"Migrant expats priced out of property market"
#76
Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"
i met a young electrician the other day , they had something like a 300000 mortgage and borrowed another 90000 for furniture and got the deposit off the olds . 90000 for furniture ,jesus
#78
Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"
i know just to cover the outgoings he would have to earn 1000 a week pretax money just to cover bills . Thats ok if there is two, thats 500 gross each but then you have to eat ,then no doubt pay car loans . You need 1800-2000 a week every single week just to get by and put a little away and forget about having kids for 50 years .The people who have just bought my house have borrowed 425000 , they have five kids and he is never at home ,hes working in the mines . Great life eh .This house when i arrived here was 80,000 it is now 700,000.Great for me but i was earning 600 a week gross in 1991 , if i was on wages now doing the same job i would be earning between 1000-1200 a week . Bearing in mind 91 and 09 are both recessionary times for construction , the only real difference is about 10% on the interest rates .
I honestly dont know when this crazyness on property is going to end , but as ive said elsewhere the interest rates are so low and property so high there isnt much room for error .Ofcourse the avrage mortgages are lower than the new mortgages , but we need to have new buyers you cant have the same old lot on the ladder buying everything and negative gearing it and the rest of the youung people renting off the previous generation ,which is how i see it slowly playing out .
I honestly dont know when this crazyness on property is going to end , but as ive said elsewhere the interest rates are so low and property so high there isnt much room for error .Ofcourse the avrage mortgages are lower than the new mortgages , but we need to have new buyers you cant have the same old lot on the ladder buying everything and negative gearing it and the rest of the youung people renting off the previous generation ,which is how i see it slowly playing out .
Last edited by king kong; Oct 29th 2009 at 1:12 pm.
#79
Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"
Really the conclusion to that article is that some migrants don't feel happy in purchasing a home because they feel that house prices may collapse as they have done in other places [the UK seems to be the analogue].
I do not see the basis for that other than wishful thinking on the part of people who wish to enter the market. Whilst property prices may cool and level due to affordability directly in relation to household income, the same economic factors which led to UK collapse do not currently exist. The economy is driven differently. Never say never, but it seems to me that the Australian economy is being relatively speaking, reasonably managed.
I also think it would be fair to say that any British migrant has been priced out of the housing market largely not for reasons of doubt at present, more because the exchange rates and shift in economic power toward the East.
I'm not certain this article holds much water at all for me to be honest.
I do not see the basis for that other than wishful thinking on the part of people who wish to enter the market. Whilst property prices may cool and level due to affordability directly in relation to household income, the same economic factors which led to UK collapse do not currently exist. The economy is driven differently. Never say never, but it seems to me that the Australian economy is being relatively speaking, reasonably managed.
I also think it would be fair to say that any British migrant has been priced out of the housing market largely not for reasons of doubt at present, more because the exchange rates and shift in economic power toward the East.
I'm not certain this article holds much water at all for me to be honest.
#80
BE Enthusiast
Joined: Aug 2002
Location: An expat Aussie trying to understand why anyone wants to move to Oz.
Posts: 485
Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"
Uk prices haven't exactly collapsed! 10 years of 10ish% growth year on year and with the worst financial crisis in living memory (or off all time??) they drop by a whopping 15% and are on the rise again in the SE, I'd rather be on rollercoaster than looking on wishing I'd bought a house 5 years ago - even my primitive brain can the the maths work out on this one
For a lot of more recent purchases 15% puts people firmly in negative equity. With unemployment still rising I wouldn't be touching property with a barge pole in the UK right now. Australian real estate is even more overpriced than the UK or the USA ever were so do the maths on that too...
#81
Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"
[QUOTE=Devlin;8055502]What if you see in the distance that the roller-coaster will run out of track?
QUOTE]
Ah but it doubles every 7 years
First investment lesson "Don't base your investment on current tax legislation"
Physics "What goes up comes down"
When agents claim they can't gauge how much property will sell for - does this not concern people??? Would you like your fund manager or broker to make the same claims?
QUOTE]
Ah but it doubles every 7 years
First investment lesson "Don't base your investment on current tax legislation"
Physics "What goes up comes down"
When agents claim they can't gauge how much property will sell for - does this not concern people??? Would you like your fund manager or broker to make the same claims?
#82
Guest
Posts: n/a
Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"
Gobsmacked was my reaction to that. I noticed I was sitting looking at the post with my mouth wide open for a few seconds !!
#83
Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"
What if you see in the distance that the roller-coaster will run out of track?
For a lot of more recent purchases 15% puts people firmly in negative equity. With unemployment still rising I wouldn't be touching property with a barge pole in the UK right now. Australian real estate is even more overpriced than the UK or the USA ever were so do the maths on that too...
For a lot of more recent purchases 15% puts people firmly in negative equity. With unemployment still rising I wouldn't be touching property with a barge pole in the UK right now. Australian real estate is even more overpriced than the UK or the USA ever were so do the maths on that too...
Anybody dithering.... jump on if I were you and hang on for the ride
#84
Account Closed
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 495
Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"
i know just to cover the outgoings he would have to earn 1000 a week pretax money just to cover bills . Thats ok if there is two, thats 500 gross each but then you have to eat ,then no doubt pay car loans . You need 1800-2000 a week every single week just to get by and put a little away and forget about having kids for 50 years .The people who have just bought my house have borrowed 425000 , they have five kids and he is never at home ,hes working in the mines . Great life eh .This house when i arrived here was 80,000 it is now 700,000.Great for me but i was earning 600 a week gross in 1991 , if i was on wages now doing the same job i would be earning between 1000-1200 a week . Bearing in mind 91 and 09 are both recessionary times for construction , the only real difference is about 10% on the interest rates .
I honestly dont know when this crazyness on property is going to end , but as ive said elsewhere the interest rates are so low and property so high there isnt much room for error .Ofcourse the avrage mortgages are lower than the new mortgages , but we need to have new buyers you cant have the same old lot on the ladder buying everything and negative gearing it and the rest of the youung people renting off the previous generation ,which is how i see it slowly playing out .
I honestly dont know when this crazyness on property is going to end , but as ive said elsewhere the interest rates are so low and property so high there isnt much room for error .Ofcourse the avrage mortgages are lower than the new mortgages , but we need to have new buyers you cant have the same old lot on the ladder buying everything and negative gearing it and the rest of the youung people renting off the previous generation ,which is how i see it slowly playing out .
#85
Account Closed
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 495
Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"
What if you see in the distance that the roller-coaster will run out of track?
For a lot of more recent purchases 15% puts people firmly in negative equity. With unemployment still rising I wouldn't be touching property with a barge pole in the UK right now. Australian real estate is even more overpriced than the UK or the USA ever were so do the maths on that too...
For a lot of more recent purchases 15% puts people firmly in negative equity. With unemployment still rising I wouldn't be touching property with a barge pole in the UK right now. Australian real estate is even more overpriced than the UK or the USA ever were so do the maths on that too...
#87
Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"
ALL booms end in bust, always have done, always will. This boom is no exception.
Unless what has been happening to house prices isn't a boom.
Unless what has been happening to house prices isn't a boom.