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-   -   Lockdown (https://britishexpats.com/forum/middle-east-60/lockdown-931766/)

Millhouse Apr 15th 2020 5:27 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by co durham boy (Post 12839280)
Nail on the head , it's rife in mass accommodation . The focus will shift quickly to this area now .

I imagine that there are sick buildings all over the place.

csdf Apr 15th 2020 5:33 pm

Re: Lockdown
 
I don't think the buildings themselves are the problem, per se (i.e. I don't think that the virus spreads through the a/c, for instance), it's the multiple occupancy. The virus is so, er, virulent, that once a member of a household gets it, it's extremely hard to avoid everyone in the house getting it. That's manageable in units of 2-5, but not in units of 10+. I wonder what this means for UAE rules about multiple occupancy: if they indeed find that this is a major cause of infection spread, they won't be able to go back to normal until they solve it somehow.

Millhouse Apr 15th 2020 5:41 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by csdf (Post 12839293)
I don't think the buildings themselves are the problem, per se (i.e. I don't think that the virus spreads through the a/c, for instance), it's the multiple occupancy. The virus is so, er, virulent, that once a member of a household gets it, it's extremely hard to avoid everyone in the house getting it. That's manageable in units of 2-5, but not in units of 10+. I wonder what this means for UAE rules about multiple occupancy: if they indeed find that this is a major cause of infection spread, they won't be able to go back to normal until they solve it somehow.

Thanks - I’m more referring to ones with common areas, lifts, lift buttons, shared kitchens, shared bathrooms etc. We have it all. Quite possible a whole building in al quoz housing your security guys could be sick.

csdf Apr 15th 2020 5:50 pm

Re: Lockdown
 
Singapore, for instance, also has large, high density buildings but seems to be managing so clearly there are ways to make it work.

scrubbedexpat141 Apr 15th 2020 6:32 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12839296)
Thanks - I’m more referring to ones with common areas, lifts, lift buttons, shared kitchens, shared bathrooms etc. We have it all. Quite possible a whole building in al quoz housing your security guys could be sick.

Our lifts are for 4 people max now and there are taped out boxes with arrows and a sign instructing you to face the wall. :huh:

Good thing is, I know our neighbours have been staying home because their **** of a three year old does NOT stop screaming or crying. It used to just be daytime and evenings, but now it's 24 hours.

Millhouse Apr 15th 2020 7:46 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12839305)
Our lifts are for 4 people max now and there are taped out boxes with arrows and a sign instructing you to face the wall. :huh:

Good thing is, I know our neighbours have been staying home because their **** of a three year old does NOT stop screaming or crying. It used to just be daytime and evenings, but now it's 24 hours.

I know my neighbours have stayed at home the whole time as I can hear their ****ing parties and weekly prayer groups.

scrubbedexpat141 Apr 15th 2020 10:00 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12839321)
I know my neighbours have stayed at home the whole time as I can hear their ****ing parties and weekly prayer groups.

Why are people such ignorant bumheads? I live my life not wanting to negatively impact on my neighbours and surrounding people. Everyone should be more like me.

weasel decentral Apr 15th 2020 10:05 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12838511)
9yrs a week or so ago. Mental how time flies. I'm just Linkedin famous rather than good :thumbup:

Good luck, I'm sure you'll come out of it ok whatever way it goes. 9 years in recruitment is impressive regardless of location, but time in the ME is like dog years so it's like 63 years in recruitment in the UK

Standanista Apr 16th 2020 12:54 am

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by co durham boy (Post 12839280)
Nail on the head , it's rife in mass accommodation . The focus will shift quickly to this area now .

Yep. Qatar banned taxi pick ups in the Doha industrial area back on March 12th and has had the entire place locked down for weeks as a single quarantine zone; supplies and medical staff go in, population not allowed out.

csdf Apr 16th 2020 5:38 pm

Re: Lockdown
 
And last night SIngapore announced a massive leap in cases because they began testing foreign workers in shared accommodation.

Millhouse Apr 16th 2020 7:30 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by csdf (Post 12839888)
And last night SIngapore announced a massive leap in cases because they began testing foreign workers in shared accommodation.

I have a feeling Dubai has more workers in camps than Singapore.

