2020 Election

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Old Jan 3rd 2020, 6:09 pm
  #1831  
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Default Re: 2020 Election

- I support Trump because, Trump is going to get the troops out of the Middle East!
- I support Trump because, Trump is sending 3,000 more troops to the Middle East!
Tricky one, definitely begs some questions.

Last edited by kimilseung; Jan 3rd 2020 at 6:15 pm.
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Old Jan 3rd 2020, 6:31 pm
  #1832  
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Default Re: 2020 Election

Originally Posted by zargof
Thanks for the input, but if wanted to know who rich Republicans think is the best candidate in the Democratic primary I would watch MSNBC.

I seldom watch MSNBC. I wonder though if rich Democrats Tom Steyer and Mike Bloomberg could be one of their choices for best candidate
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Old Jan 3rd 2020, 9:34 pm
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Default Re: 2020 Election

Originally Posted by Boiler
If they want to win?

I would start with what the motivation is or you end up like Labour.
Yes if they want to win. Who do you think has the best chance of winning as the Democratic nominee in the general election? A name please.
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Old Jan 3rd 2020, 9:42 pm
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Default Re: 2020 Election

Of getting nominated and getting elected, probably Biden, well if his health holds out and he does not go senile in the head to heads. What I do not know is what impact his nomination will have on the Progressives, will they sit it out?

Ignoring any competency issues I just think he is far too old. If I was his handler I would seriously control his appearances.
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Old Jan 3rd 2020, 10:44 pm
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Default Re: 2020 Election

Originally Posted by Boiler
Of getting nominated and getting elected, probably Biden, well if his health holds out and he does not go senile in the head to heads. What I do not know is what impact his nomination will have on the Progressives, will they sit it out?

Ignoring any competency issues I just think he is far too old. If I was his handler I would seriously control his appearances.
Given your dislike for older candidates, how about a moderate like Buttigieg?
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Old Jan 3rd 2020, 10:53 pm
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Default Re: 2020 Election

Originally Posted by Giantaxe
Given your dislike for older candidates, how about a moderate like Buttigieg?
You asked who could win and he seems to have very little pull in certain important voting communities.
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Old Jan 4th 2020, 10:40 am
  #1837  
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Default Re: 2020 Election

The New Year starts with a bang
Just received this :- https://www.scotusblog.com/case-file...tsche-bank-ag/
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Old Jan 11th 2020, 12:54 am
  #1838  
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Default Re: 2020 Election



Well that has shaken things up.
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Old Jan 11th 2020, 3:15 am
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Default Re: 2020 Election

538 rates an absolute ton of different polls, but not St Anselm College. So who the heck are they?

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

And it looks like this poll is from early November anyway:

https://www.anselm.edu/new-hampshire...hampshire-poll
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Old Jan 11th 2020, 3:20 am
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Old Jan 11th 2020, 3:24 am
  #1841  
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Oh :

Still intrigued about St Anselm College's actual polling. They seem way out of line with better known polls.
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Old Jan 11th 2020, 5:58 am
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Default Re: 2020 Election

Buttigieg blames Trump for the downing of the Ukrainian passenger plane. Hoping to win a few votes amongst the simplest of minds
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Old Jan 11th 2020, 8:58 am
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Default Re: 2020 Election

Originally Posted by dc koop
Buttigieg blames Trump for the downing of the Ukrainian passenger plane. Hoping to win a few votes amongst the simplest of minds
He is 100% Correct !
Trump kicked of all this -hit , if you have forgotten, or care to forget, read below link to refresh your brain as too the true facts !

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/05/w...agreement.html
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Old Jan 11th 2020, 9:16 am
  #1844  
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Default Re: 2020 Election

Um... simply cause and effect. Without Trump ordering the death of an Iranian general, Iran would not have been on high alert and mistakenly fired at a passenger plane.

What exactly is the break in the chain of causation here for you Koop?

Your mental gymnastics to absolve Dear Leader of any blame astound me.

In other news : The self help guru Williamson is out of the primaries.
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Old Jan 11th 2020, 1:03 pm
  #1845  
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Default Re: 2020 Election

Interesting new feature on 538 with a model of how the primaries will go. It has Biden at about 40% chance of winning, Bernie at about 20% and Warren/Buttigieg at about 10% each.

It predicts that Bernie will win IA, NH, NV and CA, but Biden wins pretty much everywhere else. It updates with the latest polls obviously and Bernie's chances have improved a bit in the last couple of days with some favorable polls.

It's going to be an interesting few months and a lot could depend on how big the victories are in the first few states and when the candidates start dropping out.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...mary-forecast/
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