Raffin

The DOH at 4pm still not giving locational data for yesterday. So for now just the national data.

Cases yesterday 356 with 15 from backlog and 6 labs late. Positives 1.4%, second lowest ever. Tests 24.4k, 22.3k in preparation.

Recoveries 0.9k

Deaths 92, 87 RDs
Only 3 from December.

Active 13,026

Severe 2,326, down 40. Critical 587, down 89

NCR ICU 29%. National 26%
Both unchanged.

Raffin

Regional case data for Dec 7:

NCR 96
4A 43
WV 40
CL 28
MIM 27
Bic 24

Only 5 regions with increases.

NCR now below 100 but at a higher 27.0% of all cases.
Much smaller daily changes now but WV added 8 to reach 40.
The top 3 regions with 50.3% of all cases, up.

Both MIM and Bicol added 12 over the day before.
Top 6 regions with 72,5% of all cases, also up.


Latest Dr John video. In both the UK and here in the Philippines the authorities haven't been updating their lists of symptoms as they change with new variants.

Raffin

Yesterday 370 cases, included a 93 backlog. Five labs late to submit. Positivity 1.6% from 28.9k tests. 33k on the way.

Recoveries 0.9k

Deaths 171Ds 150 RDs
Only 6 in December
33 in November
132 before November!

Active 12,510

Severe 2,261, down 65. Critical 476, down 111
Large falls!

NCR ICU 24%, down 5%. Critical 24%, down 2%

Regional data:

Note: I posted this data earlier today assuming it to be the late coming figures for December 7. I find now it was for December 8! So I just repeat it now. Whether the December 7 regional data was ever put out I don't know. If it was it was up for just a few hours and I missed it.

NCR 96
4A 43
WV 40
CL 28
MIM 27
Bic 24

Only 5 regions with increases.

NCR now below 100 but at a higher 27.0% of all cases.
Much smaller daily changes now but WV added 8 to reach 40.
The top 3 regions with 50.3% of all cases, up.

Both MIM and Bicol added 12 over the day before.
Top 6 regions with 72,5% of all cases, also up.

Raffin

Yesterday, Dec 9, 562 new cases announced, All labs reported on time, 29 cases were included from backlog. Positives 1.6% from 33.3k tests. Slightly more at 35k under preparation.

Recoveries 0.9k

Deaths 176, 157 of them RDs.

Only 8 recent ie from this month.
12 from Nov, 60 Oct, 68 Sep, 22 from Aug-Mar 2021.
Back in 2020: 4 Nov, 1 Oct, 1 Sep

The background:

Recently the Philippine's high death numbers have lowered the country's ranking in resiliency indexes, despite improved case numbers and vaccinations. The DOH here have protested and started to give details on the data reporting delays. Which they used to give daily. As we can see here the delays can be long. At the same time again promising improvements. The international health statisticians surely won't buy that and will be even more sceptical about the accuracy of this country's death figures on his aspect and generally in future.

Active: 12,169
ABS-CBN statisticians say the lowest for 18 months.

Severe 2,177, down 84. Critical 446, down 30

NCR ICU 29%, up 5%. National 26%, up 2%

Regional data:

NCR 122
4A 80
CL 65
CV 60
WV 42
IL 31

Twelve regions up over the day before, most by double figures.

The NCR added 26 to have 21.7% of all cases.
Regions 4A and CL each added 37 new cases.
These top 3 regions with 47.5% of all cases, down.

CV had 51 more and Ilocos 15 more.
The top 6 regions had 71.1% of all cases, also down.

Raffin

Yesterday a lower 379 cases, but 88 were held over. Also five labs late to submit. No details on that. Positivity 1.3% from 35.9k tests. About the same number in preparation.

Recoveries 0,6k

Deaths 25, 19 RDs.
Low as there are continued problems in the DOH data collection system.

Severe 2,060. down 117. Critical 431, down 15
Continued falls but most patients are not in these "primary" facilities.

NCR ICU 28%, down 1%. National 25%, down 1%

Regional data:

NCR 67
4A 44
Cag 37
CV 34
WV 34
CL 24

Only 4 regions with a higher report.

The NCR with 55 fewer cases and a low 17.7% of all cases.
Cagayan had 15 more.
The top 3 regions with 39.0% of all cases, down.
The top 6 with 60.7%, also down.

The situation in the Philippine's neighbours:


Indonesia cases.


