GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
#31
Forum Regular
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 81
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
Sorry, you are indeed correct. I wonder how many people are aware of this:
http://britishexpats.com/wiki/Curren..._Losses-Canada
http://britishexpats.com/wiki/Curren..._Losses-Canada
#32
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Joined: Nov 2003
Location: Formally Scotland. Now Bay of Quinte...Ontario
Posts: 2,466
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
Found this a few minutes ago....on the BBC 'Latest headlines'.....
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8301418.stm
''UK interest rates will stay low for years amid tax rises and spending cuts, according to an economic forecast.
The Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) believes the rate will remain at its current 0.5% level until 2011 and not reach 2% until 2014.
The report, due on Monday, will predict the pound will weaken further, falling to $1.40 and "possibly" below 1 euro.
Its forecast is based on the government managing to slash the UK budget deficit by £100bn over the next parliament.
It will say that about £80bn of this would come from spending cuts, and a further £20bn from tax rises''
Scary.....have funds in the UK...an investment....not making anything for me really...and can't move it over here as I would take to big a hit on the exchange...and no prospect of this being viable in the foreseeable future....
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8301418.stm
''UK interest rates will stay low for years amid tax rises and spending cuts, according to an economic forecast.
The Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) believes the rate will remain at its current 0.5% level until 2011 and not reach 2% until 2014.
The report, due on Monday, will predict the pound will weaken further, falling to $1.40 and "possibly" below 1 euro.
Its forecast is based on the government managing to slash the UK budget deficit by £100bn over the next parliament.
It will say that about £80bn of this would come from spending cuts, and a further £20bn from tax rises''
Scary.....have funds in the UK...an investment....not making anything for me really...and can't move it over here as I would take to big a hit on the exchange...and no prospect of this being viable in the foreseeable future....
Last edited by macadian; Oct 11th 2009 at 6:53 pm.
#33
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Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 1,782
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
I wonder how many people actually go to the trouble to actually check the exchange rate on the day they land and then on the day that they actually exchange their money? Then do the maths and declare a capital gain or loss to Canada Revenue Agency.
Last edited by johnh009; Oct 11th 2009 at 7:32 pm.
#34
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 12,830
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
CRA will work it out for you! Tell you how much you owe and it is up to the tax payer to prove otherwise. The information is out there and should be part of everyones research. Much easier now in the days of the Internet. CRA use Bank of Canada rates.
#35
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Joined: Jan 2009
Location: Liverpool 2009 , Kamloops 2010
Posts: 253
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
Waiting for PR we have been trying to decide what would be best for us to do, either sell our house or rent it out...
seeing as luckily before the crunch we took a lifetime tracker out it would seem better for me to rent the house and keep the house to sell either in a few years time or maybe keep it and use it as our pension ...
im no finance expert but opinions on the matter would be appreciated :0
Cheers
Gaz
seeing as luckily before the crunch we took a lifetime tracker out it would seem better for me to rent the house and keep the house to sell either in a few years time or maybe keep it and use it as our pension ...
im no finance expert but opinions on the matter would be appreciated :0
Cheers
Gaz
#37
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Joined: Mar 2008
Location: Calgary NW
Posts: 191
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
I was always informed that there is no capital gains tax on monies brought over from the UK once you have landed. No one in their right mind will be exchanging now at 1.65. Having sold a house in the UK (at a lower price) prior to landing we certainly don't want to lose out again with a poor exchange rate. We do look at the currency rates almost daily afterall you want to get the best possible deal the days of 2C$ to teh £ are long gone.
#38
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 12,830
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
I was always informed that there is no capital gains tax on monies brought over from the UK once you have landed. No one in their right mind will be exchanging now at 1.65. Having sold a house in the UK (at a lower price) prior to landing we certainly don't want to lose out again with a poor exchange rate. We do look at the currency rates almost daily afterall you want to get the best possible deal the days of 2C$ to teh £ are long gone.
To be clear talk to an accountants in Canada.
#39
Account Closed
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 342
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
I was always informed that there is no capital gains tax on monies brought over from the UK once you have landed. No one in their right mind will be exchanging now at 1.65. Having sold a house in the UK (at a lower price) prior to landing we certainly don't want to lose out again with a poor exchange rate. We do look at the currency rates almost daily afterall you want to get the best possible deal the days of 2C$ to teh £ are long gone.
#40
Just Joined
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 16
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
Scenario; Im likely to 'land' next summer, then come right back to the UK. For how long, im not sure. As long as it takes to find a good job in Canada and sell the house, could be 12 months or more.
Im guessing the gain isnt measured from when you land? In this case it would be from when you actually move to Canada? Probably reading too much in to peoples use of the word land, but I wouldnt want to be caught out by a bad FX rate when I nip over to formally land... Fair enough when I finally move over there and have sold my house I need to make the decision to take the rate at the time, or leave the cash in the UK and bring it over later (and maybe pay some tax on some of the gain).
