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And the new PM is ....

And the new PM is ....

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Old Sep 15th 2015, 11:26 am
  #46  
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Same in the US though - you vote for a President who then gets hamstrung by Congress and Senate so it also doesn't matter...

And well you know that's not how our system works - you vote for your local representative and they in turn get to decide who is the party leader and thus the Prime Minister.

There is no direct vote for PM, though the leader may or may not have some influence on who you decide to vote for. These much repeated assertions that "I voted for Tony Abbott" or "The people decide who is rubbish in our system.


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Old Sep 15th 2015, 11:34 am
  #47  
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by GarryP
As you may note, the media have begun to recognise that Turnbull is between a rock and a hard place with policy. He HAS to show that he's not such a clutz as Tone, that he can get things done. And he has to get that done soon, in order to get some political capital to make some of the other necessary changes before the election next year. However the far right are going to take great delight in knifing him the moment he tries to make a change. In reality he can't take 30 of them with him even if he were to offer free blow jobs - he'll realise/learn that quick.

Having considered that contradiction, the only solution I can see is a policy that comes out of nowhere, that isn't ideology biased, and that the far right would look like prize twits for opposing. It also probably needs to be economy based (since he basically called hockey and abbott economic idiots).

Only thing that jumps to mind is support for entrepreneurs and startups. Promoting and supporting workers starting their own companies wouldn't have either ideology frothing, and there's much that could and should be done in that area (much of it cheap).

He might have some other ideas in the fire, but I wouldn't at all be surprised to see something like the policies mentioned popping up in short order.
Under Abbott and Hockey the main thing missing was the messaging. The first budget, whilst many aspects of it were good, was delivered poorly and along with a declining China, set the tone for confidence in the economy. One would hope that the main gift Turnbull can bring to the economy is good communication and with that confidence and we all know what the knock on effects of confidence is.

With all the fluffy stuff aside Turnball needs to start looking at innovation which I've said many times before. Part of that is start ups but there's a hell of a lot more he can tackle. Some of it isn't instantaneous but he can certainly set the ball in motion. The ability to innovate has always been one of Australia's best assets but under Abbott is was largely ignored and never nurtured. The opportunities are there. I suspect he will seize them.
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Old Sep 15th 2015, 11:38 am
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by Swerv-o
Same in the US though - you vote for a President who then gets hamstrung by Congress and Senate so it also doesn't matter...

And well you know that's not how our system works - you vote for your local representative and they in turn get to decide who is the party leader and thus the Prime Minister.

There is no direct vote for PM, though the leader may or may not have some influence on who you decide to vote for. These much repeated assertions that "I voted for Tony Abbott" or "The people decide who is rubbish in our system.

S
A lot of influence unfortunately. While polls can largely be ignored (see recent events in the UK) lo and behold, check this one out.

Morgan poll finds even Labor voters prefer Malcolm Turnbull to Bill Shorten
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Old Sep 15th 2015, 11:53 am
  #49  
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by Beoz
A lot of influence unfortunately. While polls can largely be ignored (see recent events in the UK) lo and behold, check this one out.

Morgan poll finds even Labor voters prefer Malcolm Turnbull to Bill Shorten

It's not really surprising though is it? Shorten is a waste of space. He's virtually been missing for this term. He's had huge opportunities to give Abbott a good kicking, and has failed to take them. Probably the worst opposition leader I've seen. Bill 'The Phantom' Shorten.


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Old Sep 15th 2015, 11:54 am
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by Swerv-o
Same in the US though - you vote for a President who then gets hamstrung by Congress and Senate so it also doesn't matter...

And well you know that's not how our system works - you vote for your local representative and they in turn get to decide who is the party leader and thus the Prime Minister.

There is no direct vote for PM, though the leader may or may not have some influence on who you decide to vote for. These much repeated assertions that "I voted for Tony Abbott" or "The people decide who is rubbish in our system.


S
Indeed. That's why I voted for the best looking candidate where I was. No point in voting because of politics or policies, as those change like the wind, just like PMs do.
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Old Sep 15th 2015, 12:00 pm
  #51  
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by Beoz
Under Abbott and Hockey the main thing missing was the messaging.
That's always the excuse made when the policies suck - it wasn't communicated well. I'll remind you, Turnbull was responsible for the NBN, and he couldn't sell that turkey of a policy - late, more expensive and slower is the result of his 'messaging'.

