NCR llockdown
Jul 24th 2021, 7:05 am
#976
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Jul 24th 2021, 8:54 am
#977
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Re: NCR llockdown
New cases announced yesterday totaled 6,845, 2 labs late , up 1k on the day before and the highest since June 26. Not very up to date as the backlog included was 1,474. Positivity up a little at 12.3%. Tests coming about the same at 44k.
Recoveries were only 2.3k.
Zero deaths announced. The DOH currently have problems with their data capture system. The deaths figures have been low recently, I expect a catch up larger number soon.
Active cases at 55,069.
Severe at 1,267, up 3 and Critical 771, up 13
NCR ICU 42%, down 2%. Nationally 52%, down 2%
Regional data:
NCR 1,123
4A 881
W Visayas 681
C Luzon 662
C Visayas 591
Davao 577
Ilocos 419
N Mindanao 371
E Visayas 370
Cagayan 322
200s 1 region
100s 3
NCR was again top with 144 more cases than the day before. At 16.4% of all cases.
4A added more than 100 to come second.
Davao added 282 more.
E Visayas added 240 more.
Cagayan more than doubled its cases.
Top 6 regions at 66.0 %, down 4%.
For the NCR cities 8 were substantially up, 2 down.
Makati added 60 more, Valenzuala 47 more, Pasay 21 more, Pasig 18 more.
An unusual ordering yesterday:
Makati 142, Manila 134, QC 129, Valenzuala 93, Pasig 73, Caloocan 61
Provincially Bataan added nearly 100 more, Cavite 59, Laguna 52 and Pangasinan 48 more over the day before.
Bataan 163
Batangas 110
Bulacan 185
Cavite 334
La Union 44
Laguna 278
Pampanga 119
Pangasinan 122
Quezon 48
Rizal 88
Selected cities and areas:
Bacolod 47, down
Baguio 50, up
CDO 171, up 16
Cebu 232, up 58
Davao 373, up 273
Gen San 98, up 41
IloIlo 82, down
LapuLapu 52, down
Aklan 135, down
IloIlo 161, up 32
Neg Occ 93, down
Bohol 63, down
Changes in Quarantines until the end of July:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...ictions/story/
Panic stations. NCR getting those heightened restrictions with only a week of July left. I think MECQ would really fit the situation but the government can't afford it. so it has gone half way. At present Laguna is the other area at GCQ with heightened restrictions. Cavite was taken off mid July.
It probably escaped many that Davao del Norte and Davao del Oro were previously at the higher MECQ, so a reduction in severity of quarantine rather than an increase. Things are bad in the Davao region and the situation is not highlighted there for political reasons, I am sure. The Davao del Sur governor died of Covid complications last month. That province and Davao City still at MECQ.
Recoveries were only 2.3k.
Zero deaths announced. The DOH currently have problems with their data capture system. The deaths figures have been low recently, I expect a catch up larger number soon.
Active cases at 55,069.
Severe at 1,267, up 3 and Critical 771, up 13
NCR ICU 42%, down 2%. Nationally 52%, down 2%
Regional data:
NCR 1,123
4A 881
W Visayas 681
C Luzon 662
C Visayas 591
Davao 577
Ilocos 419
N Mindanao 371
E Visayas 370
Cagayan 322
200s 1 region
100s 3
NCR was again top with 144 more cases than the day before. At 16.4% of all cases.
4A added more than 100 to come second.
Davao added 282 more.
E Visayas added 240 more.
Cagayan more than doubled its cases.
Top 6 regions at 66.0 %, down 4%.
For the NCR cities 8 were substantially up, 2 down.
Makati added 60 more, Valenzuala 47 more, Pasay 21 more, Pasig 18 more.
An unusual ordering yesterday:
Makati 142, Manila 134, QC 129, Valenzuala 93, Pasig 73, Caloocan 61
Provincially Bataan added nearly 100 more, Cavite 59, Laguna 52 and Pangasinan 48 more over the day before.
Bataan 163
Batangas 110
Bulacan 185
Cavite 334
La Union 44
Laguna 278
Pampanga 119
Pangasinan 122
Quezon 48
Rizal 88
Selected cities and areas:
Bacolod 47, down
Baguio 50, up
CDO 171, up 16
Cebu 232, up 58
Davao 373, up 273
Gen San 98, up 41
IloIlo 82, down
LapuLapu 52, down
Aklan 135, down
IloIlo 161, up 32
Neg Occ 93, down
Bohol 63, down
Changes in Quarantines until the end of July:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...ictions/story/
Panic stations. NCR getting those heightened restrictions with only a week of July left. I think MECQ would really fit the situation but the government can't afford it. so it has gone half way. At present Laguna is the other area at GCQ with heightened restrictions. Cavite was taken off mid July.
It probably escaped many that Davao del Norte and Davao del Oro were previously at the higher MECQ, so a reduction in severity of quarantine rather than an increase. Things are bad in the Davao region and the situation is not highlighted there for political reasons, I am sure. The Davao del Sur governor died of Covid complications last month. That province and Davao City still at MECQ.
Jul 24th 2021, 9:50 am
#978
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Re: NCR llockdown
Infection rate: Active cases per 100k population. Always unclear what OCTA use for population. The DOH seem to use 2016 Census numbers, of course now very out of date.
Incidence: the same thing but new cases per 100k population.
ICU: covid ICU beds % use. Probably a weekly average
Test: Positivity. Probably also average rate for a week of tests.
DOH numbers are often revised after their daily announcement so the OCTA weekly updates are a more accurate picture of how things are going.
