NCR llockdown

Old Jun 8th 2021, 12:33 am
  #901  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

As expected many less new cases on a Monday, nearly 700 fewer, at 6,539. Also 7 labs late to submit. The backlog was smaller at 539. But positivity remains stubbornly at over 13%, (13.3).
Tests were 45k, but coming along are only 27.6k.
Recoveries at 7k.

Deaths down from recent high numbers at 71.....21 of them RDs.

In hospital: Severe 1001, down 8 and Critical 765, down 6

ICU: NCR 49%, down 2% (Nationally 56%, down 2% also)

Regional data (300 and over)

4A 1,049
NCR 809
W Visayas 692
C Luzon 648
Cagayan 423
C Visayas 415
Davao 370

No region reported below 100 cases and 6 regions were in the 200s.
Region 4A had only 3 more cases than the day before but the NCR and C Luzon both fell by more than 100. So 4A maintained its top position.
Seven other regions had less cases.
The other regions with more cases were:
Davao with 71 more
The CAR 70
C Visayas 56
Bicol 53
Ilocos 43
MIMAROPA 21

NCR at 12.4% of all cases.
4A at 16% (14.5% the day before).

For NCR cities 11 had less cases and only one, Pasig , showed a significant increase of 38.
Manila had 74 less.

Top cities: QC 153, Pasig 105, Makati 82, Manila 64, Taguig 62

Provincially in the NCR bubble Bulacan was the only province with less cases the other 3 provinces had more.
Laguna added 74 to 329, Cavite 72 to 283, Rizal 34 to 151.
The NCR bubble had 25.8% of all cases, down 1.4%.

Pampanga added 80 to 186.
Batangas added 17 to 200.

Selected cities:

Bacolod 58, down
Baguio 95, up 57
CDO 136, up 29
Cebu 40, up
Cotabato 60, up
Davao 213, up 15
GenSan 98, up 34
IloIlo 111, up
P Princesa 24, down
Zamboanga 43, down

Bohol 78, down

Angeles 20, down
Tarlac 49, down
Zambales 44, down

https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...j?ocid=BingHPC

Yes, the data recording the spread of infection to Mindanao has been on this thread. But given increases in parts of the Visayas and N Luzon plus those in areas around the NCR we are moving to a "doughnut" shape pandemic here. Something much more difficult to cope with than in 2020, when there was one clear epicenter, the NCR. Later in the year the Visayas had a secondary major outbreak, which however never rivalled the NCR's status as the epicentre. This geographically spread situation is now posing major problems for treatment, testing and prevention.

Incidents like this can generate large numbers of infections:

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/07/...bo-sa-covid-19

Let's not completely forget the NCR.
The OCTA report calculates the latest R slightly up at 0.74 (0.68 for the week before) and positivity still nearly 10%.




Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 8th 2021, 11:54 pm
  #902  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

Yesterday a depressed total as usual from weekend testing of 4,777. Ten labs did not report on time. The DOH kindly estimate these could have added about 150 cases. Positivity at 14.3%, the highest since May 4. A backlog of 600 was included in yesterday's results. Tests coming along at 27.6k.
Recoveries 7.1k.

Deaths 95 with 40 of them RDs.
Philippines case fatality rate now at 1.72%.

Hospital: Severe 960, down 41. Critical 734, down 31.

NCR ICU at 53% up 4% (nationally 58%, up 2%.

Locational data: 6.50 am and not yet provided by the DOH.
Will report later.

Bicol, a region at the southern end of Luzon reported until recently a regular 2 digits of new cases daily. The last 3 days 272, 219 and 138.


Bicol

Compare with Cavite, with the largest provincial population less than Bicol's by about 2M and close to the epicentre of the NCR:


Cavite cases falling..

Active cases now in Cavite are at about 2,200 and have fallen by over 70% since April 16.
Active cases in Bicol are now over 1,800 and have grown by 25% since April 22.
At present active cases per M in Cavite at about 440 and Bicol 260.
We can expect that gap to close over the next few months.




Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 9th 2021, 6:29 am
  #903  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

The DOH have finally released some locational detail:

Top 6 regions:

4A 669
C Luzon 518
NCR 489
W Visayas 438
Davao 335
N Mindanao 319

No regions had below100 cases.
Region 4A was at 14% of national cases.
All regions had less cases except:
CAR up 72 to 189
SOCCSK up 64 to 305
Davao up 36

Top 6 at 57.9%,, down over 3%

In the NCR all cities had less cases with most having under 40:

Top 3 cities: QC 127, Manila 83, Caloocan 42, Paranaque 38

For the NCR bubble provinces, all had about the same number of cases. All had less cases except Rizal, which reported 29 more.

Bulacan 157, Cavite 154, Laguna 149 and Rizal 146

NCR bubble at 22.9%, down over 4%

With the fall in NCR cases the NCR bubble becoming somewhat irrelevant as an epicentre region.

Cities:

Bacolod 196, high but 20 less
Bohol 73, down
CDO 53, down 48
Davao 98, down 100
IloIlo 25, down 80
Zamboanga 98, up 27





Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 10th 2021, 2:21 am
  #904  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

A higher number of new cases at 5,462, but 8 labs were late to report. Positivity at 12.6%, down a little from 39.8k tests but a higher 49.5k in preparation. Reasonably up to date with a backlog of 449 included. Although there are always several days lag due to LGU and DOH validation processes.


The number of Individuals tested steady although cases have fallen off..

Recoveries 7.9k
Deaths 126 with 70 RDs.

Cases: 54,000 exactly.

Hospitals: Severe 972, up 12, Critical 756, up 22

NCR ICU : 53%, nationally 58%.
Both unchanged

Regional data: (200 and over)

NCR back to lead with 377 more cases and 15.9% of all cases.

NCR 866
4A 800
W Visayas 561
C Luzon 514
SOCCSK 359
C Visayas 321
Bicol 318
N Mindanao 265
Zamboanga 256
Davao 254

Region 4A up 131 and C Luzon down only by 4 but it was down to 4th place.
W Visayas was third and added 123 cases.
C Visayas in 6th added 105.
Bicol added 111 and made 7th place.
Other regions adding cases were Zamboanga, SOCCSK, Illocos and CARAGA.

Top 6 regions at 62.6%, up over 4%.

In the NCR the great majority of cities had more cases.

QC 162, Manila 103, Caloocan 76, Taguig and Paranaque both 63

In the NCR bubble provinces Cavite added 115 more cases, Laguna 41.
Rizal had 35 fewer.

Cavite 269, Laguna 190, Bulacan 163 and Rizal 111

NCR bubble at 29.3%, up over 3% of all cases.

Selected cities:

Bacolod 113, down
Baguio 37
CDO 70, up
Cebu 30
Cotabato 25
Davao 114, down
GenSan 39
IloIlo 159, up 134
P Princesa 9
Zamboanga 58, down 40

Bohol 105 up 32

Angeles 21
Zambales 30
Tarlac 38

The case fall in many NCR cities is possibly flattening.. (concentrate on the bars)
These are the clearest examples.



Caloocan



Las Pinas


Makati


Manila


Muntinlupa


Paranaque


Taguig


Valenzuala


Pasay

Pasig, QC , Navotas and Marikina still downward, not showing flattening.
For Malabon and Mandaluyong there is only a slight levelling to be seen.









Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 10th 2021, 11:31 pm
  #905  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

A higher total yesterday as testing increased after the weekend, with over 51.6k tests done. They produced 7,485 positives, a positivity of 12.8%. The backlog included was only 199. A slightly lower 48.7k tests on the way.
Recoveries lower at 4.5k.

Deaths 122 with 65 RDs.

Severe 968, down 4, Critical 740, down 16

NCR ICU 49%, down 4% (nationally 57%, down 1%)

Regional data (300 and over)

NCR 1,139
4A 1,052
C Luzon 867
W Visayas 843
Cagayan 494
C Visayas 451
E Visayas 428
Davao 418
CARAGA 347

NCR 15,2% of total.
The NCR increased its total more than 4A and C Luzon and maintained first position.
Cagayan and E Visayas showed the greatest increases of around 300 on the day,
W Visayas had 280 more and Davao 164 more.
SOCCSK reported more than 150 less.
Illocos had 70 more,

The top 6 regions had 64.6% of all cases, down 2%.

For the NCR seven cities had substantially more cases and the rest about the same.
Caloocan stood out with an increase of 89 on the day before.

Top 6: QC 194, Caloocan 165, Manila 140, Pasig 82, Makati 71 and Paranaque 63.

