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What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

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Old Apr 1st 2020, 5:27 pm
  #31  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

Originally Posted by karlyboy
Indeed, hold back. I was talking to a Spanish broker, friend of mine, and he thinks prices will start dropping. I am waiting at least until the end of the year, and we will start to see 20, 30% drops maybe even more. However its going to get more brutal. The corona virus is basically going to bankrupt several EU countries, the US Funds hold most of the Spanish housing debt the banks sold on and my Spanish mates in the know tell me, if the US drop them, its going to be carnage. These debts were off the books since 2010 situation. Alasdair Macleod, London financial expert who follows the bullion market, just last week indicated we can expect a Eurozone and Euro crisis, and it could come as early as 1 month from now, but its coming.

People Are Right To Be Worried
Alasdair Macleod:
“The answer is I think people are right to be worried. I don’t think anybody really realizes the imminence of the catastrophe which we are about to see. This crisis is not just a virus. Before that happened we were actually turning down into the contracting stage of the credit cycle. And we are seeing this. You will see that all of the payment failures — basically all of the banks will want to contract outstanding bank credit. There will be a bank crisis in the Eurozone. That will be a major, major event. And that will probably happen a month from now. There are lots of bad debts that cannot be carried by the system. So this is not going to go away whenever the virus goes away, whenever that is. So yes, I think people are right to be worried…

...
Yes I mentioned elsewhere that the eurozone meltdown is still to come. This time round Rajoy isn't the Spanish leader, pretending to be a German, so there might be a more united front from the south. I´m not sure anyone, including Germany, can escape this so it might be time for some kind of debt mutualisation, though they´ll probably fudge it somehow.

I'm not convinced about the hyperinflation part though. If banks stop lending, people stop working, and the price of oil plummets then all that is deflationary. Yes governments might try to inflate away the huge amount of debt they'll end up with, but people said the same after the 2008 crisis. It didn't happen. If it does this time, I doubt it´ll happen for a while.
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Old Apr 1st 2020, 7:43 pm
  #32  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

Hi Britishbull, I'm glad I can be of help. The NHS says that adults under 65 need only 40mg vitamin C per day and this will be obtained by the food we eat with no need for supplements. Another NHS page says that there's no proof that Vit C can prevent you getting 'flu. Their UTI page doesn't mention any vitamins. Maybe it's all been put out by the Vitamin C Marketing Board! If you have other information let me know as I'm always happy to learn new stuff
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Old Apr 1st 2020, 7:51 pm
  #33  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

"The UK economy will fight back and rise up, its in control of its own currency."
With £1.7 trillion personal debt and £1.8trillion public debt even before the current crisis I dont see why the UK is any more stable than the Eurozone.

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Old Apr 1st 2020, 8:01 pm
  #34  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

Its very simple because you have 27 others, and some of the debt levels are far far worse than the UK economy. Recent evidence is case on point, and in the Eurozone they are making plans to have yet another conference call, whilst Rome burns. Spains in a far worse position than people realise, Portugal and Italy too.
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Old Apr 1st 2020, 8:03 pm
  #35  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

Events keep moving through and just now i've been listening to the fact the underlying bailouts are growing, and heading to 6 trillion in the US and they will have unlimited Bazooka guns, but these are dangerous times. Hyper inflation could be one of the consequences. I am more convinced now, we will all head to recession then depression as it plays out.
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Old Apr 1st 2020, 8:04 pm
  #36  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

I'm suspicious of what Karleyboy writes. He quotes an Alasdair Macleod who is at a company named Goldmoney Inc, and karleyboy himself mentions 'fiat' money, a word surely not in the common lexicon.

Many people hate the EU and would love to see its break-up. And ask Norman Lamont if he felt in control of his currency

"I predicted this situation last year" You prediced a pandemic last year? Really?
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Old Apr 1st 2020, 8:51 pm
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

Be suspicious all you like. Maybe you need to get out more into the financial markets and look up the word "FIAT CURRENCY" its a very common term (see wikipedia fiat currency). Anyone with finance knowledge knows exactly what it means, PAPER MONEY. Each day PAPER MONEY devalues in the bank with more printing. IQuite a few people predicted in 2020, a "BlackSwan". All the indicators pointed to it. But no one knows what it would be. In 2008/9 it was US Sub Prime. You don't need to be a sherlock to see since 2010, we are one decade on, and the problem was not fixed the stock markets are high on cocaine paper money. I would not have predicted a virus, but whilst this is a situation its also a convenience. A "planned" demic, to mask over the fault of the massively inflated financial market and bust currency system. In 2017 Trump made a comment in one of his addresses, he said, one world currency is coming, all currencies will go, no more currency games, and a reset will happen soon and quicker than people think. It was ACTUALLY said at one of his speeches. Clearly Trump is a bit of a nutcase but well, the reset has also been stated by Ron Paul, Lynette Zang, Max Keissler, Egon Von Greyerz, Alastair Macleod and many others. Some believe the IMF will step in and issue drawing rights but there are mixed views on that. The balance sheet of the fed has just gone exponential and passed 5.25 trillion first time ever. If some of you believe this is all OK good luck, but as someone quoted, this could be far far bigger than Lehman depending on how it plays out. The point is plan for the worse and hope for the best. I have no affiliations with people or companies, or anything mentioned in my points to be clear on that front. This was all about house prices initially, and I'm seeing 11, 13, 18, and even higher drops in prices. Already people with AirBNB are cutting their rental costs fast but no one is moving. Events are now in play

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Old Apr 1st 2020, 9:02 pm
  #38  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

Yes I know what fiat currency is and that's what makes me suspicious.

