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CasualObserver1 Jan 11th 2011 7:56 pm

Climate change sceptics
 
They have gone very quiet. Maybe it's something to do with the terrible flooding and bush fires we have had recently.

carolinephillips Jan 11th 2011 8:00 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 
Still here- I am only sceptical that it is entirely man-made, I think climates change naturally, and man is just helping the efforts along.

CasualObserver1 Jan 11th 2011 8:06 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by carolinephillips (Post 9094118)
Still here- I am only sceptical that it is entirely man-made, I think climates change naturally, and man is just helping the efforts along.

I don't think anyone has ever argued climate change is 'entirely' man made. The debate is what impact human actions are having on the recent period of warming.

ozzieeagle Jan 11th 2011 8:55 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by CasualObserver1 (Post 9094128)
I don't think anyone has ever argued climate change is 'entirely' man made. The debate is what impact human actions are having on the recent period of warming.


Spoiler alert.

Earths Climate has always been dynamic.

The argument is how much impact man has made on this. Personally I'm certain it's negligible.

If we were pumping oxygen out into the Atmosphere at the same rate as we have Carbon then possibly would have some serious worries on our hands.

Thats one thing this pseudo nouveau religion debate has taught me.... We are worried about the wrong climate effect.

CasualObserver1 Jan 11th 2011 9:10 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by ozzieeagle (Post 9094249)
Spoiler alert.

Earths Climate has always been dynamic.

The argument is how much impact man has made on this.

I think we are having a big impact on climate change and I consider that our actions are speeding things up. Yes, climate change has been dynamic but we have been on the earth for a fraction of geological time and there have been periods in geological history where humans would struggle to survive.

he most worrying thing is that when I was doing my Geology degree the lecturers explained that it takes around 100 years for the effects of greenhouses gases in the atmosphere to be felt.

Regardless of whether you are a sceptic or not, it's hard to deny that humans have had a severe detrimental impact on our planet (e.g. pollution, urban sprawl, deforestation, species extinction etc).

quoll Jan 11th 2011 9:21 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by ozzieeagle (Post 9094249)
Spoiler alert.

Earths Climate has always been dynamic.

The argument is how much impact man has made on this. Personally I'm certain it's negligible.

If we were pumping oxygen out into the Atmosphere at the same rate as we have Carbon then possibly would have some serious worries on our hands.

Thats one thing this pseudo nouveau religion debate has taught me.... We are worried about the wrong climate effect.

You are so right. We need to be worrying more about the stupidity of building in flood plains and failing to adapt to bush living by taking appropriate precautions (because we arent allowed to for fear of decimating the population of green toed spotted geckos), failing to take into account growing populations and their infrastructure needs etc. The CO2 religion is diverting attention away from where it really needs to be - adaptation to a climate we know changes drastically and always has. This is NOT a new phenomenon, we have had floods and fires before and just as bad except not with the same population density.

As the evidence grows that we are in fact heading into a period of significant cooling, we should be a darn sight more worried about the effect that will have. Another mini ice age wouldnt be my choice.

CasualObserver1 Jan 11th 2011 9:26 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by quoll (Post 9094315)

As the evidence grows that we are in fact heading into a period of significant cooling, we should be a darn sight more worried about the effect that will have. Another mini ice age wouldnt be my choice.

What evidence would this be? The global cooling myth has been around since the 1970s.

Bernieboy Jan 11th 2011 9:27 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by CasualObserver1 (Post 9094328)
What evidence would this be? The global cooling myth has been around since the 1970s.

So have yer clothes:p

hevs Jan 11th 2011 9:54 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 
But whenever there is a disaster on theis scale they compare it to "The great flood of '74" And with the bushfires....compared to Black Friday in 1934 etc etc, its happened before....so is it global warming? cooling? Or mother nature being a big beatch?

Gjn200 Jan 11th 2011 10:39 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 
Brisbane's Major Floods

* 1841 - 8.4m
* 1844 - 7m
* 1864 - 3.8m
* 1887 - 3.8m
* 1889 - 3.8m
* 1890 - 5.3m
* 1893 - 8.3m
* 1907 - 3.5m
* 1974 - 5.45m

Interesting stats there.

CasualObserver1 Jan 11th 2011 10:41 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by hevs (Post 9094407)
But whenever there is a disaster on theis scale they compare it to "The great flood of '74" And with the bushfires....compared to Black Friday in 1934 etc etc, its happened before....so is it global warming? cooling? Or mother nature being a big beatch?

it's impossible to determine whether individual weather events are caused by global warming, however, the increasing intensity/frequency of global events is a major concern.

Gjn200 Jan 11th 2011 10:46 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by CasualObserver1 (Post 9094503)
it's impossible to determine whether individual weather events are caused by global warming, however, the increasing intensity/frequency of global events is a major concern.