Jul 24th 2021, 11:16 pm
#979
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Re: NCR llockdown
Well, no tremors so far this morning and power still on despite the atrocious SW Monsoon continuing unabated here this morning.
I am frankly surprised that the LGUs in Manila are managing to still conduct tests at a reasonably high level and that the labs can still keep up the processing in these conditions. But maybe we will see a dip soon.
Yesterday about 600 less cases at 6,216, 2 labs late to submit. Small backlog included. Positivity from 45.6k cases was13.0%. Tests on the way a little lower at 44.3k.
Recoveries 6.8k
Active cases 54,401
Severe 1,251, down 16 and Critical 762, down 9
As predicted the DOH have fixed their data system and there is a large backlog of deaths:
Deaths 241 incl 139 RDs
NCR ICU 45%, up 3%. Nationally 56%, up 4%
Regional data:
NCR 919
C Visayas 761
4A 731
C Luzon 721
W Visayas 629
N Mindanao 397
Cagayan 392
Ilocos 357
Davao 328
2 regions 200s
2 100s
NCR still top with about 200 less cases. With 14.8% of all cases.
C Visayas in second place added 170 more.
MIMAROPA added 76 more to 152.
Top 6 at 66.9% of all cases, up 4%
In the NCR 9 cities had substantially more cases, 5 less.
QC had 60 more cases. Las Pinas 34 more, Paranaque 24 more, Manila 22 more.
QC 189, Manila 156, Caloocan 78, Las Pinas 77, Paranaque 61, Valenzuala 59
In the provinces Bulacan added 66 more, Rizal 46 more:
Bataan 154
Batangas 88
Bulacan 251
Cavite 253
La Union 39
Laguna 167
Pampanga 132
Pangasinan 123
Quezon 75
Rizal 134
Selected cities and areas:
Bacolod 80, up 33
Baguio 69, up
CDO 163, down
Cebu 170, down
Davao 195, down
Gen San 62, up 36
IloIlo 77, down
LapuLapu 112, up 60
Aklan 163, up 28
IloIlo 172, up
Neg Occ 44, down
Bohol 75, up
Quarantine news:
NCR curfew now 2 hours more at 10pm to 4am.
Vaccines:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/25/...shuns-walk-ins
The President denying the real shortage of vaccines in many NCR cities and also here in upper Cavite. I applied 2 weeks ago and have heard nothing. If there were a good supply LGUs could make plans for better distribution. Knowing that there is a shortage people will stand in flooded areas, desperate to get a shot.
Statistical PS:
Infection rates here at 1.5 active cases per 100,000 in Cebu City seem very low compared with the UK rate.
There it is estimated by the Office of National Statistics that the virus prevalence in England in mid July averaged 1 person in 75. Equivalent to about 1,300 per 100,000 population. Will be a lot higher in certain areas, but nowhere near the Philippine proportion. However, testing is far better in the UK with likely many cases here undetected. Poorer living conditions mean low infection/prevalence levels are potentially much more likely to produce a surge which overwhelms basic health services.
I am frankly surprised that the LGUs in Manila are managing to still conduct tests at a reasonably high level and that the labs can still keep up the processing in these conditions. But maybe we will see a dip soon.
Yesterday about 600 less cases at 6,216, 2 labs late to submit. Small backlog included. Positivity from 45.6k cases was13.0%. Tests on the way a little lower at 44.3k.
Recoveries 6.8k
Active cases 54,401
Severe 1,251, down 16 and Critical 762, down 9
As predicted the DOH have fixed their data system and there is a large backlog of deaths:
Deaths 241 incl 139 RDs
NCR ICU 45%, up 3%. Nationally 56%, up 4%
Regional data:
NCR 919
C Visayas 761
4A 731
C Luzon 721
W Visayas 629
N Mindanao 397
Cagayan 392
Ilocos 357
Davao 328
2 regions 200s
2 100s
NCR still top with about 200 less cases. With 14.8% of all cases.
C Visayas in second place added 170 more.
MIMAROPA added 76 more to 152.
Top 6 at 66.9% of all cases, up 4%
In the NCR 9 cities had substantially more cases, 5 less.
QC had 60 more cases. Las Pinas 34 more, Paranaque 24 more, Manila 22 more.
QC 189, Manila 156, Caloocan 78, Las Pinas 77, Paranaque 61, Valenzuala 59
In the provinces Bulacan added 66 more, Rizal 46 more:
Bataan 154
Batangas 88
Bulacan 251
Cavite 253
La Union 39
Laguna 167
Pampanga 132
Pangasinan 123
Quezon 75
Rizal 134
Selected cities and areas:
Bacolod 80, up 33
Baguio 69, up
CDO 163, down
Cebu 170, down
Davao 195, down
Gen San 62, up 36
IloIlo 77, down
LapuLapu 112, up 60
Aklan 163, up 28
IloIlo 172, up
Neg Occ 44, down
Bohol 75, up
Quarantine news:
NCR curfew now 2 hours more at 10pm to 4am.
Vaccines:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/25/...shuns-walk-ins
The President denying the real shortage of vaccines in many NCR cities and also here in upper Cavite. I applied 2 weeks ago and have heard nothing. If there were a good supply LGUs could make plans for better distribution. Knowing that there is a shortage people will stand in flooded areas, desperate to get a shot.
Statistical PS:
Infection rates here at 1.5 active cases per 100,000 in Cebu City seem very low compared with the UK rate.