For the provinces Cavite had a 169 increase while Laguna and Rizal both fell, the latter by 63.
Panpanga increased to 122.

Cavite 438, Laguna 250, Bulacan 164 and Rizal 127.

The NCR bubble at 28.3%, down 1%.

Selected cities:

Bacolod 52, down
Baguio 12, down
CDO 125, up 55
Cebu 45, up
Cotabato 3, down
Davao 255, up 141
GenSan 64, up
IloIlo 126, down
P Princesa 7
Zamboanga 78, up 20

Bohol 109, up

Angeles 41, up
Tarlac 53, up
Zambales 27, down

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/10/...uwagan-palasyo

Its not much better there but it looks like MM and around will soon move to GCQ for economic reasons. The government does not want to pay out more ayuda than what is planned under the forthcoming Bayanihan 3. But these restriction levels are becoming meaningless as some measures are either heightened or retained after a move. Then LGUs in the same area can impose different restrictions.
Eg In Tagaytay strictly 20% maximum indoor dining capacity. But only 20kms away in another Cavite Mall it was 50%.

A study on temperature and virus transmission from Imperial College"Warmer regions should not expect to ease mobility restrictions before colder regions, especially because "warmer regions tend to have higher population densities - for example, the population in Florida is more densely packed than in Minnesota," coauthor Will Pearse said in a statement.

Lockdowns have stronger effects than either temperature or population density, his team reported.

Because temperature changes have a much smaller effect on transmission than policy interventions, "while people remain unvaccinated, governments mustn't drop policies like lockdowns and social distancing just because a seasonal change means the weather is warming up," said coauthor Dr. Tom Smith.

The study also suggests "that lower autumn and winter temperatures may lead to the virus spreading more easily in the absence of policy interventions or behavioral changes." -- Reuters"

Internationally:


The Philippines has moved up a few places recently...

For new cases yesterday:


A little more than the UK and 8th in the world. Note the Indonesian and Malaysian numbers.


Malaysia second wave.


Cases in Indonesia have been again on the rise despite a much more advanced vaccination roll out than by its neighbours.

According to John Hopkins the Philippines is the laggard with only 1.5% of its population fully vaccinated, 6.1M shots administered in total.
Malaysia has done better with 3.8% fully vaccinated and 3.9M shots, but not enough to prevent a second wave.
Indonesia has fully vaccinated 4.2% of its population and given 30M shots, but facing a recent uptick in infections. Blamed on variants and increased travel for religious reasons. Vaccinations to be offered to anyone over 18 years of age in Jakarta.







Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 11th 2021, 9:26 pm
  #906  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

Yesterday about 800 less new cases and only 3 labs not reporting. Positivity was up 0.5% at 13.3% from 49.4k individuals tested and included a small backlog of 120 results, So up to date. Tests coming along slightly higher at 51.5k.
Recoveries low at 3.2k.

Deaths again high at 96 with 127 RDs.
Case fatality up at 1,73%.

So Active cases up to 61,345. The highest since May 8.
The DOH said that 1k of those were changed from Recovered to Active!
The first time they have announced a bulk amount of people re-infected or miss diagnosed subtracted from recoveries.

In primary hospitals: Severe 1043, up 75 (!!) and 736 Critical, down 4

NCR ICU: 50%,(National 58%)....both up 1%

Regional data: (300 and over)

4A 983
NCR 860
C Luzon 583
W Visayas 567
E Visayas 543
C Visayas 373
Davao 368
SOCCSK 326
Cagayan 312

Region 4A came back to lead with 14.7% of cases. But all the top 4 regions had less cases.
E Visayas surprised to get 5th place with 115 more cases.
SOCCSK had 130 more cases.

The top 6 regions had 58.5% of all cases, down 6%.
There were 5 regions in the 200s and only BARMM had a number of cases in 2 digits.

In the NCR 8 cities had less cases and 6 stayed about the same.
Only Pasay had significantly more...38.

Top 6: QC 172, Taguig 91, Manila 81, Caloocan 72, Paranaque 67, Pasig 64

In the NCR bubble provinces Laguna had substantially more cases, 111 more to give 361.
Cavite had 229, Bulacan 200 and Rizal 123.

The NCR bubble had 26.5% of all cases, down a little.

