|
Cyclone Season......Queensland - TC Ului
1 Attachment(s)
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1 Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN at 11:00 am CST [11:30 am EST] Saturday 16 January 2010 A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for a developing tropical low for coastal The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 36 to 48 hours. There is the possibility of a Tropical Cyclone developing but GALES are not expected in coastal areas within the next 24 hours, however gales could develop later. May not come to much, but one of the models has it developing to a 1 or 2, and predicted to turn towards Cape York, and cross it in the Weipa - Lockhart River area. Couple of other interesting lows building out in the Coral Sea too........ |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by Pollyana
(Post 8253234)
Couple of other interesting lows building out in the Coral Sea too........ |
Re: Cyclone Season......
1 Attachment(s)
Originally Posted by The A Team
(Post 8253282)
how interesting to Townsville? :eek:
There is a low in the Coral Sea that we are watching, but it will hopefully move to the Southeast, thats the expectation. Nothing else definite on the immediate horizon - as in the next 5 days or so - but as you go into the next week it could get interesting. Best I can say at the moment, I'm afraid, but I'll keep you posted. This one is a POSSIBLE image for around the 28th Jan according to one of the US models. THIS IS JUST A COMPUTER MODEL, please no-one take this as a forecast as it is too far ahead to be classed as that. |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by Pollyana
(Post 8253291)
Well......depends which model you look at. There are several different computer modelling systems. If you use www.weatherzone.com.au as wll as the BoM site, you can access the models by becoming a member.
There is a low in the Coral Sea that we are watching, but it will hopefully move to the Southeast, thats the expectation. Nothing else definite on the immediate horizon - as in the next 5 days or so - but as you go into the next week it could get interesting. Best I can say at the moment, I'm afraid, but I'll keep you posted. This one is a POSSIBLE image for around the 28th Jan according to one of the US models. THIS IS JUST A COMPUTER MODEL, please no-one take this as a forecast as it is too far ahead to be classed as that. |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Don't forget the kite. :D
|
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by The A Team
(Post 8253310)
thanks Polly, will be checking my cyclone kit tomorrow
WW |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by wanderingwombat
(Post 8253438)
The usual far northern kit contains a lot of slabs, just in case the roads are cut by flooding, of course.:D
WW |
Re: Cyclone Season......
I notice the State Disaster Management Group is still recommending to shelter in cellars and to hang on to water pipes.
The nearest to a cellar in Far North QLD would be a basement carpark which are usually found in the Cairns CBD or North Cairns or Port Douglas. This is the last place you would want to be if there was a storm surge with the cyclone. :eek: :thumbdown: As for water pipes, copper or plastic just dont seem to have the neccessary strength to me. WW |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by wanderingwombat
(Post 8253489)
I notice the State Disaster Management Group is still recommending to shelter in cellars and to hang on to water pipes.
The nearest to a cellar in Far North QLD would be a basement carpark which are usually found in the Cairns CBD or North Cairns or Port Douglas. This is the last place you would want to be if there was a storm surge with the cyclone. :eek: :thumbdown: As for water pipes, copper or plastic just dont seem to have the neccessary strength to me. WW It is a bit of a problem with Cairns - cyclone shleters in storm surge zones and high ground to escape the surges, but where you get blown away. Some good stuff here, especially for those who haven't experienced a cyclone season before.- - http://www.emergency.qld.gov.au/emq/css/beprepared.asp (I did suggest beer and wine as an inclusion in the Emergency and Evacuation packs, but got over-ruled :lol:) |
Re: Cyclone Season......
1 Attachment(s)
Latest word from the Bureau is a slow moving system, probably becoming a cyclone tomorrow, coastal crossing likely near Weipa on Tuesday afternoon at present rate of progress.
Possibility of a low developing in the Coral Sea to affect Townsville is now becoming increasingly likely for next week (27-28-29th??) as other models are tending to move towards that scenario. Current track map for what will probably become Cyclone Magda..... |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by Pollyana
(Post 8253662)
It is a bit of a problem with Cairns - cyclone shleters in storm surge zones and high ground to escape the surges, but where you get blown away.
It must be one of the numerous Beattie Cat 5 cyclone shelters scattered along the coast. :frown: If your community doesnt have a Beattie shelter just pitch a tent in the yard as it is currently rated stronger :D WW |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by wanderingwombat
(Post 8254744)
There is a cyclone shelter in Cairns?
It must be one of the numerous Beattie Cat 5 cyclone shelters scattered along the coast. :frown: If your community doesnt have a Beattie shelter just pitch a tent in the yard as it is currently rated stronger :D WW |
Re: Cyclone Season......
