GB pound weakening
#106
Re: GB pound weakening
I suspect it is all of those things, but most importantly the interest rates. The Brit has no concept of saving. If given a payrise he thinks good, now I can borrow more. The politicians realise this and therefore thought that a Britain with Euro low interest rates would not be good. Looking at the UK today I think they have a point.
I think people take a lot of pride in their currency, or certainly the british do and I think that is a good thing to be honest.
If the UK went into the Euro then prices in the UK would soar also.
Spain went from being a very, very cheap country to live in to getting very close to UK prices within 6 years on many things, not * all * to do with the Euro but personally I think it has a lot to answer for here.
#107
Re: GB pound weakening
Loosing their own currency and price rises would probably be a couple of the main reasons that the 'man in the street' might give. In Spain many items at 100 pts went to 1 Euro (66% rise overnight!) that was the first day and prices in general haven't stopped going up since, and not by 2 or 3 pesetas at a time as they used to!
I think people take a lot of pride in their currency, or certainly the british do and I think that is a good thing to be honest.
If the UK went into the Euro then prices in the UK would soar also.
Spain went from being a very, very cheap country to live in to getting very close to UK prices within 6 years on many things, not * all * to do with the Euro but personally I think it has a lot to answer for here.
I think people take a lot of pride in their currency, or certainly the british do and I think that is a good thing to be honest.
If the UK went into the Euro then prices in the UK would soar also.
Spain went from being a very, very cheap country to live in to getting very close to UK prices within 6 years on many things, not * all * to do with the Euro but personally I think it has a lot to answer for here.
You can but dream.
#109
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Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2008
Location: The Charente - still smiling.
Posts: 2,624
Re: GB pound weakening
As a non British person, but in Euroland, can I politely ask if you would join the Euro now ? (if that were possible due to criteria etc.)
Also, can I ask why there is so much resistance from British people to joining the Euro?
Maybe it's not being able to set your own interest rates, or not having the Queen on the currency notes..... etc.
Is it something to do with sovereignty, wanting to be independent of Europe or what? I'm a bit baffled by the complete anti Euro stance I notice from Britain, and all I want is a reasoned explanation!
I'll get me coat now....
Also, can I ask why there is so much resistance from British people to joining the Euro?
Maybe it's not being able to set your own interest rates, or not having the Queen on the currency notes..... etc.
Is it something to do with sovereignty, wanting to be independent of Europe or what? I'm a bit baffled by the complete anti Euro stance I notice from Britain, and all I want is a reasoned explanation!
I'll get me coat now....
Britain is a world trader. Although 50 percent of our exports go to Europe, that percentage has hardly changed despite the expansion from 7 to 9 to 15 to 27 nations. The world market is simply more important than a fading European backwater, and this can only grow. It is long past time that Europe recognised its position as a rapidly declining post-imperial power of increasing irrelevance in the modern world.
Germany, it is true, is a larger exporter, but the overwhelming majority of German exports are to continental Europe. The Euro is simply not as significant for Britain as it is for the European mainland who, because they share borders, do most of their trade with their neighbours. You can run a lorry or a railway wagon from one end of Europe to another without needing to unload it. The same is not true if you have to put your exports on a ship - we see little difference between exporting to France and exporting to China or India.
Then there are the very real practical issues. How can you run a single currency when you have twenty seven Treasuries and twenty seven Finance ministers? Only by EXPLICITLY stating that both political and economic sovereignty rest solely in Brussels. And try getting that past Germany!
Euro fans may believe that they have a single currency but in fact they have a common one, sharing common notes and coins. (If they had the same currency, it would not be possible for the markets to demand 150 pips more for long term debt in Club Med economies than for the Nordic). The notes are guaranteed by the individual member states. There is no ECB guarantee, only a dependent one. (There is already a premium for 500 Euro notes issued by the Bundesbank).
The real test of a currency as a reliable medium of exchange is how it copes with reverses. The current economic turbulence is the first real test of the Euro's viability, and judged on it's performance so far, the omens are not very promising. Sarkozy is busy grandstanding with other peoples' money, Merkel refuses to accept that a common currency demands a common approach to each others' problems, and neither of them seem to give two hoots for Greece Italy and Spain.
(The truly interesting question is how much of a premium the markets would demand for British debt were we already in the Euro? Probably enough to break the system apart without the major reforms necessary to convert a common currency into a single one.)
I agree with many of the cynical comments that this Government (and the next of whatever hue) will try to use the financial crisis to trick the UK into the Euro. I am not sure the other European nations are quite so daft as to want us in, given that our levels of public debt now make Italy look parsimonious.
And underlying it all is the simple fact that as a people we know our government(s) is lying to us and has been doing so for 35 years. What we don't know is WHY? We therefore are deeply suspicious of their motives.
Last edited by bigglesworth; Dec 13th 2008 at 11:44 am. Reason: change 15 to 150
#110
Just Joined
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 5
Re: GB pound weakening
Wow Bigglesworth! Thank you for such a comprehensive reply.
I happen to agree with most of your obs. I live in Ireland now, and we too are an island nation, more to the West though, so therefore a bit more isolated than Britain, and we don't have a Eurotunnel!
Still, realistically our major export market is Britain, that is why (amongst other more pressing things) we are suffering with the drop in the Pound. Also, if we, and other small nations could have increased our interest rates during the boom years then maybe the current crisis would have been a bit less daunting. If we had also been able to devalue our currency, exports to places like Britain would have been so much easier financially.
Lots of food for thought. Still, I love going anywhere in the Eurozone with my euro in my pocket and my credit card statement and ATM withdrawals with no extra charges. I can also compare prices in my own country instantly with those in Eurozone. Not the very best reason for the Euro, I know, still not a bad one either!
