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"Migrant expats priced out of property market"

"Migrant expats priced out of property market"

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Old Oct 24th 2009, 12:00 am
  #31  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by hiyer
I don't understand the economics of buying a property in Australia.
Many people prefer to own rather than rent, and be at the mercy of having to move if the property owner chooses not to have a tenant any more.

People like to be able to hang pictures on walls, without having to ask permission to put holes in the walls, etc.

Economics isn't always a factor, as long as they can afford the property they want to live in.

I personally feel that people are wanting too much these days, and are pushing prices up due to the demand of inclusions etc.

In 1911, a new Sydney house was £1,600 and the average wage was £220 per year.

In 1911 house prices were 7.27 times the average wage.

Times haven't changed much have they.
 
Old Oct 24th 2009, 2:56 am
  #32  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by ABCDiamond
Many people prefer to own rather than rent, and be at the mercy of having to move if the property owner chooses not to have a tenant any more.

People like to be able to hang pictures on walls, without having to ask permission to put holes in the walls, etc.

Economics isn't always a factor, as long as they can afford the property they want to live in.

I personally feel that people are wanting too much these days, and are pushing prices up due to the demand of inclusions etc.

In 1911, a new Sydney house was £1,600 and the average wage was £220 per year.

In 1911 house prices were 7.27 times the average wage.

Times haven't changed much have they.
I appreciate your statistics skills ABC Diamond. I too believe that its only the stats which show us the real picture rather than all the myths and speculations we hear. Do you have any stats on number of new properties built in Sydney or Melbourne every week/month.

I read that 1600 pw migrants/students are landing in each of these cities which calls for 500/600 new homes every week. Are we getting that supply?

Last edited by mpgrewal; Oct 24th 2009 at 2:59 am.
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Old Oct 24th 2009, 3:30 am
  #33  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by mpgrewal
IDo you have any stats on number of new properties built in Sydney or Melbourne every week/month.

I read that 1600 pw migrants/students are landing in each of these cities which calls for 500/600 new homes every week. Are we getting that supply?
I can even get the stats on the numbers of applications being processed for future builds

Number of Dwelling Units Approved - Seasonally Adjusted

New South Wales:

1,846 Jun-2009
2,067 Jul-2009
2,474 Aug-2009

Total 6,387 for Jun-Aug 2009 compared to 7,140 in Jun-Aug 2008



Victoria:

3,909 Jun-2009
4,299 Jul-2009
3,894 Aug-2009

Total 12,102 for Jun-Aug 2009 compared to 10,732 in Jun-Aug 2008
 
Old Oct 24th 2009, 3:52 am
  #34  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by Petals
A house is only worth what someone is prepared to pay no matter where it is or what the statistics say.
It certainly is amazing just what people are prepared to pay though.
We are not long in the door from a walk in our neighbourhood and stopped at this auction (ref attached)

Estimated selling range was 440-480.
Sold for 565k, with multiple bidders actively slugging it out in the end.

The madness continues !
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Old Oct 24th 2009, 4:19 am
  #35  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by DownUnderPaddy
Sold for 565k, with multiple bidders actively slugging it out in the end.
and the write-up even says ideal first home !

Just 13kms (8 miles) from the City centre.
 
Old Oct 24th 2009, 4:32 am
  #36  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by ABCDiamond
and the write-up even says ideal first home !

Just 13kms (8 miles) from the City centre.
...but it does not mention the 50k worth of reno work you would probably need to do on it once you have paid the 565k to collect the keys
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Old Oct 24th 2009, 4:35 am
  #37  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by DownUnderPaddy
...but it does not mention the 50k worth of reno work you would probably need to do on it once you have paid the 565k to collect the keys
I guess with multiple bidders slugging it out that indicates it is close to its true price rather than a one off drongo paying far too much?
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Old Oct 24th 2009, 4:37 am
  #38  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by DownUnderPaddy
...but it does not mention the 50k worth of reno work you would probably need to do on it once you have paid the 565k to collect the keys
I think the words "heaps of potential" cover that. At least to a seasoned buyer, but maybe not to a first home buyer ?
 
