|
Re: NCR llockdown
R. Thanks.
No I don't expect a problem but I will double check with the PNP which is only 5 minutes walk away. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,893 new cases bringing the official total now to nearly 428k. Labs not reporting 11. The DOH said that the day before there were 1,553 positives from nearly 28k tests. So a positivity rate of 5.6% . A recent percentage of at least 82. Tests coming along up at 33.4k.
Top locations: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...17df976a88.jpg Deaths at a high 79, although 18 were RDs. Critical at 1,382 More detail on November 27 cases: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...51ae5a318f.jpg Plus Cagayan 22, E Visayas 15, MIMAROPA 13 and BARMM 10 https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9d6284732d.jpg https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...69a67dfe61.jpg https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...993ab0a4c1.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e722b7019e.jpg Eight of the top 10 cities in the NCR. The latest NCR chart (ignore the trend line): https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8a52d82a05.jpg ...and for Region 4A: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...47a4afc9e8.jpg Levelling off seen in both charts, slight for the NCR and more pronounced for 4A. Possibly still some typhoon effects on infections but probably more due to festive season preparation effects. As has just been seen in the US with Thanksgiving people here may find it difficult to moderate their celebrations ,especially with their experiences over the past 9 months. Last month it was announced that Xmas parties are prohibited in GCQ areas like Manila (it's not clear about MGCQ areas such as 4A) So far there are no announcements on restrictions about different households mixing. I don't expect any. |
Re: NCR llockdown
The DOH announced yesterday over 2k new cases:
https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...61df337b7c.jpg Note the percentage of asymptomatic cases is only 7.4%. DOH daily figures are usually around 10%. US studies quote figures of up to 40% in the population. Like elsewhere they are not being found by testing. After a number of days with the date of testing stated as one day earlier the DOH now reverting to the same day as the announcement. Let's see if this continues and will show it was just an error. If so we can say that a low 71% of positives from nearly 24k tests were recent cases. Tests coming are at 24.7k. Top 5 locations: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e2e2d13649.jpg More detail tomorrow. Deaths at 40 with 8 RDs. Information courtesy of the Manila Bulletin. The only online news site to carry that information. The premier news sites ABS-CBN and GMA have very brief reports some days and yesterday was one of them. Rappler was consistently good but now seems to have given up. All news sites are shy of delving too much into the numbers given out by the DOH. Especially on the creeping up of the covid death rate here, and the 1k or so miss-classified recovery deaths. Yesterday was a mass recovery day, with 10,6k announced. Active cases 22,967, down from 24.2k a week ago. Critical 1,401. Up 19 on yesterday. More location detail on November 28 cases: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5fc5b4cd56.jpg Plus: MIMORPA 28, Other Mindanao 46, Cagayan 10 For NCR cities: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2aa6f182e5.jpg https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6b15680d7c.jpg https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...13d7e418ca.jpg https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9548428320.jpg Again a large number of cases from Davao followed by smaller numbers in four NCR cities. Then a wide provincial spread of places with less than 40 cases. Last week: Slightly more cases than the week before: 10,943 compared with 10,543. The R number just under the magic 1.0 at 0.99. For the NCR at 0,97. Both of these estimates too close to 1.0 to be complacent. It seems that despite all the restrictions over the last 9 months the outbreak here is not yet close to being under control. And as has been seen in other countries there is a good chance of the recent levelling of cases turning up into another wave. This time also affecting a number of areas outside of the NCR epicenter. Latest new cases chart by date of onset for the NCR (ignore the trend line): https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9509aae9a3.jpg For Region 4A: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...594ff568de.jpg Levelling pronounced for both regions. Davao City still on the rise: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c8955ee36d.jpg |
Re: NCR llockdown
HI.....cases they are increasing now.Well over 400,000 in total,but nothing on say,Iran,for example,who have close on 1,000,000...Can we believe the Iranian figures??...Could there be a Higher Toller in charge of official stats there....??
It begs the question...."Higher Toller...How Many!!" |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by jaygee68
(Post 12941228)
HI.....cases they are increasing now.Well over 400,000 in total,but nothing on say,Iran,for example,who have close on 1,000,000...Can we believe the Iranian figures??...Could there be a Higher Toller in charge of official stats there....??
