Exchange Rate going Down?
#1
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Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 277
Exchange Rate going Down?
Last Thursday the exchange rate was at a good $1.501 to the £ then on Saturday it went to 1.47 but it went back to 1.49 on Monday!
Now today it's gone back to 1.47..
I only hope it's not going to go further down, especially as I need to transfer funds!!
Now today it's gone back to 1.47..
I only hope it's not going to go further down, especially as I need to transfer funds!!
#2
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Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 0
Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
News here in Canada reports the USD is getting stronger against several currencies. We are being battered with the Canadian dollar. Lost 3 cents in 3 days, down to 80 cents to the USD and likely to fall further. Joys of foreign currencies.
#3
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Joined: Jul 2007
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Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
I just bought my round trip ticket from Ottawa to Heathrow, $850 US. (I live in the US but fly from Canada.) Flying from Ottawa used to be more expensive than from Boston or other US airports, but now seems to be cheaper, presumably because the fare is in Canadian dollars but the exchange rate is favorable to me.
#4
Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
The general consensus appears to be that the dollar will continue to strengthen. My guess is that it will stop its run-up somewhere between $1.40/£1 and $1.30/£1, during the second half of 2015. ....... The last time I made a major $/£ rate prediction, last August IIRC, for further strengthening of the £, I was proved wrong within days when the £ started to slide and has fallen more than 20c.
#5
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Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
I just bought my round trip ticket from Ottawa to Heathrow, $850 US. (I live in the US but fly from Canada.) Flying from Ottawa used to be more expensive than from Boston or other US airports, but now seems to be cheaper, presumably because the fare is in Canadian dollars but the exchange rate is favorable to me.
Depending on where one is going, from BC if close to the border, you can still save money flying from SEA or Bellingham, but if the CAD drops much more, Canadian's will likely slow down their travels outside of Canada as they have in the past.
Doesn't make sense for most to leave Canada if the dollar gets much below 70 cents.
I know the border town airports dried up the last time the CAD got into the 60-70 cent range, so I predict by fall airlines that rely heavily on Canadian's reduce service. (Allegiant namely.)
#6
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Posts: 19,367
Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
The Euro is causing the last few days volatility. Finally, after years of ignoring the obvious, the ECB is going to start QE. The Euro is dropping like a rock (a good thing), and weighting down the pound a little. Dollar has liftoff. I'm a bit surprised to see USD rise that much against CAD, however.
#7
Heading for Poppyland
Joined: Jul 2007
Location: North Norfolk and northern New York State
Posts: 14,540
Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
It's usually the other way around, Canadian's going into the US...lol
Depending on where one is going, from BC if close to the border, you can still save money flying from SEA or Bellingham, but if the CAD drops much more, Canadian's will likely slow down their travels outside of Canada as they have in the past.
Doesn't make sense for most to leave Canada if the dollar gets much below 70 cents.
I know the border town airports dried up the last time the CAD got into the 60-70 cent range, so I predict by fall airlines that rely heavily on Canadian's reduce service. (Allegiant namely.)
Depending on where one is going, from BC if close to the border, you can still save money flying from SEA or Bellingham, but if the CAD drops much more, Canadian's will likely slow down their travels outside of Canada as they have in the past.
Doesn't make sense for most to leave Canada if the dollar gets much below 70 cents.
I know the border town airports dried up the last time the CAD got into the 60-70 cent range, so I predict by fall airlines that rely heavily on Canadian's reduce service. (Allegiant namely.)
#8
Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
It's called "volatility". Every liquid market has it.
The general consensus appears to be that the dollar will continue to strengthen. My guess is that it will stop its run-up somewhere between $1.40/£1 and $1.30/£1, during the second half of 2015. ....... The last time I made a major $/£ rate prediction, last August IIRC, for further strengthening of the £, I was proved wrong within days when the £ started to slide and has fallen more than 20c.
The general consensus appears to be that the dollar will continue to strengthen. My guess is that it will stop its run-up somewhere between $1.40/£1 and $1.30/£1, during the second half of 2015. ....... The last time I made a major $/£ rate prediction, last August IIRC, for further strengthening of the £, I was proved wrong within days when the £ started to slide and has fallen more than 20c.
#9
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Joined: Jan 2014
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Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
It is now gone down to 1.45 to the £...
#10
Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
Not sure what you are looking at. The spot rate at this minute is $1.4990
#11
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Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
Really? Looking at xe.com (after I log in) but before booking trade?
Maybe I am looking at it wrongly..
Maybe I am looking at it wrongly..
#12
Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
OK I follow, you are looking at the rate you would actually get for a given trade. Spot rate on XE right now is $1.4992 so anything less than $1.47 for a trade is a bad rate, and really I would expect to see the rate you were quoted around $1.475 plus.
Edit: Just logged into XE and look at a trade of £10K. They only quoted a rate of $1.4563. That is a terrible rate.
Edit: Just logged into XE and look at a trade of £10K. They only quoted a rate of $1.4563. That is a terrible rate.
Last edited by lansbury; Jan 23rd 2015 at 11:07 pm.
#13
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Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 277
Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
OK I follow, you are looking at the rate you would actually get for a given trade. Spot rate on XE right now is $1.4992 so anything less than $1.47 for a trade is a bad rate, and really I would expect to see the rate you were quoted around $1.475 plus.
Edit: Just logged into XE and look at a trade of £10K. They only quoted a rate of $1.4563. That is a terrible rate.
Edit: Just logged into XE and look at a trade of £10K. They only quoted a rate of $1.4563. That is a terrible rate.
#15
Re: Exchange Rate going Down?
Transferwise right now on £10k less their fees to get their true rate, you would get $1.4843
Last edited by lansbury; Jan 23rd 2015 at 11:15 pm. Reason: added £