Elsewhere Pangasinan added 61 more to 128 cases. Batangas added 19 more to 183.

Selected cities:

Bacolod 180, up 128
Baguio 80, up 68
CDO 115, down
Cebu 46
Cotabato 26
Davao 136, down
GenSan 82, up
IloIlo 94, down
P Princesa 21
Zamboanga 33, down

Bohol 56, down

Angeles 20
Tarlac 69, up
Zambales 64, up 37

Palawan

https://news.abs-cbn.com/video/news/...covid-19-cases

Palawan is in the MIMAROPA region, a collection of islands.
Case numbers for its capital Puerto Princesa have been low recently after high numbers a few weeks ago. But they have been higher outside the capital. So yesterday 51 opposed to 21 in the capital. But you wonder about accuracy of the numbers, The DOH report 403 active cases for the island while the local officials say 620. Given Palawan's population is about 1.2M that's about 500 cases per million, a high figure if the local number is the more accurate one.
The town of Roxas has the highest number of active cases at 123. Its population is about 70K giving a very high over 1,700 cases per M

Likely that other islands are quietly having have similar problems.


MIMAROPA seemed to be on a downward trend but a recent sharp upturn.
















Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 12th 2021, 11:47 pm
  #907  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

Yesterday an increase of over 1,300 more cases added to get a total of 8,027. All labs on time. Highest since May 28. But the total includes a backlog of over 1k results so not quite up to date. Positivity still maintaining a high level of 13.1%. Tests were at 53k but those under preparation lower at 50k.

Recoveries 8.9k

Deaths 145 with 59 of them RDs.
1.73% is the case fatality rate now.


A downward trend in national deaths but some levelling lately..

Active cases 60,341
Severe in primary hospitals up 17 to 1,026, Critical up 48(!) to 784

NCR ICU.48%, down 2%, Nationally 57%, down 1%

Regional data: (300 and over)

4A 1,147
W Visayas 1,049
C Luzon 848
NCR 807
C Visayas 635
Davao 597
Cagayan 435
Ilocos 352
E Visayas 332
N Mindanao 320

The top 3 regions were all up, W Visayas by close to 500. The NCR was down by over 50 cases. Region 4A maintained its top position with 14.3% of all cases , a little less than the day before.
C Visayas put on 362 more and Davao 229 more.
Other regions showing sizable increases were CARAGA, Ilocos and Cagayan.

Top 6 regions at 63.3% of all cases, up nearly 5%.

For NCR cities: 5 had significantly more cases but the increases were moderate.
Four had less.

Top 6: QC 191, Manila 95, Taguig 66, Pasig 62, Las Pinas 60, Caloocan 53

In the NCR bubble provinces the significant changes were that Bulacan had nearly 50 less but Laguna 80 more cases and led with 281.
The bubble area at 20.1% of all cases, a fall of nearly 6% on the day before.

Notable changes in nearby provinces were an increase in Batangas of 129 to 312 cases. Quezon province added 94 to 146.
North of the NCR Pampanga added 56 to 184. Pangasinan had a few more to report with 141 added.

Selected cities:

Bacolod 219, up 39
Baguio 63, up
CDO 135 up
Cebu 52, up
Cotabato 16
Davao 208, up 72
GenSan 48, down
IloIlo 186, up 92
P Princesa 17
Zamboanga 48 up

Bohol 186, up 130!

Angeles 54, up
Tarlac 32, down
Zambales 34, down

A good decision:

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/11/...-ncr-plus-iatf

But in some of these more remote areas where infection rates have been low up to recently some education is needed:

https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news..._picks&order=4








Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 13th 2021, 9:14 pm
  #908  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

Yesterday 700 or so less cases as testing ran down at the end of last week. The 7,302 positive results included over 1k previously unannounced. Positivity was down a little to 12.4% from the 50.7k individuals tested.

Recoveries at 7.7k.

Deaths continue high at 137 of which 65 were RDs.

Active cases down a little less than 500 to 59,865.
Severe at 1,078, down 6, Critical 778, also down 6.
NCR ICU at 46%, down 2%, but nationally ICU use up !5 to 58%.
These figures point to the increasing strain on health facilities outside the NCR.

Location data not available at the time of posting.
Will update later.

