Raffin

Yesterday 276 new cases. Testing two days ago down to 17.3k
Deaths 41
Active 24,179, down 955

Location detail:

NCR up at 110 and 40% of all cases. Manila 24, QC 23. Both up. Two others of the 6 biggest with more cases.
Region CL down but 4A up to 45. Cavite province up 15 to 27.

WV down 19 to 11, CV up 5 to 13, EV 0 new cases.

The nine cities reporting between 0 and 11 cases (Davao City).

Raffin

Yesterday 4 fewer cases announced at 272. Tests down a little 2 days ago to 17k.
Deaths 24
Active 23,199, down 980.

Location detail:

NCR 100 cases. Four of the largest cities down, 2 up slightly.
Region CL up to its highest report this week at 35. Bulacan up to 14, highest this week.
Region 4A down 12 to 33.

Cases in the other 9 cities between 0 and 4.

Omicron variants:


His latest video, short. These two Omicron variants found in New York State, not in NYC so much, and with good genomic testing growth estimates calculated. Also seen in many other countries.

Raffin

Yesterday 224 new cases. Much lower testing at the start of Easter vacation at 10.6k.
Deaths 8
Active 22,150, down 1,049

Location detail:

NCR at 93. Actually at its highest percentage of all cases this week with 42.
Caloocan up to 16, Taguig also up..

CL at 31. The region showing a slight increase over the week.
4A at 30 yesterday. The region has decreased over the week.

Only 40 cases in the whole of Mindanao.

Case numbers in the 9 cities I track from 0 - 8.

WHO global report


The region had a two peak Delta wave for some reason. Delta deaths much higher than with Omicron. That wave also with two peaks. All countries now with falling cases.
But in E Asia Japan with a recent uptick after some weeks falling. Also suspicions that China is concealing some large outbreaks:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-61117738
https://www.businesstoday.in/latest/...042-2022-04-16

For more on the WHO report watch the latest Dr J video.

Weekly report later.

Raffin

Weekly report:

For Easter week a 24% fall in national cases over the week before. A very small fall the week before on the previous week.

The NCR with a 26% fall. A 9% increase the week before on the previous week.
Falls for the 6 largest cities:

Pasig 46%
QC 43
Manila 24
Paranaque 12
Caloocan 11

Taguig: Increase of 18%

Regions CL and 4A: both had a 14% fall
Bulacan 17% fall

For the largest provinces of region 4A:

Laguna 32% fall
Cavite 1% increase
Rizal 13% increase

For the 9 other cities:

5 fell by small numbers.
2 stayed about the same
CDO City up 11 to 24
Davao City up 3 to 49

Raffin

New cases yesterday down to 195, the low numbers no indication of anything much except the Easter vacation.
Two regions with zero cases. Also Pasig, Baguio and IloIlo. Cities.

NCR 72 and 37% of all cases.
CL down 4 to 27, 4A up 8 to 38. Cavite 14 cases.

Testing seems to have been operating normally in SOCCSKSARGEN with 14 cases.

Adverse reactions post vaccination report:


Comirnaty is Pfizer.
AZ with a higher share of adverse reports than AZ or Pfizer.
Pfizer best on serious reports.
AZ and Coronavac about the same.

As with other adverse event reporting worldwide there is likely to be very large numbers of events unreported..

Fatalities recorded 2,138:

Sixty and over years of age 1,286 (60%).
Five to 18 years of age 273 (1.7%)

old.sparkles

Janssen?

Gazza-d

Yes that's not a brilliant result, it was never going to work as a single dose.

Raffin

Looking in the US CDC web site for information below I also saw something from the about the J&J vaccine and serious large blood clot formation.
Strokes as a cause of death up a lot in 2021 here.

To try to give a comparison for the 2,138 deaths here from 144M doses

England & Wales only 24 deaths up to Feb 2022. UK doses about 140M then
US over 14k deaths, 565M doses. To April 2022

The British figure seems to be sure cases.
Reading between the lines the US one is very preliminary in terms of whether the death was the result of vaccination.

Raffin

New cases yesterday 170 Easter Saturday tests: 12.4k
Deaths 7 (5 the day before)
Active 19,923, down 1,114

Location detail:

NCR 81 cases, 48% of all cases. The six largest cities had 54 between them.
Ilocos region: 10

CL and 4A regions down at 11 and 16.

WV at 15, CV down to 4.

Other 9 cities between 0 and 4 cases.

Raffin

New cases yesterday 158. Mainly an Easter effect still but test numbers did rise up to 19.7k.
Deaths 6
Active 18,815, down 1,108

Location detail:

A lot of very small and even zero reports from locations. Bicol region zero last 3 days.

But the NCR had 69 cases, down slightly to 44% of all cases. All cities except Taguig down. It had 7 more at 10 cases.

Region 4A somewhat notable with 21 cases. Cavite up to 11.

Otherwise case numbers from the Visayas and Mindanao all low... except for the Davao region, which reported 14 cases, all from the city.

