NCR llockdown

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Old Apr 7th 2023, 11:50 pm
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Default Re: NCR llockdown

Dr Campbell seemingly not taking an Easter break. Continuing to post videos almost daily:


Dr J Campbell trying hard to make something out of an Australian authorities decision to stop offering the AZ vaccine. Incorrectly using the word "banned" in one version of the video title.
Criticising them for withdrawing it 18 months after the UK.


The AZ vaccine injects genetic material into our cells which teach our immune system to fight the SARS Cor 2 virus. It was available early in the Pandemic and was the early mainstay of the UK vaccination programme. Australia was later in starting its vaccinations and there it contributed a lower 20% or so of vaccinations.

Some reports came out in Europe of a possible link with blood clotting with low platelet count. Though no causal mechanism was discovered and rates were very low...a few cases per 100,000... some national health authorities suspended the vaccine. Most reinstated it after restricting its use with younger people, who had a higher, but still low, occurrence of the blood clots. In its recent statement that it was stopping AZ vaccination the Australian authorities put the occurrence at 2 -3 per 100,000. Earlier the final report from the European Medicines Agency put it lower at 1 per 100,000.

So as of now nearly all Australians have had a primary series of vaccination and the aim there now is to give boosters. Pfixer and Moderna are the choices available for those. Not making AZ available was nothing to do with the blood clots.

But ignoring all that Campbell proceeded to do a hatchet job on the AZ vaccine. Even suggesting that a model showing how it works on show in Oxford should be covered up. At one point putting up a chart of its other adverse reactions in Australia. While not mentioning that all vaccines have them. Also neglecting to talk about the vaccine's advantages in storage and transportation over other brands.making it more suitable for developing countries.
At one point he darkly refers to an AZ statement that they will be making 2bn doses. If you try to find out the present total around the world you won't find how many AZ doses have been administered. Our World in Data says 69M...well in the UK 55M were given. So the 2bn statement was just a statement of an aim. But millions more are being produced in India and exported to other countries.

All in all a very misleading video. But if you read the comments one which convinced and entertained his many followers.



Only a paper for a conference, so not peer reviewed, as he says.
So best not to describe its approach now as "robust".


Research on mask wearing by the public has generally come out with results showing little to no advantage in terms of catching covid..And the disadvantages of mask wearing eg increased breathing of CO2 do not seem to be studied much. Viruses are much smaller that the holes in fabric masks. I always thought that they would only help if one was in the way of a powerful sneeze from a covid infected person as the fabric mask would help in reducing the entry up the nose of large water particles carrying the virus. But masks obviously can't help much with aerosol carried virus

More on vaccine injury in Australia:


Electricity, burning nerve pain! Mel is not the first probably vaccine injured person Dr Campbell has interviewed...you may recall Kyle. She gives a very clear account of her injury and the circumstances.. Her vaccine brand was Pfizer. Good it wasn't AZ! Dr Campbell would have had a field day!

Unfortunately she went on to get a Pfizer booster before getting confirmation her condition was caused by vaccination. She says this made her symptoms worse. She says she did get covid once but got over it easily. So an earlier diagnosis that raised covid as a possible cause can be ruled out.

Difficult to diagnose these rare idiosyncratic effects.

In the past Dr Campbell made a number of videos on the treatment of Covid and Long Covid. But now he concentrates on vaccine injury. I think too much.






Last edited by Raffin; Apr 7th 2023 at 11:58 pm.
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Old Apr 11th 2023, 12:07 am
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Default Re: NCR llockdown

Weekly Report

Holy week cases 1,944 (1,721). Up 13%.(+33%)
Also a 13% increase for the daily adjusted: 1,845 (1,656)
But testing volume fell markedly at the end of last week.

Top regional last 14 days cases:

NCR +26% (+25%)
Dav +4% (+12%)
NM -8% (+35%)
4A +22% (+13%)

CV entered the top 5 regions with 172 infections at the end of the week.

Weekly national positivity went up to 5.3%. NCR latest figure at 6.5%.


Deaths 30 (58)
All from 2022 and back to Sep 2020.

Hospital Data

New cases 17 (13)
Admitted 378 (347)
ICU 14.8% (13.7%)
Non ICU 16.5% (16.5%)

Holiday effects reduced the infection upturn data. NCR positivity is now slightly above the 5% recognised WHO control benchmark.
Another slight worsening in hospital data.