There it is estimated by the Office of National Statistics that the virus prevalence in England in mid July averaged 1 person in 75. Equivalent to about 1,300 per 100,000 population. Will be a lot higher in certain areas, but nowhere near the Philippine proportion. However, testing is far better in the UK with likely many cases here undetected. Poorer living conditions mean low infection/prevalence levels are potentially much more likely to produce a surge which overwhelms basic health services.
Jul 25th 2021, 11:16 am
#980
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Posts: 704
Re: NCR llockdown
Case Fatality Rate: Deaths as a percentage of total cases from the beginning. Ignores other unpleasant outcomes.
Infection rate: Active cases per 100k population. Always unclear what OCTA use for population. The DOH seem to use 2016 Census numbers, of course now very out of date.
Incidence: the same thing but new cases per 100k population.
ICU: covid ICU beds % use. Probably a weekly average
Test: Positivity. Probably also average rate for a week of tests.
DOH numbers are often revised after their daily announcement so the OCTA weekly updates are a more accurate picture of how things are going.
Infection rate: Active cases per 100k population. Always unclear what OCTA use for population. The DOH seem to use 2016 Census numbers, of course now very out of date.
Incidence: the same thing but new cases per 100k population.
ICU: covid ICU beds % use. Probably a weekly average
Test: Positivity. Probably also average rate for a week of tests.
DOH numbers are often revised after their daily announcement so the OCTA weekly updates are a more accurate picture of how things are going.
Jul 25th 2021, 11:35 pm
#981
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Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
On the face of it a fall of over 700 in cases yesterday. The DOH reported 5,479. But for some reason 678 were not announced. News management to keep the total under 6k? Out of the 47k tests 13.1% were positive. Coming along a lower 43.9k.
Recoveries 5.6k
Deaths 93. No info from GMA on RDs.
Active 54,262 , little change.
Severe cases 1,248, down 3 and Critical 760, down 2
NCR ICU 46%, up 4% Nationally 51%, up 5%
Possibly significant rises.
Regional data;
NCR 1,017
4A 724
W Visayas 592
C Visayas 559
C Luzon 541
Ilocos 484
N Mndanao 377
Davao 345
200s none
100s 4 regions
NCR added almost 100 to be top again with 18.6% of national cases.
Eleven regions had less cases, 6 more.
Ilocos added 127 more.
Bicol 86 more at 135.
In the NCR cities 10 had more cases, 5 less.
Makati added the most with 95 more, Pasig had 39 more.
QC 177, Makati 143, Manila 133, Paranaque 70, Caloocan 59, Malabon 49
Provinces around Manila: 7 of them added added less cases, 3 added more.
Laguna added 31 more, Rizal 20 more.
Bataan 142
Batangas 63
Bulacan 151
Cavite 213
La Union 51
Laguna 198
Pampanga 111
Pangasinan 83
Quezon 73
Rizal 154
Selected cities and areas
Bacolod 61
Baguio 26
CDO 161
Cebu 218, up 48
Davao 181
Gen San 33
IloIlo 68
LapuLapu 95
Aklan 147
IloIlo 193, up 21
Neg Occ 61, up 17
Bohol 57
Variants:
Latest variant report, now 119 Delta cases found.
Government pandemic spending:
Bayanihan 2 in September 2020 was the major spending programme at supposedly P165bn, but it ceased on June 30. Some lawmakers have alleged large amounts were unspent, the government now says only P6bn.
The Dept of Budget and Management produced the table below on June 25 for Bayanihan 2 spending.
Not all items shown here. Showing major unspent areas only. It shows large amounts were unspent and spending not obligated ie not contracted out. (Not shown here is P3.8bn for overseas workers repatriation and P3.4bn for vaccine procurement unobligated).
In all by June 25 P17bn was not obligated and P46bn was unspent.The government claimed earlier this month that P9bn was not obligated. Now that is down to P6bn.
The unspent amounts from Bayanihan 2 cannot now legally be spent. Spending on lab testing, extra risk payments to health workers, contact tracing involve the DOH, one of the main departments underspending.. Of course the government still claim nevertheless this spending will be made!
Earlier this year some lawmakers proposed there was no need for a Bayanihan 3 package, just extend Bayanihan 2 until the end of 2021. The President did in the end extend it from December 19 2020 to June 30 2021.
Confusing and we have to believe large amounts were spent in time before June 30. But it is clear government spending here is very slow.
A Bayanihan 3 law is waiting to be passed into law. The governor of the Central Bank has recently said he thinks the P400bn plus package is not needed, rather the spending should go on vaccination:
https://business.inquirer.net/327511...to-spur-growth
But with experts warning of a delta variant driven surge it would be needed, and probably more. All it had for cash hand out was 2 payments of P1,000 to each Filipino.
Recoveries 5.6k
Deaths 93. No info from GMA on RDs.
Active 54,262 , little change.
Severe cases 1,248, down 3 and Critical 760, down 2
NCR ICU 46%, up 4% Nationally 51%, up 5%
Possibly significant rises.
Regional data;
NCR 1,017
4A 724
W Visayas 592
C Visayas 559
C Luzon 541
Ilocos 484
N Mndanao 377
Davao 345
200s none
100s 4 regions
NCR added almost 100 to be top again with 18.6% of national cases.
Eleven regions had less cases, 6 more.
Ilocos added 127 more.
Bicol 86 more at 135.
In the NCR cities 10 had more cases, 5 less.
Makati added the most with 95 more, Pasig had 39 more.
QC 177, Makati 143, Manila 133, Paranaque 70, Caloocan 59, Malabon 49
Provinces around Manila: 7 of them added added less cases, 3 added more.
Laguna added 31 more, Rizal 20 more.
