2020 Election
Jan 11th 2020, 2:34 pm
#1846
Account Closed
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 0
Re: 2020 Election
Interesting new feature on 538 with a model of how the primaries will go. It has Biden at about 40% chance of winning, Bernie at about 20% and Warren/Buttigieg at about 10% each.
It predicts that Bernie will win IA, NH, NV and CA, but Biden wins pretty much everywhere else. It updates with the latest polls obviously and Bernie's chances have improved a bit in the last couple of days with some favorable polls.
It's going to be an interesting few months and a lot could depend on how big the victories are in the first few states and when the candidates start dropping out.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...mary-forecast/
It predicts that Bernie will win IA, NH, NV and CA, but Biden wins pretty much everywhere else. It updates with the latest polls obviously and Bernie's chances have improved a bit in the last couple of days with some favorable polls.
It's going to be an interesting few months and a lot could depend on how big the victories are in the first few states and when the candidates start dropping out.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...mary-forecast/
Maybe Bernie and Biden should run together.... I would support such a ticket, Biden as President and VP Bernie.
I got an email regarding my ballot this week, voting information and access code for the ballot should be sent out on or before the 18th of January....*
* I am an overseas voter as I live in Canada which makes voting slightly different.
Jan 11th 2020, 2:43 pm
#1847
I approved this message
Joined: Dec 2004
Location: Chicago
Posts: 2,425
Re: 2020 Election
Um... simply cause and effect. Without Trump ordering the death of an Iranian general, Iran would not have been on high alert and mistakenly fired at a passenger plane.
What exactly is the break in the chain of causation here for you Koop?
Your mental gymnastics to absolve Dear Leader of any blame astound me.
In other news : The self help guru Williamson is out of the primaries.
What exactly is the break in the chain of causation here for you Koop?
Your mental gymnastics to absolve Dear Leader of any blame astound me.
In other news : The self help guru Williamson is out of the primaries.
Jan 12th 2020, 12:07 pm
#1851
Often not so civil...
Joined: Apr 2010
Location: The Boonies, GA
Posts: 9,561
Jan 12th 2020, 12:56 pm
#1852
Lost in BE Cyberspace
Joined: Nov 2011
Location: Somewhere between Vancouver & St Johns
Posts: 19,847
Jan 12th 2020, 1:00 pm
#1853
He/him
Joined: Dec 2006
Location: WA
Posts: 18,824
Re: 2020 Election
Trump has publicly advocated killing innocent people associated with enemies. I see no reason why he would not order an assassination on someone not involved in killings.
Jan 12th 2020, 3:38 pm
#1854
I love my brick!
Joined: May 2007
Location: Peachy
Posts: 9,304
Re: 2020 Election
Yes. It was already reported he ordered the drone strike to keep GOP senators onside in his impeachment.
Jan 13th 2020, 6:14 am
#1855
BE Forum Addict
Joined: Oct 2011
Location: "LA LA Land"
Posts: 2,447
Re: 2020 Election
That's the date Nancy Pelosi has invited him to give his State of the Union address in the House of Representatives - which he's agreed to / accepted
But remember what else will be occurring on that same date, in the Senate.... (Unless McConnell succeeds in making extremely short shrift of the entire proceeding - as he's determined to do.)
It's gonna be dizzying, split screen viewing.
Jan 13th 2020, 9:20 am
#1856
BE Forum Addict
Joined: Nov 2009
Location: Alcobaça
Posts: 4,978
Re: 2020 Election
This sadly was just the first phase, just wait until his political life get's even more difficulty.
His lies are coming thick & fast , & he still thinks he's untouchable.
Don't forget , this affects not only the USA, as the uncertainty as too what he & his Admin will do next is now spreading worldwide !
Last edited by Ingles; Jan 13th 2020 at 9:23 am.
Jan 13th 2020, 4:09 pm
#1857
Account Closed
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 2
Re: 2020 Election
Booker out, think that may be the end of the Diversity?
Jan 13th 2020, 4:25 pm
#1859
Account Closed
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 2
Re: 2020 Election
Can you see the Dem Establishment allowing either?
Jan 13th 2020, 4:42 pm
#1860
Lost in BE Cyberspace
Joined: Jan 2006
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 12,865