Ignoring the labour camps, there is also a pile of people all over Dubai that are 6-8 in a partitioned flat. All over the marina, JLT, Barsha, Tecom - places you wouldn’t always expect. Some of the shared villas in Satwa are pretty horrific.

csdf Apr 17th 2020 1:01 am

Re: Lockdown
 
Oh for sure, I think I read that Singapore had 300,000 workers in shared accommodation. Dubai must have way more.

DXBtoDOH Apr 17th 2020 2:36 am

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12839920)
I have a feeling Dubai has more workers in camps than Singapore.

Ignoring the labour camps, there is also a pile of people all over Dubai that are 6-8 in a partitioned flat. All over the marina, JLT, Barsha, Tecom - places you wouldn’t always expect. Some of the shared villas in Satwa are pretty horrific.

Had friends in a fancy villa in Umm Suqeim, prime location within 10 minutes' walk from the beaches. Across the street was an older single story villa that was clearly partitioned housing of some kind. Always had 20 or so Corollas parked outside it. I once passed it when someone came out of the front gates and you could see it opened into a makeshift tunnel divided by drapes. Quite a few older villas were subdivided into group housing or staff housing. I remember my friends talking about another property further up their street being used as a staff housing for a few months before someone complained and the municipality kicked them out. But somehow this villa across from them remained undetected, suggesting an influential Emirati landlord.

thebadger Apr 17th 2020 4:25 am

Re: Lockdown
 
In my time in Ruwais, I befriended one of the Nepali tea boys - Before I left I gave him my old phone, and he has been my best friend ever since.

Been chatting to him on facebook, asking him how it is going for him, off work, unpaid and in a labour camp - from what he is describing - I would genuinely rather have a 3 month stint in prison here in the UK than being 'free' and what they are having to endure. That perhaps is even true during normal times tbf, but definitely now.

carcajou Apr 17th 2020 1:02 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by DXBtoDOH (Post 12840079)
Had friends in a fancy villa in Umm Suqeim, prime location within 10 minutes' walk from the beaches. Across the street was an older single story villa that was clearly partitioned housing of some kind. Always had 20 or so Corollas parked outside it. I once passed it when someone came out of the front gates and you could see it opened into a makeshift tunnel divided by drapes. Quite a few older villas were subdivided into group housing or staff housing. I remember my friends talking about another property further up their street being used as a staff housing for a few months before someone complained and the municipality kicked them out. But somehow this villa across from them remained undetected, suggesting an influential Emirati landlord.

Yes, I knew the same in Dubai, but much more discreet - you couldn't tell from the outside. It had basically been converted into a hostel. Influential tenant + influential landlord.

martinbkk Apr 17th 2020 4:38 pm

Re: Lockdown
 
That's pretty much standard accommodation for many lower paid employees across a lot of the ME region I think. Filipinos in Qatar typically share one large three or 4 bedroom flat between 8-12 people. Not uncommon for some to share bedspace, dayshift/nightshift changeover. A lot of larger older villas are divided into separate small apartments which are then each shared by 3-5 people. Apparently illegal but seemingly zero enforcement until someone needs it.

Millhouse Apr 17th 2020 4:39 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by carcajou (Post 12840391)
Yes, I knew the same in Dubai, but much more discreet - you couldn't tell from the outside. It had basically been converted into a hostel. Influential tenant + influential landlord.

almost all the old villas on the road from city walk to satwa are high density labour accommodation. I’ve been in a couple and it’s easy to find six+ to a room. 10 Filipinos in a room in satwa is not uncommon. Remember that when you’re considering employing a live out housemaid/ cleaner.

co durham boy Apr 17th 2020 6:04 pm

Re: Lockdown
 
Mass testing areas now being put together at Expo and Dubai Parks & Resorts . Big focus now for labour .

Millhouse Apr 17th 2020 6:52 pm

Re: Lockdown
 
Anyone seen the videos coming out of Naïf overnight?

co durham boy Apr 17th 2020 8:05 pm

Re: Lockdown
 
Ive heard some nasty rumours for that part of town .

carcajou Apr 18th 2020 2:03 am

Re: Lockdown
 
I think about 50% of the UAE population are NRIs, so you can extrapolate from that as you will how many are in migrant accommodation.

DXBtoDOH Apr 18th 2020 2:22 am

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12840425)
Anyone seen the videos coming out of Naïf overnight?

No. Links please. Youtube?

Millhouse Apr 18th 2020 2:53 am

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by DXBtoDOH (Post 12840557)
No. Links please. Youtube?