Vaccination:

The latest plan from Gen Galvez, vaccine Czar, is to, when enough vaccines arrive, fully vaccinate 58M people by the end of the year.
Up to June 8 have been 1.7M fully vaccinated, so only 3.4M shots have been administered since March 1. So far about 50k shots a day.
If they were able to start now, and of course they can't, its about 200 days left to give 2 shots to each of about 56M people, so about 112M jabs.
That's over half a million a day. Britain did 570k on June 12 and has been maintaining a rate of 4-500k a day since the start of April. With vaccine supply uncertain, distribution problems, hesitancy and poor organisation the Philippines cannot get near that. This is not the straight talking expected from a general. Unfortunately when they get into government here they soon copy the politicians.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/13/...-19-cases-soar

Places you never heard of before become known a little more because of covid. Digos now probably has a population of nearly 200k.
Over 300 active cases is quite a high level, higher than in many NCR cities. Eg Marikina, about average for an NCR city, has about 266 active cases for a population more than twice as large.

Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 14th 2021, 10:29 pm
  #909  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

As usual a lower 6,426 new cases yesterday after the weekend. Also 10 labs not operating or late. not sure which. Out of the 41.2k tested a higher 13.7% were positive. There was a backlog of 776 results included. Can't tell you tests in preparation number as DOH site still not accessible.

Recoveries 7.2k.

Deaths 57 with 10 RDs.

Active 59,096.

Severe cases in hospital 1,064, down 14
Critical 768, down 10

NCR ICU 47%, up 1%, nationally 58%, unchanged


Locations?

Firefox says the DOH's site security certificate expired June 14, so for the second day can't get the data. Both Chrome and Firefox won't allow you to take the "risk" and access. Even though personal information, credit cards obviously not involved. My computer date and time are correct. So just have to wait for access to be restored.

Manila hospitals

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/14/...d-restrictions

Seems the doctors have a different assessment always of how busy they are than indicated by the DOH statistics. Yesterday saying Manila's ICU wards are under half full on average.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/14/...triction-mayor

The Dumaguete mayor seems to be blaming travelers from the NCR bubble area for the rise in infections there and in a neighbouring province, but travel out of the bubble area should only be allowed for a number of essential reasons. Were these restrictions properly enforced?

Dr John Campbell latest update:


Indian variant contributing to new Indonesia wave.


Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 15th 2021, 8:48 am
  #910  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

The DOH must have had a whip round and renewed their security certificate. So here are some location data for yesterday:

Regional 300 and over

4A 940
NCR 832
W Visayas 683
C Luzon 552
Davao 536
N Mindanao 426
SOCCSK 402
E Visayas 312

4A with 14.6% of all cases.
Compared with June 12 both N Mindanao and SOCCSK increased by more than a hundred..
The CAR cases doubled.

Davao maintained a total in the 500s.
C Luzon fell by a little less than 300.
C Visayas by a little less than 500.



The top 6 had 61.8% of all cases. Down on June 12.

NCR cities:

QC 162
Manila 110
Taguig 89
Pasig 62
Makati 61
Caloocan 56

Provinces:

Laguna 337
Cavite 188
Bulacan 138
Rizal 138

Higher Laguna report.

NCR bubble at 25.2% of national cases. Up on June 12.

Selected cities:

Bacolod 60
Baguio 102 up!
CDO 73
Cebu 40
Cotabato 26
Davao 300 up!
GenSan 66
IloIlo 128 maintaining high numbers
P Princesa 28
Zamboanga 65

Bohol 26

Angeles 23
Tarlac 29
Zambales 72



Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 15th 2021, 10:37 pm
  #911  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

Yesterday 16 labs were off. The DOH say they accounted lately for 7% of positives, which would mean there could have been over 400 more cases. Also the results, 5,389 in number, include 1,153 earlier positives. Positivity higher at 13.9% from a low 30.5K tests on individuals. Tests on the way slightly higher at 34.9k.

Recoveries 6.7k

Deaths 118 with 65 RDs.

304 recoveries changed to active

Active cases 58,063

Severe 1,045, down 19 and Critical 755, down 13
NCR ICU 46%, down 1% but Nationally 59%, up 1%

Regional data (300 and over)

4A 702
C Luzon 547
NCR 479
W Visayas 431
C Visayas 421
N Mindanao 394
SOCCSK 374
E Visayas 325

Significant falls in 8 regions. 4A numbers were more than 200 less. It had 13%of all cases. The NCR had over 350 less.
C Visayas had the largest increase.... 276 cases over the previous day.