Bataan 142
Batangas 63
Bulacan 151
Cavite 213
La Union 51
Laguna 198
Pampanga 111
Pangasinan 83
Quezon 73
Rizal 154
Selected cities and areas
Bacolod 61
Baguio 26
CDO 161
Cebu 218, up 48
Davao 181
Gen San 33
IloIlo 68
LapuLapu 95
Aklan 147
IloIlo 193, up 21
Neg Occ 61, up 17
Bohol 57
Variants:
Latest variant report, now 119 Delta cases found.
Government pandemic spending:
Bayanihan 2 in September 2020 was the major spending programme at supposedly P165bn, but it ceased on June 30. Some lawmakers have alleged large amounts were unspent, the government now says only P6bn.
The Dept of Budget and Management produced the table below on June 25 for Bayanihan 2 spending.
Not all items shown here. Showing major unspent areas only. It shows large amounts were unspent and spending not obligated ie not contracted out. (Not shown here is P3.8bn for overseas workers repatriation and P3.4bn for vaccine procurement unobligated).
In all by June 25 P17bn was not obligated and P46bn was unspent.The government claimed earlier this month that P9bn was not obligated. Now that is down to P6bn.
The unspent amounts from Bayanihan 2 cannot now legally be spent. Spending on lab testing, extra risk payments to health workers, contact tracing involve the DOH, one of the main departments underspending.. Of course the government still claim nevertheless this spending will be made!
Earlier this year some lawmakers proposed there was no need for a Bayanihan 3 package, just extend Bayanihan 2 until the end of 2021. The President did in the end extend it from December 19 2020 to June 30 2021.
Confusing and we have to believe large amounts were spent in time before June 30. But it is clear government spending here is very slow.
A Bayanihan 3 law is waiting to be passed into law. The governor of the Central Bank has recently said he thinks the P400bn plus package is not needed, rather the spending should go on vaccination:
https://business.inquirer.net/327511...to-spur-growth
But with experts warning of a delta variant driven surge it would be needed, and probably more. All it had for cash hand out was 2 payments of P1,000 to each Filipino.
Jul 26th 2021, 9:41 pm
#982
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Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Nearly 2k more cases announced though 585 were backlog. Most from yesterday's held over. Eight labs late to submit. Positivity edged up to 13.4% from 45.4K cases. A much lower 27.8k in process, due to the usual weekend dip and rains.
Recoveries 5.8k
Deaths 23 with 17 RDs.
Active cases up at 55,140
Severe 1,268, up 20 and Critical up 12 to 772
NCR ICU at 46%, unchanged, nationally 58%, up 1%
Regional data:
NCR 1081
4A 962
C Luzon 783
C Visayas 611
W Visayas 579
Ilocos 476
3 in the 300s
2 200s
3 100s
NCR leading with 16.2% of cases.
C Luzon added 242 more.
4A 238 more
SOCCSK 177 more to 319
E Visayas 95 more to 235
In the NCR 6 cities added more and 8 less.
Valenzuala stood out adding 91 more.
Taguig added 45 more.
QC 204, Manila 150, Valenzuala 113, Makati 85, Pasig 80, Taguig 77
Provincially Cavite added 167 more, Laguna 101, Bulacan 93 and Pampanga 88.
Bataan 94
Batangas 100
Bulacan 244
Cavite 380
La Union 43
Laguna 299
Pampanga 199
Pangasinan 92
Quezon 67
Rizal 112
Selected cities and areas:
Bacolod 40
Baguio 35
CDO 163
Cebu 203
Davao 111
Gen San 89, up 56
IloIlo 122, up 54
LapuLapu 82
Aklan 144
loIlo 128
Neg Occ 50
Bohol 76, up 19
Latest OCTA update:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news..._picks&order=4
Rises in Infections in the NCR possibly linked to the delta variant. In CDO almost certainly.
Solid evidence that the delta variant is tremendously more infectious:
19A/B strains the original forms of the virus in China 2019.
Recoveries 5.8k
Deaths 23 with 17 RDs.
Active cases up at 55,140
Severe 1,268, up 20 and Critical up 12 to 772
NCR ICU at 46%, unchanged, nationally 58%, up 1%
Regional data:
NCR 1081
4A 962
C Luzon 783
C Visayas 611
W Visayas 579
Ilocos 476
3 in the 300s
2 200s
3 100s
NCR leading with 16.2% of cases.
C Luzon added 242 more.
4A 238 more
SOCCSK 177 more to 319
E Visayas 95 more to 235
In the NCR 6 cities added more and 8 less.
Valenzuala stood out adding 91 more.
Taguig added 45 more.
QC 204, Manila 150, Valenzuala 113, Makati 85, Pasig 80, Taguig 77
Provincially Cavite added 167 more, Laguna 101, Bulacan 93 and Pampanga 88.
Bataan 94
Batangas 100
Bulacan 244
Cavite 380
La Union 43
Laguna 299
Pampanga 199
Pangasinan 92
Quezon 67
Rizal 112
Selected cities and areas:
Bacolod 40
Baguio 35
CDO 163
Cebu 203
Davao 111
Gen San 89, up 56
IloIlo 122, up 54
LapuLapu 82
Aklan 144
loIlo 128
Neg Occ 50
Bohol 76, up 19
Latest OCTA update:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news..._picks&order=4
Rises in Infections in the NCR possibly linked to the delta variant. In CDO almost certainly.
Solid evidence that the delta variant is tremendously more infectious:
19A/B strains the original forms of the virus in China 2019.