#41
Account Closed
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 342
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
Just to clarify, is this from when you 'land' or when you start paying Canadian tax?
Scenario; Im likely to 'land' next summer, then come right back to the UK. For how long, im not sure. As long as it takes to find a good job in Canada and sell the house, could be 12 months or more.
Im guessing the gain isnt measured from when you land? In this case it would be from when you actually move to Canada? Probably reading too much in to peoples use of the word land, but I wouldnt want to be caught out by a bad FX rate when I nip over to formally land... Fair enough when I finally move over there and have sold my house I need to make the decision to take the rate at the time, or leave the cash in the UK and bring it over later (and maybe pay some tax on some of the gain).
Scenario; Im likely to 'land' next summer, then come right back to the UK. For how long, im not sure. As long as it takes to find a good job in Canada and sell the house, could be 12 months or more.
Im guessing the gain isnt measured from when you land? In this case it would be from when you actually move to Canada? Probably reading too much in to peoples use of the word land, but I wouldnt want to be caught out by a bad FX rate when I nip over to formally land... Fair enough when I finally move over there and have sold my house I need to make the decision to take the rate at the time, or leave the cash in the UK and bring it over later (and maybe pay some tax on some of the gain).
#43
BE Forum Addict
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 1,782
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
Scary.....have funds in the UK...an investment....not making anything for me really...and can't move it over here as I would take to big a hit on the exchange...and no prospect of this being viable in the foreseeable future....http://images.ibsrv.net/ibsrv/res/sr...milies/sad.gif
Sometimes, I envy those who have stayed in the same job and lived in the same town all of their lives, they do not have all of this nonsense to deal with. And they probably have accumulated a massive private pension to boot, especially if they have a government job.
Last edited by johnh009; Oct 12th 2009 at 1:07 am.
#44
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Thread Starter
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 47
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
There have been a lot of interesting points on here, a big shock was learning of the double whammy effect of being hit over the head with a low rate followed by a kick in the pants CGT hit if the rate subsequently increases.
I have looked at the rates over the last 20 years (see below averages for each year) and what it does show is that the current rate is not unusual in the long term. If we see our application though, our predicament would then be wether to make an early landing / transfer on the assumption things will get worse - in one of the years I listed the lowest rate was in the $1.30s !!!! or wait it out till the last possible minute which with meds this month would be Oct 10. The only thing I can pin any hope on is that the Tories will grasp the nettle on public spending etc and that the markets will respond positively.And yes I know I'm assuming they will win - but baring a miracle Gordon is gone.
Year Average
1979 $2.49
1980 $2.72
1981 $2.43
1982 $2.16
1983 $1.87
1984 $1.73
1985 $1.77
1986 $2.04
1987 $2.17
1988 $2.19
1989 $1.94
1990 $2.08
1991 $2.03
1992 $2.13
1993 $1.94
1994 $2.09
1995 $2.17
1996 $2.13
1997 $2.27
1998 $2.16
1999 $2.40
2000 $2.25
2001 $2.23
2002 $2.36
2003 $2.29
2004 $2.38
2005 $2.21
2006 $2.09
2007 $2.15
2008 $1.96
2009 $1.80
I have looked at the rates over the last 20 years (see below averages for each year) and what it does show is that the current rate is not unusual in the long term. If we see our application though, our predicament would then be wether to make an early landing / transfer on the assumption things will get worse - in one of the years I listed the lowest rate was in the $1.30s !!!! or wait it out till the last possible minute which with meds this month would be Oct 10. The only thing I can pin any hope on is that the Tories will grasp the nettle on public spending etc and that the markets will respond positively.And yes I know I'm assuming they will win - but baring a miracle Gordon is gone.
Year Average
1979 $2.49
1980 $2.72
1981 $2.43
1982 $2.16
1983 $1.87
1984 $1.73
1985 $1.77
1986 $2.04
1987 $2.17
1988 $2.19
1989 $1.94
1990 $2.08
1991 $2.03
1992 $2.13
1993 $1.94
1994 $2.09
1995 $2.17
1996 $2.13
1997 $2.27
1998 $2.16
1999 $2.40
2000 $2.25
2001 $2.23
2002 $2.36
2003 $2.29
2004 $2.38
2005 $2.21
2006 $2.09
2007 $2.15
2008 $1.96
2009 $1.80
Last edited by SNOWDUDE; Oct 12th 2009 at 8:34 am. Reason: added text
#45
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Joined: Jan 2007
Location: Kanata, Ontario
Posts: 147
Re: GB Pound Vs CAD Dollar - HOW LOW CAN IT GO?
I'll second that! What a nightmare. Still, as others have said before in this thread, our move to Canada is not based solely on financial reasons. However, we are reconsidering our expectations of the house we will be able to afford! Even so, we will still be able to afford a much bigger place than in the UK. Great thread.