Originally Posted by Beoz
The first budget, whilst many aspects of it were good, was delivered poorly and along with a declining China, set the tone for confidence in the economy. One would hope that the main gift Turnbull can bring to the economy is good communication and with that confidence and we all know what the knock on effects of confidence is.
The economy has been massively mismanaged, that's why it's on the verge of recession. The first budget is generally regarded as the start of the abbott downfall. There is no way that gets better unless the policy changes, and acceptance is made that Hockey screwed it up ('its a budget emergency, lets cut tax', 'the budget emergency has disappeared, because the polls are down'). They need a sane plan, not the Hockey wreaking ball.

It's not possible to rescue the dog's breakfast that the budget currently is. No matter how much of a second hand car salesman you are.

Originally Posted by Beoz
With all the fluffy stuff aside Turnball needs to start looking at innovation which I've said many times before. Part of that is start ups but there's a hell of a lot more he can tackle. Some of it isn't instantaneous but he can certainly set the ball in motion. The ability to innovate has always been one of Australia's best assets but under Abbott is was largely ignored and never nurtured. The opportunities are there. I suspect he will seize them.
Take the money you were pouring into the black hole of coal and use it for new enterprise. As it stands startups basically have to go to the US or UK for second round funding, and with the capital gains tax rules they are advised to move earlier in anticipation of that reality. Fixing some of that can be done in weeks.
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Old Sep 15th 2015, 12:01 pm
  #52  
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by Alfresco
Indeed. That's why I voted for the best looking candidate where I was. No point in voting because of politics or policies, as those change like the wind, just like PMs do.

True enough - and let's not forget that you will vote for your local representative, who will then trot off to Canberra and vote on issues according to part lines or what the whips tell them, irrespective of the desires of their electorate.

If you're really lucky, they may get a conscience vote, which means they get to vote for what they think, again irrespective of the desires of their electorate.

Your views/opinions/desires as a voter come third in the pecking order, and is part of the reason that this 'democratic' party model is fundamentally broken.


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Old Sep 15th 2015, 12:05 pm
  #53  
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by Swerv-o
It's not really surprising though is it? Shorten is a waste of space. He's virtually been missing for this term. He's had huge opportunities to give Abbott a good kicking, and has failed to take them. Probably the worst opposition leader I've seen. Bill 'The Phantom' Shorten.
We'll see.

The proverb is never interrupt your enemy when they are busy destroying themselves. Abbott was a bully and scrapper. Start actually pointing up how useless he was (which everyone could see anyway) and he'd fight back will the bullsh*t and the three word slogans, and the rest of his party would feel obliged to back him.

We'll see if Shorten ups his game now, or if he waits to see if the far right contingent will again do the job for him by knifing Turnbull. As it stands, there has to be a high likelihood of that.
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Old Sep 15th 2015, 12:18 pm
  #54  
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by GarryP
We'll see.

The proverb is never interrupt your enemy when they are busy destroying themselves. Abbott was a bully and scrapper. Start actually pointing up how useless he was (which everyone could see anyway) and he'd fight back will the bullsh*t and the three word slogans, and the rest of his party would feel obliged to back him.

We'll see if Shorten ups his game now, or if he waits to see if the far right contingent will again do the job for him by knifing Turnbull. As it stands, there has to be a high likelihood of that.

True enough. I'm not sure the small target approach has worked to raise his profile though.

Do you think we will be likely to see proper Ministers for Women, Science and Aboriginal Issues?


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Old Sep 15th 2015, 12:27 pm
  #55  
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by Swerv-o
Do you think we will be likely to see proper Ministers for Women, Science and Aboriginal Issues?
That's not so much low hanging fruit as fruit that's jumped off the tree, in the basket, and has a label on it saying "eat me". If he doesn't do those then he's dead meat before he starts - he's going to have to make much more difficult changes, and before xmas too.

Here's a right wing articles that points up similar to what I've been saying.

https://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/te...222330686.html

some of the ideas for 'winning policies' are v. daft - but they do get the need for very different policies, and quick.
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Old Sep 15th 2015, 12:30 pm
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by GarryP
That's always the excuse made when the policies suck - it wasn't communicated well. I'll remind you, Turnbull was responsible for the NBN, and he couldn't sell that turkey of a policy - late, more expensive and slower is the result of his 'messaging'.
Actually his messaging on that was pretty clear. "We've crunch the numbers and the cost will not see a return on investment". What more do you need?