Dr John Campbell reports on this decision from the Swiss health authorities. Contrasts it with the US CDC advice.



Dr Philip McMillan has also made a video on the Swiss decision.

He points out the Swiss decision is to stop recommending vaccination. If you still want one you should consult a doctor.
He says about a third of the population there have not been vaccinated. He contrasts what this means for immunity arguing that about one third of the population there have the better natural immunity solely from infection rather than a hybrid immunity from a combination of vaccination and infection.
From Our World in Data we can be more precise. It says at present 69% of the Swiss population have received the primary vaccination and 1% just the one dose.



Dr Susan Oliver reports on how the Florida Surgeon General altered and promoted a report on covid vaccination to cast doubt on its effectiveness and safety. It was itself on a subset of all the data.

About 2 years ago Florida's foremost coronavirus data expert claimed data back then had also been manipulated for political purposes.
An official investigation involving the Surgeon General found her claims were false. Given what we now know can it be trusted too?

https://www.tallahassee.com/story/ne...red/9953780002


Australia and The Philippines



Two very different countries with a very different official record on covid infection since early 2022.

Australian vaccination rate much higher.
Roll outs started at about the same time.


Boosters rate much higher in Australia.

Philippine data was and is still surely much under reported. But enough to account for the big difference in infection?

SS has her own take on this in her latest newsletter on Australian data explaining it by the advantage of natural over hybrid immunity. Though even allowing for under reporting the infection rate here was never very high. Also there was possibly more observance of controls. And the population here is much younger.

For free newsletters:
https://supersally.substack.com/





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Old Apr 17th 2023, 10:44 pm
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Default Re: NCR llockdown

Weekly Update

New daily cases 2,386 (1,944). A 23% increase. Last week 13%.
For the updated case numbers 2,392 (1,845). A 24% (13%) increase.

Last 14 days infections % change in the top regions:

NCR +25 (+26)
Dav +19 (+4)
4A +47 (+22)
NM -5 (-8)

BARMM displaced the CV region in 5th place with 232 infections yesterday back 14 days. A high rate given its small population.

So the NCR and 4A with high rates of increase.

The OCTA group report over 7% positivity in the NCR last weekend and some higher rates elsewhere:

https://www.manilastandard.net/news/...cr-rising.html

In the City of Manila:

https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...wearing/story/

Though not now it seems the authorities in Manila might soon reinstate inside mask wearing if these increases continue.
But my observation is that even now a sizable proportion of people are either voluntarily or involuntarily wearing masks. So more mask waering won't do much good. Booster vaccinations? I think most people have had enough and will be Ok with taking the greatest risk of getting a little sick. That will also boost their immunity..Though most people do not understand that.

If more authorities follow suit I forsee clashes with the President looming. He doesn't want any measures that will damage the image of the Philippines he wants to project as one of being well back to business and open to foreign tourism.

Deaths 20 (30)
Again, well in the past...Feb 2022 back to January 2021.

Hospital Data:

New admissions 17 (13)
Admitted 378 (347)

ICU 14.8% (13.7%)
Non ICU 16.5% (16.5%)

Slight worsening overall but still very manageable.


Graphene is a very hard material made from an arrangement of pure carbon. It would be very worrying if it was getting into covid vaccines during manufacture...as some anti vaxxers have claimed.

The claims have already been fact checked and found to be false and Dr Susan Oliver gives a good explanation in her latest video.

Dr Campbell keeping up a fast rate of video production:


A team led by an eminent German pathologist found these strange looking long strands
coming out of the blood vessels of people who had died after a vaccine.Formed after
death by blood clots.

Evidence initially was from 15 dead patients but then from biopsies taken from living patients.Implicating blood clotting caused by spike proteins post vaccination. A new pathology the German pathologist says.

More on spike proteins:


A non Peer Reviewed study from Boston Mass. in conjunction with the Harvard Medical School aiming to further research on the rare adverse reaction of myocarditis. A good aim as mRNA vaccines have been criticised over that small issue by anti-vaxxers.

