Cheery stuff this moring folks.

http://www.arabianbusiness.com/50364...iran-war?ln=en


What would a war with Iran mean for us here in the UAE and Gulf in general?
Would rents finally fall, property apocalypse, mass exodus etc?
In 91 the place emptied, would it happen again or are people more used to America bombing the hell out of the world now? Different circumstances I know but still....

If the west started bombing would you leave, would your friends leave, would your company send you home? Or would it be business as normal
Personally I'm not sure but if it looked bad I'd send the wife back to the UK but I'd stay, my business would probably get a big boost so it would be worth hanging on in there.

Discuss

I would stay, stock up on the essentials (like booze and fags) tins, pasta, toiletries, cat food and litter stuff.

Keep my head down and ride it out.

I remember years ago there was a documentary (drama) re nuclear bombing in the UK and my Dad started removing tins etc from the kitchen cupboard and hidding in the garage, he had quite a wee stockpile going there until my mum got pisssssed off and took them all back...that was the end of the panic.....

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...cle2789056.ece

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main...2/wgulf202.xml

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisf...204986,00.html

A bit of background for you all.

Bahrain would not be a place to hang around, what with the US 5th Fleet being here and a majority Shi'a population whose first loyalties are to their religious leaders in Iran.

So, erm, I'll be on my way sharpish - though, of course, let's hope it doesn't get to that!

If the war with Iraq did not overspill to the UAE borders, why would one expect a war with Iran to do so?

In anycase, a war would have to happen before the next election. The US population is so weary of the war in Iraq that I feel it is more likely that the next govmt will withdraw from Iraq and leave Iran well alone.

[QUOTE=shakh your bootie;5526772]If the war with Iraq did not overspill to the UAE borders, why would one expect a war with Iran to do so?
QUOTE]
i dont think it will, but im interested in whether people would bail out because of any perceived (or real) threat.

granted some nutter wrapped in explosives is a possibility but then again thats a possibility every day in Dubai

I have no idea what we would do until it would actually happen to be honest...

None the less both instances led to fairly significant numbers of repatriation (both short and long term). Whilst personally I would still feel relatively secure in the UAE even if the war did occur I would still be happier with my family being out of the region. The previous two instances would indicate I am not alone in that thinking.

I think there are many different potential outcomes - too early to say.

The only reason that would force people out is if there is a real threat of loss of life in the UAE directly. If everything is flying over head at 35,000 feet and nothing is coming our way and there has been no direct aggressive threat from Iran then I think there would be some, but not wholesale repatriation / evacuation going. If it widens quickly into a Sunni vs Sh'ia conflict as well as a West vs Iran then that is a whole different game...

The first missile that deliberately lands in UAE territory and there will be wholescale evacuation, both bodily and otherwise...

personally i think there's more chance of getting a friendly fire incident of some missle happy pilot thinking that's a desert so it must be iran!

I'd send my boy out of the region but probably stay unless it looked like the UAE was a target.

I really don't understand why Iran seems so intent on pissing off the US and the West. It's like the dumb kid in school who always got the shit kicked out of him because he went around taunting bigger kids.

Oh well we'll just have to wait and see what happens I suppose. The UK isn't much safer to be honest and would be a prime target of suicide bombers from our lovely home grown and integrated muslim population should we get involved with another glorious middle eastern war.

N.

it might have something to do with history.

Which side is taunted and which has historically done the taunting isn't quite as clear-cut as you make out...

or an 'accident' like flight IA655
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran_Air_Flight_655

so iran are doing it to p!ss off the west?

as for your schoolground analogy... no it's like having the bigger kids bully you, and when you complain to the teachers that it's unfair and it shouldn't be happening... the head of school (being one of the bullies parents) instead of doing something about it punishes you for it.

why trust any government with anything?

I don't doubt it is, but it seems Iran wants to provoke a fight with a known warmonger. Their government repeatedly calls for war and death to USA and it's allies. Do they really think they can win - There's already enough US firepower in the Gulf to take out the entire Iranian airforce and most of the command and control structure overnight.

N.

So are you inclined to believe trained US Naval personnel are quite comfortable deliberately attacking confirmed civillian airliners in times of war?

I thinkthe US government handled the situation very poorly and didn't even apologise (which is quite frankly disgusting) but I don't think for a second that it was not a tragic accident...considering they even tried to contact the flight but got no reply and the fact that the plane took off from a base used by military craft they did what they thought was best at the time.

Of course if you would rather believe the accounts of a government that denies the holocaust happens and promotes the stoning of women and hanging of homosexuals that's up to you.

The first casualty of war is always the truth.

N.