Or is it with global media we now know what is happening everywhere? 300 years ago what was happening in around the world, a flood in Aus,an earthquake in NZ, a Tsunami in Indonesia who (in the west)would know?

CasualObserver1 Jan 11th 2011 10:56 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by Gjn200 (Post 9094511)
Or is it with global media we now know what is happening everywhere? 300 years ago what was happening in around the world, a flood in Aus,an earthquake in NZ, a Tsunami in Indonesia who (in the west)would know?

Possibly for the general public. But scientists have been studying climatology for thousands of years.

TiddlyPom Jan 11th 2011 10:59 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by quoll (Post 9094315)
You are so right. We need to be worrying more about the stupidity of building in flood plains and failing to adapt to bush living by taking appropriate precautions .....

Like living in Queensland and not building a house on stilts.... :unsure:

DadAgain Jan 11th 2011 11:12 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by Gjn200 (Post 9094511)
..300 years ago what was happening in around the world, a flood in Aus,an earthquake in NZ, a Tsunami in Indonesia who (in the west)would know?

Geologists....

'Natural disaster' (for want of a beter term) history is easy enough to study if you know what to look for.

Hence the relevant scientists know about things like devasting yellowstone supervolcanic activity thas only blown a handful of times in the last 2.1 million years. No human have observed an eruption directly - but the evidence is irrefutable.

I'm sure the same is true of major flood events (which leave significant deposits) - they can be measured restrospectively without anyone having observed them.


Having said that, I agree with your sentiment one reason the world seems so utterly f*&ked up at the moment is we all get to hear about every 'newsworthy' event - and now in glorious HD technicolour to make things as dramatic as possible.



(Office operating perfectly normally and everyone present here at work today in Brisbane.... no need for hystrical over-reactions!)

CasualObserver1 Jan 11th 2011 11:17 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by DadAgain (Post 9094554)
Geologists....

'Natural disaster' (for want of a beter term) history is easy enough to study if you know what to look for.

Hence the relevant scientists know about things like devasting yellowstone supervolcanic activity thas only blown a handful of times in the last 2.1 million years. No human have observed an eruption directly - but the evidence is irrefutable.

I'm sure the same is true of major flood events (which leave significant deposits) - they can be measured restrospectively without anyone having observed them.


Having said that, I agree with your sentiment one reason the world seems so utterly f*&ked up at the moment is we all get to hear about every 'newsworthy' event - and now in glorious HD technicolour to make things as dramatic as possible.



(Office operating perfectly normally and everyone present here at work today in Brisbane.... no need for hystrical over-reactions!)

I remember studying carbon isotopes while doing my geology degree ! Fun times.

I agree though. The media does go over the top. Channel 9's coverage of the floods has been way over the top. I have found it sensationalist and, in some cases, insensitive/disrespectful to the people who have sadly lost their lives in QLD.

mulben Jan 11th 2011 11:23 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by CasualObserver1 (Post 9094503)
however, the increasing intensity/frequency of global events is a major concern.

This is a direct quote from the Seventh-day Adventist Church in their door to door spiel . (and about as accurate )::unsure:

CasualObserver1 Jan 11th 2011 11:24 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by mulben (Post 9094564)
This is a direct quote from the Seventh-day Adventist Church in their door to door spiel . (and about as accurate )::unsure:

Care to elaborate on this statement?

Could you provide evidence as to why what I have said is inaccurate?

mulben Jan 11th 2011 11:37 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by CasualObserver1 (Post 9094568)
Care to elaborate on this statement?

Could you provide evidence as to why what I have said is inaccurate?

increasing frequency and intensity of global events are not supported by any factual information it is just an opinion of what you think .

Floods and drought have always been around , the greater population density magnify s the problem , but is the problem any worse ?

Bix Jan 11th 2011 11:37 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 
Whether you believe in climate change or not the single biggest detrimental effect humanity is bringing on the planet is caused by population growth.

More people = more food = more energy = more industrialization = more concrete...and so on.

Control population = control demand = stability.

CasualObserver1 Jan 11th 2011 11:43 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by mulben (Post 9094592)
increasing frequency and intensity of global events are not supported by any factual information it is just an opinion of what you think .

Floods and drought have always been around , the greater population density magnify s the problem , but is the problem any worse ?

Oh really? You had better inform all of the scientists studying the impacts of global warming and the increase of extreme weather that they are wasting their time. It's just my opinion after all.

So in your opinion the only factor that influences flooding and drought is population density? Interesting.

mulben Jan 11th 2011 11:50 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by CasualObserver1 (Post 9094605)
Oh really? You had better inform all of the scientists studying the impacts of global warming and the increase of extreme weather that they are wasting their time. It's just my opinion after all.