BARMM and Cagayan both had about 30 more.

The top 6 regions had 55.2% of all cases, up by nearly 6%.

The case numbers in NCR cities neatly all fell.

QC 115, Manila 83, Paranaque 46

In the provinces Cavite had 71 more to lead at 259. Bulacan had just 16 more.
Laguna case numbers were at 188, a fall of nearly 150.
Rizal's fell by 45.

The NCR bubble at 21.4% of all cases, down nearly 4%.

Selected cities;

Bacolod 126, up 66
Baguio 70, down
CDO 56, down
Cotabato 78, up 52
Davao 126, down
GenSan 51, down
IloIlo 66, down
Puerto Princesa 37
Tacloban 48
Zamboanga 42, down

Bohol 142, up 116

Angeles 25
Tarlac 17
Zambales 31


Bohol has a population of about 1.4M, about the same as Caloocan City in the NCR. It also has about the same number of active cases.

Changes have been made to Quarantine levels up to June 30:

NCR and Bulacan will be placed in the GCQ "with some restrictions", while Rizal, Laguna and Cavite will be in the GCQ "with heightened restrictions."
What that exactly means is not clear yet.
But the NCR plus bubble area is now one with much more variation in area restrictions.
At the same time, 21 areas were subjected to modified enhanced community quarantine (MECQ) due to the increase in COVID-19 cases:
  • Region 2
    - Santiago City
    - Cagayan
  • Cordillera Administrative Region
    - Apayao
    - Ifugao
  • Region 3
    - Bataan
  • Region 4 -A
    - Lucena City
  • Region 4 -B
    - Puerto Princesa City
  • Region 5
    - Naga City
  • Region 6
    - Iloilo City
    - Iloilo
  • Region 7
    - Negros Oriental
  • Region 9
    - Zamboanga City
    - Zamboanga Sibugay
    - Zamboanga Del Sur
    - Zamboanga Del Norte
  • Region 10
    - Cagayan De Oro City
  • Region 11
    - Davao City
  • Caraga
    - Butuan City
    - Agusan Del Sur
    - Dinagat Islands
    - Surigao del Sur
For more detail you can refer to this ABS-CBN report, which includes a difficult to read table explaining the increasingly complicated Quarantine classification now in force. And you always have to remember that some LGUs impose different restrictions in the same quarantine area.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/15/...ncrplus-june30











Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 16th 2021, 11:32 pm
  #912  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

Yesterday another 5,414 cases, about 1k less but 6 labs late to report. Backlog included was 380, so fairly up to date. Positivity maintaining a high level at 13.7%. From only 36.7k tests. A few thousand more coming along at 43.1k.

Recoveries 7.6k

Deaths 158 with 117 RDs.

ABS-CBN say that in the last 22 days in only 4 have deaths been under 100.

So the latest DOH chart seems to be misleadingly showing a downward trend but this is because many deaths are reported weeks later. I strongly suspect all the RDs, which account for more than half of deaths on some days, are very delayed reports.


Latest National deaths



Deaths chart a month ago

Notice the addition of deaths above the upward portion of the trend line from a few weeks ago when comparing a month ago with now. There are even some deaths added to weeks well before that.

375 recoveries were changed to active status,
Active 56,170 giving 1067 Severe, up 22 and 730 Critical, down 25.

ICU NCR at 45%, down 1% and nationally 58%, down 1%.

Regional data: (300 and over)

4A 685
NCR 559
N Mindanao 501
Davao 459
W Visayas 455
SOCCSK 430
C Luzon 397

4A at 12.7% of all cases retaining its first position. NCR added 30 cases to stay second but C Luzon reported 150 less to drop to 7th place.
Visayan and Mindanao regions taking up 4 of the top 7 places.
Davao added 228 and N Mindanao 107.
Only one region, BARMM with 59, under 100 cases.
Five regions were n the 200s.

The top 6 regions accounted for 57% of all cases, up 1.8%.

In the NCR no big changes.
Pasig added 20 cases and Valenzuala more than doubled to 34.

