NCR llockdown

Old Jul 11th 2023, 12:09 am
  #2056  
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Default Re: NCR llockdown

Weekly covid update

New cases 2,510 (2,747). Fall of 9% (-20%)

Serious and Critical 44 (32)
Admitted 382 (442)

ICU 12.3% (13.7%)
Non ICU 17.4% (17.7%)

Active cases 6,606 (6,925)

Latest OCTA positivity report


Nationwide 6.4% 9 July
The NCR, Cavite and Bulacan under the WHO guideline of 5%.


No deaths reported.

Latest Asian cases from Worldometers:

The Philippines still reporting daily. Yesterday 258.
So is Vietnam, 39 yesterday..
Last Indonesia report 40 cases for July 3.
Latest report from S Korea: the daily average for the w/e June 26 was 940.
Japan has stopped reporting to Worldometers.

Will look at some recent You tube videos later this week.
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Old Jul 13th 2023, 1:06 am
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Some recent videos and covid data:

On July 6 Dr Campbell put out a video about a Danish investigation into adverse effects from the Pfizer vaccine.
The authors suggested there was a much higher occurrence from a small number of vaccine batches.."bad batches".

The Danish vaccine calendar is shown:


A typically robust examination of the paper from which she concludes the reason it was
not accepted by three high quality journals was not censorship. As suggested
by both Dr Campbell and the lead author he had in for interview.
The main reasons for higher reported effects were the Danish vaccine roll out prioritised
those with vulnerabilities and the aged. And with a new vaccine there is a concentration
on following up reported adverse events.at first.


Anti vaxxers have been trying hard recently to link cardiac arrests in the young to covid vaccination.
This is a clip from her main video on this from 2 months ago. She gives a link to that.


From an Australian paper.
Three time periods. Before covid, covid, covid vaccination. Notice that for Australia
vaccination started well before covid arrived.
The yellow area due to myocarditis, blue cardiac arrests, red covid vaccination,
green covid cases.
It can be seen there is no difference in cardiac arrests through time.


Dr Campbell presents a report from the British Heart Foundation on cardiac deaths.

Its main findings:



Dr Campbell goes through the sections of the report and .interestingly, he includes this one:


He uses his green pen approvingly on this section which looked at cardiovascular disease
in the pre vaccination year of 2020. But then skipping over the even higher numbers in 2021.

He doesn't pick up the on the role of covid long term. Or on the effects of a lower standard of NHS treatment..Except he does say something about late ambulance arrival as one reason for the increase.


....he moves on quickly to now, when covid cases have fallen greatly in the UK.


He again likes a quote that suggests covid no longer fully explains the increase in cardiovacsular disease. And introduces a new word to most of us, Iatrogenesis, which means that there is some treatment causing this. What treatment could he mean?

Of course its code for covid vaccination. Just one big problem Dr Campbell.....how do you explain the increase in 2020 cardiovascular deaths? Also the BHF themselves do not suggest covid vaccination is a reason for the continued high numbers of deaths.
The BHF suggest long term effects of covid, continued disruption to health services, changing patient behaviour and attitudes after the Pandemic and increasing diabetes and obesity.
They only mention myo/pericarditis post vaccination, a rare effect from covid vaccination, might be a small contributor. But they state it was a much more frequent occurrence after covid infection.

Note: The link to the BHF report from the video no longer works.You can read it from the BHF site in a summary form or download the full report.


The main Medcram presenter Dr Seheult, looks at falling excess deaths trend in the US.
The increase in Winter 2021/22 due to a combination of increased pneumonia, influenza
and covid deaths.


UK Excess Deaths

The ONS weekly UK data shows stubbornly high figures so far for June, only slightly lower than for May.

2 June 11.3%
9 June 5.3%
16 June 10.6%
23 June 8.7%
30 June 8.8%

The w/e 9 June figure may have been affected by holiday delays in reporting.

Our World in Data calculates excess deaths differently to the ONS:


A long downward trend for the first quarter of 2023, then 3 months of highly variable data. Some of which due to Holiday effects.

Going back to the excess UK cardiovascular deaths, is this caused at least partly by ongoing problems in the NHS?