Originally Posted by GarryP
The economy has been massively mismanaged, that's why it's on the verge of recession. The first budget is generally regarded as the start of the abbott downfall. There is no way that gets better unless the policy changes, and acceptance is made that Hockey screwed it up ('its a budget emergency, lets cut tax', 'the budget emergency has disappeared, because the polls are down'). They need a sane plan, not the Hockey wreaking ball.

It's not possible to rescue the dog's breakfast that the budget currently is. No matter how much of a second hand car salesman you are.
Rubbish, the economy is on the verge of a recession because China pulled back its spending here. It's as simple as that. And if you compare it to other resource based economies such as Canada and Brazil who have also felt the effects of China, the Australian economy is flying. You only need to look at the job creation numbers and other aspects of the economy, non mining related, to see that. Throwing the blinkers on is no excuse.

Originally Posted by GarryP
Take the money you were pouring into the black hole of coal and use it for new enterprise. As it stands startups basically have to go to the US or UK for second round funding, and with the capital gains tax rules they are advised to move earlier in anticipation of that reality. Fixing some of that can be done in weeks.
Yep. I suspect we will see some new direction here and hope we do.
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Old Sep 15th 2015, 12:33 pm
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by Swerv-o
It's not really surprising though is it? Shorten is a waste of space. He's virtually been missing for this term. He's had huge opportunities to give Abbott a good kicking, and has failed to take them. Probably the worst opposition leader I've seen. Bill 'The Phantom' Shorten.

S
Agree. Even on Monday, when he threw his head above the parapet it was a disaster. New PM question time yesterday, a disgrace. Even the blue ribbon seat of Higgins in Victoria, who have been looking at other pastures, are going Green rather than Red.
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Old Sep 15th 2015, 12:38 pm
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by GarryP
That's not so much low hanging fruit as fruit that's jumped off the tree, in the basket, and has a label on it saying "eat me". If he doesn't do those then he's dead meat before he starts - he's going to have to make much more difficult changes, and before xmas too.

Here's a right wing articles that points up similar to what I've been saying.

https://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/te...222330686.html

some of the ideas for 'winning policies' are v. daft - but they do get the need for very different policies, and quick.
Nice article. Did you happen to pick up on this bit? As I have been saying

Some of this failure has been outside the government’s control. Resource prices have fallen and the mining boom is fading in our memory. This has sent our major resources competitors – Brazil and Canada – into recession. Australia, so far, has avoided this fate, thanks to an agile economy and a large depreciation of the Australian dollar.
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Old Sep 15th 2015, 12:39 pm
  #59  
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by Beoz
Actually his messaging on that was pretty clear. "We've crunch the numbers and the cost will not see a return on investment". What more do you need?
Acceptance that he screwed up and a return to the Labor plan - which was cheaper, obviously more future proof, and delivered earlier - none of which are up for debate. As for RoI, a sane NBN is something you HAVE to do, otherwise you are not in the game - it's an infrastructure programme that's more important than some extra road in a city.

Originally Posted by Beoz
Rubbish, the economy is on the verge of a recession because China pulled back its spending here. It's as simple as that. And if you compare it to other resource based economies such as Canada and Brazil who have also felt the effects of China, the Australian economy is flying. You only need to look at the job creation numbers and other aspects of the economy, non mining related, to see that. Throwing the blinkers on is no excuse.
Nope, its on the verge of recession because rather than growth and new jobs - abbott and hockey have been concentrating on destroying jobs and ignoring this resourced downturn that was well understood to be happening since the Labor government. This isn't a surprise, yet we find the coalition totally unprepared. In denial even.
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Old Sep 15th 2015, 12:41 pm
  #60  
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Default Re: And the new PM is ....

Originally Posted by Beoz
Nice article. Did you happen to pick up on this bit? As I have been saying

Some of this failure has been outside the government’s control. Resource prices have fallen and the mining boom is fading in our memory. This has sent our major resources competitors – Brazil and Canada – into recession. Australia, so far, has avoided this fate, thanks to an agile economy and a large depreciation of the Australian dollar.
Did say they were right wing and therefore v. daft in several areas - 'agile' my ass.
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