Jul 27th 2021, 9:08 pm
#983
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Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
More new cases added yesterday but nearly half were delayed. Either due to DOH software problems, the rains, weekend effect. Also 13 labs late to submit. Positivity maintaining 13% from only 30k tests. Coming along a similar low amount of tests..
Recoveries 5.7k
Deaths 72, 49 RDs.
Severe 1,299, up 31 and Critical 734, down 41
Concerning numbers.
NCR ICU 47%, up 1% National 58%
Regional data:
NCR 1,037
C Visayas 979
4A 882
C Luzon 722
Ilocos 708
N Mindanao 590
Davao 529
W Visayas 489
No 300s
1 200s
5 100s
NCR top with 14.4% of all cases.
C Visayas in second place added 368 more
Ilocos added 232 more.
N Mindanao and Davao each added over 200 more.
Top 6 regions had 68.4% of all cases. Up 1%
In the NCR the similar total saw 6 cities increase significantly, 8 fall.
QC added 142 over the day before.
QC 346, Manila 126, Caloocan 88, Makati 70, Taguig 64, Paranaque 54, Pasay 50
In the provinces Bataan added most, 63. Pangasinan added 45.
Bataan 157,
Batangas 73
Bulacan 254
Cavite 367
La Union 89
Laguna 241
Pampanga 136
Pangasinan 137
Quezon 64
Rizal 113
Selected cities and areas:
Bacolod 39
Baguio 83, up 48
CDO 256, up 93
Cebu 375, up 172
Davao 363, up 252
Gen San 110, up
IloIlo 46
Lapu Lapu 115, up 33
Aklan 142
IloIlo 155, up 27
Neg Occ 53
Bohol 39
The situation in the NCR:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/27/...in-ncr-yet-but
Maybe no general surge as yet, but a majority of cities, including two of the largest, Manila and Caloocan, and some medium sized eg Makati either having a significant increase in new cases and/or relative to population. Experience shows that once started these increases are difficult to control. Doubly difficult with the Delta variant... and the weather:
PAGASA forecast for typhoons rest of 2021 (already 6}
These plus the SW Monsoon make virus transmission easier and interfere with testing, contact tracing and vaccinations.
Recoveries 5.7k
Deaths 72, 49 RDs.
Severe 1,299, up 31 and Critical 734, down 41
Concerning numbers.
NCR ICU 47%, up 1% National 58%
Regional data:
NCR 1,037
C Visayas 979
4A 882
C Luzon 722
Ilocos 708
N Mindanao 590
Davao 529
W Visayas 489
No 300s
1 200s
5 100s
NCR top with 14.4% of all cases.
C Visayas in second place added 368 more
Ilocos added 232 more.
N Mindanao and Davao each added over 200 more.
Top 6 regions had 68.4% of all cases. Up 1%
In the NCR the similar total saw 6 cities increase significantly, 8 fall.
QC added 142 over the day before.
QC 346, Manila 126, Caloocan 88, Makati 70, Taguig 64, Paranaque 54, Pasay 50
In the provinces Bataan added most, 63. Pangasinan added 45.
Bataan 157,
Batangas 73
Bulacan 254
Cavite 367
La Union 89
Laguna 241
Pampanga 136
Pangasinan 137
Quezon 64
Rizal 113
Selected cities and areas:
Bacolod 39
Baguio 83, up 48
CDO 256, up 93
Cebu 375, up 172
Davao 363, up 252
Gen San 110, up
IloIlo 46
Lapu Lapu 115, up 33
Aklan 142
IloIlo 155, up 27
Neg Occ 53
Bohol 39
The situation in the NCR:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/27/...in-ncr-yet-but
Maybe no general surge as yet, but a majority of cities, including two of the largest, Manila and Caloocan, and some medium sized eg Makati either having a significant increase in new cases and/or relative to population. Experience shows that once started these increases are difficult to control. Doubly difficult with the Delta variant... and the weather:
PAGASA forecast for typhoons rest of 2021 (already 6}
These plus the SW Monsoon make virus transmission easier and interfere with testing, contact tracing and vaccinations.
Jul 28th 2021, 10:35 pm
#984
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Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
A low 4,478 new cases announced yesterday. The DOH said it was lower due to Tuesday's cases (7,186) being included later on Monday than usual. But there are 652 cases from testing now held over from the 34.2k tested. A higher 15% were positive.
Recoveries 6.1k
Deaths 84 with 53 RDs.
Active 54,552
Severe 1,255, down 44 and Critical 764, up 30
NCR ICU 46%, down 1%, national 57%, down 1%
Regional data:
NCR 1,151
4A 701
W Visayas 540
Ilocos 334
C Luzon 334
C Visayas 326
1 200s
3 100s
NCR up over 100 with a high 25.7% of all cases.
W Visayas up 51.
Cagayan up 82 to 269.
12 regions with less cases.
In the NCR cities 7 had more cases, 6 less.
Standing out, Makati added 90 more.
Malabon added 54 more.
Las Pinas and St John each over 30 more.
QC 282, Makati 160, Manila 133, Las Pinas 74, Malabon 64, Caloocan 60.
Provincially all except Batangas and Rizal had less cases:
Bataan 56
Batangas 91
Bulacan 83
Cavite 237
La Union 20
Laguna 239
Pampanga 90
Pangasinan 47
Quezon 16
Rizal 118
Cities and areas:
Bacolod 40
Baguio 2
CDO 43
Cebu 89
Davao 69
Gen San 70
IloIlo 90, up 44
LapuLapu 56
Aklan 179, up 37
IloIlo 76
Neg Occ 32
Bohol 15
Government not going for another lockdown though some experts are calling for a short one.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/29/...cq-covid-delta
They really ought to scrap some of the current quarantines. Have either ECQ or GCQ for everywhere with heightened or lowered restrictions to be decided locally.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/29/...-going-outside
Latest from John Hopkins: 6.3M fully vaccinated!
