Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
#61
Banned
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 22
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
Trump will have to shake up/axe the h1b visa and probably the Australian employment visa category if he wants to be this great "jobs president" that he has pledged to be. 65,000 jobs per year being taking away from american college graduates per year. That is more half a million in the last decade.
At my last job my Indian VP hired interns and sponsored H1-Bs for new grads, all 7 of them were Indian and seemed to already know him on a personal basis
#62
BE Forum Addict
Joined: Jul 2015
Location: Panama City, FL
Posts: 2,062
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
That's the nature of industry and commerce - and it is hard to predict 40 years ahead what careers will still be around, and impossible to predict what new opportunities will appear.
My father worked in the steel industry in Sheffield and I think could see the end coming and left Sheffield as there were no opportunities to progress. He worked at a steel foundry in Gloucester until it closed, and later at one in Chippenham, until that closed too, and that was the end of his career in the steel foundries - more than a decade befor he was ready to retire.
My father worked in the steel industry in Sheffield and I think could see the end coming and left Sheffield as there were no opportunities to progress. He worked at a steel foundry in Gloucester until it closed, and later at one in Chippenham, until that closed too, and that was the end of his career in the steel foundries - more than a decade befor he was ready to retire.
When the company shut down, they were both made redundant (in their early 50's). My mom get a 'temp' office job that lasted 18 years. She was still working part-time at 70.
My Dad was made redundant 4 times in the next 5 years. Then worked in a job he hated for 10+ years just counting the days to retirement.
Despite all that, he was never out of work for more than 2 weeks.
#63
Lost in BE Cyberspace
Joined: Jan 2006
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 12,865
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
Trump will have to shake up/axe the h1b visa and probably the Australian employment visa category if he wants to be this great "jobs president" that he has pledged to be. 65,000 jobs per year being taking away from american college graduates per year. That is more half a million in the last decade.
#64
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
My last company moved the majority of head office overseas almost 300 people instead of using H1B. So just stopping H1B visas wont necessarily save or create American jobs.
They are still an American listed company but now have more employees overseas than they do in the US.
They are still an American listed company but now have more employees overseas than they do in the US.
#65
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
Although I agree that the H1B visa program needs reforms, it's unlikely to be a simple equation like that. You are assuming that there were 1/2 million Americans that were qualified to take those jobs. I doubt that's the case, and assuredly if companies can't hire equally-qualified Americans, many of those jobs will simply move to offshore development centers.
#66
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
Should American companies just move the jobs overseas? Is that what you are saying?
#67
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
you can't just keep adding people just because they generate tax revenue, not least because the problems of congestion, overcrowded schools, too little water are primarily burdens on the existing population ..... which is presumably part of the reason why Donald Trump was elected.
It's one of the frustrations I have with the arguments that blame immigrants for the over-crowding and lack of facilities. Governments (of all parties) have been too quick to point the finger and blame the immigrants, the other political parties, Mexico, the EU etc instead of accepting that populations in general are only ever going to increase and part of their job is to ensure appropriate infrastructure and downstream planning (eg not only build hospitals but also medical schools, pharmacy, nurse, technician training colleges and so on)
#68
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
So why wasn't that tax revenue used to build more roads, schools, water supplies?
It's one of the frustrations I have with the arguments that blame immigrants for the over-crowding and lack of facilities. Governments (of all parties) have been too quick to point the finger and blame the immigrants, the other political parties, Mexico, the EU etc instead of accepting that populations in general are only ever going to increase....
It's one of the frustrations I have with the arguments that blame immigrants for the over-crowding and lack of facilities. Governments (of all parties) have been too quick to point the finger and blame the immigrants, the other political parties, Mexico, the EU etc instead of accepting that populations in general are only ever going to increase....
... and part of their job is to ensure appropriate infrastructure and downstream planning (eg not only build hospitals but also medical schools, pharmacy, nurse, technician training colleges and so on)
A planned city expansion here in NC published figures for the increased costs to the city of serving people living in the added area, and also of the additional tax revenue. The net excesa of taxes over costs was budgeted at less than 3%, and that is assuming that the government services could be provided at budget cost, which seems unlikely in any case. .... The major problem however was that the capital costs of adding infrastructure to provide services that the newly absorbed city residents were entitled to was more than 40 times the gross tax revenue, or more than 1,300 times the budgeted excess of taxes over running expenses of the provision of services.