Dr Campbell again putting his own gloss on this. First by not mentioning myocarditis is a rare adverse reaction, 1 -2 per 100k. He is probably still relying on one deficient Israeli study which claimed it wasn't rare. And not saying that myocarditis can also be caused by covid infection. Then he complains that the authors did not have another control group of the unvaccinated in their study. He provides a link to the paper and if you look you will see that the study has quite enough to deal with without adding more complexity. Then picking the authors up over the spike protein and why the spike antigen did not increase. But if you read the paper you will see that the authors suggest that may well be because elevated spike protein antigen may itself contribute to myocarditis. He conveniently left that bit out. Presumably relying on not many people bothering to wade through the paper to find it.

As Dr Campbell these days is busy pushing his agenda on vaccination it is best to wait for properly qualified medical doctors and scientists to review what he says on this.



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Old Apr 25th 2023, 12:07 am
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Default Re: NCR llockdown

Weekly Report

Weekly cases up by 32% (23%) at 3,148 (2,386).
The DOH did not report revised daily numbers from April 21 on.

Last 14 days top 5 regional infections % increases:

NCR +43 (+25)
4A +62 (+47)
Dav -5 (+19)
NM +5 (-5)
WV in 5th place with 299 infections.

The NCR with about 3 times the infections of region 4A.

Deaths 5(20),
All in 2021 and 2020.


A very slight increase showing in the latest DOH date of infection chart.



National positivity on an upward trend (10.9% April 23).
Testing (at the top) not keeping up.
Indicating mild symptoms prevalent.



Covid will not go away even though now at much lower levels.The latest ZOE UK data showing covid infections with many smaller waves over the last year.

Hospital data

New cases 14 (17)
Admitted 345 (356)

ICU 13.7% (12.3%)
Non ICU 17.4% (17.4%)

For last week a mixed picture. But changes slight.

Philippine Alert levels:

https://www.philstar.com/headlines/2...el-2-june-2022

Surprising to see that 26 provinces, including Cebu, Quezon and all Davao provinces except Davao Oriental, are still at Alert level 2. Not because of case numbers but solely due to low vaccination rates. Especially with Seniors. Level 2 rules involve capacity restrictions though they are probably not being implemented, especially as many are tourist areas. Does the DOH expect these areas to increase vaccination levels to get down to Alert level 1? Probably not so the provinces need to wait for the DOH to terminate the Alert level system and the national state of emergency.



Dr Campbell continues to present the rare cases where
the vaccine is definitely linked to death...



....to counter Campbell's approach Dr Susan Oliver looks at vaccine adverse effects and how doctors and scientists should assess them.

She strongly criticises the temporal linking of vaccination levels and adverse effects. She says that the best way to assess adverse effects would be to compare their occurrence in the vaccinated against that in the whole population. Her example of this being done was with the HPV vaccine.

There is a problem with rare adverse reactions as they often do not occur at all in stage 3 vaccine trials. Population occurrences are at very low levels. This was more so in the covid vaccine trails as they were somewhat rushed in what was seen as an emergency and mRNA technology was being used.


Dr Susan Oliver responded to the US Senate's "Muddy Waters" report on covid origins by pointing out that at least part of it was not written by people with scientific understanding. Rather than commenting on the whole report she simply stands by her earlier view that the origin was zoonotic and provides a link to her video on that topic from a few weeks ago.




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Old Apr 25th 2023, 8:56 am
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Not strictly on topic. Arrived back at NAIA Terminal from Vietnam a few hours ago. The eTravel system works well and no requirement to show apron of vaccine.
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Old Apr 25th 2023, 9:40 pm
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Default Re: NCR llockdown

Originally Posted by Bealinehx
Not strictly on topic. Arrived back at NAIA Terminal from Vietnam a few hours ago. The eTravel system works well and no requirement to show apron of vaccine.
Interesting that according to Worldometers Vietnam is having a second small Omicron resurgence after their only big outbreak early last year...2,501 cases yesterday and averaged 1,870 last week. Here we are averaging about 500 daily..But they have been testing at double the rate here over the whole Pandemic.
Indonesia's cases are also on the up,1,167 yesterday.
But some SE Asian countries have stopped reporting cases. Eg Malaysia,Thailand.
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Old Apr 25th 2023, 11:20 pm
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The general attitude is that Covid is here and we just have to carry on as we have done with influenza etc. The authorities here have played the paranoia card for too long. On the flight back most of the foreigners (not me of course!) thought that compulsory wearing of facemarks was a joke.
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Old Apr 25th 2023, 11:33 pm
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B...did you see much mask wearing in Vietnam?
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Old Apr 26th 2023, 2:53 am
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Compulsory in government buildings apparently. In general probably about 5% wore masks.
It seems that Philippines is dragging the whole issue for what purpose ? Out of the city almost zero mask wearing.
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Old Apr 26th 2023, 4:33 am
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So quite low then..a bit surprising for a communist country? But they've now reinstated masks for crowded places in Hanoi: Their numbers have suddenly gone up.