Top 6: QC 110, Manila 65, Makati 57, Las Pinas 54, Pasig 50, Paranaque 43

Provincially in the NCR bubble provinces Bulacan, Cavite and Rizal all had less cases, Cavite stood out with more than 100 less.
Laguna added 81 cases to report the most at 279.

Batangas added 45 more to 142.
Pampanga and Pangasinan both reported about 100 less to 59 and 38 only.

NCR bubble with 20.6% of all cases, down.

Selected cities:

Bacolod 82, down
Baguio 128, up 58
CDO 89, up
Cebu 68, up 12
Cotabato 23, down
Davao 142, up 16
GenSan 47, down
IloIlo 63
P Princesa 46, up
Zamboanga 54, down

Bohol 32, down

Angeles 24
Tarlac 52, up
Zambales 26, down

https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...oh-exec/story/

Common sense at last! Notice they are saying the original edict said "enclosed public places". The word "enclosed" got left out in public pronouncements. A bit like the rule on Seniors to stay at home. That they could go out for essential purposes usually left out.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/16/...laces-doh-exec

Mr Vega has been busy. This time muddying the government's message. Trying to give SCs nearly 100% safety at the expense of their physical and mental well being. Do they have to wait many months for 50% of the community to be vaccinated?

Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 17th 2021, 10:53 pm
  #913  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

Yesterday new cases up by well over 1k on the day before to 6,637. Five labs did not submit. Not so up to date as a backlog of 1,350 included. Positivity from the 44.4k individual tests down substantially to 11.9% from the 13% level maintained for some time.

Recoveries lower at 4.6k

Deaths at 155 with 107 RDs.

235 "Recoveries" now found to be active

Active now 58,407 with 1051 in a Severe condition in primary hospital, down 16. 758 Critical, up 29.

NCR ICU use at 46%, up 1%. Nationally down 1% at 57%

DOH site down again so no location detail. Will update later if possible.

Quarantine areas:

Another province, Albay, including Legazpi City, having its quarantine level increased. While resorts in the provinces around Manila have been closed for months I know that the people in Bicol have been enjoying them in the summer: Albay cases have increased by 60% in the past week over the previous one.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/17/...covid-19-cases

Face Shields

No room for nuance from the country's leader. Or maybe he needs to boost his popularity as things are not going well for him here at present? Now he says face shields only needed in hospitals. But I can see that in some outdoor and indoor situations they could be useful. The DOH appealing and still citing limited laboratory evidence that they boost protection by a few per cent, so they must be a good idea to be worn in "public places" despite their disadvantages. Saying that all along that was "enclosed" public places, when many LGUs mandated them to be worn on top of a mask in many open and well ventilated public places.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/17/...ospitals-sotto

Davao statistics;

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/17/...so-ng-covid-19

You wonder sometimes whether the DOH is not reporting the information from LGUs accurately.

The Davao region number given by the DOH yesterday was 459 and for Davao City 142. Here it says 725 and 397. Active case numbers also a lot different for the two areas. Perhaps the reporters got the wrong figures or.... A potential presidential candidate is being criticized for a renewed surge in Davao and around.



Raffin is offline  
Old Jun 18th 2021, 12:12 am
  #914  
BE Forum Addict
 
Gazza-d's Avatar
 
Joined: Nov 2012
Location: Suffolk UK
Posts: 1,178
Gazza-d has a reputation beyond reputeGazza-d has a reputation beyond reputeGazza-d has a reputation beyond reputeGazza-d has a reputation beyond reputeGazza-d has a reputation beyond reputeGazza-d has a reputation beyond reputeGazza-d has a reputation beyond reputeGazza-d has a reputation beyond reputeGazza-d has a reputation beyond reputeGazza-d has a reputation beyond reputeGazza-d has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown

There seems to be very little being said about the large number of areas moving up to MECQ, that's a major jump. Here in Bataan we have just jumped from MGCQ to MECQ but not a word about increased case numbers or any reason given.
Gazza-d is offline  
Old Jun 18th 2021, 1:26 am
  #915  
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,302
Raffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond reputeRaffin has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: NCR llockdown


Bataan

Cases rising fast for some weeks so late in taking action.
Provincial covid tracker site is only up to May11.
For a population of about 800k 1,277 active cases on June 15 high compared to many cities in the NCR.
Raffin is offline  

Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service - Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information -

Copyright © 2023 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.