:cool:
Originally Posted by Pollyana
(Post 8254748)
I'm not going to comment on that in case the boss reads it.......:sneaky:
|
Re: Cyclone Season......
The moral of this story (as far as I am concerned) is "don't mock those who are snowed in at home as the weather will come and bite you on the bum":D
Here we go again. Don't forget to get some cash out (smallish notes) as the ATMs and EFPOS will fail in a blackout and you won't be able to buy anything even though it there ;) Good luck all, see you out there :blink: |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by Pollyana
(Post 8254538)
Latest word from the Bureau is a slow moving system, probably becoming a cyclone tomorrow, coastal crossing likely near Weipa on Tuesday afternoon at present rate of progress.
80k North of Weipa. |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by Bix
(Post 8255927)
That could be smack on top of our minesite.
80k North of Weipa. |
Re: Cyclone Season......
1 Attachment(s)
Originally Posted by Rabc
(Post 8255601)
The moral of this story (as far as I am concerned) is "don't mock those who are snowed in at home as the weather will come and bite you on the bum":D
Here we go again. Don't forget to get some cash out (smallish notes) as the ATMs and EFPOS will fail in a blackout and you won't be able to buy anything even though it there ;) Good luck all, see you out there :blink: Once again - this is a model, NOT a forecast |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by Bix
(Post 8255927)
That could be smack on top of our minesite.
80k North of Weipa. What sort of a hole have you dug yourself into now? :D WW |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by Pollyana
(Post 8256552)
Your guys followers of the Weatherzone models? Some interesting looking stuff poossibly developing at the end of the week, moving down towards the Far North coast......
Once again - this is a model, NOT a forecast |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by Pollyana
(Post 8253234)
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1 Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN at 11:00 am CST [11:30 am EST] Saturday 16 January 2010 A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for a developing tropical low for coastal The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 36 to 48 hours. There is the possibility of a Tropical Cyclone developing but GALES are not expected in coastal areas within the next 24 hours, however gales could develop later. May not come to much, but one of the models has it developing to a 1 or 2, and predicted to turn towards Cape York, and cross it in the Weipa - Lockhart River area. Couple of other interesting lows building out in the Coral Sea too........ Grrrr. I misread that as Cylon Season... S |
Re: Cyclone Season......
Originally Posted by wanderingwombat
(Post 8256964)
Come on Pollyana, 'fess you just like the pretty swirly colour patterns...:D
|
Re: Cyclone Season......
Coral Sea low threatens to form cyclone, hit Cairns
Cairns is bracing for flooding and damaging winds, with a possible cyclone on the way from a developing low pressure system in the Coral Sea. Bureau of Meteorology duty forecaster Terry Erbs said a monsoonal low had formed in the Gulf of Carpentaria before crossing Cape York and was moving south-east as a "dynamic system" into the Coral Sea. "The low is disorganised," said Mr Erbs. "But there is a one in three chance of it developing into a cyclone as it hits the ocean. Either way there will be heavy rain and a potential for flooding." |
Re: Cyclone Season......
1 Attachment(s)
TROPICAL CYCLONE NEVILLE
TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1 Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane Issued at 4:40am EST on Thursday the 21st of January 2010 A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Cape Melville to Cooktown. A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal areas from Coen to Cape Melville, and from Cooktown to Cape Tribulation. At 4:00 am EST Tropical Cyclone Neville, Category 1 was estimated to be 210 kilometres east of Cape Flattery and 235 kilometres east northeast of Cooktown and was near stationary. TROPICAL CYCLONE Neville, CATEGORY 1, is expected to remain near stationary off the far north Queensland coast over the next 24 hours as it slowly intensifies. GALES extending 75 kilometres out from the centre may possibly develop on the coast between Cape Melville and Cooktown during the next 24 hours. People between Cape Melville and Cooktown should take precautions and listen to the next advice at 8 am. If you are unsure about precaution to be taken, information is available from your local government or local State Emergency Service. People between Coen and Cape Melville, and also those between Cooktown and Cape Tribulation should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to be taken, information is available from your local government or local State Emergency Service. Details of Tropical Cyclone Neville at 4:00 am EST: .Centre located near...... 14.7 degrees South 147.3 degrees East .Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres .Recent movement.......... near stationary .Wind gusts near centre... 95 kilometres per hour and slowly INTENSIFYING .Severity category........ 1 .Central pressure......... 994 hectoPascals The next advice will be issued by 8:00 am EST Thursday 21 January. |
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
1 Attachment(s)
This is a really unpredictable one, deepened very quickly over night before becoming a cyclone early this morning. Gave me a hectic night anyway :D
