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Yorkiechef Feb 12th 2015 12:21 am

Exchange rates
 
Oz dollar has just gone through the 2 dollar barrier, how long before the can $ does the same?

Anyone wish to predict the Can$/£ exch rate in 6 months?

Souvy Feb 12th 2015 12:37 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Yorkiechef (Post 11563396)
Oz dollar has just gone through the 2 dollar barrier, how long before the can $ does the same?

Anyone wish to predict the Can$/£ exch rate in 6 months?

1.94 is my magic number.

A lot will depend on the BoE. The governor is saying today that interest rates my be increased earlier than expected. Or they may be cut further.

Make your bloody mind up mate!

Shard Feb 12th 2015 12:42 am

Re: Exchange rates
 
1.95

Souvy Feb 12th 2015 12:47 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Shard (Post 11563420)
1.95

Even better but 1.94 will make me happy, for a purely silly reason.

Shard Feb 12th 2015 12:50 am

Re: Exchange rates
 
What's the reason?

Yorkiechef Feb 12th 2015 12:53 am

Re: Exchange rates
 
I think the swing has been so profound that it will be 2.20+ by 1 August, the momentum is with sterling.

Yorkiechef Feb 12th 2015 12:54 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Shard (Post 11563429)
What's the reason?

It will be something like the rounding of how many dollars he gets here for the sterling he is paid. Shall we guess at $5000 per month?

Souvy Feb 12th 2015 12:57 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Shard (Post 11563429)
What's the reason?

An extra comma.

Told you it was silly:o

Shard Feb 12th 2015 1:05 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Yorkiechef (Post 11563431)
I think the swing has been so profound that it will be 2.20+ by 1 August, the momentum is with sterling.

"Momentum" is more a short term thing. Swings of that magnitude depend on major structural changes (the collapse of an economic sector for example).

Shard Feb 12th 2015 1:06 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Souvy (Post 11563437)
An extra comma.

Told you it was silly:o

:lol: bring on the silliness for Souvy.

Souvy Feb 12th 2015 1:10 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Yorkiechef (Post 11563435)
It will be something like the rounding of how many dollars he gets here for the sterling he is paid. Shall we guess at $5000 per month?

Close.

1.9417 and a bit gets me the 7th digit.

It's just a game, like wanting my £ salary to be higher than my age. It has been at times. It's a dead heat at the moment. It won't be in a couple of weeks.

jimbok11 Feb 12th 2015 2:44 am

Re: Exchange rates
 
A lot of currency rates are hinging on the EU and Greece sorting out their debts, etc...plus the recent CHF debacle caused a lot of chaos in the FX markets...

vanity Feb 12th 2015 3:37 am

Re: Exchange rates
 
Go the mighty pound.

Shard Feb 12th 2015 3:54 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by vanity (Post 11563579)
Go the mighty pound.

About time!

Paul_Shepherd Feb 12th 2015 4:05 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Shard (Post 11563600)
About time!

Yes, been waiting for this for a while....at last it maybe time for me to consider selling my house in UK.

On the other hand a trip to the UK in October may have to be reconsidered. Swings and roundabouts....

Shard Feb 12th 2015 4:20 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Paul_Shepherd (Post 11563612)
Yes, been waiting for this for a while....at last it maybe time for me to consider selling my house in UK.

On the other hand a trip to the UK in October may have to be reconsidered. Swings and roundabouts....

Sell in October and gain from further property appreciation and a higher exchange rate.

MarkG Feb 12th 2015 5:19 am

Re: Exchange rates
 
I would presume much of the change is due to the falling price of oil sucking money out of Canada, and the Greek situation sucking money out of the Euro to 'safe' currencies like the pound. So it's hard to say which way the rate will go from here.

Tirytory Feb 12th 2015 5:56 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Shard (Post 11563625)
Sell in October and gain from further property appreciation and a higher exchange rate.

And then pay tax... They get you somewhere!!!!

scrubbedexpat091 Feb 12th 2015 8:37 am

Re: Exchange rates
 
I have no interest in the CAD vs GBP although it it goes up high, just means we won't be visiting the UK next summer as we have though of doing.

But the CAD is just losing too much against the USD which is where my concern is, looking like we are gonna be locked in Canada for a while if it keeps falling or doesn't go back up to the high 80's/low 90's again.

Souvy Feb 12th 2015 11:38 pm

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Tirytory (Post 11563726)
And then pay tax... They get you somewhere!!!!

Unless you use the extra cash to buy RRSPs and cut your taxable income.

Tirytory Feb 13th 2015 12:05 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Souvy (Post 11564376)
Unless you use the extra cash to buy RRSPs and cut your taxable income.

Mmm... I have to admit we haven't looked into that whole side of things yet.

Souvy Feb 13th 2015 12:40 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Tirytory (Post 11564399)
Mmm... I have to admit we haven't looked into that whole side of things yet.

It's well worth it (critical at my age). Do not let your bank talk you into GICs. Mutual funds are the way to go.

Tirytory Feb 13th 2015 8:27 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Souvy (Post 11564434)
It's well worth it (critical at my age). Do not let your bank talk you into GICs. Mutual funds are the way to go.

We will sort it out soon...we're both relatively older and have public pensions back in the UK. My husband will be a business soon when we get round to it and so will differ slightly again. I guess when I start working:fingerscrossed: I will be looking at that side of things... RRSP's etc.

But one step at a time;)

orly Feb 13th 2015 9:29 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Jsmth321 (Post 11563850)
I have no interest in the CAD vs GBP although it it goes up high, just means we won't be visiting the UK next summer as we have though of doing.