Germany and France similar to the UKs for the first quarter, but then only gentle increases.

The Benefit of Vaccination

The ONS have produced reports on this since April 2021. Made possible in the UK because we have the NHS and its Immunisation Management Service (NIMS).
I've looked at the figures for the ever vaccinated and the unvaccinated from April 2021 through 2022:

here are exerts from the results (unvaccinated first). The mortality is expressed by a rate per 100k person years. That is to standardise mortality by a weighted average of the numbers of people in each age category. The aim is to adjust for the differences in the age distribution of a population.

April 2021: 131.3 vs 14.1 9.3x
July 2021: 239.0 vs 24.3 9.8x
October 2021 373.9 vs 66.1 5.7x
January 2022 647.3 vs 108.9 5.9x
April 2022 214.9 vs 97.0 2.2x
July 2022 164.0 vs 65.5 2.5x
October 2022 118.0 vs 58.4 2.0x
December 2022 63.5 vs 35.5 1.8x

Anti vaxxers not only question covid vaccine safety and sometimes label it as a mass killer or poison but also say it was and is ineffective .In terms of saving lives these figures show that it is not ineffective. Though the advantage of being vaccinated did fall markedly in 2022 when the Omicron variant was dominant.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulat...nstatusenglandc















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Old Jul 17th 2023, 11:20 pm
  #2058  
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Default Re: NCR llockdown

Weekly Update

New cases 1,938 (2,510) A 23% decrease (-9%)

Latest OCTA report...no regional positivity data.

https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/180240...ays-now-at-5-6

Active 5,681 (6,606)
Deaths surprisingly high::
26...19 July, 5 June, 2 May.

Hospital Data
​​
New serious and critical: 25 (44)
Admitted: 324 (382)
ICU 10.4% (12.3%)
Non ICU 16.0% (17.4%)

SE and E Asian cases

The Philippines still reporting daily to Worldometers as are a few other countries:


Jaoan stopped reporting some time ago. S Korea is an outlier with its
still high delayed reports. An average of 3,048 per day June 26-July 5
and 1,850 5 -10 July.


Newspaper reports from Japan suggest a further gradual wave:

https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/20...nfection-wave/

This article also includes a US report on US infection this summer:

https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/202.../covi-j17.html

Later this week will report on local covid news and some latest You tube videos.



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Old Jul 23rd 2023, 1:28 am
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Weekly covid news update:

President Marcos has lifted the more than 3 years old covid State of Emergency:

https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...ergency/story/

Covid vaccinations are covered for a further year.

The IATF are going to issue a report and government units are told to "amend existing or promulgate new orders".

Face mask wearing requirements on public transport and elsewhere are rescinded "from a technical standpoint". Hmmm?
Yesterday we attended the public areas of two local hospitals. They both required face mask wearing. Uncomfortable for the long hours you often need to wait.
Then you wonder about workers?
It's going to take a while to get fully back to 2019.
The DOH going to keep the Alert Levels. So the DOH still see it as worse than the 'flu.

SS gives more detail on this in her latest newsletter and also wonders whether certain requirements for expensive PCR tests from the bereaved if burial, women about to deliver in hospital, workers and unvaccinated foreign tourists will continue.

https://supersally.substack.com/

A not unexpected SC ruling vs petitions vs covid policies:

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/13/...-covid-policie

You tube videos:

Dr John Campbell:

He gets so many viewers and so that, rather than the quality of the presentations, justifies continued monitoring!


The fourth appearance for the Danish doctor.
As always on the search for temporal coincidences
of excess deaths with covid vaccination.



The Australian Senator has been on before.
Campbell and he criticize the Western Australia
vaccine report.
Interesting to note the Senator has recently been
dropped from his party for his views on covid vaccines,
climate change and Ukraine.

UK Excess Deaths

Latest UK ONS data w/e 7 July fell to 2-9% from an average over the three previous weeks of about 10%.
Needs to be continue low, as this data has been volatile lately.

Our World in Data's latest UK excess mortality chart:



Our World use a different method to calculate expected deaths.