So in your opinion the only factor that influences flooding and drought is population density? Interesting.

no , I don,t agree with your off the cuff remarks , what I do agree with is that climate is dynamic , read a small bit of what Benjamin Franklin c1750 had to say about the Gulf Stream and its effect on European climate and what would happen in the case of warming in the Arctic - it makes interesting conclusions, which could be said is what is happening now.

the increase of extreme weather - I have yet to see any statistical evidence of this "fact "

The Australian BOM usually uses a 30 span to show changes , not a 10 year snip.

CasualObserver1 Jan 11th 2011 11:59 pm

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by mulben (Post 9094618)
no , I don,t agree with your off the cuff remarks , what I do agree with is that climate is dynamic , read a small bit of what Benjamin Franklin c1750 had to say about the Gulf Stream and its effect on European climate and what would happen in the case of warming in the Arctic - it makes interesting conclusions, which could be said is what is happening now.

My off the cuff remarks? :rofl: It was you that made disparaging comments comparing me to the Seventh-day Adventist church. I am prepared to forgive you though.

Also, nobody is arguing that the climate isn't dynamic. The whole point of the debate revolves around human affectation on climate change.

CasualObserver1 Jan 12th 2011 12:02 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by mulben (Post 9094618)

the increase of extreme weather - I have yet to see any statistical evidence of this "fact "

The Australian BOM usually uses a 30 span to show changes , not a 10 year snip.

Google it. I respect your opinion to disagree with the evidence but you can't just say it doesn't exists as this is incorrect.

mulben Jan 12th 2011 12:03 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by CasualObserver1 (Post 9094630)
My off the cuff remarks? :rofl: It's was you that made disparaging comments comparing me to the Seventh-day Adventist church.

Also, no one is arguing that the climate isn't dynamic.

So we agree on something , all my comment is about is the use of the term "increasing frequency / intensity " - I will leave it at that , cheers.

Broad Shoulders Jan 12th 2011 1:36 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by CasualObserver1 (Post 9094128)
I don't think anyone has ever argued climate change is 'entirely' man made. The debate is what impact human actions are having on the recent period of warming.

Agreed, except I don't think it works the other way. You'll struggle to find any climate change believers who say that it is ONLY down to man. However there are plenty of sceptics out there who will tell you that man doesn't contribute to global warming one bit and it is a consequence that we have no control over.

CasualObserver1 Jan 12th 2011 2:12 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by Broad Shoulders (Post 9094743)
Agreed, except I don't think it works the other way. You'll struggle to find any climate change believers who say that it is ONLY down to man. However there are plenty of sceptics out there who will tell you that man doesn't contribute to global warming one bit and it is a consequence that we have no control over.

There are a lot of climate change sceptics that will tell you it's all a bit of a conspiracy theory. Maybe it appeals to a certain demographic. ;)

ozzieeagle Jan 12th 2011 2:15 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by hevs (Post 9094407)
But whenever there is a disaster on theis scale they compare it to "The great flood of '74" And with the bushfires....compared to Black Friday in 1934 etc etc, its happened before....so is it global warming? cooling? Or mother nature being a big beatch?


Well before the Carbonites, Banjo Patterson had it summed up back in 1895

I love A Sunburnt Country

The love of field and coppice,
Of green and shaded Lanes,
Of ordered woods and gardens,
Is running in your veins;
Strong love of grey-blue distance,
Brown streams and soft, dim skies -
I know but cannot share it,
My love is otherwise.


I love a sunburnt country,
A land of sweeping plains,
Of ragged mountain ranges,
Of drought and flooding rains,
I love her far horizons,
I love her jewel sea,
Her beauty and her terror -
The wide brown land for me.



The tragic ring-barked forests
Stark white beneath the moon,
The sapphire-misted mountains,
The hot gold hush of noon.
Green tangle of the brushes
Where lithe lianas coil,
An orchids deck the tree-tops
And ferns the crimson soil.



Core of my heart, my country!
Her pitiless blue sky,
When sick at heart around us
We see the cattle die -
But then the grey clouds gather
And we can bless again
The drumming of an army,
The steady, soaking rain.



Core of my heart, my country!
Land of the Rainbow Gold,
For flood and fire and famine,
She pays us back threefold;
Over the thirsty paddocks,
Watch, after many days,
The filmy veil of greenness
That thickens as we gaze.



An opal-hearted country,
A wilful, lavish land -
All you who have not loved her,
You will not understand -
Though Earth holds many splendours,
Wherever I may die,
I know to what brown Country
My homing thoughts will fly.

quoll Jan 12th 2011 2:51 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 
Umm actually that would have been Dorothea McKellar would it not?

ozzieeagle Jan 12th 2011 3:39 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by quoll (Post 9094866)
Umm actually that would have been Dorothea McKellar would it not?