Who'd be a Brgy Captain these days? It will be interesting to see if any try to follow his new policy. It will probably be ignored by most but as we saw on Jan 6 in the US some politicians have the power to get their more rabid followers to engage in illegal activities.
This is what can happen in stuffy police stations:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...ovid-19/story/
Recoveries 6.1k
Deaths 84 with 53 RDs.
Active 54,552
Severe 1,255, down 44 and Critical 764, up 30
NCR ICU 46%, down 1%, national 57%, down 1%
Regional data:
NCR 1,151
4A 701
W Visayas 540
Ilocos 334
C Luzon 334
C Visayas 326
1 200s
3 100s
NCR up over 100 with a high 25.7% of all cases.
W Visayas up 51.
Cagayan up 82 to 269.
12 regions with less cases.
In the NCR cities 7 had more cases, 6 less.
Standing out, Makati added 90 more.
Malabon added 54 more.
Las Pinas and St John each over 30 more.
QC 282, Makati 160, Manila 133, Las Pinas 74, Malabon 64, Caloocan 60.
Provincially all except Batangas and Rizal had less cases:
Bataan 56
Batangas 91
Bulacan 83
Cavite 237
La Union 20
Laguna 239
Pampanga 90
Pangasinan 47
Quezon 16
Rizal 118
Cities and areas:
Bacolod 40
Baguio 2
CDO 43
Cebu 89
Davao 69
Gen San 70
IloIlo 90, up 44
LapuLapu 56
Aklan 179, up 37
IloIlo 76
Neg Occ 32
Bohol 15
Government not going for another lockdown though some experts are calling for a short one.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/29/...cq-covid-delta
They really ought to scrap some of the current quarantines. Have either ECQ or GCQ for everywhere with heightened or lowered restrictions to be decided locally.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/29/...-going-outside
Latest from John Hopkins: 6.3M fully vaccinated!
Who'd be a Brgy Captain these days? It will be interesting to see if any try to follow his new policy. It will probably be ignored by most but as we saw on Jan 6 in the US some politicians have the power to get their more rabid followers to engage in illegal activities.
This is what can happen in stuffy police stations:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...ovid-19/story/
Jul 30th 2021, 12:08 am
#985
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
My daily update has just disappeared when trying to upload. No time to redo it. Site not connecting.
Main points only:
Yesterday there were 5,735 cases announced but 8,002 were found positive in the most recent testing. Positivity up to 16.2%.
The 2,267 not announced may have been held back for news management purposes.
NCR cases up by 180.
NCR ICU up 4% to 50%
News:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/29/...cq-august-2021
But only for a third of the population.
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...story/?just_in
Delta related covid surge in Thailand. But also in Malaysia, Myanmar, and Vietnam.
Main points only:
Yesterday there were 5,735 cases announced but 8,002 were found positive in the most recent testing. Positivity up to 16.2%.
The 2,267 not announced may have been held back for news management purposes.
NCR cases up by 180.
NCR ICU up 4% to 50%
News:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/29/...cq-august-2021
But only for a third of the population.
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...story/?just_in
Delta related covid surge in Thailand. But also in Malaysia, Myanmar, and Vietnam.
Jul 30th 2021, 11:08 pm
#986
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 8,562 cases announced. OCTA's 8k level finally breached. From the latest testing 7,841. So that total includes a backlog of 721. Cases held back from the day before were 2,267.So over 1,500 cases still held up by the DOH. Are they going to let them out by further one thirds a day for the next 2 days, like you might drain a too full dam? Positivity 14.9% from 52.6k tests, 51.6k on the way.
Media not commenting on this. Some there must know about it.
Nor are the OCTA group commenting. They are surely aware.
People here don't like losing face and that also seems to apply to organisations.
Some detail for yesterday and the day before:
Recoveries 2.9k and 4.1k
Deaths 145 and 176
Severe 1,424, up 169 last 2 days, Critical 743, down 21 last 2 days
Latest total 2,167
NCR ICU 52%, up 6% last 2 days. Nationally: 59%, up 2% last 2 days
Regional data
It so happens that the top 6 regions were the same over the last 2 days.
Yesterday's number first.
NCR 1,533 1,332
4A 1,294 836
C Luzon 984 744
C Visayas 881 592
W Visayas 532 592
Ilocos 523 337
Case growth over the last 2 days:
NCR added about 380
4A 600
C Luzon 650
C Visayas 550
W Visayas stable
Ilocos nearly 200
Yesterday only, other regions adding large numbers of cases:
Cagayan 300
Davao 280
N Mindanao 276
SOCCSK 130
E Visayas 100
For NCR cities:
29th July top 6:
QC 223, Makati 189, Manila 157, Malabon 122, Caloocan 92, Las Pinas 76
Note: missed Valenzuala number 29th. Maybe in top 6 as cases rising there.
Yesterday:
QC 319, Manila 155, Valenzuala 131, Makati 120, Pasig 109, Las Pinas 109
Provinces:
Bataan 191 159
Batangas 130 125
Bulacan 351 243
Cavite 463 285
Laguna 421 289
Pampanga 219 145
Pangasinan 121 52
Rizal 190 121
Bataan and Bulacan both showing big rises on 29th over 28th July.
