British Expats

British Expats (https://britishexpats.com/forum/)
-   The Sand Pit (https://britishexpats.com/forum/sand-pit-116/)
-   -   UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009 (https://britishexpats.com/forum/sand-pit-116/uae-non-oil-sector-reports-first-fall-job-growth-since-august-2009-a-916923/)

Millhouse Sep 4th 2018 8:01 pm

UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 
https://www.zawya.com/mena/en/story/...0180904073157/

scrubbedexpat141 Sep 5th 2018 8:19 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12558618)

My mate's Dad who lives in the marina was at the Byblos and a guy he got chatting to said that his wife's friend has a husband working in the government here. He said it's fine.

Millhouse Sep 5th 2018 11:35 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12558815)
My mate's Dad who lives in the marina was at the Byblos and a guy he got chatting to said that his wife's friend has a husband working in the government here. He said it's fine.

did he also give an update on the sheikh?

littlejimmy Sep 5th 2018 12:05 pm

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 
Well in my line of "work", the only jobs that seem to be being touted out there at the moment are for subcontinentals or locals.

scrubbedexpat141 Sep 6th 2018 6:55 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12558891)


did he also give an update on the sheikh?

5yrs they've been keeping him in shades and sat upright. Waiting for the right Eid.

al dente Sep 7th 2018 4:17 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 
In real terms what does a growth measurement of 55 mean if 49.9 is a contraction? What is a healthy number?

weasel decentral Sep 7th 2018 4:36 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 

Originally Posted by al dente (Post 12559722)
In real terms what does a growth measurement of 55 mean if 49.9 is a contraction? What is a healthy number?

It's an index so as far as I know its just comparing versus previous data as a reference, so not producing an absolute percentage growth just showing a number relatively.

Anything above 50 means the economy is growing, below means contraction. The higher the number is above 50 the faster the growth, and the converse is true for below 50. I think mid 50s is pretty standard for sustainable growth in developed economies. Also if this month was 55 and next month is 56, it's telling you that the rate of growth is increasing.

This post may expose me as a boring economist :)

Millhouse Sep 7th 2018 6:52 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 

Originally Posted by weasel decentral (Post 12559725)
It's an index so as far as I know its just comparing versus previous data as a reference, so not producing an absolute percentage growth just showing a number relatively.

Anything above 50 means the economy is growing, below means contraction. The higher the number is above 50 the faster the growth, and the converse is true for below 50. I think mid 50s is pretty standard for sustainable growth in developed economies. Also if this month was 55 and next month is 56, it's telling you that the rate of growth is increasing.

This post may expose me as a boring economist :)

Also don’t forget that it’s largely based on a survey rather than real facts. As such it is as much sentiment driven than fact and is forward looking.

A good case is Egypt. It’s been below 50 for months now suggesting economic contraction but the reality is quite the opposite.

You might argue that the UAE number is overinflated given people’s tendancy to be quite optimistic when polled about the economy here. Converse is true for Egypt where every day is a struggle when subsidies are reducing.

For me the number isnt that important but the trend is

Me 2.0 Sep 8th 2018 6:07 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 
I pay very little attention to surveys like this. Either you have a job and keep going, you don’t and keep looking, or want a new one and keep interviewing.

al dente Sep 9th 2018 3:45 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 

Originally Posted by weasel decentral (Post 12559725)
This post may expose me as a boring economist :)

The opposite, love a bit of knowledgeable chat, it's vaguely sexy.

al dente Sep 9th 2018 3:47 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12559756)


Also don’t forget that it’s largely based on a survey rather than real facts. As such it is as much sentiment driven than fact and is forward looking.

A good case is Egypt. It’s been below 50 for months now suggesting economic contraction but the reality is quite the opposite.

You might argue that the UAE number is overinflated given people’s tendancy to be quite optimistic when polled about the economy here. Converse is true for Egypt where every day is a struggle when subsidies are reducing.

For me the number isnt that important but the trend is

Same as above, ish.

Thanks

scrubbedexpat141 Sep 9th 2018 5:19 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 

Originally Posted by weasel decentral (Post 12559725)
It's an index so as far as I know its just comparing versus previous data as a reference, so not producing an absolute percentage growth just showing a number relatively.

Anything above 50 means the economy is growing, below means contraction. The higher the number is above 50 the faster the growth, and the converse is true for below 50. I think mid 50s is pretty standard for sustainable growth in developed economies. Also if this month was 55 and next month is 56, it's telling you that the rate of growth is increasing.

This post may expose me as a boring economist :)

It's also misleading to many people because slowing growth means it's still growing.

I mean, that's moving from fully to attention to a workable semi. You're still scoring. You're not trying to thumb in a doughy yet.

al dente Sep 9th 2018 5:59 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12560529)
It's also misleading to many people because slowing growth means it's still growing.

I mean, that's moving from fully to attention to a workable semi. You're still scoring. You're not trying to thumb in a doughy yet.

Your fiancee is one lucky gal.:lol:

scrubbedexpat141 Sep 9th 2018 7:22 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 

Originally Posted by al dente (Post 12560540)
Your fiancee is one lucky gal.:lol:

Occasionally the tone just needs lowering a bit, you know?

It's not like there are any people left posting on here anyway.

al dente Sep 9th 2018 8:04 am

Re: UAE non-oil sector reports first fall in job growth since August 2009
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12560552)
Occasionally the tone just needs lowering a bit, you know?

It's not like there are any people left posting on here anyway.

Ha ha. I am just too caught up in this age's curse, whatsapp groups.... Two of them have over 80 members, can you imagine the horror...


All times are GMT. The time now is 12:14 am.

Powered by vBulletin: ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.