Raffin

Tests now from Monday and at a higher 25.8k.
Cases: 365
Deaths 8
Active 17,863, down 952

Location data

The NCR at 125 cases and at 34% of all cases. Its six largest cities all had a few more cases and 58% of total NCR cases.

The CL and 4A regions with 38 and 49 cases. Cavite at 21.

WV and CV up to 22 and 18 cases.

In Mindanao Zamboanga Pen was up to 15. SOCCSSARGEN increased markedly to 26.

The other 9 cities reported between 0 and 13 cases.
GenSan with an unusually high 12 and Zamboanga City at 13.



The top 10 Asian countries yesterday ordered by new cases, All SE and E Asian countries there with a continuously falling case trend except Japan, which is showing a recent uptick. For deaths all showing a downward trend except Thailand, where deaths have been increasing lately and are now at around 100 a day.
Indonesia was in 12th position with falling cases and deaths.
The Philippines at 15th and, of course, also with falling cases and deaths.

Raffin

A lower number of cases than one might expect as people return home after Easter trips. Testing was down on Monday's total significantly to 21.6k. But there is also the possibility the DOH have held back a good number of cases from announcement for some reason.

Cases: 134
Deaths 66
Active 16,771, down 1,092

Location detail:

The NCR with only 53 cases. But this was enough for it to have a 40% share of all cases yesterday.
Its six largest cities with 33 of those cases. Taguig zero.

Region CL was down to only 15, but 4A fell less far to 36. Cavite had 11 and Laguna 10 cases.
The total of these cases and the NCRs left only 30 cases for all the other regions.
MIMAROPA, EV, BARMM, Zamboanga Pen and SOCCSK all had zero reports.
All the other remaining regions with only 1-5 cases.

The 9 other cities I track with 0-3 cases only.

Raffin

More cases announced yesterday...96 more to 230. A slight fall in testing to about 20k.
Deaths 62
Active 15,782, down 989

Location detail:

The NCR at 83 and 36% of all cases. Four of its biggest cities up, 1 down slightly and Taguig at zero for the second day running. Manila up to 19. A total of 54 cases between them.

Regions CL and 4A up to 23 and 47 cases.
Together with the NCR 153 or two thirds of all cases in these 3 regions combined.

Visayan case numbers very low at only 22 for all four regions.
Similarly MIndanao cases at a low total of 27.

Other city numbers between 0 and 5 cases.

Philippines Excess Deaths

On April 14 I posted excess death estimates from the PSA of 232,680 for the year 2021.
This already large number has been increased by the PSA in a recent update where data for November has been included, though still not completely for that month. Data for December is not included at all and some deaths will likely be added from earlier in the year in later updates.

The total now is up to 244,524. Not roughly equally distributed throughout the year. Many fewer up to the month of March.

More detail and analysis can be seen in the latest edition of this newsletter:
https://supersally.substack.com/

Raffin

A rise in testing of 1k and a few less cases at 210.
Deaths 61
Active 14,696, down 1,086

Location detail

The NCR at 73, so down a little in its national share to 35%. Its 6 largest cities with 56% of total cases.

Fewer cases in both the CL and 4A regions left the 3 top regions with 60% of national cases.

The 4 Visayan regions with only 32 cases.

Little of note also in the MIndanao reports. Maybe only the 18 from the Davao region, highest this week.

For the 9 other cities the range 0-8 cases.
Davao and GenSan with 8 cases.

The DOH seem to be nervous about these areas. Previously 14 was the number they mentioned. Now 13.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/video/news/...ion-activities

The only area of those listed that I track is Davao City and its DOH numbers recently do not seem concerning. Unless the DOH is sitting on a backlog of unannounced cases there?

E Samar is listed. Affected badly by Agaton and so reports have not been made recently. So a backlog likely there.

Raffin

A slightly lower total yesterday at 205 cases. Testing from the end of last week slightly lower also. Down to 19.6k.
Deaths 3
Active 13,660, down 1,036.

Location report

The NCR at 95 and up to 46% of all cases. Total cases for the 6 largest cities at 55.

CL with only 7 cases. But 4A only 3 down at 33.
The 3 largest regions at 66% of all cases.

Visayan cases totaled only 19.

The six Mindanao regions had only 40 cases between them.
NM up 9 to 13 cases.

The 9 other cities had between 0 and 4 cases.


Weekly report:

National cases announced down 17% to 1,462. (last week down 24%)
NCR cases down 16% to 556 (26%). The 6 largest cities down 19%.

Region CL down 29% (14%)
4A down 12% (14%) Cavite down more.....by 29%.

WV down 40% (34%)
CV down 31% (40%)

In Mindanao 3 of the 4 main regions were down on the week:

NM by 30%
Davao by 16%
SOCCSK by 14%

Zamboanga Pen up by 57%....but only to 57 cases.

The 9 other cities had between 3 and 40 cases
Zamboanga City up by 17 at 40 cases
Davao City down by 12 to 37 cases.