A lot has been said in your posts however nothing seems to be substanciated, just Someone says...., it's known that.... worse than people realise..... some people realise.....

"cocaine paper money" Hmmmmm....

"It was ACTUALLY said at one of his speeches." Hmmmm....

"A "planned" demic, to mask over the fault of the massively inflated financial market and bust currency system." Yea, that's done it.
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Old Apr 1st 2020, 10:11 pm
  #39  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

You seem to ignore expert opinion, after naming people, sources, if you can't accept it, jog on. After pulling a quote out from an industry veteran you then say unname sourced. Get some reading glasses will you, there was a direct quote, look it up, its in the public domain for Pete sake, and Mr Macloud is well know in the precious metals markets, but you are not. Jog on!
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Old Apr 1st 2020, 10:32 pm
  #40  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

Alasdair Macleod knows more about gold trading than I ever will and I'm not ignoring his opinion. Of course it's worth bearing in mind that he works at a company whose mission is to sell gold and precious metals, so making people unsure about the dollar and euro is good business.

However the rest is unreferenced.

Incidentally gold is at about the same price it was in January. You may have predicted a black swan (an enexpected disaster) but it's had no effect on gold's value.

You say that you "moved everything from fiat currency into Gold and assets which hold value. People said I was mad, not they are calling how to do the same. It's all a bit too late now but there are still some options out there." Are we supposed to ask you how? Is this the true purpose of your posts?

Yes I wear reading glasses but cannot go jogging because of the lockdown. How unsensitive of you!
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Old Apr 1st 2020, 11:01 pm
  #41  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

Dear forum

Re my cynicism.

We have a new member, who has only posted in this thread. Perhaps this means one of two things:

1. karlyboy lives in Spain or is thinking of moving here. He's been reading the board but not contributed. At last a topic comes up that he can talk about and what happens, one member keeps doubting him. What a welcome!

2. This forum has been identified as potentially having people with decent savings. With a bit of care these people can be sold gold or other financial products. A good way of selling these is to create the impression that the currency of their savings is going to lose value, a lot of value and very soon.

If it's the first then I hope karlyboy accepts that I mean no malice and just have a suspicious mind. Hopefully I've been doubtful but not rude.

However we should bear in mind the possibility of the second and not let ourselves be carried away at this scary time.

Thank you for reading.
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Old Apr 2nd 2020, 4:21 am
  #42  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

Originally Posted by olivefarmer
Good question. My concern is the financial aspect. The EU agree that something must be done but not what.Sanchez has unsurprisingly nailed his colours to so called Corona virus bonds. Predictably the frugal northern EU countries aren't keen in paying for the South . They have 14 days to agree something before yet another crunch summit.

yes there will be a recession and my view is far worse than the one 10 years ago.,

yes house prices will drop. .

Quarantine? My view is that as Spain sees death rate reducing will want to manage the situation. Closed border to people including stranded nationals and habitual residents will be in place to stop re infection. The Chinese have just said they are closing their borders to to ingress.

flights? That is a big question. Will people have an Appetite for a foreign holiday to a country badly hit by the virus? Will they have the money? Will the airlines be financially able to run ?
Before the Corona virus Spain was trying hard to reduce it's budget deficit and debt to GDP ratio...
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Old Apr 2nd 2020, 7:06 am
  #43  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

Originally Posted by Lagoo
...Thank you for reading.
Interesting though it may be, I would suggest we should question everything we hear, read on an internet forum or from so called experts. Opinions are like (fill in the blank)
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Old Apr 2nd 2020, 4:33 pm
  #44  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

Originally Posted by Lagoo
I'm suspicious of what Karleyboy writes. He quotes an Alasdair Macleod who is at a company named Goldmoney Inc, and karleyboy himself mentions 'fiat' money, a word surely not in the common lexicon.

Many people hate the EU and would love to see its break-up. And ask Norman Lamont if he felt in control of his currency

"I predicted this situation last year" You prediced a pandemic last year? Really?
Fiat money is a fairly commonly used term when discussing economics, and especially regarding national debts, money supply, etc.

Also the whole point behind Lamont´s problems was that he didn't have control of the pound while it was part of the ERM. As soon as the pound freed itself from the ERM, the UK regained control of it's currency and embarked on something like 15 years of growth. And when the 2008 crisis hit, it was the fact that the UK had its own currency that allowed it to prevent the financial system from collapsing. Not that having control of your currency is without its problems, it's just that it's rather useful when a financial crisis suddenly appears.
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Old Apr 2nd 2020, 6:45 pm
  #45  
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Default Re: What does the post COVID19 future hold for us in Spain ?

Originally Posted by Lagoo
Alasdair Macleod knows more about gold trading than I ever will and I'm not ignoring his opinion. Of course it's worth bearing in mind that he works at a company whose mission is to sell gold and precious metals, so making people unsure about the dollar and euro is good business.

However the rest is unreferenced.

Incidentally gold is at about the same price it was in January. You may have predicted a black swan (an enexpected disaster) but it's had no effect on gold's value.

You say that you "moved everything from fiat currency into Gold and assets which hold value. People said I was mad, not they are calling how to do the same. It's all a bit too late now but there are still some options out there." Are we supposed to ask you how? Is this the true purpose of your posts?

Yes I wear reading glasses but cannot go jogging because of the lockdown. How unsensitive of you!
I didn't even know young people are still interested in Gold. I thought a polytunnel was a better investment but was probably wrong too.
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