But the CAD is just losing too much against the USD which is where my concern is, looking like we are gonna be locked in Canada for a while if it keeps falling or doesn't go back up to the high 80's/low 90's again.

Spend your money in Canada like a good lad. Visit NL...it's close to the UK at least ;)

dishwashing Feb 13th 2015 1:36 pm

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Tirytory (Post 11564976)
We will sort it out soon...we're both relatively older and have public pensions back in the UK. My husband will be a business soon when we get round to it and so will differ slightly again. I guess when I start working:fingerscrossed: I will be looking at that side of things... RRSP's etc.

But one step at a time;)

Wasn't it you with that young photo?

Tirytory Feb 13th 2015 1:57 pm

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by dishwashing (Post 11565188)
Wasn't it you with that young photo?

Yeah.....good genes!;)

scrubbedexpat091 Feb 13th 2015 3:23 pm

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by orly (Post 11565038)
Spend your money in Canada like a good lad. Visit NL...it's close to the UK at least ;)

Too expensive to travel within Canada. I'd love to see the Atlantic provinces, but the cost to just get there well makes it an impossible feat.

Just looked up fares for dates in September, Air Canada is cheapest. Round trip YVR to Halifax 1,922....:rofl:

It's very unlikely we will ever get to that part of Canada.


With a good exchange rate travel can be done pretty cheap south of the border, not so much in Canada, even driving costs a small fortune.

Souvy Feb 23rd 2015 5:05 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Souvy (Post 11563449)
Close.

1.9417 and a bit gets me the 7th digit.

It's just a game, like wanting my £ salary to be higher than my age. It has been at times. It's a dead heat at the moment. It won't be in a couple of weeks.

Yaaaaaay!

1.9431 at close of business.:thumbsup:

not2old Feb 23rd 2015 5:29 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Souvy (Post 11573977)
Yaaaaaay!

1.9431 at close of business.:thumbsup:

where did you get the rate from?

at Currency Converter | Foreign Exchange Rates | OANDA its 1.92822

a different rate at XE - The World's Trusted Currency Authority

orly Feb 23rd 2015 5:36 am

Re: Exchange rates
 
My exchanger of choice is offering just a shade over 1.93

XE says 1.94 plus fractions of a cent

Souvy Feb 23rd 2015 5:55 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by not2old (Post 11573995)
where did you get the rate from?

at Currency Converter | Foreign Exchange Rates | OANDA its 1.92822

a different rate at XE - The World's Trusted Currency Authority

Yahoo UK finance.

Yorkiechef Feb 23rd 2015 6:08 am

Re: Exchange rates
 
BBC website has 1.9435.

not2old Feb 23rd 2015 6:37 am

Re: Exchange rates
 
I guess the 'buy' rate is different than the 'sell rate' or trading FX (pips) rate?

not2old Feb 23rd 2015 9:01 pm

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Souvy (Post 11574022)
Yahoo UK finance.


its all very confusing is this FX rate when all that I have figured out what I see on Yahoo or the BBC is the mid rate or the interbank rate

I look at real rates that we peon's have to buy & sell at

http://www.scotiabank.com/ca/en/0,,1118,00.html

TD Canada Trust Foreign Currency & Exchange Rates | TD Canada Trust

Foreign Exchange Currency Converter - RBC Royal Bank

Yorkiechef Jun 19th 2015 1:35 am

Re: Exchange rates
 
Now at 1.95 and rising.....I understand why GREXIT might mean the mighty pound being up against the Euro, but why is it up against both US$ and CAN$...

Editha Jun 19th 2015 3:01 am

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Yorkiechef (Post 11679430)
Now at 1.95 and rising.....I understand why GREXIT might mean the mighty pound being up against the Euro, but why is it up against both US$ and CAN$...

I want an an answer to that question too. Looking at the charts for the last week, the £ seems to be gaining on the CAN$ even more than the Euro. I don't get it.

Yorkiechef Aug 23rd 2015 9:54 pm

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Yorkiechef (Post 11563431)
I think the swing has been so profound that it will be 2.20+ by 1 August, the momentum is with sterling.

Remember this thread, getting there, perhaps need another month or two, 2.09 today!

MikeUK Aug 23rd 2015 10:09 pm

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Editha (Post 11679515)
I want an an answer to that question too. Looking at the charts for the last week, the £ seems to be gaining on the CAN$ even more than the Euro. I don't get it.

It's simple...

The markets see potential in the UK recovery, even a possible increase in interest rates

They don't see much of a chance of change for Canada at the moment,

and its a trend that's been relatively constant for +2yrs now,
the UK pound has shown the similar but smaller type of improved value for same period against the euro, but has been a bit more stable against the USDollar and Swiss franc

Editha Aug 23rd 2015 11:13 pm

Re: Exchange rates
 
But UK rates are constantly predicted to rise and never do. The latest forecast was by the CBI today, suggesting rates will rise in the first quarter of next year. It seems the market is chasing a willow-the-wisp.

MikeUK Aug 23rd 2015 11:32 pm

Re: Exchange rates
 

Originally Posted by Editha (Post 11731365)
But UK rates are constantly predicted to rise and never do. The latest forecast was by the CBI today, suggesting rates will rise in the first quarter of next year. It seems the market is chasing a willow-the-wisp.

Its better to follow a market that is predicted to rise albeit slowly than to follow one that seen to be falling...

Canada's central bank has reduced its overnight lending rate to 0.5%, from 0.75% recently based on the Oil market, a market not expected to improve for Canada (possibly for a very long time now Iran is getting on better terms)


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