1.26 and falling

Old Oct 12th 2016, 2:13 pm
  #106  
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Millhouse's Avatar
 
Joined: Aug 2009
Location: Disneyland, Dubai
Posts: 15,887
Millhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

They won't raise rates. The housing market is too fragile.
Millhouse is offline  
Old Oct 12th 2016, 6:27 pm
  #107  
Wannabe Cycling God
 
TheShed's Avatar
 
Joined: Jul 2009
Location: West Kensington, Dubai
Posts: 1,157
TheShed has a reputation beyond reputeTheShed has a reputation beyond reputeTheShed has a reputation beyond reputeTheShed has a reputation beyond reputeTheShed has a reputation beyond reputeTheShed has a reputation beyond reputeTheShed has a reputation beyond reputeTheShed has a reputation beyond reputeTheShed has a reputation beyond reputeTheShed has a reputation beyond reputeTheShed has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

Originally Posted by Millhouse
They won't raise rates. The housing market is too fragile.
Good call Milly. 0.5% on base equals a Florida style 2009 on U.K. Banks.

If that happened, I short GBPUSD to .9
TheShed is offline  
Old Oct 12th 2016, 7:35 pm
  #108  
Forum Regular
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Sep 2016
Posts: 108
lightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

Originally Posted by Millhouse
They won't raise rates. The housing market is too fragile.
Not convinced, Sterling through the floor, Gilt yields through the roof, inflation on its way......

Changing direction on the base rate may be the only option.

plus it will piss the EU off no end
lightandbitter2 is offline  
Old Oct 13th 2016, 5:34 am
  #109  
Forum Regular
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Sep 2016
Posts: 108
lightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond reputelightandbitter2 has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

http://news.sky.com/story/tesco-pulls-brands-such-as-marmite-amid-unilever-price-row-10614934

Inflation
lightandbitter2 is offline  
Old Oct 13th 2016, 5:39 am
  #110  
...---...
 
Fossildog's Avatar
 
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 484
Fossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

Originally Posted by lightandbitter2
http://news.sky.com/story/tesco-pulls-brands-such-as-marmite-amid-unilever-price-row-10614934

Inflation

A 100% UK sourced and produced product? It is almost as if Unilever are seeking extra profit whilst conveniently blaming Brexit
Fossildog is offline  
Old Oct 13th 2016, 6:28 am
  #111  
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Millhouse's Avatar
 
Joined: Aug 2009
Location: Disneyland, Dubai
Posts: 15,887
Millhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

Originally Posted by lightandbitter2
Not convinced, Sterling through the floor, Gilt yields through the roof, inflation on its way......

Changing direction on the base rate may be the only option.

plus it will piss the EU off no end
I still think rate cuts before rises. You need to jack up the rates a lot to make a difference as the 80s showed us. The issue we have is political risk, not economic. Economic policy cannot fix political policy.
Millhouse is offline  
Old Oct 13th 2016, 6:30 am
  #112  
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Millhouse's Avatar
 
Joined: Aug 2009
Location: Disneyland, Dubai
Posts: 15,887
Millhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

Originally Posted by Fossildog
A 100% UK sourced and produced product? It is almost as if Unilever are seeking extra profit whilst conveniently blaming Brexit
Could you imagine if the brits were forced to eat only what is produced domestically...

cheese, marmite, bread and ale.

Actually, doesn't sound so bad.
Millhouse is offline  
Old Oct 13th 2016, 6:48 am
  #113  
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Bermudashorts's Avatar
 
Joined: Feb 2009
Location: UK
Posts: 14,284
Bermudashorts has a reputation beyond reputeBermudashorts has a reputation beyond reputeBermudashorts has a reputation beyond reputeBermudashorts has a reputation beyond reputeBermudashorts has a reputation beyond reputeBermudashorts has a reputation beyond reputeBermudashorts has a reputation beyond reputeBermudashorts has a reputation beyond reputeBermudashorts has a reputation beyond reputeBermudashorts has a reputation beyond reputeBermudashorts has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

Originally Posted by KJinDoha
Without any positive political announcements (on trade deals and market access), I fear the £ will continue stumbling. Which is of course terrible for the UK residents, and for UK assets. How bad to we think the impact [inflation] will get?

For those of us earning in Dollar/pegged and planing to eventually repatriate this is a good boost to our remittances. But should we hold off, as it doesn't seem to have bottomed?

My personal view is that £ will take 2 decades to recover, if the current political situation endures!
I am a UK resident and nothing terrible has happened to me since the pound started falling. It happens from time to time, but my life is in £ and there is enough competition in the UK economy for me to not worry too much about price rises. Haven't noticed anything so far either.

I am going on holiday to DisneyWorld Florida next year, my flights were bought in £, my hotel cost has been agreed in £ and I got the dining plan. So I only have to worry about my Mickey Mouse themed souvenirs costing a bit more than they might have done. Otherwise, nope nothing terrible has happened.