I happen to agree with most of your obs. I live in Ireland now, and we too are an island nation, more to the West though, so therefore a bit more isolated than Britain, and we don't have a Eurotunnel!
Still, realistically our major export market is Britain, that is why (amongst other more pressing things) we are suffering with the drop in the Pound. Also, if we, and other small nations could have increased our interest rates during the boom years then maybe the current crisis would have been a bit less daunting. If we had also been able to devalue our currency, exports to places like Britain would have been so much easier financially.
Lots of food for thought. Still, I love going anywhere in the Eurozone with my euro in my pocket and my credit card statement and ATM withdrawals with no extra charges. I can also compare prices in my own country instantly with those in Eurozone. Not the very best reason for the Euro, I know, still not a bad one either!
#111
Re: GB pound weakening
(If they had the same currency, it would not be possible for the markets to demand 150 pips more for long term debt in Club Med economies than for the Nordic)
I can also compare prices in my own country instantly with those in Eurozone. Not the very best reason for the Euro, I know, still not a bad one either!
#112
Re: GB pound weakening
I suspect it is all of those things, but most importantly the interest rates. The Brit has no concept of saving. If given a payrise he thinks good, now I can borrow more. The politicians realise this and therefore thought that a Britain with Euro low interest rates would not be good. Looking at the UK today I think they have a point.
#114
BE Enthusiast
Joined: Apr 2006
Location: Manchester
Posts: 309
Re: GB pound weakening
You scaremongers!!
Been a Financial Advisor 25 years, good times bad times, Worked currencies investments ect got the T-Shirt, let me explain, INFLATION IS FALLING, SALARIES ARE STILL RISING, HOUSE PRICES HAVE NOT FELL TO THE PROJECTED FALL, BARGINS IN THE SHOPS LIKE NEVER BEFORE, So while it may not be all jolly, it may be a time to be a little less melancholy!! The €URO will come back because, firstly, the sterling would never be devalued to Parity or convert to another currency due to Imperial reasons and secondly, Germany the Strongest economic country in the Eurozone have made it quite clear that dealing with the pound sterling would be totally unacceptable, they can be very stubborn you know! Having worked in a Bank in Hamburg!!! Keep the faith, Ombhama U.S.A. WILL sort all economies out and then everyone can use thier credit card again!! Whats the problem?
Been a Financial Advisor 25 years, good times bad times, Worked currencies investments ect got the T-Shirt, let me explain, INFLATION IS FALLING, SALARIES ARE STILL RISING, HOUSE PRICES HAVE NOT FELL TO THE PROJECTED FALL, BARGINS IN THE SHOPS LIKE NEVER BEFORE, So while it may not be all jolly, it may be a time to be a little less melancholy!! The €URO will come back because, firstly, the sterling would never be devalued to Parity or convert to another currency due to Imperial reasons and secondly, Germany the Strongest economic country in the Eurozone have made it quite clear that dealing with the pound sterling would be totally unacceptable, they can be very stubborn you know! Having worked in a Bank in Hamburg!!! Keep the faith, Ombhama U.S.A. WILL sort all economies out and then everyone can use thier credit card again!! Whats the problem?
#115
Re: GB pound weakening
You scaremongers!!
Been a Financial Advisor 25 years, good times bad times, Worked currencies investments ect got the T-Shirt, let me explain, INFLATION IS FALLING, SALARIES ARE STILL RISING, HOUSE PRICES HAVE NOT FELL TO THE PROJECTED FALL, BARGINS IN THE SHOPS LIKE NEVER BEFORE, So while it may not be all jolly, it may be a time to be a little less melancholy!! The €URO will come back because, firstly, the sterling would never be devalued to Parity or convert to another currency due to Imperial reasons and secondly, Germany the Strongest economic country in the Eurozone have made it quite clear that dealing with the pound sterling would be totally unacceptable, they can be very stubborn you know! Having worked in a Bank in Hamburg!!! Keep the faith, Ombhama U.S.A. WILL sort all economies out and then everyone can use thier credit card again!! Whats the problem?
Been a Financial Advisor 25 years, good times bad times, Worked currencies investments ect got the T-Shirt, let me explain, INFLATION IS FALLING, SALARIES ARE STILL RISING, HOUSE PRICES HAVE NOT FELL TO THE PROJECTED FALL, BARGINS IN THE SHOPS LIKE NEVER BEFORE, So while it may not be all jolly, it may be a time to be a little less melancholy!! The €URO will come back because, firstly, the sterling would never be devalued to Parity or convert to another currency due to Imperial reasons and secondly, Germany the Strongest economic country in the Eurozone have made it quite clear that dealing with the pound sterling would be totally unacceptable, they can be very stubborn you know! Having worked in a Bank in Hamburg!!! Keep the faith, Ombhama U.S.A. WILL sort all economies out and then everyone can use thier credit card again!! Whats the problem?
#116
BE Enthusiast
Joined: Apr 2006
Location: Manchester
Posts: 309
Re: GB pound weakening
JDR, You say right?€ are you agreeing with one??€?
#117
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Joined: May 2004
Location: Guadalhorce Valley, Málaga
Posts: 1,059
Re: GB pound weakening
I, for one, have yet to agree with any financial advisor I have ever met. As far as I am concerned they come marginally higher that a lawyer in the hate list.
A financial advisor is someone who takes your money and invests it until it is all gone.
A financial advisor is someone who takes your money and invests it until it is all gone.
Last edited by Beachcomber; Dec 14th 2008 at 8:47 pm.
#118
Re: GB pound weakening
A stockbroker is someone who takes all your money and invests it until it's all gone.' Woody Allen................hmmmmmmm no credit given
Last edited by poshnbucks; Dec 15th 2008 at 12:10 am.