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-   -   Exchange rate down to 2.378!! (https://britishexpats.com/forum/australia-54/exchange-rate-down-2-378-a-307138/)

boom_meringue Jun 7th 2005 2:48 am

Re: Exchange rate down to 2.378!!
 

Originally Posted by OzTennis
Two sites I use are XE and HIFX:

http://www.xe.com/ucc/
http://www.hifx.co.uk/members/quotes.asp

Sign up and they will email you the exchange rates for whatever currencies you want on a daily basis. The HIFX site will also give you 'real time' rates whenever you want them. These are the interbank rates which are not quite as good as you or I would get if exchanging.

Interest rates are being set in Australia and the UK this week (today by RBA, tomorrow by BofE I think - if you sign up to HIFX they will also email you the major weekly announcements in UK and Oz ).

The pundits expect over the next 2 years that Australian interest rates will go up by as much as 2-3% or more but that in the short term they will remain steady (no change expected this week). Other things being equal higher interest rates can strengthen a currency (higher return on savings and investments invested in $A's). Of course it's not as simple as this as other things might happen - exports fall as goods more expensive, imports rise as foreign goods cheaper, inflation may set in, it depends what other interest rates are doing 9/11 type events happen, trade figures are releasedd, etc, etc.

I personally don't expect the dollar to strengthen or weaken much in the very short term, probably looking at high $2.30's for a time but who knows months and years down the track? The UK has issues which might affect the £.

Whether or not the $ will weaken in a few months which is what you want is anyone's guess.

OzTennis :)


I've signed up with Xe.com, but am having a problem with the Hifx site. Could you post a direct link to the email sign up please? I hate sites written in ASP, I cannot install new versions of the base software to make it work on this PC at work

thanks

bridiej Jun 7th 2005 2:54 am

Re: Exchange rate down to 2.378!!
 
I've been looking at this site: http://focus.comdirect.co.uk/en/quic...isenkurse.html

worzel Jun 7th 2005 2:57 am

Re: Exchange rate down to 2.378!!
 
I use this site to monitor rates:

http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/f.../one_month.stm

NKSK Jun 7th 2005 3:38 am

Re: Exchange rate down to 2.378!!
 

Originally Posted by kirsty&al
Surely the decision not to increase rates should weaken the $ (as it becomes less attractive). This recent dip may be because of the EU "no votes"; I noticed that the euro has weakened considerably against the $ and the £ may be going down in sympathy (because of the close ties to Europe ;) ).

I reckon there's going to be some turbulence until the EU situation is fudged - sorry - sorted.

A.

MPC = Bank of England. Not raising rates will weaken the £GBP (and therefore relatively strengthen the AUS$ and other currencies) if the market was expecting a rate rise.

kirsty&al Jun 7th 2005 12:05 pm

Re: Exchange rate down to 2.378!!
 

Originally Posted by NKSK
MPC = Bank of England. Not raising rates will weaken the £GBP (and therefore relatively strengthen the AUS$ and other currencies) if the market was expecting a rate rise.

Yep, sorry, misread the post (I was thinking of a later post that was asking whether increasing Oz rates would be better for £->$ rate).

I still think that the EU uncertainty will cause some downward pressure on the € and £.

Regards
Alistair :)

Hels Jun 7th 2005 12:17 pm

Re: Exchange rate down to 2.378!!
 
My forcast is that around the end of July - early August the exchange rate for GBP to AUD will be no higher than 1:1...

How do I know this? Its because thats when we will FINALLY have the proceeds from the FIL's estate and can transfer the money......... :rolleyes:

We have never been that lucky when it comes to money stuff and it will be just our luck that some catastrophe will occur just before we send the money over!!

So be warned...get your money over quick. I will post a warning when we know when we are sending over our money so you can all get in ahead!!

:D ;)

OzTennis Jun 8th 2005 2:01 am

Re: Exchange rate down to 2.378!!
 

Originally Posted by Steve&Clare
I've signed up with Xe.com, but am having a problem with the Hifx site. Could you post a direct link to the email sign up please? I hate sites written in ASP, I cannot install new versions of the base software to make it work on this PC at work

thanks

These are the different links I have for HIFX:

http://www.hifx.co.uk/pservices/emigration.asp
http://www.hifx.co.uk/members/quotes.asp

I either signed up for emails or they sent me newsletters after I did our first trade with them if this is of any use. They provide an extremely efficient service and I would highly recommend them (3 or 4 trades absolutely spot on so far, many trades with Commonwealth Bank before that).

OzTennis :)

OzTennis Jun 8th 2005 2:12 am

Re: Exchange rate down to 2.378!!
 

Originally Posted by Hels
My forcast is that around the end of July - early August the exchange rate for GBP to AUD will be no higher than 1:1...

How do I know this? Its because thats when we will FINALLY have the proceeds from the FIL's estate and can transfer the money......... :rolleyes:

We have never been that lucky when it comes to money stuff and it will be just our luck that some catastrophe will occur just before we send the money over!!

So be warned...get your money over quick. I will post a warning when we know when we are sending over our money so you can all get in ahead!!

:D ;)

Just after our Bendigo days we moved quite a few A$'s (or so it seemed at the time) at $1.33 = £1! We've also moved £'s at $3.049 = £1. The average of all our trades is $2.649 so this shows the volatility of the exchange rate. Having said that it has been around and mainly below $2.50 for most of the last year or two and it is difficult to see the A$ weakening to above $2.50 in the foreseeable future - $2.40's maybe; $2.20's maybe. :D

OzTennis :)

the plumber Jun 8th 2005 9:19 am

Re: Exchange rate down to 2.378!!
 
Nearly 3 yrs ago when we first wanted to live i oz , it was over $3 to the £ and from the day we decided we definitely wanted to live there , the bloody £ dropped like a stone .....went as low as $2.20 ( i think) and many were saying it would soon be $2 to the £.

In the end we managed to get $2.4 and felt lucky to get that!

So all i can say is that.......it's a guessing game and no one really knows the market ....not even the experts..... :confused:


all the best plum ;)

gajjitt Jul 18th 2005 11:48 pm

Re: Exchange rate down to 2.378!!
 
1 Attachment(s)

Originally Posted by the plumber
Nearly 3 yrs ago when we first wanted to live i oz , it was over $3 to the £ and from the day we decided we definitely wanted to live there , the bloody £ dropped like a stone .....went as low as $2.20 ( i think) and many were saying it would soon be $2 to the £.

In the end we managed to get $2.4 and felt lucky to get that!

So all i can say is that.......it's a guessing game and no one really knows the market ....not even the experts..... :confused:


all the best plum ;)

Yikes, Commonwealth Bank have the exch rate at $2.3060 = £1, the lowest I've seen it!!

I hope it starts to go up soon....!

Paul


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