Cities and areas;
Bacolod 76 22
Baguio 50 7
CDO 214 61
Cebu 234 205
Davao 210 87
Gen San 81 71
IloIlo 65 69
Lapu Lapu 128 79
Aklan 111 6
IloIlo 145 6
Neg Occ 48 65
Bohol 121 25
Big rises 29th over 28th:
Cebu City 116
IloIlo province 136
In case NCR and around goes to hard lockdown in mid August:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/30/...tine-ayuda-aid
Look down the back of the sofa!
But there are large funds controlled personally by the President and many Chinese financed building projects which could be delayed.
Media not commenting on this. Some there must know about it.
Nor are the OCTA group commenting. They are surely aware.
People here don't like losing face and that also seems to apply to organisations.
Some detail for yesterday and the day before:
Recoveries 2.9k and 4.1k
Deaths 145 and 176
Severe 1,424, up 169 last 2 days, Critical 743, down 21 last 2 days
Latest total 2,167
NCR ICU 52%, up 6% last 2 days. Nationally: 59%, up 2% last 2 days
Regional data
It so happens that the top 6 regions were the same over the last 2 days.
Yesterday's number first.
NCR 1,533 1,332
4A 1,294 836
C Luzon 984 744
C Visayas 881 592
W Visayas 532 592
Ilocos 523 337
Case growth over the last 2 days:
NCR added about 380
4A 600
C Luzon 650
C Visayas 550
W Visayas stable
Ilocos nearly 200
Yesterday only, other regions adding large numbers of cases:
Cagayan 300
Davao 280
N Mindanao 276
SOCCSK 130
E Visayas 100
For NCR cities:
29th July top 6:
QC 223, Makati 189, Manila 157, Malabon 122, Caloocan 92, Las Pinas 76
Note: missed Valenzuala number 29th. Maybe in top 6 as cases rising there.
Yesterday:
QC 319, Manila 155, Valenzuala 131, Makati 120, Pasig 109, Las Pinas 109
Provinces:
Bataan 191 159
Batangas 130 125
Bulacan 351 243
Cavite 463 285
Laguna 421 289
Pampanga 219 145
Pangasinan 121 52
Rizal 190 121
Bataan and Bulacan both showing big rises on 29th over 28th July.
Cities and areas;
Bacolod 76 22
Baguio 50 7
CDO 214 61
Cebu 234 205
Davao 210 87
Gen San 81 71
IloIlo 65 69
Lapu Lapu 128 79
Aklan 111 6
IloIlo 145 6
Neg Occ 48 65
Bohol 121 25
Big rises 29th over 28th:
Cebu City 116
IloIlo province 136
In case NCR and around goes to hard lockdown in mid August:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/30/...tine-ayuda-aid
Look down the back of the sofa!
But there are large funds controlled personally by the President and many Chinese financed building projects which could be delayed.
Jul 31st 2021, 12:17 am
#987
BE Enthusiast
Joined: Feb 2014
Location: Marikina Philippines
Posts: 885
Re: NCR llockdown
Despite all the well intentioned quarantine measures I sadly foresee an exponential growth in new cases. This week I travelled to BI Intramuros twice and noted that mask wearing is more prevalent in Marikina and Manila but a mite lax around Cubao in Quezon City and San Juan. I suppose it all depends on how seriously the various Mayors and baranquay captains consider this pandemic.
Jul 31st 2021, 8:27 pm
#988
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 8,147 cases announced. Only 1 lab late. Two not operating. Of the positives 84 were from backlog. Positivity 14.7% from 54.9k tests. On the way a lower 47.8k.
So unless there has been some major data error the DOH are still not announcing nearly 1.5k positives held over from July 29.
Recoveries a higher 9.1k
Deaths 167 with 102 RDs.
Severe 1,279, down 145 and Critical 792, up 49
Large movements in Severe cases recently.
NCR ICU 52% Nationally 59%
Both unchanged.
Regional data:
NCR 1,740
4A 1,392
CV 871
CL 771
WV 671
IL 506
Top 6:73% of all cases.
400s 1
300s 1
200s 2
100s 5
NCR added more than 200, 21.4% of all cases.
4A added about 100.
The NCR, 4A and CL accounted for 47.9% of all cases.
In the NCR Taguig had 74 more cases.
Makati, Malabon, Manila and Pasig all had about 50 more.
Seven up,3 down significantly.
Provincially around the NCR 3 provinces showed increases. Quezon added 49, Rizal 42 and Batangas 23.
Cavite 461
Laguna 412
Bulacan 316
Rizal 232
Pampanga 155
Batangas 153
Bataan 133
Quezon 118
Cities and areas:
Bacolod 35
Baguio 33
CDO 112
Cebu 223
Davao 184
Gen San 97
IloIlo 80
LapuLapu 166, up 38
Aklan 169, up 58
IloIlo 186, up 41
Neg Occ 82
Bohol 68
Gloomy predictions from modelling:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/31/...nt-ecq-covid19
NCR will pay the price for low testing and vaccination.
Notice that the examples of ICU data from the MMDA chairman nowhere near the current average NCR ICU %. of 52.
Checkpoints going up.
They want to stop non APORs eg Seniors from going about. But they are allowed to be out for essential services. I have a statement to that effect ready on my phone in case that is not understood.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/31/...rting-midnight
Something interesting:
UK data on hospital patients with covid admitted for other reasons.
Complicating treatment.
I wonder how hospitals here deal with that?
So unless there has been some major data error the DOH are still not announcing nearly 1.5k positives held over from July 29.
Recoveries a higher 9.1k
Deaths 167 with 102 RDs.