A meta study presented by Dr Campbell.
Pictures of spike proteins form autopsies of suspected
vaccine related deaths. But the covid variety far more
dangerous and better equipped than the short lived
vaccine one. A study with a well known anti vaxxer
Dr peter McCullogh as one of the authors,,which came
out in an online publication the day after it was submitted.
I fully expect a rebuttle from Dr Susan Oliver soon.


The BBC with a good summary of what has come out of the UK covid enquiry so far.
An interim report promised in 2024.
After that a final report.

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-66223172










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Old Jul 23rd 2023, 2:35 am
  #2060  
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At last we are joining the rest of the world. It will be interesting to see what the IATF finally dictates.
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Old Jul 23rd 2023, 3:12 am
  #2061  
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Originally Posted by Bealinehx
At last we are joining the rest of the world. It will be interesting to see what the IATF finally dictates.
It will be. And whether local authorities follow it.

Looking around the region online it only seems to be Malaysia and Singapore who are still concerned much about it.
Malaysia giving no case data to Worldometers but has still got a policy on quarantine after testing positive.
Singapore also not giving case data but is giving out free tests ahead of vacation time there.

Thailand reporting every 2 weeks at about 50 per day.
Phils in the 200s daily.

Nothing at all on Indonesia or Vietnam now to be seen about covid.
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Old Jul 23rd 2023, 3:35 am
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I really hope that compulsory wearing of facemarks on Philippine registered aircraft will now becomes a thing of the past. For many months Philippine airlines were the only ones enforcing the facemark rule.
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Old Aug 2nd 2023, 4:12 am
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Weekly Report

The two main online news sites seem to have lost interest. There were incomplete reports in the Manila Bulletin and Inquirer.

Cases 1,302 (1,958). Fall of 22% (-23%)

Latest OCTA Positivity report shows NCR down to 2.7% from 3.3% a week ago.
Cavite 3.8%, Bulacan 3.2%, Rizal 2.1%

But three areas with increasing positivity: Isabela, Tarlac and Zambales.

Deaths 49 (26).
Not completely clear yet if they are all recent.

Active cases 4,427 (5,681)

Hospital data

New admissions 30 (25)
Admitted 356 (324)
ICU beds 11.8% (11.2%)
Non ICU 15.4% (16.6%)

So cases continue to fall though the hospital data slightly worse and recent deaths up.

Asian data

The Philippines and Vietnam still reporting daily. The former with about twice the daily rate of the latter.
Japan and Indonesia not reporting.
S Korea weekly with a daily average of 2,627:


Slight uptick lately.


...though deaths remaining low.

Awaiting developments on other covid news.
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Old Aug 4th 2023, 2:42 am
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COVID NEWS UPDATE

Locally the DOH repeating the long standing rules for covid cases, involving isolation. Even though the disease is milder now:

https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...te/ar-AA1euoY6

A factor involved in keeping recorded cases lower?

DOH mask wearing advice also repeated. Hospitals keeping on with mask wearing for the public etc

Pfizer Bivalent Vaccine

SS commented on this today in a newsletter:

The vaccine has a CPR but no pharmacies have applied to sell it. (CPR is the Certificate of Product Registration).

https://supersally.substack.com/

Recent covid You Tube videos

Back from his 2 week vacation Dr John Campbell continued with a number of videos. Two main themes of his were continued with: Claims of under recorded vaccine injury and the connected excess deaths data. Also complaints against lack of freedom of speech.
I was puzzled as a month ago he presented two studies, one from S Korea based on 44M vaccinations and a smaller Pfizer only Denmark study. Both showed myocarditis rare after covid vaccination..