It begs the question...."Higher Toller...How Many!!" Like many authoritarian regimes around the world they've likely greatly unreported the virus. China famously did at first then was forced to report only after it had spread abroad. from Wuhan .to the Philippines amongst other countries. Iran high death rate at 5%, Like here a low testing rate at 73k per million. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8f1ad4e3eb.jpg From the BBC https://www.bbc.com/news/world-51235105 Indications of under reporting are low testing and country-wide spread despite lockdowns and travel restrictions. Why are there hotpots here now in Mindanao? Excess death studies would show it eventually but these types of regimes do not encourage them. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,773 new cases with 11 labs not reporting. The DOH now back to the 29th when they report 959 positives out of 18.5k tests done, a 5.2% positive rate. The question is were positives found and tests done on the 30th? Yesterday it seems there were on the 29th. So all we can say is that at least 54% were recent. Tests coming along at 22.5k.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ea8abd1aa4.jpg More detail tomorrow. Deaths 19 with 6 of them RDs. 1,401 critical (unchanged). More locational detail for November 29: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0e4ea0810c.jpg Also MIMAROPA 36, E Visayas 26, Bicol 23 and BARMM 21. Recent case estimates: NCR 420 and Region 4A 320. NCR stays at GCQ for rest of the year. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...418edd148c.jpg https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...55f7b3201f.jpg https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...760a584694.jpg Four of the five Region 4A provinces again high up. But despite that the four in MGCQ (Batangas stays in GCQ) stay in that status for the rest of the year For Pampanga :see below: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...edca28bc45.jpg Note Angeles and San Fernando Cities in Pampanga. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1b58ddac9b.jpg Angeles City on an upward trend with large recent increase. Kalibo, transit city of 80k for Boracay. !60 cases and 72 of them last month. Deaths at 8. Nasugbu is another resort in Batangas. ​​​​​​⠀‹ |
Re: NCR llockdown
At least somebody appreciated my lame pun,Raffin..:lol:...However i do feel that my short lived career in stand up is over,
|
Re: NCR llockdown
Another 1,298 announced. But 15 labs not reporting. Only 77% recent at least. Positivity at 5.7%. from 17.6k tests. Tests in the pipeline low at 18.7k.
Top 5 locations were: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...afdc441642.jpg More detail tomorrow, Deaths at 27 with 9 of them RDs. One death now an active case. Critical down 12 to 1,389. Latest nation R number now over 1 and estimated at 1.02. Locations of November 30 cases: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e22d88b08c.jpg https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2712dcc4ac.jpg About 230 recent cases for NCR and 200 for 4A. For NCR cities: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...212f15df57.jpg https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6211292f1c.jpg Unusual to see a large number for Las Pinas. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...93c925ca34.jpg https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3f4bed0ede.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e9c8ccfa94.jpg Chart for the province of Negros Occidental on the up. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9c54808a77.jpg Bacolod, the capital, not showing increases indicating spread to other provincial cities and municipalities. Finally DOH figures for the pandemic here by month: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fd880b56a2.jpg Low testing in the early months leading to low case figures. Deaths following cases with a lag. So cases now only a few thousand less than they were back in July. After which economic re-opening brought much higher figures for 3 months. Could happen again over the next few months aided by public fatigue with restrictions, festive season, regional spread and lowered testing. On the plus side there is more knowledge about how to combat the virus in Philippine conditions and some improvements in treatment. Although some smaller regional hospitals may become too full and may not be able to implement them. I also wonder about the DOH seeming to be a touch complacent with vaccines on the horizon. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,438 new cases found from 22.5k tests., 11 labs did not report but results were only 66% recent. Testing volume coming at 25.4k.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7df257426b.jpg More detail tomorrow. Deaths at 18 with 6 RDs. Critical at 1,400 Up 11. Locations for December 1: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0e033b1ad6.jpg Plus Bicol 19, other Mindanao 26, MIMAROPA 15. For NCR recent cases about 239, 4A about 170. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...632b7df8d4.jpg Also Paranaque 12. Another showing for Las Pinas. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9f92e8c4a2.jpg Two N. Luzon areas leading. Region 4A provinces less prominent. No Cavite for a change. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...66e09db6c9.jpg NCR cities 5 out of top ten. Benguet 3 positions. ABS-CBN to their credit have produced and published this assessment of where the country is with covid now, Pity It won't reach the mainstream media. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...08a71d4edb.jpg Recoveries dominate..the Philippines has a young population, stronger immune systems, but long term effects are a concern and not yet fully understood. The line of deaths does not look significant, but we have a relatively high case fatality rate here .A high proportion of deaths due to many not being admitted to hospital for treatment: https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/134573...ospitals-duque https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b9a7315f9c.jpg Testing very erratic, weather events and disputes explain some of that. A downward trend lately. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...44177b69c5.jpg Testing can be done in different regions from the region of residence, but the extent of dominance of Manila testing surprised me. It is still the main epicenter but as half the country's population is elsewhere testing seems to be much too low in those presently less affected regions. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b3bd4af437.jpg The labs not where the positivity rates are highest either have small capacity or are just not able to be easily used? https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...12e889ac4d.jpg Two regions..Cagayan Valley and Davao in the danger zone of ICU beds and vacancies. Many regions with small numbers of beds. So while cases for the whole country have been on a welcome downward trend flareups in some regions, which have too low testing given their higher positivity and poor health facilities, are a worry. The virus is not beaten in the NCR either, it is still the epicenter and capable of spikes or a second wave. For more read the whole article: https://news.abs-cbn.com/spotlight/1...ions-need-help |
Re: NCR llockdown
New cases announced only 1,061, but 13 labs did not report. All seem to be recent from 24.4k tests conducted on individuals.
Top 5 locations were: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7d83b60e8d.jpg Deaths at 10 with 1,382 critical, down 18 on the day before. Locations on December 2: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...db31245649.jpg Plus NIMAROPA 20, Bicol and BARMM 15, E Visayas 10 Recent case estimates: NCR about 210, 4A about 120. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d84acabde7.jpg Plus Pasay 10 https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1c68412ebd.jpg https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...94628682ad.jpg Davao City well in the lead and 10 NCR cities in the top 20. Benguet with 3 places and Pampanga with 2.. No Calabarzon cities, although Laguna and Rizal feature in the top provinces. Internationally: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9c1641e98a.jpg The Philippines may well soon be caught by Pakistan and Canada. Indonesia doing badly: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1b123dedd2.jpg https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...aab9c98b2e.jpg Hong Kong on its third wave: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6296e3d98d.jpg |
Re: NCR llockdown
The DOH reported the lowest number of new cases yesterday since July 14 at 934. Although 11 labs not reporting may have affected that. They also report that testing found 1,197 positives out of 25.7k tests conducted. Positivity at 4.7%. Why then they only announce 1934 cases is not explained. Tests coming along are on a slightly higher 30.9k individuals.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6f554ab912.jpg Deaths at a high 63 with again RDs, this time 14. Critical up 9 at 1,391. More detail on cases of December 3: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...74e17c4330.jpg Plus Cagayan 14, Illocos 9 One third of cases from NCR. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b4e0b1128b.jpg Plus Navotas and Muntinlupa 11, Taguig 10. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...97afac662d.jpg No Laguna. Pampanga featuring in 2nd place from 5th the day before. Bataan has seen a consistent decline in cases recently. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e016587b3c.jpg Twelve NCR cities in top 20. A first appearance for Oriental Mindoro. Two cities in Pampanga. Angeles City with a very moderate number of cases after much higher reports recently. |
Re: NCR llockdown
A much higher 1,733 cases announced yesterday, even with 15 labs not reporting. Recent cases 66% from 1,142 positives out of 24.8k tested. Tests on the way at 28.9k.