Yes you are correct...


http://www.dorotheamackellar.com.au/.../mycountry.htm

iamthecreaturefromuranus Jan 12th 2011 3:56 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by CasualObserver1 (Post 9094108)
They have gone very quiet. Maybe it's something to do with the terrible flooding and bush fires we have had recently.

In one of the countless other climate/global warming threads I posted this...

Is the world getting warmer.. probably.
Are 'we' to blame... debatable, but probably.
Can we do anything about it... probably.
Will we do anything about it... not a bloody hope.

I think we would be much better planning for its effects than trying to prevent them because I would be amazed if we, as a planet, can stop what is already in process.... especially with the economic growth of the BRIC nations.

I'm not saying that we shouldn't at least attempt to limit CO2 emissions, just that I think the process of warming is already underway and won't be stopped by any actions we take now.


Nothing has changed my opionion so far.

CasualObserver1 Jan 12th 2011 4:24 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by iamthecreaturefromuranus (Post 9094949)
In one of the countless other climate/global warming threads I posted this...

Is the world getting warmer.. probably.
Are 'we' to blame... debatable, but probably.
Can we do anything about it... probably.
Will we do anything about it... not a bloody hope.

I think we would be much better planning for its effects than trying to prevent them because I would be amazed if we, as a planet, can stop what is already in process.... especially with the economic growth of the BRIC nations.

I'm not saying that we shouldn't at least attempt to limit CO2 emissions, just that I think the process of warming is already underway and won't be stopped by any actions we take now.


Nothing has changed my opionion so far.

Pretty much agree with everything you have said.

To halt the process of global warming will take a complete shift in our society's ideals and ways of living. I don't think everyday people want to do this and that's why the climate change sceptic voice has got so strong. The easy option is to do nothing and hope it will go away. We can then live life as we always have done.

Of course some politicians/big businesses have seized the moment to jump on the sceptic bandwagon as they see cutting emissions as harming existing ways of doing business.

NedKelly Jan 12th 2011 6:28 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by CasualObserver1 (Post 9094605)
Oh really? You had better inform all of the scientists studying the impacts of global warming and the increase of extreme weather that they are wasting their time.................

They are wasting their time and they know they are wasting their time. The only problem is that these days unless you prefix your grant application with "To study the effects of global warming on........." you won't get a grant and you'll be unemployed of teaching undergraduates (god forbid that).

ABCDiamond Jan 12th 2011 6:33 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by CasualObserver1 (Post 9094128)
I don't think anyone has ever argued climate change is 'entirely' man made. The debate is what impact human actions are having on the recent period of warming.

I don't think anyone has denied climate change either :D

Question is: what is a "Climate change sceptic" ? Someone who is sceptical about the cause of the changes ?

MartinLuther Jan 12th 2011 6:37 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 
Can anyone prove it either way? I've yet to see any strong or consistent arguments either way. As evidenced by this thread.

I get the impression that floods and fires have been happening for a long time and they even predate industrialisation.

I also question that scientists have been studying climatology for thousands of years as science (as we now know it) hasn't been around for 1000s of years. I'll give you 750 at most.

CasualObserver1 Jan 12th 2011 6:59 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by MartinLuther (Post 9095129)

I also question that scientists have been studying climatology for thousands of years as science (as we now know it) hasn't been around for 1000s of years. I'll give you 750 at most.

History is obviously not your subject.;) Ancient Egyptians and Babylonians wrote about meteorological and climatological events. The ancient Greeks also wrote about colder and wetter periods in Europe (in the first millennium) than now.

I could find more references to ancient writings about climatology, but I would have to dig out my old text books.

NedKelly Jan 12th 2011 7:35 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by CasualObserver1 (Post 9095160)
History is obviously not your subject.;) Ancient Egyptians and Babylonians wrote about meteorological and climatological events. The ancient Greeks also wrote about colder and wetter periods in Europe (in the first millennium) than now.

I could find more references to ancient writings about climatology, but I would have to dig out my old text books.

And that is studying is it? Rudd went to Kyoto to sign up a climate change deal and wrote a speech yet it is clear he knows FA about anything. Was he studying it then?

Bernieboy Jan 12th 2011 7:48 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by NedKelly (Post 9095196)
And that is studying is it? Rudd went to Kyoto to sign up a climate change deal and wrote a speech yet it is clear he knows FA about anything. Was he studying it then?

Ah but he didn't have yer man Casual's text books to refer too:rolleyes:

NedKelly Jan 12th 2011 7:58 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by Bernie Barfly (Post 9095217)
Ah but he didn't have yer man Casual's text books to refer too:rolleyes:

Maybe he had a few Babylonian tablets and a roll of papyrus. :rolleyes:

Bernieboy Jan 12th 2011 8:07 am

Re: Climate change sceptics
 

Originally Posted by NedKelly (Post 9095231)
Maybe he had a few Babylonian tablets and a roll of papyrus. :rolleyes:

No that's the aussie health service.


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