Currencies don't typically take twenty years to recover. People say that all the time when they see a drop, but it inevitably start to go the other way and sometimes just as quick. In this case though, like the poster above, I think it could be about two years of weak sterling.
Bermudashorts is offline  
Old Oct 13th 2016, 6:50 am
  #114  
Banned
 
Joined: Oct 2015
Location: Luton
Posts: 1,162
iggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

Originally Posted by Millhouse
Could you imagine if the brits were forced to eat only what is produced domestically...

cheese, marmite, bread and ale.

Actually, doesn't sound so bad.
and curry. So many indians
iggle is offline  
Old Oct 13th 2016, 7:26 am
  #115  
BE Forum Addict
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 3,520
DXBtoDOH has a reputation beyond reputeDXBtoDOH has a reputation beyond reputeDXBtoDOH has a reputation beyond reputeDXBtoDOH has a reputation beyond reputeDXBtoDOH has a reputation beyond reputeDXBtoDOH has a reputation beyond reputeDXBtoDOH has a reputation beyond reputeDXBtoDOH has a reputation beyond reputeDXBtoDOH has a reputation beyond reputeDXBtoDOH has a reputation beyond reputeDXBtoDOH has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

True.

One of my American friends pointed out that the EU-USD was at 1.4 USD to the euro just a few years ago and now it's at 1.1.

The USD went through a fairly long period when it was very weak relative to other currencies but now it's strong again. Swings come and go. And it doesn't always overlap economic realities on the ground.

Originally Posted by Bermudashorts
I am a UK resident and nothing terrible has happened to me since the pound started falling. It happens from time to time, but my life is in £ and there is enough competition in the UK economy for me to not worry too much about price rises. Haven't noticed anything so far either.

I am going on holiday to DisneyWorld Florida next year, my flights were bought in £, my hotel cost has been agreed in £ and I got the dining plan. So I only have to worry about my Mickey Mouse themed souvenirs costing a bit more than they might have done. Otherwise, nope nothing terrible has happened.

Currencies don't typically take twenty years to recover. People say that all the time when they see a drop, but it inevitably start to go the other way and sometimes just as quick. In this case though, like the poster above, I think it could be about two years of weak sterling.
DXBtoDOH is offline  
Old Oct 13th 2016, 7:37 am
  #116  
BE Forum Addict
 
IKnowNothing's Avatar
 
Joined: Oct 2015
Location: Abu Dhabi via Barcelona
Posts: 1,478
IKnowNothing has a reputation beyond reputeIKnowNothing has a reputation beyond reputeIKnowNothing has a reputation beyond reputeIKnowNothing has a reputation beyond reputeIKnowNothing has a reputation beyond reputeIKnowNothing has a reputation beyond reputeIKnowNothing has a reputation beyond reputeIKnowNothing has a reputation beyond reputeIKnowNothing has a reputation beyond reputeIKnowNothing has a reputation beyond reputeIKnowNothing has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

Originally Posted by iggle
and curry. So many indians
Weirdly enough, most of the curry houses are run by Bangladeshis, not Indians.
IKnowNothing is offline  
Old Oct 13th 2016, 7:58 am
  #117  
Forum Regular
 
Joined: May 2016
Posts: 56
KJinDoha is an unknown quantity at this point
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

Originally Posted by Bermudashorts
I am a UK resident and nothing terrible has happened to me since the pound started falling. It happens from time to time, but my life is in £ and there is enough competition in the UK economy for me to not worry too much about price rises. Haven't noticed anything so far either.

I am going on holiday to DisneyWorld Florida next year, my flights were bought in £, my hotel cost has been agreed in £ and I got the dining plan. So I only have to worry about my Mickey Mouse themed souvenirs costing a bit more than they might have done. Otherwise, nope nothing terrible has happened.

Currencies don't typically take twenty years to recover. People say that all the time when they see a drop, but it inevitably start to go the other way and sometimes just as quick. In this case though, like the poster above, I think it could be about two years of weak sterling.
I admire your confidence.

I have my doubts that international airlines and hotels can absorb the losses of maintaining their £ product prices. I think inflation is inevitable at this point.
KJinDoha is offline  
Old Oct 13th 2016, 8:09 am
  #118  
Banned
 
Joined: Oct 2015
Location: Luton
Posts: 1,162
iggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond reputeiggle has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

When will WW3 happen? I'll need to book time of work for it, no doubt it'll get rejected.
iggle is offline  
Old Oct 13th 2016, 8:58 am
  #119  
...---...
 
Fossildog's Avatar
 
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 484
Fossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond reputeFossildog has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

Originally Posted by iggle
When will WW3 happen? I'll need to book time of work for it, no doubt it'll get rejected.
November the 9th according to the Democrats
Fossildog is offline  
Old Oct 13th 2016, 10:12 am
  #120  
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Millhouse's Avatar
 
Joined: Aug 2009
Location: Disneyland, Dubai
Posts: 15,887
Millhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond reputeMillhouse has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: 1.26 and falling

http://www.zawya.com/mena/en/economy...3nL8N1CJ22LX2/

LONDON, Oct 13 (Reuters) - A legal bid to force the British government to seek parliamentary approval before starting the formal process of leaving the European Union began on Thursday, with ministers calling it an anti-democratic tactic to delay Brexit.
Millhouse is offline  

Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.