Cairo
#16
Re: Cairo
To second Weasel's view a bit...
My sense is that the government are placing a lot of hope on the IMF deal in Feb. They believe that it will restore confidence and everything will be back to normal.
Of course, the IMF are coming for two weeks, starting end of Jan. In those two weeks, they will screw the Egyptians Thailand style and force a number of reforms, tariff adjustments, tax increases, subsidy removals etc. I would be very surprised if they realize what is coming their way.
The Government has recently announced a number of projects in the media (including mine at $2.5bn) with all reports saying starting immediately etc. This simply cannot be the case as the money does not exist, and the government is unable to pass decisions to launch projects. Combine all this with an unknown outcome to the IMF deal and you have an interesting political situation over the next three months.
Anyway - good luck. None of the above is reason not to go, but it's reason to keep your peepers open.
My sense is that the government are placing a lot of hope on the IMF deal in Feb. They believe that it will restore confidence and everything will be back to normal.
Of course, the IMF are coming for two weeks, starting end of Jan. In those two weeks, they will screw the Egyptians Thailand style and force a number of reforms, tariff adjustments, tax increases, subsidy removals etc. I would be very surprised if they realize what is coming their way.
The Government has recently announced a number of projects in the media (including mine at $2.5bn) with all reports saying starting immediately etc. This simply cannot be the case as the money does not exist, and the government is unable to pass decisions to launch projects. Combine all this with an unknown outcome to the IMF deal and you have an interesting political situation over the next three months.
Anyway - good luck. None of the above is reason not to go, but it's reason to keep your peepers open.
#17
Re: Cairo
To second Weasel's view a bit...
My sense is that the government are placing a lot of hope on the IMF deal in Feb. They believe that it will restore confidence and everything will be back to normal.
Of course, the IMF are coming for two weeks, starting end of Jan. In those two weeks, they will screw the Egyptians Thailand style and force a number of reforms, tariff adjustments, tax increases, subsidy removals etc. I would be very surprised if they realize what is coming their way.
The Government has recently announced a number of projects in the media (including mine at $2.5bn) with all reports saying starting immediately etc. This simply cannot be the case as the money does not exist, and the government is unable to pass decisions to launch projects. Combine all this with an unknown outcome to the IMF deal and you have an interesting political situation over the next three months.
Anyway - good luck. None of the above is reason not to go, but it's reason to keep your peepers open.
My sense is that the government are placing a lot of hope on the IMF deal in Feb. They believe that it will restore confidence and everything will be back to normal.
Of course, the IMF are coming for two weeks, starting end of Jan. In those two weeks, they will screw the Egyptians Thailand style and force a number of reforms, tariff adjustments, tax increases, subsidy removals etc. I would be very surprised if they realize what is coming their way.
The Government has recently announced a number of projects in the media (including mine at $2.5bn) with all reports saying starting immediately etc. This simply cannot be the case as the money does not exist, and the government is unable to pass decisions to launch projects. Combine all this with an unknown outcome to the IMF deal and you have an interesting political situation over the next three months.
Anyway - good luck. None of the above is reason not to go, but it's reason to keep your peepers open.
A few large contracts were signed in local currency recently which I assume is now a major hammering for all involved, so they might not get off the ground.
Also the fuel subsidy they have tried to remove before but backed off after a few hours but it will come back again, there is even a subsidy on bread at the moment!
Anyhow this makes it all the cheaper for the marauding foreigner. Get your raping and pillaging hat on.
#18
Re: Cairo
That's been there years... The finished bread is cheaper than the materials used to make it... so guess what the cows eat Subsidies always result in the misuse of materials.
The cheap gas they so desperately need locally... used to make fertilizer that is sold for export. Makes the few rich while screwing the masses
The cheap gas they so desperately need locally... used to make fertilizer that is sold for export. Makes the few rich while screwing the masses
#19
Re: Cairo
So its lose-lose. I honestly think by the end of the year the whole country will just fall to pieces.