Dr Campbell enthusiastically presented a Swiss paper on myocarditis after covid
vaccination. The headline comes from a supposed 2.8% injury figure in the paper.
only in an online journal and which took a year to be published.
There were some strange things from the study. It was from 777 hospital staff, 70%
female. Who had 10x more cases than men, who had only 2 cases You may recall that the
vaccines had this as a rare side effect but when it was found that it was not quite so
rare in young men with some vaccines some authorities recommended they were given
alternative vaccines. A little thought tells you that 1 in 35 would mean doctors and hospitals swamped with
cases all over the world.
Dr Campbell's presentation perfectly illustrating that he is well out of his depth on many
scientific medical areas and just bent on casting doubt on vaccine safety.
The screenshot above also well illustrates that he knows he can get away with anything
with his viewers. He pulls out a 2010 edition of a medical textbook's section on myocarditis
which at the end of a summary of the symptoms notes that it has been seen to be more prevalent
among young athletes. Those who are implicating covid vaccines whenever a sports man or
woman collapses take note! Then a few minutes later Campbell rails against a supposed lack
of advice given generally after vaccination re strenuous exercise. But it was well known about
in 2010 and you are likely to have been told to rest for a day after vaccination.
Funny then that on the 2.8% injury estimate he says "If I had known about this...I would have run a mile!"
Still there is more scientific knowledge to come to understand why this study is a poor one....



Dr Oliver points out that the Swiss study didn't find any confirmed case..They only found 2 people with "probable" myocarditis. But one of them just over the borderline level of Traponin T enzyme. which the authors used as a marker for possible myocarditis. A much lower level for the elevated enzyme than normal.

The other 20 cases of injury come from looking at the Triaponin T levels. But they didn't measure their levels before vaccination. So they could be sure they were elevated.The scientific view is that raised Triaponin T levels are not significant markers.They go up with ordinary exercise, games and pregnancy.
A study from the 4 Nordic countries shows myocarditis is an increased risk after covid compared to after the vaccination.
Interestingly it also shows that in the rare case of having myocarditis after vaccination there is a lower chance of heart failure.
A study from Israel showed 2.7 myocarditis cases per 100k and 11 cases per 100k after covid.
There are links to these papers in Dr Oliver's notes.


Dr Campbell starts off with two points made in a recent Daily Mail article.
From that and not a dog to let go of a bone he followed up with yet another video on myocarditis. Inexplicably he left out the results of the S Korean and Danish studies I mentioned above! And of course he doesn't mention the studies in Dr Oliver's video.
Instead he repeats details of the Swiss study, a Thai study of 314 adolescents. An Israeli study of 324 people, using Triaponin T levels again. Only 2 mild cases from that.. Ends with a US autopsy report on 28 deaths. All links are there if you want to look.


After a surfeit of myocarditis Dr Campbell again resorted to excess deaths. Headlining a 2022 WHO study covering excess deaths in the world regions, as defined by the WHO, for only the years 2020 and 2021.
Nevertheless of some interest:


He criticizes the WHO for not taking into account his favourite cause...vaccine related. Disguised by using the term "medical interventions" and his favourite not well known word "Iatrogenesis".

Some charts:


Significant non covid excess deaths.


Smaller numbers in this huge and disparate area.


A puzzling high increased mortality in Africa. Contrary to some discussion that there was abundant natural immunity. Though how good is the data?

Again, significant non covid excess deaths.

The WHO say they use a wide definition of deaths caused by covid so the large differences in some areas could well be caused by the other factors which Campbell says were being left out....lock downs, economic etc.
But almost certainly not by vaccination...


Using World bank data we can see the High Income countries have fewer non covid excess deaths than the Upper Middle Income countries. A reasonable assumption is that the High Income countries were the ones with more vaccinations.

ONS UK Excess Deaths update;

Almost at zero for w/e 21 July.at 0,6%.
14 July 3.3%
7 July 2.9%
30 June 8.8%


Alternative Our World in Data graph showing the downward trend established in the first 3 months, followed by a period of up and down sideways data..Two weeks behind the ONS with a latest 7%. They use different methods to the ONS for their expected deaths estimate.






Last edited by Raffin; Aug 4th 2023 at 3:37 am.
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Old Aug 4th 2023, 3:31 am
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I'm not convinced that the DOH has a well thought out Covid policy now that life is back to near normal.
Using my personal experience my second dose of Covid was not nearly as bad as a heavy cold. I did not report my situation (used a NHS antigen rapid test kit) Did self isolate for five days. My understanding that Covid symptoms do not present for five days but the victim is contagious during that period and up to five days once symptoms are experienced.
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Old Aug 4th 2023, 3:42 am
  #2066  
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Originally Posted by Bealinehx
I'm not convinced that the DOH has a well thought out Covid policy now that life is back to near normal.
Using my personal experience my second dose of Covid was not nearly as bad as a heavy cold. I did not report my situation (used a NHS antigen rapid test kit) Did self isolate for five days. My understanding that Covid symptoms do not present for five days but the victim is contagious during that period and up to five days once symptoms are experienced.
More easy going in the UK now:

https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/covid-...nd-what-to-do/
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Old Aug 8th 2023, 11:22 pm
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Weekly covid report

New cases 977 (1,302) A fall of 25% (-22%)

Deaths 34 (49)...29 in July, 3 June, 2 May.