Predicted track may now take it south parallel to the coast, but because it developed so fast its predicted track is still pretty uncertain. I'd say anyone from Townsville north would be advised to keep an eye on it. TC Advice 2, 8.01am: TROPICAL CYCLONE Neville, CATEGORY 1, is expected to remain near stationary off the far north Queensland coast over the next 24 hours as it slowly intensifies. GALES with damaging gusts to 95 km/hr may develop on the coast between Cape Melville and Cooktown during the next 24 hours. http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/ |
Re: Cyclone Season......TC Magda - WA
1 Attachment(s)
Meanwhile WA finally got TC Magda, who was also named last night,
A Cyclone WARNING continues for coastal areas from Kalumburu to Cockatoo Island. A Cyclone WATCH continues for coastal areas from Wyndham to Kalumburu and Cockatoo Island to Beagle Bay There is a significant risk that by Friday Magda will have intensified into a Severe Tropical Cyclone and be located close to the Kimberley coast. Hence there is the risk of very destructive winds between Kalumburu and Cape Leveque on Friday Magda is still building in intensity and may track inland a fair way |
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
NEVILLE is not a very good name for a TC, maybe we should call the next one Pollyana (when P come around again) :)
|
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
Originally Posted by themerlin
(Post 8267338)
NEVILLE is not a very good name for a TC, maybe we should call the next one Pollyana (when P come around again) :)
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclon...ne-names.shtml |
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
Thanks for the updates Polly :thumbup:
|
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
When is brisbane gonna get some rain/storms. Seems to have been a very dry summer, storms very scarce. Only relief in summer is the storms and I am sick of boiling every day. Brisvegas later 32 nice :eek: not.
|
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
The cyclone formed so quickly overnight, when yesterday they said only really a 5 to 20% chance of the low developing into a cyclone.
So might be worth being a bit worried about this one and keeping a good eye on it. |
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
Originally Posted by rocket01
(Post 8267696)
The cyclone formed so quickly overnight, when yesterday they said only really a 5 to 20% chance of the low developing into a cyclone.
So might be worth being a bit worried about this one and keeping a good eye on it. Back on shift tonight, and I see its been down graded to an ex-TC already, but I personally think it will re-intensify fairly soon.......Certainly worth a close eye. |
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
Originally Posted by Bix
(Post 8267480)
Thanks for the updates Polly :thumbup:
Originally Posted by jad n rich
(Post 8267507)
When is brisbane gonna get some rain/storms. Seems to have been a very dry summer, storms very scarce. Only relief in summer is the storms and I am sick of boiling every day. Brisvegas later 32 nice :eek: not.
|
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
1 Attachment(s)
Updates.
Ex-TC Neville may re-intensify back to cyclone strength before hitting coast(currently expected late tomorrow/early Monday). May then cross Cape York Peninsula into the Gulf, after that who knows. There is another Low building in the Coral Sea, prognosis unknown at present,, so watch this space. SOme links for anyone interested: Cairns Disaster Coordination Centre on Facebook - includes flood warnings, road closures, and general local advice BoM for Twitter fans Ergon Energy Storm Centre Energex Unplanned Interruptions (more for the south of the State) |
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
Originally Posted by jad n rich
(Post 8267507)
When is brisbane gonna get some rain/storms. Seems to have been a very dry summer, storms very scarce. Only relief in summer is the storms and I am sick of boiling every day. Brisvegas later 32 nice :eek: not.
|
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
Tis really wet here.
Today I ad to wear me at. ;) |
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
My FiL's name is Neville. Lovely lovely man, very gentle and kind but I think he'd laugh like a drain if he see's the cyclone's named after him :lol:
|
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
Originally Posted by moneypenny20
(Post 8272303)
My FiL's name is Neville. Lovely lovely man, very gentle and kind but I think he'd laugh like a drain if he see's the cyclone's named after him :lol:
Originally Posted by Bix
(Post 8272294)
Tis really wet here.
Today I ad to wear me at. ;) |
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
Does Brisbane ever get hit by TCs or is it mostly up north?
|
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
Originally Posted by Alfresco
(Post 8272512)
Does Brisbane ever get hit by TCs or is it mostly up north?
The 1974 floods were the result of Cyclone Wanda, for example. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1970%E2...yclone_seasons |
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
Originally Posted by Pollyana
(Post 8272563)
Bit too far south for much of a cyclone, they usually become a low again before they get down here, but we do get the effects sometimes.
The 1974 floods were the result of Cyclone Wanda, for example. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1970%E2...yclone_seasons Thanks. I was getting worried for a while there. Hadn't considered that possible danger before in Australia. We were in Orlando Florida (2008) on holiday when tropical storm Fay hit. http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3073/...77c28e25fc.jpg Don't really want to re-live an experience like that again. |
| All times are GMT. The time now is 9:38 pm. |
Powered by vBulletin: ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.