https://www.thestar.com.my/aseanplus...ike-in-country

It's a strange policy here. Yes, they should be concerned about covid. Compared to the flu it's more transmissible, novel so more difficult to treat. Also a risk of long term illness, even with Omicron apparently. But there's little point in increasing mask measures in a country where many people still wear them and their effectiveness is low. In the semi rural area of Upper Cavite here I see a lot of people still wearing them outside, well away from commercial areas. If cases keep going up, and they might do so if new variants are at work, the inconvenience for the public will be knee jerk ad hoc decisions to impose mask wearing by some LGUs or even by operators in Malls, groceries, apartment blocks etc Back to square one. Unless BBM stamps down on that. I'm sure if numbers get back to, say over 5k a day for the NCR, the DOH will be pressing him to bring back vaxx cards together with a requirement to have a booster to be seen as fully vaccinated for entrance purposes. From what we have seen he is not keen on that but he might feel he has to do something. That will be something as the DOH knows the public is not keen on more vaccination, but in a sense it will be made compulsory for some.
The DOH is now pushing booster vaccination for covid to be included along with all the other childhood vaccinations. That's well over a million more jabs each year for people at very low risk..Difficult for parents to say No.The DOH seems not to be a believer in natural immunity. They obviously don't watch Campbell's videos, where that is one of his best campaigning issues..
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Old Apr 26th 2023, 5:40 am
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For a Communist country that is fast outstripping the Philippines they have a tourist industry that delivers an excellent product.. Something the Dept of Tourism should look at. But then again free enterprise is much better than a centrally planned economy, so they say. When we left Hanoi yesterday there was no compulsory face mask mandate.
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Old Apr 26th 2023, 5:45 am
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Well I for one as a senior will not accept another booster. Having had Covid and 4 shots I think that is enough. We all have to go sometime. Healthy diet (no Jolibee) and a strong fitness regime keeps one in good stead.
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Old Apr 27th 2023, 10:42 pm
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Continuing to monitor Vietnam. It's actually got some similarities with the Philippines, with a population only about 10M fewer and it's also a young one. Cases have risen significantly over the last few days from just under 2k a day to just under 3k.
Can'tr find any update about masking but the authorities there seem keen on boosters for certain groups and more disinfection:

https://en.vietnamplus.vn/vietnam-re...ths/252288.vnp

The DOH here reported the highest daily total for some time yesterday at 781 and the last 14 day infections total has risen by about 50% in the NCR and region 4A combined so far this week. Given the lower testing here I suspect the Vietnam picture is closer to the reality of this latest Omicron increase..

It's regional with Indonesia's cases up by nearly 500 yesterday over the day before's total at 1,879.

It will be interesting to compare how the countries in this region react.

Vietnam announcing a traditional vaccine has been approved for use and claiming success in trials:

https://vietreader.com/news/82728-vi...-medicine.html

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-r...ory-Virus.html



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Old Apr 27th 2023, 11:53 pm
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The hoax website posting stating that MM has had its Covid alert level raised to level 2 has caused havoc in our condo complex. The over sensitive Property Manager has fully bought into the HS and posted restrictions all around the property. Talk about hyping paranoia. I did email him last evening pointing out the error of his ways. Could be an interesting morning when I go to the office pay my monthly dues.
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Old Apr 28th 2023, 1:52 am
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SS in one of her recent newsletters said a friend of hers who lives in a Makati apartment block said a requirement to mask up indoors and outdoors was posted.Those in control here in the DOH won't come out and say that what is happening is not unexpected, won't be harmful to the great majority. Instead they want to push boosters for all and so people get the wrong idea. Interesting that it seems Vietnam not recommending boosters for everyone.
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