ImHere

As I said earlier, if the Northern convergence zone slips south it'll push Emily across Cuba to go south of FL. Of course its then free to curve up into the Gulf ala Ivan and Dennis.

ironporer

Poor Charleston. Damn near tore it's heart out too. Hugo was a bad one. Tho I suppose Charleston (Like London I suppose) took it with a grain of salt and a stiff upper lip and moved on. They've certainly had their share of bad news in their history. What a great city! Now that we've done Savannah, hope to get up there soon!

cindyabs

Was just reading the hurricane history of our area-interesting article by one of our TV weathermen-sounds like we had our own tsunami like disaster in 1893-
Probably with modern equipment this could have been avoided or at least the worst of it skirted.



While only three hurricanes hit the Georgia and the extreme southern South Carolina coast in the 1900's, thirteen such storms produced havoc for the developing coast during the 1800's. And unlike the weaker storms of the 1900's, in many cases, these storms were much more fierce!

In the 1890's alone, five hurricanes stuck the area with two in 1898 and two in 1893. Other strong storms produced wide spread damage in 1884, 1854 and in 1824. The storm in 1824 washed out all bridges between Darien and Savannah and was as destructive as the storm of 1804. That storm was most likely the worst storm during that century, stronger than the 1893 one. The main reason there was not too much notoriety from it was because there wasn't too much built yet to be destroyed! The entire state was less than a hundred years old at that time. But Aaron Burr, the Aaron Burr who dueled with and killed Alexander Hamilton, was living on St. Simons Island at the time and wrote an account in of the storm. His accounts indicated that the eye passed directly over the island and destroyed nearly everything and killed many slaves and livestock. The loss of life was extensive and hardship was immense. The storm made its way up the coast destroying just about all in its path, passing over Savannah and moving into South Carolina. The storm destroyed Ft. Green which was the rebuilt of the original garrison, Fort George, which was destroyed in an earlier hurricane in 1756. The site of the ruins was later rebuilt under the commission of Robert E. Lee and renamed, Ft. Pulaski.

On August 27, 1893, a ferocious storm was approaching the coast of Georgia. Storm warnings were up but the storm was much stronger that what could have ever been imagined. The people of Tybee battened down the hatches and prepared for "Another one" as hurricanes were a semi common storm during this period. But the storm proved to be too much for many of the people on the islands that day as winds continued to accelerate to beyond 100 mph then 120 and perhaps even up to 150 mph!

For those who stayed, their worse fears became a reality. As the eye of the storm moved overhead, the winds suddenly died and a period of tranquillity existed on the island. The residents being "Storm-wise" knew that the winds would hit again and at the same force except from the opposite direction very shortly. They also knew of a terrible storm surge that was now just moments away. This would be an awful wall of water like a 20 foot tide crashing onshore in less than 30 minutes with waves of 20-25 feet on top of it! The ferocious winds earlier had already greatly weakened their homes, they knew there was not much chance of surviving in them. Their only chance for survival would be to climb the tallest trees and tie themselves in and hope and pray that they would be above the water and not be blown away. They eye of the storm went right over Tybee and into South Carolina bringing in that storm surge and it inundated all land east of the Wilmington river. When it was all over, more than 2,000 persons died in that storm from Savannah northward to Charleston, many washed out to sea .

ImHere

So shes now our 2nd hurricane of the season, and already a cat 2. Good news (for us at least) is shes still heading towards the Yukaton Peninsula. Lets hope she doesnt swing NW:

000
WTNT65 KNHC 140154
TCUAT5
TROPICAL STORM EMILY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
955 PM AST WED JUL 13 2005
...EMILY BECOMES A HURRICANE...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 14/0108Z...908 PM AST...A UNITED STATES AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT MEASURED PEAK 850 MB FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 79 KTS...WHICH
CORRESPONDS TO ABOUT 63 KT...OR 73 MPH...AT THE SURFACE....WHICH IS
ON THE THRESHOLD OF HURRICANE FORCE. ADDITIONALLY...ADJUSTMENT OF
A DROPSONDE WIND PROFILE TO THE SURFACE INDICATES SURFACE WINDS OF
ABOUT 80 KT...OR ABOUT 92 MPH. THIS INTENSITY INCREASE WILL BE
REFLECTED IN THE ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED BY 11 PM AST...0300Z.

AT 955 PM...0155Z...THE RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENTS HAVE ISSUED
HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR GRENADA...ST. VINCENT AND THE
GRENADINES...AND ST. LUCIA.

FORECASTER KNABB


And hot on Emily's heels:

THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY. HOWEVER...
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS STILL POSSIBLE...AND IT HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD TOWARD WARMER WATERS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

gruffbrown

Thank you Ian McGaskill...

ImHere

Rob McElwee please

gruffbrown

But not Michael fish?...

ImHere

No he would have said "What Hurricane? Madam, there is no hurricane"

cindyabs

I still liked him.