I don’t have them. 🙂

DXBtoDOH Apr 18th 2020 3:18 am

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12840572)
I don’t have them. 🙂

Let me guess, ambulances everywhere?

FriendlyExpat Apr 18th 2020 3:41 am

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Miss Ann Thrope (Post 12837884)
It's a good article thanks and confirms that the case for social controls is irrefutable. As it says, far more cogently than I could manage (my emphasis):

"Nevertheless, the gap between what experts projected a few weeks ago and what they are projecting now is absolutely astounding, and it is primarily a reflection of just how much has been done, and how quickly, to defend against and respond to the coronavirus. In many cases, we have achieved so much more than modelers even imagined possible that the range of outcomes we are now looking at did not even appear at the very low end of initial forecasts. The models weren’t “wrong,” exactly, they seemingly just underestimated how widespread, thorough, and steadily maintained social-distancing measures could be."

I'm not going to post on this again until there is a societal consensus, but wanted to point out the following:
  • WHO in March - death rate estimated @ 6%,
  • Imperial College last week of March - death rate estimated @ less than 1%
  • University of Bonn - first week in April - death rate estimated @ 0.37% based on first serology study (more reliable)
  • Stanford University - third week in April - death rate estimated @ as low as 0.1%, based on second serology test (most reliable)
I'm sure we can all spot the trend and in time I believe current events will be seen as an overreaction of historic proportions. But meanwhile, let's continue to burn the world..

:popcorn:

Millhouse Apr 18th 2020 5:30 am

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by FriendlyExpat (Post 12840603)
I'm not going to post on this again until there is a societal consensus, but wanted to point out the following:
  • WHO in March - death rate estimated @ 6%,
  • Imperial College last week of March - death rate estimated @ less than 1%
  • University of Bonn - first week in April - death rate estimated @ 0.37% based on first serology study (more reliable)
  • Stanford University - third week in April - death rate estimated @ as low as 0.1%, based on second serology test (most reliable)
I'm sure we can all spot the trend and in time I believe current events will be seen as an overreaction of historic proportions. But meanwhile, let's continue to burn the world..

:popcorn:

fear rate is 89pct tho

FriendlyExpat Apr 18th 2020 9:55 am

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12840657)
fear rate is 89pct tho

I'm not sure whether to laugh ... or cry

scrubbedexpat141 Apr 18th 2020 5:30 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12840414)
almost all the old villas on the road from city walk to satwa are high density labour accommodation. I’ve been in a couple and it’s easy to find six+ to a room. 10 Filipinos in a room in satwa is not uncommon. Remember that when you’re considering employing a live out housemaid/ cleaner.

Yeah, every administrator I've ever worked with here has been in shared accommodation in Deira (etc) paying for bed space, not a room.


Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12840425)
Anyone seen the videos coming out of Naïf overnight?

Nope, what they showing?


Originally Posted by FriendlyExpat (Post 12840603)
I'm sure we can all spot the trend and in time I believe current events will be seen as an overreaction of historic proportions. But meanwhile, let's continue to burn the world..

Imagine if the governments did nothing? It's one of those situations where they can't and won't win. I'd like to see the world open up again ASAP so we can get back to 'normal' but I'd also rather not have this germ.

Millhouse Apr 18th 2020 5:53 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12840838)
Yeah, every administrator I've ever worked with here has been in shared accommodation in Deira (etc) paying for bed space, not a room.

As is almost every shopping assistant, waitress, delivery driver, taxi driver, cook, cleaner, receptionist, cashier etc. It's a difficult job to resolve. The labour accommodation of some of the cashiers is horrific.

Even the top-tier places have its staff in mass accommodation in Al Quoz. While the one I'm thinking of is actually very nice and clean, and density is low (2 to a room), they all eat together in the canteen and share shower blocks.

scrubbedexpat141 Apr 18th 2020 5:56 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12840840)
As is almost every shopping assistant, waitress, delivery driver, taxi driver, cook, cleaner, receptionist, cashier etc. It's a difficult job to resolve. The labour accommodation of some of the cashiers is horrific.

Even the top-tier places have its staff in mass accommodation in Al Quoz. While the one I'm thinking of is actually very nice and clean, and density is low (2 to a room), they all eat together in the canteen and share shower blocks.