Malaysia


Thailand


S Korea


Vietnam

The last two countries caught napping by the Delta variant after dealing with the previous waves very successfully. I should imagine heads rolled in communist run Vietnam.




An Oslo Xmas gathering showing the high transmissability of the Omicron variant.

Bealinehx

I read this morning that a booster jab affords around 75% efficacy against the Omicron variant. In addition the symptoms of this new variant are not as threatening and has a shorter longevity. So let the fun begin during 2022.

Raffin

Latest Dr John video mainly focused on the much larger numbers going to be infected. So by end of this month an extra 10k in UK hospitals from a conservative hospitalisation estimate due to Omicron's lower severity. Could be shouldered but NHS already strained. Countries with poor health facilities will be in trouble. Looks like starting in Feb or March here?

Gazza-d

What with the regular travel from southern Africa to the Philippines I'd be surprised if it not here already.

Raffin

Oh yes G.! I meant starting to increase hospitalisations.

Bealinehx

It is here already, but Shhh its a secret and we cannot allow it to interfere with Christmas.

Raffin

Report for Dec 11 and weekly update:

Yesterday 356 new cases announced, a 33 backlog included and 4 labs late to submit. No information on those. Positivity 1.1% from 35.3k tests. Coming along 33.9k.

Recoveries 0.9k

Deaths 135, 125 RDs

Active 11,373

Severe 1.991, down 69. Critical 406. down 25

NCR ICU 26%, down 3%. National 23%. down 3%

Regional data:

NCR 85
CL 40
IL 32
4A 30
WV 29
Cag 21

Small changes with 7 regions up, 10 down.

The NCR with 18 more and 24% of all cases.
CL cases were up by 16.
The top 3 regions with 44% of all cases, down.

The top 6 with 67%, down.

Weekly report:

As expected a slowing down of the recent weekly improvement nationally.
New cases fell 34% last week on the week before. The previous weekly fall was 53%.

Regionally there were 4 with large falls:

Davao 93%
NCR 60
BARMM 58
MIM 42

WV had a fall of 34%

Increases seen in:

CL 63%
CV 56
IL 25

The rest had small % falls.

For the CAR, Bicol, Zamboanga downward case number adjustments mean no meaningful calculation can be made of recent changes.

For NCR cities:

Downward case adjustments in Makati, Pasig and S Juan mean no meaningful calculation can be made.

Otherwise % falls in all other cities with the exception of Malabon....+4% but on small numbers.

For the provinces around the NCR:

Three showed significant reversals:

Bulacan x2
Batangas 83%
Bataan 71

Cavite's increased by 10%

Good falls in Laguna (48%) and Quezon (37%).
Smaller falls in Pampanga, Pangasinan and Rizal provinces.

Falls in most cities, except:

Davao +11
Gen San 36
Tacloban 50

Iligan City subject to downward revision.

Most areas I have been tracking experienced week on week falls except:

Mountain Province x2
Nueva Vizcaya 24%
Sulu 44

Although small numbers involved.

Raffin

Today's covid report:

Due to low case numbers for now I will only give regional numbers every Sunday for the previous week.

402 new cases, 3 labs late and 40 held over. Positivity 1.2% from 36.8k tests, 33.9k in preparation.

Recoveries 509

Deaths 184, 178 RDs
6 from Dec, 35 Nov, 73 Oct, 54 Sep, 10 Aug, 4 July, 1 June, 1 Feb!!

Active: 11,255

Severe 1,967, down 24. Critical 401, down 5

NCR ICU 26%. National 23%.
Both unchanged.


Good news from SA on Omicron severity, but the R number there well over 2. For England it is presently 0.9-1.1. If it gets up towards 2 over the next month or so problems for the NHS.

Gazza-d

So Omicron is already here.

https://www.thestandard.com.hk/break...he-Philippines

Raffin

Strain not determined.

Raffin

Yesterday 360 new cases. Five labs late but the DOH estimates only a likely four cases were missed. Held over 34. Positivity 1.1% from 35.8k tests. Likely that most tests now are simply routine. Tests on the way 35k.

Recoveries 519

Deaths 61
9 from Dec, 26 Nov, 23 Oct, 3 Sep
49 RDs.

Active 11,083

Severe 1,948, down 19. Critical 399, down 2

NCR ICU 25%, down 1%. National 23%, unchanged.