Old Oct 24th 2009, 4:46 am
  #39  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by fish.01
I guess with multiple bidders slugging it out that indicates it is close to its true price rather than a one off drongo paying far too much?
The true price of what the market is currently prepared to pay, yes.

The figure paid at auction over the last few years always seems to be at least 10% above the upper end of the advised selling range. This is the case for our area in the NE suburbs of Melbourne at any rate.

We have yet to see any house at auction sold for a figure in its advertised selling range and we have rarely seen any properties 'passed in' without being sold.

Where this will all end, who knows ?
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Old Oct 24th 2009, 5:12 am
  #40  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

So, for a house in Rosanna at $565k, how much does that cost in mortgage, etc?

Lets assume a first time buyer with a little over 10% deposit, say $60k. Add on stamp duty & transfer fees of $30k, less the FHOG of $12,500, and so we're looking at a mortgage of $522,500, which at 6% interest is going to cost $3360 per month. Certainly not affordable for a single person or with only one half of a relationship working, on an average wage.

Factor in a potential rate rise and at 7%, it'll cost $3700 p/month, and at 8% it'll cost $4000 per month.

When you can rent the same place for around $370 per week, it's not surprising that buying isn't attractive.
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Old Oct 24th 2009, 5:15 am
  #41  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by ABCDiamond
In 1911, a new Sydney house was £1,600 and the average wage was £220 per year.

In 1911 house prices were 7.27 times the average wage.

Times haven't changed much have they.
I think one of the differences is that in 1911 the average wage would have been provided by one person in the relationship. Nowadays it is almost essential for both people in a relationship to be going out to work, and if they have kids then it's back to work as soon as possible before the bank takes the house.
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Old Oct 24th 2009, 5:20 am
  #42  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by johnnyx0
So, for a house in Rosanna at $565k, how much does that cost in mortgage, etc?

Lets assume a first time buyer with a little over 10% deposit, say $60k. Add on stamp duty & transfer fees of $30k, less the FHOG of $12,500, and so we're looking at a mortgage of $522,500, which at 6% interest is going to cost $3360 per month. Certainly not affordable for a single person or with only one half of a relationship working, on an average wage.

Factor in a potential rate rise and at 7%, it'll cost $3700 p/month, and at 8% it'll cost $4000 per month.

When you can rent the same place for around $370 per week, it's not surprising that buying isn't attractive.

You should use 20% deposit now as less is just not worth considering when going to the banks.
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Old Oct 24th 2009, 5:23 am
  #43  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by Geelong Gent
You should use 20% deposit now as less is just not worth considering when going to the banks.
That'd be nice, but how many first home buyers have $130k savings sat in their bank?

My ex is buying a place at the moment with a 5% deposit!

The house she's buying is in country VIC and is costing a huge amount less than in Melbourne. She'll have a two hour train journey each way to commute into the city every day, and live in a suburb she doesn't like. Personally I don't see the big thing about owning your own bricks and mortar when it costs you a fortune for 25 years for the privilege of living somewhere you don't want to be, and then a quarter of your waking day travelling to & from work.

Last edited by johnnyx0; Oct 24th 2009 at 5:54 am. Reason: Added some more detail...
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Old Oct 24th 2009, 5:33 am
  #44  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Stamp duty is very expensive in Victoria and there's no discount for First Home buyers like in some other states such as NSW & QLD.

ie, for a $500k house:
VIC: $21,970 - no FH buyers discount
NSW: $17,990 (FH buyers - nil)
NT: $23,928 (FH buyers - $8,413)
WA: $17,765 (FH buyers - nil)
TAS: $17,550 - no FH buyers discount
QLD: $8,750 (FH buyers - nil)
ACT: $20,500 - no FH buyers discount
SA: $21,330 - no FH buyers discount

QLD looks a good place to buy, first home buyer or not....

Last edited by johnnyx0; Oct 24th 2009 at 5:35 am. Reason: Forgot SA! Sorry SA, it's easily done....
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Old Oct 24th 2009, 6:17 am
  #45  
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Default Re: "Migrant expats priced out of property market"

Originally Posted by johnnyx0
Reason: Forgot SA! Sorry SA, it's easily done....
I am always doing something like that !! I always need to count that I have all 8 of them, and then work out which one I forgot !!
 


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