here are wanting to look tough elsewhere as they well know new cases here will be on a significant rise after a Xmas season which looks nearly up to the usual level of activity, in spite of their exhortations.

Gazza-d Dec 23rd 2020 5:44 am

Re: NCR llockdown
 
Arrivals have always been subject to 14 days quarantine but the difference now I believe is that the full 14 days has to be done in the hotel. We were due to arrive on the 2nd January but we will now put it off, maybe until say the end of .March and hopefully get the vaccine beforehand.

Raffin Dec 23rd 2020 10:03 am

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Originally Posted by Gazza-d (Post 12949240)
Arrivals have always been subject to 14 days quarantine but the difference now I believe is that the full 14 days has to be done in the hotel....

https://www.philippineairlines.com/e...rrivingintheph

No....not according to this PAL advisory on procedure for all foreign national arrivals. You only go to a hotel to await your test result .That's not a real quarantine.

But Duque said all UK arrivals today must go to Clark for a real 14 day quarantine.

Gazza-d Dec 23rd 2020 10:19 am

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Originally Posted by Raffin (Post 12949335)
https://www.philippineairlines.com/e...rrivingintheph

No....not according to this PAL advisory on procedure for all foreign national arrivals. You only go to a hotel to await your test result .

Not correct, you stay in the hotel until you got your result then finish the 14 days at home.


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