The only way out of this conundrum would be to raise taxes on the pre-existing residents of the city, so, as a local proxy for the national debate, surely you can see that raising taxes on your existing population to help pay for services for new immigrants isn't going to be popular. An example of this might be "our city sewage treatment plant is no longer adequate, we need to spend $xmillion in expanding it". If the reason is that the city has grown, then why should the cost of the sewage plant expansion be a burden on the existing citizens? The new arrivals caused the need. Ditto schools, roads, police, fire, etc. etc. etc.
Last edited by Pulaski; Feb 2nd 2017 at 12:46 pm.
#69
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
Well, maybe the new arrivals ARE the new police, teachers, firefighters, car mechanics, dentists. Or even the children of the existing residents! It's called being in a society. By the same logic we'd still be relying solely on Victorian drains, railway tracks, telegraph lines, schools, workhouses and libraries in the UK, and have no motorways or internet. Fortunately our ancestors weren't so backward looking.
Last edited by yellowroom; Feb 2nd 2017 at 1:56 pm.
#71
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
In the entire history of the Western world, populations have increased, and population decreases are generally due to catastrophe (Black Death, war) and a bad thing! Decline of a city population such as Detroit shows it's the rich that get out of town leaving behind the poor and vulnerable. It's not revolutionary to suggest that governments that fail to plan for population increases are not doing their jobs properly.
#72
Account Closed
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 2
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
What's your solution? One in, one out? Waiting lists for eligibility for pregnancy until an elderly person dies? Chinese style control of fertility and family size?
In the entire history of the Western world, populations have increased, and population decreases are generally due to catastrophe (Black Death, war) and a bad thing! Decline of a city population such as Detroit shows it's the rich that get out of town leaving behind the poor and vulnerable. It's not revolutionary to suggest that governments that fail to plan for population increases are not doing their jobs properly.
In the entire history of the Western world, populations have increased, and population decreases are generally due to catastrophe (Black Death, war) and a bad thing! Decline of a city population such as Detroit shows it's the rich that get out of town leaving behind the poor and vulnerable. It's not revolutionary to suggest that governments that fail to plan for population increases are not doing their jobs properly.
What happened to global warming, pollution etc etc?
#73
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
You asking me? Personally, bumbling along the best I can until the Grim Reaper catches up with me. Same as most I imagine.
It is perfectly possible for governments* to plan and act in more than one area - but unless you are going to stop people shagging and having kids the world over, or we have some kind of global disaster, populations are going to continue increase. We need to get our head out of the sand and start dealing with it.
*well, it is for non-US governments anyway. I still haven't worked out what it is about the US that makes their "civil service" so damned inefficient.
It is perfectly possible for governments* to plan and act in more than one area - but unless you are going to stop people shagging and having kids the world over, or we have some kind of global disaster, populations are going to continue increase. We need to get our head out of the sand and start dealing with it.
*well, it is for non-US governments anyway. I still haven't worked out what it is about the US that makes their "civil service" so damned inefficient.
#74
Account Closed
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 2
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
Isn't Immigration part pf planning?
#75
Re: Trump's immigration reform - H1B visas may be next
You asking me? Personally, bumbling along the best I can until the Grim Reaper catches up with me. Same as most I imagine.
It is perfectly possible for governments* to plan and act in more than one area - but unless you are going to stop people shagging and having kids the world over, or we have some kind of global disaster, populations are going to continue increase. We need to get our head out of the sand and start dealing with it.
*well, it is for non-US governments anyway. I still haven't worked out what it is about the US that makes their "civil service" so damned inefficient.
It is perfectly possible for governments* to plan and act in more than one area - but unless you are going to stop people shagging and having kids the world over, or we have some kind of global disaster, populations are going to continue increase. We need to get our head out of the sand and start dealing with it.
*well, it is for non-US governments anyway. I still haven't worked out what it is about the US that makes their "civil service" so damned inefficient.