Hospital Report

New cases 11 (30)
Admitted 315 (356)
ICU 12.1% (11.8%)
Non ICU 15.9% (15.4%)

Deaths lately continue to be higher than earlier this year.

Worldometers reports.... from August 7 for the region, to show S Korea.


S Korea reporting weekly with 18.4k the week before and 16.8k before that. See chart below. Thailand also...391 the week before and 596 the week before that
Philippines has been missing making its daily reports to Worldometers lately. Resumed yesterday August 8 with 93.


S Korea uptick. Cases lower than in the past but at a scale much higher than in other countries in the region. Except perhaps in Japan.
Japan has ceased to report to Worldometers but cases there are also on the rise:

https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20230804_28/

Philippines bivalent vaccination is not going well:

https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...236efef6&ei=11

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Old Aug 15th 2023, 2:00 am
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Weekly covid update Aug 7-13

DOH reported 924 new cases (977). A 5% decline (-25%).

20 deaths, 14 in August (34)

Hospital Report

New admissions 11 (11)
Admitted 238 (315)
ICU 10.5% (12.1%)
Non ICU 14.4% (15.9%)

Case fall markedly down.


UK ZOE latest showing self reported rise lately.

WHO have also reported rising cases, especially in the Western Pacific region:

https://www.philstar.com/headlines/2...bvariant-rises

Worldometers latest:


Philippines not now reporting here. Had 102 cases yesterday. S Korea and
Thailand numbers are for the past week. Japan stopped reporting months ago.
Indonesia last reported 2 weeks ago with 17 cases in 12 days.
Malaysia in mid July when a small case wave there subsided.



Philippine entry vaccination requirements dropped.

You tube video covid activity:


Dr John Campbell misrepresenting what one health expert said to a parliamentary group
investigating UK vaccine injuries. He actually said "up to 98% were not reported"
A meaningless statement on its own and the 2% grabbed by the presenter to bolster his
campaign against vaccines. Tabloid journalism! He also let it be known he himself reported
one through the Yellow Card system, Will he later divulge it?
Not to say there are not improvements that can be made with the system to get a better idea.




Dr Susan Oliver, as usual thoroughly, follows up on a flawed Florida study which
has now been used in a meta study. But wrongly it is in one where it contributes 90% of
the data!


In any case it seems to have been altered for political purposes.
So was not worthy for inclusion because of that alone.
From 4 months ago.








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Old Aug 15th 2023, 2:53 am
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Covid-19 in its many variants is probably here to stay. I am fed up with all of the blame game nonsense. Why not learn from the experience so that in future a similar crisis can be managed more effectively, which I know in the enlightened circles is already happening. The worldwide media thrive on the blame game as it's good for revenue. Sadly the less well educated are bombarded with over dramatic articles and presentations.
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Old Aug 23rd 2023, 12:00 am
  #2070  
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Weekly Covid Report

New cases 789 (924) A 15% fall (-5%).

Deaths 10 (20).
All occurred this month.

Cases resume a faster fall. Only 70 new cases announced yesterday. Vietnam is the other major country still reporting daily and its last two day's numbers 51 and 44. Up significantly from last week.
Reported S Korean cases on Monday for the past week fall for the second week running to 14,570. Down 16%.

UK cases continue to rise:


UK ZOE app new cases continue to rise.

In the US slight rises in cases and hospitalizations are reported:

https://www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...say-rcna100380

Hospital Data

New cases 11 (11)
Admissions 242 (238)
ICU 11.0% (10.5%)
Non ICU 13.5% (14.4%)

Will review some other covid news later this week.

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