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Global Corona Death predictions

View Poll Results: Total Corona deaths we report before we give up reporting?
<50,000
0
0%
50,000- 100,000
2
6.25%
100,000 – 250,000
5
15.63%
250,000 – 500,000
4
12.50%
500,000 – 1m
7
21.88%
1m +
14
43.75%
Voters: 32. You may not vote on this poll

Global Corona Death predictions

Old Jul 13th 2020, 2:40 pm
  #121  
 
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Originally Posted by Millhouse View Post
You are forgetting that you’re top 10pct - you not only watch the government broadcasts but you understood them. The rest watch ITV, sky and read the sun.
Firstly , you're completely wrong there. I'm a top 1% kind of guy. 😁
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Old Jul 13th 2020, 2:46 pm
  #122  
 
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Originally Posted by Millhouse View Post
You are forgetting that you’re top 10pct - you not only watch the government broadcasts but you understood them. The rest watch ITV, sky and read the sun.
And secondly, any info I got was from Sky news pretty much. It's my main news channel as it goes.

In the earlier stages of it all they had an epidimoligist from the University of Reading doing Q+A who appeared regularly who was pretty good.

And obviously all government broadcasts were live, plus many interviews with doctors etc etc

Nothing wrong with Murdoch TV!
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Old Jul 13th 2020, 3:26 pm
  #123  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Has any one noticed how the world media can only really manage one sensation at a time. It only just managed to Focus on that racist redneck long enough to get him locked up and almost failed to do that. On the plus side at least we are no longer board by Brexit. If the MEPs are lucky Covid-19 will have hit the European Tourist, Farming and Fishing sectors particularly hard and there will be no one left to burn down the EU parliament.
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Old Jul 13th 2020, 4:45 pm
  #124  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Originally Posted by HiHo View Post
Has any one noticed how the world media can only really manage one sensation at a time. It only just managed to Focus on that racist redneck long enough to get him locked up and almost failed to do that. ....
You think there is only one?
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Old Jul 20th 2020, 7:09 am
  #125  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

606,000 at the latest count.

UAE is dropping off again in terms of numbers of new cases which can only be good news.
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Old Jul 20th 2020, 1:46 pm
  #126  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Originally Posted by Scamp View Post
....... UAE is dropping off again in terms of numbers of new cases which can only be good news.
Things appear to be just getting started in India. The reported daily increase in new cases is still increasing, now up to 40,000/day.

An article on the BBC web site a few days ago, quoting Indian doctors and sources, reported that using the limited data available in India and comparing it to other countries with more extensive testing, it is likely that the number of infections in India is already in the range of 30million - 100million.
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Old Jul 20th 2020, 2:36 pm
  #127  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Originally Posted by Pulaski View Post
Things appear to be just getting started in India. The reported daily increase in new cases is still increasing, now up to 40,000/day.

An article on the BBC web site a few days ago, quoting Indian doctors and sources, reported that using the limited data available in India and comparing it to other countries with more extensive testing, it is likely that the number of infections in India is already in the range of 30million - 100million.
They are having a dreadful 'spike', when lockdown measures reduced, after doing well at the beginning. Now spreading in rural areas in poorer States (Bihar for example).
Also places like Bangalore where minimal cases and few deaths now numbers vastly increased. Have heard that people just not obeying social distancing etc..
Schools in Karnataka will stay closed until October.
Possible that monsoon will help (people stay in / or covered with plastic!!)
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Old Jul 20th 2020, 3:00 pm
  #128  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Originally Posted by Bipat View Post
They are having a dreadful 'spike', when lockdown measures reduced, after doing well at the beginning. ....... Have heard that people just not obeying social distancing etc. ....
Imagine that!

I don't need to, it's the same here.
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Old Jul 20th 2020, 8:41 pm
  #129  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Amongst the doom and gloom, it's quite interesting to consider that a test with a specificity of say 95% (sounds pretty reliable, doesn't it) - which the cheaper test kits that countries like, say, India are using, would be thrilled to achieve - can produce false positive results that will easily dwarf the actual positive cases, in a low-prevalence setting.
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Old Sep 23rd 2020, 11:59 pm
  #130  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Originally Posted by Bipat View Post
They are having a dreadful 'spike', when lockdown measures reduced, after doing well at the beginning. ....
July 20th was not a "dreadful spike" that was things just getting started.

Originally Posted by Millhouse View Post
Total Corona deaths we report on mainstream media outlets such as sky-news or bbc news before we give up reporting such numbers and move on to other news items? ....
I predict that the deaths figure will be big news this weekend, and I, and 12 others, will be able to formally claim victory in the prediction poll at the top of this thread.

Last edited by Pulaski; Sep 24th 2020 at 12:03 am.
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Old Sep 24th 2020, 6:16 am
  #131  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Originally Posted by Pulaski View Post
July 20th was not a "dreadful spike" that was things just getting started.


I predict that the deaths figure will be big news this weekend, and I, and 12 others, will be able to formally claim victory in the prediction poll at the top of this thread.
It's rapidly becoming about the death number really isn't it? I mean, being infected matters but so many seem to be asymptomatic.
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Old Sep 24th 2020, 2:38 pm
  #132  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Originally Posted by Scamp View Post
It's rapidly becoming about the death number really isn't it? I mean, being infected matters but so many seem to be asymptomatic.
The unanswered question at the moment is the mortality rate for those with "long covid" - most people who have had the disease still carry this virus, and according to a German study published a few momnths ago most people in the study had inflamed muscle tissue in the heart wall, and sometimes signs of infection in other organs. The medium to long term health implications of this are unknown, but have the potential to be serious.
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Old Sep 25th 2020, 9:34 am
  #133  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Originally Posted by Pulaski View Post
The unanswered question at the moment is the mortality rate for those with "long covid" - most people who have had the disease still carry this virus, and according to a German study published a few momnths ago most people in the study had inflamed muscle tissue in the heart wall, and sometimes signs of infection in other organs. The medium to long term health implications of this are unknown, but have the potential to be serious.
mortality rate is always 100pct.
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Old Sep 25th 2020, 2:30 pm
  #134  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Originally Posted by Pulaski View Post
The unanswered question at the moment is the mortality rate for those with "long covid" - most people who have had the disease still carry this virus, and according to a German study published a few momnths ago most people in the study had inflamed muscle tissue in the heart wall, and sometimes signs of infection in other organs. The medium to long term health implications of this are unknown, but have the potential to be serious.
Yep. That's called being alive and functioning.
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Old Sep 25th 2020, 2:41 pm
  #135  
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Default Re: Global Corona Death predictions

Originally Posted by DXBtoDOH View Post
Yep. That's called being alive and functioning.
You can also be alive and functioning, and not infected with covid-19, which IMO would be better, given that the consequences of carrying the virus for more than about 12 months is currently unknown.
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