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-   -   Aussie population stats (https://britishexpats.com/forum/australia-54/aussie-population-stats-809300/)

paulry Sep 23rd 2013 10:00 am

Re: Aussie population stats
 
Apparently there is no population explosion on this planet. :blink:

Amazulu Sep 23rd 2013 12:05 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by paulry (Post 10914767)

Socialist mumbo jumbo

Amazulu Sep 23rd 2013 12:06 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 
Population growth in the 1st world is not a problem but in the 3rd world it is

the troubadour Sep 23rd 2013 3:35 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by paulry (Post 10914767)

Right about too few having too much.....even worse is those victim to the con often fall for the con...

the troubadour Sep 23rd 2013 3:37 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by Amazulu (Post 10914915)
Population growth in the 1st world is not a problem but in the 3rd world it is

Really? I don't see any countries with rapidly growing populations happy with their lot nor becoming better off.

the troubadour Sep 23rd 2013 3:39 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by Amazulu (Post 10914914)
Socialist mumbo jumbo

All very much how it is actually.

Wol Sep 23rd 2013 3:54 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by paulry (Post 10914767)

Hilarious twaddle!

What those optimists who constantly quote projections of "only" a stable population of 9.3Bn forget - or choose to ignore - is that if the planet can only sustainably support a population of a fraction of that figure it's meaningless.

Assuming (as I do) that it's reasonable to think the third world aspires to the standard of living that we do, some have calculated that a sustainable population is only in the order of 2.5 - 3Bn. That's the number of people alive when I was a student! And that figure assumes starting from a sustainable base anyway, not from where we are now, with depleted reserves of oil, ores and energy.

All populations will expand until they crash: technology has allowed humans to outperform the norm but sooner or later the crash will come and be all the worse for it. :eek:

Bix Sep 23rd 2013 9:04 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 
Perhaps it's time for WW3, or psycho at the button nuclear terrorist or HIV mark2.

Or do we await natural phenomena like drowning in the bath or cyclonic activity to balance nature?

Actually look at the natural world and it has had a reputation of controlling anomalies.

Beaverstate Sep 23rd 2013 9:09 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by Bix (Post 10915331)
Perhaps it's time for WW3, or psycho at the button nuclear terrorist or HIV mark2.

Or do we await natural phenomena like drowning in the bath or cyclonic activity to balance nature?

Actually look at the natural world and it has had a reputation of controlling anomalies.

You forgot pandemics:)

Bix Sep 23rd 2013 9:11 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by Beaverstate (Post 10915339)
You forgot pandemics:)


:lol: I did, I did, but I was leaning toward the bath solution. :D

paulry Sep 23rd 2013 9:27 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by Wol (Post 10915100)
Hilarious twaddle!

What those optimists who constantly quote projections of "only" a stable population of 9.3Bn forget - or choose to ignore - is that if the planet can only sustainably support a population of a fraction of that figure it's meaningless.

Assuming (as I do) that it's reasonable to think the third world aspires to the standard of living that we do, some have calculated that a sustainable population is only in the order of 2.5 - 3Bn. That's the number of people alive when I was a student! And that figure assumes starting from a sustainable base anyway, not from where we are now, with depleted reserves of oil, ores and energy.

All populations will expand until they crash: technology has allowed humans to outperform the norm but sooner or later the crash will come and be all the worse for it. :eek:

There's a catch 22 situation here that makes the above outcome look inevitable.

Bix Sep 23rd 2013 10:25 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 
The whole bloody thing is skewed by the concept that improvement can only be derived from expansion and growth.

Yet improvement and the speed of it can come from maintaining an equilibrium that could satiate reasoned desire.

Problem; avarice kills reason.

Wol Sep 23rd 2013 11:11 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 
>>Yet improvement and the speed of it can come from maintaining an equilibrium that could satiate reasoned desire.<<

If I could understand that one I'd agree with it. ;)

Bix Sep 23rd 2013 11:28 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by Wol (Post 10915478)
>>Yet improvement and the speed of it can come from maintaining an equilibrium that could satiate reasoned desire.<<

If I could understand that one I'd agree with it. ;)

:lol: Would you like a glass?

paulry Sep 24th 2013 12:06 am

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by Bix (Post 10915495)
:lol: Would you like a glass?

For a minute I thought Badge had hijacked your login :D

Bix Sep 24th 2013 12:12 am

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by paulry (Post 10915527)
For a minute I thought Badge had hijacked your login :D

Fark.
I'm not touching this stuff anymore. :lol:

paulry Sep 24th 2013 12:16 am

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by Bix (Post 10915534)
Fark.
I'm not touching this stuff anymore. :lol:

Hopefully the damage isn't permanent :fingerscrossed:

Bix Sep 24th 2013 12:19 am

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by paulry (Post 10915543)
Hopefully the damage isn't permanent :fingerscrossed:

I know a lot of people that would say it took place long ago. :D

paulry Sep 26th 2013 3:58 am

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by Bix (Post 10915549)
I know a lot of people that would say it took place long ago. :D

The same is true of many of us :o

balkanghost Oct 2nd 2013 8:09 am

Re: Aussie population stats
 
The definition of population changed in 2006 with the 12/16 month rule which includes permanent immigrants, and temps e.g. 2nd year backpackers, international students, 457 workers, dependents, NZs and even Oz citizens if more returning vs leaving.

If you exclude temps the high population growth rate looks very tepid indeed.

Meanwhile many demographers are contesting the UNs high end growth and predict that population decline may commence within a generation.......

However, in Oz the high end data is used by the anti population growth lobby and bigots to demand lower immigration (from Asia/Africa).....

The real issue is how do we manage both ageing and declining populations.

GarryP Oct 2nd 2013 12:33 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by Bix (Post 10915423)
The whole bloody thing is skewed by the concept that improvement can only be derived from expansion and growth.

Yet improvement and the speed of it can come from maintaining an equilibrium that could satiate reasoned desire.

Our society, since about the 16th century, has been built on continued expansion and growth. No growth means no interest, which means no banking as we know it. It also means no population growth either, which means explicit or implicit control of fertility.

In short, it's easier for the world society to crash than it is to get from here to a 'no growth' world.

The agent of the crash and rebalancing of population is likely to be disease/food - wars really don't cut it when you are looking at population numbers (remember the post war baby boomers).

However, it's pretty unlikely we would learn any lessons, even after a crash. The one that 'cheats' and goes for growth will outcompete the one that doesn't.

In short, we're screwed.

balkanghost Oct 6th 2013 8:56 am

Re: Aussie population stats
 
Bit pessimistic and wishing for catastrophe?

paulry Oct 6th 2013 3:40 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 

Originally Posted by balkanghost (Post 10933096)
Bit pessimistic and wishing for catastrophe?

No need to wish for one. Humanity's inability to deal with the population explosion means it's coming sooner or later - regardless of any other measures that are taken

balkanghost Oct 6th 2013 6:21 pm

Re: Aussie population stats
 
I'd get your laughing gear round this from Prof. Ian Goldin, it's not doom and gloom, and for most countries they will be desperate for workers etc. within a generation when ageing and declining populations kick in:

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/ian-...b_1064352.html

However, the doom and gloom comes from Sustainable Population Australia, Stable Population Party, Population Matters UK and offshoots of Zero Population Group in the USA, all are influenced by one man, John Tanton, the racist founder of the modern anti immigration movement.


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