I'm surprised it's not made international press to be honest. Would expect Channel 4 to have a documentary on it already.

Millhouse Apr 18th 2020 6:02 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12840841)
I'm surprised it's not made international press to be honest. Would expect Channel 4 to have a documentary on it already.

In fairness though, despite the structure problems, I think the government are doing a great job in clearing all this up. Organized, efficient and seemingly in control. Unlike pretty much anywhere else. But we really need to get back to work.


scrubbedexpat141 Apr 18th 2020 6:08 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12840843)
In fairness though, despite the structure problems, I think the government are doing a great job in clearing all this up. Organized, efficient and seemingly in control. Unlike pretty much anywhere else. But we really need to get back to work.

Seen the testing stats? The UAE appears to be a world leader.

The shift in permits being one every 3 days now will help too. Looking out the window at the weekend it was far busier than it has been in recent weeks. People have been locked down for a while now - we must be 3ish weeks? People start to get restless. I know the people above me had a party at the weekend (I say party, I could hear more than just a few voices on the balcony).

csdf Apr 18th 2020 6:10 pm

Re: Lockdown
 
https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5edab20810.png
Updated piccies. Same data in both charts, just the right hand one uses a log scale.
In terms of doubling rates, US still numbah one. Plucky UK getting close though. For reference, in the UAE the doubling rate is roughly every 7.5 days but there's not really enough deaths (mash'allah) to have proper stats.

Millhouse Apr 18th 2020 6:14 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12840846)
Seen the testing stats? The UAE appears to be a world leader.

The shift in permits being one every 3 days now will help too. Looking out the window at the weekend it was far busier than it has been in recent weeks. People have been locked down for a while now - we must be 3ish weeks? People start to get restless. I know the people above me had a party at the weekend (I say party, I could hear more than just a few voices on the balcony).

I've been at home since 12th March as I couldn't make the representation of no health problems to go to the office (I had a cold so wasn't allowed in). At least three of our neighbours had parties this weekend given the music, voices and BBQ smells in the gardens.

scrubbedexpat141 Apr 18th 2020 6:36 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12840851)
I've been at home since 12th March as I couldn't make the representation of no health problems to go to the office (I had a cold so wasn't allowed in). At least three of our neighbours had parties this weekend given the music, voices and BBQ smells in the gardens.

Just looked at my calendar, we were told on the 15th March we could work from home. The next week we had freedom to exercise and we went out every morning I think, or at least most mornings. Then that was canned and it was confinement. I think I did almost two weeks before I went out again, have only been out twice since then as well, with permits those times.

I can dig it, I'm a lazy bastard and normally have to find reasons not to see other people or go places. Now I don't.

co durham boy Apr 18th 2020 8:28 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12840859)
Just looked at my calendar, we were told on the 15th March we could work from home. The next week we had freedom to exercise and we went out every morning I think, or at least most mornings. Then that was canned and it was confinement. I think I did almost two weeks before I went out again, have only been out twice since then as well, with permits those times.

I can dig it, I'm a lazy bastard and normally have to find reasons not to see other people or go places. Now I don't.

Tee times are booked solid for the next two weekends up in RAK

scrubbedexpat141 Apr 18th 2020 8:44 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by co durham boy (Post 12840872)
Tee times are booked solid for the next two weekends up in RAK

Are people just chancing it without a permit then?

co durham boy Apr 18th 2020 8:46 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12840876)
Are people just chancing it without a permit then?

Yes , i know fellas playing 3 times per week

scrubbedexpat141 Apr 18th 2020 8:58 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by co durham boy (Post 12840878)
Yes , i know fellas playing 3 times per week

Mental.

That being said, I miss it. If you were sent out in 2balls either walking or separate buggies I don't see any issues with golf really. It would be a good way to get a lot of people moving again. I'm sure there are other similar opportunities with other sports too.

co durham boy Apr 18th 2020 9:50 pm

Re: Lockdown
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12840884)
Mental.

That being said, I miss it. If you were sent out in 2balls either walking or separate buggies I don't see any issues with golf really. It would be a good way to get a lot of people moving again. I'm sure there are other similar opportunities with other sports too.

Agreed mate , not being able to run or cycle is killing me but you've got to adapt and do the right thing . There's two ways this will go at the weekend and that's a full shut down or a slight relaxation due to movement during Ramadan.

One things for sure, business needs to get moving again and quickly .


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