The top 5 areas were: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...314aab15ef.jpg Davao City with a large haul. More locational detail tomorrow. Deaths at 17 with 3 RDs. Critical at 1,378, down by 13. More detail on the low number of cases for December 4: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d47d8bc1e9.jpg Plus Bicol 14, other Mindanao 20. NCR 25% of total cases, Region 4A 17%. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4ec28d7b37.jpg https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7fb4b17375.jpg Two CAR provinces make an appearance. Laguna top, but remember it was not in the top 10 table for December 3. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...acd0f684c8.jpg As usual highly populated QC with a large number, but the far less populated Baguio City second. NCR cities in 5 of the top 10 places. Make of this what you will. A covid data website shows the Philippines with the same cases fatality rate as that of the USA. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...49af69dd02.jpg World rate estimates vary between 2 and 2.5%. For more countries look at https://covid19stats.ph/stats/by-country/cfr |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,768 new cases with 12 labs not reporting. Recent were 62% from 23.9k tests. Positivity 4.6%. Tests on the way 29.8k. Testing seems to be settling at daily figures between 20k and 30k despite the big increase in the number of labs. As positivity only averages just under 5% nationally more testing should be happening in some regions.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...cddc2f5b71.jpg Deaths at 29 with 10 RDs. Recoveries from past months wrongly tagged and really deaths announced just about every day lately. Mass recovery total today 9.1k. Active cases down a little over 300 from a week ago. Critical 1,381, up 3. More detail on cases from December 5: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...69171d12d3.jpg Plus 42 other Mindanao, MIMAROPA 21, Bicol 16. Estimates for recent cases 300 NCR and 190 4A. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d4ba571589.jpg Plus Pasay and S Juan 14, Paranaque 12. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fa6b855a1d.jpg Davao del Sur again top and again provinces in the north featuring strongly as are all Calabarzon provinces except Batangas. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b95bc8c4e8.jpg Towns in Benguet, Cagayan and Isabella in the top half. Eleven NCR cities featuring. Last week: Very slight reduction in cases: 10,941 down to 10,283. But the latest NCR Reproduction estimate is now above 1 at 1.12. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e8ae3082ff.jpg New cases per million. As the commentator says the Philippines is seemingly now doing much better than its neighbours, but if you look at their recent tracks (and the latest surges in European countries) you will see sharp trend reversals. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday the DOH announced another 1,574 infections but with 10 or 11 labs not reporting. Conflicting detail but yesterday GMA, who often give the most detail, did not report. Positives were 758 out of 17.6k tests so positivity 4.3%. Recent cases only 48%. Tests on the way 23.5k.
Top 5: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...502580d908.jpg Pasig City rarely in top 5. Deaths at 18 with 5 RDs. Critical were probably 1,399 (conflicting data). https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f3ffbdd3ca.jpg Plus other Mindanao 37, Ilocos 24, Bicol 19 Estimates of recent cases: NCR 330 and 4A 230. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...871fca5d7c.jpg https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...79f6d66b85.jpg QC has more than 1.5 times the population of Manila, hence its usually much higher numbers. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b28a1fbd91.jpg Benguet with a high number. All Calabarzon provinces except Quezon featuring. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...cd7417126f.jpg Three Benguet locations feature. Davao again with a large number. Baguio City cases coming out at 13.5% positive lately. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ad081762c2.jpg Tuguegarao City in Cagayan Valley, 13th in the table, was affected badly by Ulysses. Only a population of 130k but 586 cases to date, 0.5%, a much greater percentage than for other towns in the province of 3.7m. people. |
Re: NCR llockdown
There were 1,400 new cases announced yesterday. Nine labs not reporting. 879 out of 21.6k tests so 4.1% positive. Recent cases were only 63%. of the total.
Tests coming along 25.6k. Top 5 areas: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e8910b3f52.jpg Baguio and La Trinidad lead. Deaths at a high 98 with 43 of them RDs. Only one major source giving this latter piece of information online. Case fatality rate creeps up again, now 1.96%. Critical 1,393, down 6. More detail on case location tomorrow. Details of case locations for December 7: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f8a51017d2.jpg Plus BARMM 10, C Visayas 9, Bicol 5. Recent cases more like 200 NCR and 140 for region 4A. For the NCR: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b913628d44.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6bfa2a4f62.jpg https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a51fa99c65.jpg All 4A provinces featuring except Quezon. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f4b8a9a1b7.jpg Two locations in Benguet and two in Pampanga. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c652b6786c.jpg Davao City new cases continue to increase. NCR cities 4 out of top 5. This is how the NCR looks now: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...53c1b7c947.jpg New cases flattening....up. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5f21565ee6.jpg Region 4A bars also showing some levelling off. |
| All times are GMT -12. The time now is 11:53 am. |
Powered by vBulletin: ©2000 - 2026, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.