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Stupid to the Last Drop

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Stupid to the Last Drop

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Old Jun 26th 2008 | 3:19 am
  #16  
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Originally Posted by Novocastrian
Many think it is, though.

I agree with jings that the rhetoric is a bit over the top, but would add that in terms of the very useful metric Energy Return on Energy Invested (ERoEI), the oils sands are a ridiculous waste of resources.

Link added: www.EROIE.com
Link doesn't work for me, Novo. But I agree, the final product of the oil sands is synthetic crude, which takes about half a barrel of oil equivalent and two barrels of water to produce one barrel of synthetic crude. Ridiculously inefficient, but if there's a market for it willing to pay, then it will be produced.

That's why there is talk of building a nuclear power plant up there to produce the steam that's needed. But even if that happens, it's going to be 10 years away.
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 3:26 am
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Originally Posted by Jingsamichty
How much would energy costs have to go up before your consumption patterns and your lifestyle were seriously altered? What if gasoline prices here in Canada were the same as the UK at $2.60 per litre, or if domestic gas and electricity prices doubled?

What would it take to make you...

Move to a smaller house.
Get rid of a vehicle(s).
Only take local holidays.

etc. etc.
By today's standards we already live in a relatively small home so a move wouldn't gain us much. We have replaced all of our windows for more up to date ones, replaced the furnace last year with a 94% efficient one. About the only thing left we could do is have the siding taken off the house, have foam board insulation applied and the siding replaced.

We could get rid of one vehicle but it's not driven much anyway so minor gain there. Bought a hybrid in 2006.

We normally don't take big holidays the recent Hawaii trip was our first trip of any significance since 1999.
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 3:33 am
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Originally Posted by Novocastrian
Somebody's telling porkies.
Surely not!!!!!!!

The Alberta converters generate a large and growing amount of petroleum coke. Some is used as a fuel source but most is "stockpiled for future use".

Digging a sodding great hole in the ground, filling it with waste and then covering it over is, to my mind, a fairly loose interpretation of the word "stockpiling".
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 3:33 am
  #19  
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Originally Posted by Jingsamichty;
Link doesn't work for me, Novo. But I agree, the final product of the oil sands is synthetic crude, which takes about half a barrel of oil equivalent and two barrels of water to produce one barrel of synthetic crude. Ridiculously inefficient, but if there's a market for it willing to pay, then it will be produced.

That's why there is talk of building a nuclear power plant up there to produce the steam that's needed. But even if that happens, it's going to be 10 years away.
My bad. http://www.eroei.com/
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 3:40 am
  #20  
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Let me throw a bit more fuel on the fire (sorry).

Short term: The fact that the price of crude is denominated in US $ and that said $ is down the tubes against a basket of other currencies is more or less being ignored in the discussion of current oil prices.
A favourite conspiracy theory around a couple of years ago was that it was Iraq's "threat" to price its crude exports in euro which prompted Cheney et al. to invade and overthrow SH.

Longer term: I know the convoluted history of all this (NEP and all), but why, oh why can a provincial government make decisions like the irresponsible exploitation of the oil sands without input from the ROC?

Last edited by Novocastrian; Jun 26th 2008 at 3:48 am.
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 3:49 am
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Originally Posted by Novocastrian
Longer term: I know the convoluted history of all this (NEP and all), but why, oh why can a provincial government make decisions like the irresponsible exploitation of the oil sands without input from the ROC?
I feeling particularly dumb this a.m.

What is ROC?
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 3:54 am
  #22  
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Originally Posted by Steve_P;
I feeling particularly dumb this a.m.

What is ROC?
Oh, sorry. Rest of Canada. I've probably misused it, its normal meaning is Canada minus Quebec.
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 3:55 am
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Originally Posted by Steve_P
I feeling particularly dumb this a.m.

What is ROC?
Rest of the country? Guessing here.
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 3:55 am
  #24  
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Originally Posted by iaink
Wasnt he also saying that OPEC output was meeting current demand, and that increasing output was pointless lipservice.

Seems to me the current "high" cost of oil is due to speculation thats based on political instability in the oil producing regions, rather than true supply and demand market forces. Could be that bubble will burst and prices will come down again ...
I suspect there is a lot of truth in this. I don't think it is a coincidence that the recent spike in oil prices has happened at the same time as the sub-prime mortgage crisis. Investment funds taken out of the mortgage market have to go somewhere and a lot has ended up in commodities. It is basic economics that the price of a good will rise until it uses up all the money that is available to spend on it.

We are told that the liquidity crunch will take 2-3 years to work its way through the world's financial markets so I can see oil prices remaining artificially high for some time to come, but they will eventually return to a price that keeps demand and supply in balance. I wish I knew what price that will be.

I read somewhere that saudi oil costs less than $10 a barrel to get out of the ground and to the end user, but oil sand oil only starts to break even with the extraction cost at $70....and I dont know if they figured in the cost to return the landscape to the way they found it in that figure, which the oil companies are legally commited too.
Seven or eight years ago I remember someone saying that the oil sands oil cost $40 a barrel to extract, but I can't remember who or have a source. If they were right then $70 may include remediation.

Given the way that they dragged their heels in cases like the Exxon Valdes cleanup, you have to wonder if they are really going to do that anyway.
There was a report on this on the radio last night. Exxon were originally ordered to pay $5 billion in compensation. 16 years later, by appealing every court decision against them they have managed to whittle this down to $500 million (not yet paid). Last year they made $41 billion profit.

Oil supply is not a concern in the short term, there is more extractable oil reserves known about now than there was 30 or 40 years ago when people first started to say it was running out. As the price increases, so does the level of technology available to to extract it where it was previously impractical ...
This is so true as well. There is more than enough oil in the world. Much more important is a) how much are we prepared to pay for it and b) how are we going to live with the consequences of using it.

Last edited by JonboyE; Jun 26th 2008 at 4:00 am.
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 3:56 am
  #25  
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

<whispers> Russian Orthodox Church.



or maybe Rest of Canada.
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 3:59 am
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Originally Posted by Novocastrian
Longer term: I know the convoluted history of all this (NEP and all), but why, oh why can a provincial government make decisions like the irresponsible exploitation of the oil sands without input from the ROC?
Because they pay for the rest of Canada?
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 4:00 am
  #27  
 
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Originally Posted by Novocastrian
Oh, sorry. Rest of Canada. I've probably misused it, its normal meaning is Canada minus Quebec.
Originally Posted by Souvenir
Rest of the country? Guessing here.
Thank you both.

The answer lies in the fact that it is in the constitution (I believe) that the provinces not the federal government are responsible for their resources.
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 4:03 am
  #28  
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Originally Posted by JonboyE

There was a report on this on the radio last night. Exxon were originally ordered to pay $5 billion in compensation. 16 years later, by appealing every court decision against them they have managed to whittle this down to $500 million (not yet paid). Last year they made $41 billion profit.
Unfortunately this says more about the idiocy and impotence of the US legal system than it does about oil companies.
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 4:03 am
  #29  
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

Originally Posted by Novocastrian
Let me throw a bit more fuel on the fire (sorry).

Short term: The fact that the price of crude is denominated in US $ and that said $ is down the tubes against a basket of other currencies is more or less being ignored in the discussion of current oil prices.
Good point...
 
Old Jun 26th 2008 | 4:06 am
  #30  
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Default Re: Stupid to the Last Drop

One might say that the oil companies have us over a barrel........
 


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