Severe 1,279, down 145 and Critical 792, up 49
Large movements in Severe cases recently.
NCR ICU 52% Nationally 59%
Both unchanged.
Regional data:
NCR 1,740
4A 1,392
CV 871
CL 771
WV 671
IL 506
Top 6:73% of all cases.
400s 1
300s 1
200s 2
100s 5
NCR added more than 200, 21.4% of all cases.
4A added about 100.
The NCR, 4A and CL accounted for 47.9% of all cases.
In the NCR Taguig had 74 more cases.
Makati, Malabon, Manila and Pasig all had about 50 more.
Seven up,3 down significantly.
Provincially around the NCR 3 provinces showed increases. Quezon added 49, Rizal 42 and Batangas 23.
Cavite 461
Laguna 412
Bulacan 316
Rizal 232
Pampanga 155
Batangas 153
Bataan 133
Quezon 118
Cities and areas:
Bacolod 35
Baguio 33
CDO 112
Cebu 223
Davao 184
Gen San 97
IloIlo 80
LapuLapu 166, up 38
Aklan 169, up 58
IloIlo 186, up 41
Neg Occ 82
Bohol 68
Gloomy predictions from modelling:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/31/...nt-ecq-covid19
NCR will pay the price for low testing and vaccination.
Notice that the examples of ICU data from the MMDA chairman nowhere near the current average NCR ICU %. of 52.
Checkpoints going up.
They want to stop non APORs eg Seniors from going about. But they are allowed to be out for essential services. I have a statement to that effect ready on my phone in case that is not understood.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/31/...rting-midnight
Something interesting:
UK data on hospital patients with covid admitted for other reasons.
Complicating treatment.
I wonder how hospitals here deal with that?
Aug 1st 2021, 11:03 pm
#990
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
About 600 more positives announced yesterday. Two labs late, two non operational. A backlog of 1,268 was included, which is the majority of those held back for some reason from July 29. Still about 200 to come. Positivity slightly higher at 14.9%. Testing on Saturday a creditable 48.7k.
Recoveries 5.9k
Deaths 127 with 70 RDs
Active cases up nearly 3k to 63,646.
Severe 1,464, up 185, Severe 764, down 28
Great volatility in Severe numbers lately.
NCR ICU 51%, down 1%. National 59%
Regional data:
NCR 1,758
4A 1,472
CL 987
CV 890
NM 741
IL 685
WV 564
1 300s
3 200s
2 100s
More often now a return to the top ordering in 2020.
NCR with 20.1% of all cases.
4A added 80 in second place.
CL added over 200 in third.
NM added over 300 in fifth place.
Il added 179 in sixth.
The top 6 had 74.8% of all cases, up.
For the NCR 5 cities up, 7 down.
Notably up Paranaque adding 87. QC added 56. Caloocan 44.
QC 320, Manila 220, Paranaque 173, Makati 153, Caloocan 132, Pasig 127
Provincially Cavite added 156 more cases. Bulacan 95 more. Pampanga 63 more.
Cavite 617
Bulacan 411
Laguna 407
Pampanga 218
Rizal 177
Batangas 156
Bataan 128
Pangasinan 109
Cities and areas:
Bacolod 27
Baguio 44, up
CDO 238, up 126
Cebu 242
Davao 156
Gen San 101, up
IloIlo 67
Lapu Lapu 103
Aklan 150
IloIlo 169
Neg Occ 66
Bohol 59
The most pessimistic modelling forecasts NCR active cases over 500k in 2 months time. Now 12.5k.
Daily cases 18 to 30k.
House bill proposing mandatory vaccinations for entrance to private and government buildings open to the public:
https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...U?ocid=BingHPC
Since vaccinated can still acquire and transmit the virus present checks will still be needed at entrances next year. Imagine the lines to get inside. Bad enough now.
Recoveries 5.9k
Deaths 127 with 70 RDs
Active cases up nearly 3k to 63,646.
Severe 1,464, up 185, Severe 764, down 28
Great volatility in Severe numbers lately.
NCR ICU 51%, down 1%. National 59%
Regional data:
NCR 1,758
4A 1,472
CL 987
CV 890
NM 741
IL 685
WV 564
1 300s
3 200s
2 100s
More often now a return to the top ordering in 2020.
NCR with 20.1% of all cases.
4A added 80 in second place.
CL added over 200 in third.
NM added over 300 in fifth place.
Il added 179 in sixth.
The top 6 had 74.8% of all cases, up.
For the NCR 5 cities up, 7 down.
Notably up Paranaque adding 87. QC added 56. Caloocan 44.
QC 320, Manila 220, Paranaque 173, Makati 153, Caloocan 132, Pasig 127
Provincially Cavite added 156 more cases. Bulacan 95 more. Pampanga 63 more.
Cavite 617
Bulacan 411
Laguna 407
Pampanga 218
Rizal 177
Batangas 156
Bataan 128
Pangasinan 109
Cities and areas:
Bacolod 27
Baguio 44, up
CDO 238, up 126
Cebu 242
Davao 156
Gen San 101, up
IloIlo 67
Lapu Lapu 103
Aklan 150
IloIlo 169
Neg Occ 66
Bohol 59
The most pessimistic modelling forecasts NCR active cases over 500k in 2 months time. Now 12.5k.
Daily cases 18 to 30k.
House bill proposing mandatory vaccinations for entrance to private and government buildings open to the public:
https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...U?ocid=BingHPC
Since vaccinated can still acquire and transmit the virus present checks will still be needed at entrances next year. Imagine the lines to get inside. Bad enough now.