The dollar again.
#31
Re: The dollar again.
Yep, $2.38 is a killer that's for sure, but can it get worse still? it can there's no doubt. Regarding another post earlier I doubt a couple of hundred or thousand or so returning NZers from the UK will have much effect on the UK GBP/NZ$ exchange rate.
Also I don't think the property market in NZ is suddenly going to be shooting up. There's more properties coming on the market now, but related to earnings they are still at a historic high level.
It ought to be the ideal time to introduce a capital gains tax on non residential homes like virtually every other country already has. No doubt though those that make the decisions have no interest in voting for such a tax as no doubt they already have second & subsequent homes.
Also I don't think the property market in NZ is suddenly going to be shooting up. There's more properties coming on the market now, but related to earnings they are still at a historic high level.
It ought to be the ideal time to introduce a capital gains tax on non residential homes like virtually every other country already has. No doubt though those that make the decisions have no interest in voting for such a tax as no doubt they already have second & subsequent homes.
I have found 3.7% for 12 months offshore with Allied Irish. I will not change a cent until it gets back to $2.75. If I have to wait 10 years so be it. On the positive side I have a nice little nest egg ticking over in GB that I cannot spend....money for the late autumn of my life!!
#32
Forum Regular
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 231
Re: The dollar again.
Presumably these rates are going to start damaging NZexports are they not. Isnt the NZ economy export dependant? It canhardly do much to encourage inward tourism either can it?
#33
Re: The dollar again.
I am amazed anyone would be prepared to change up anything more than a bit of pocket money at these rates..but I guess needs must and those who are about to start a new life can hardly put it on hold because of a shite rate.
Typical innit?? When it was over $3 back in early 2006 did I have any GBP..did I ****, and now that I have a wee bit to bring over its at these rates and stuck in an account earning .045%. That's less than one half of a %
#34
Re: The dollar again.
So I just got a note from my financial advisor this morning regarding exchange rates etc.
His companies view (OK so not necessarily correct lets face it everyone is getting it wrong so far) is;
S&P 500 index has another 5-10% growth in it and this is fuelling risk taking so supporting higher return higher risk currencies like the kiwi dollar.
However they forecast a bottom (or top) in Sept/Oct. with a return to 2.7/37p by early 2010. They do not forecast a return to 3/33p anytime.
Let’s see if they are right.
In the meantime I’m buying sterling at 2.38
His companies view (OK so not necessarily correct lets face it everyone is getting it wrong so far) is;
S&P 500 index has another 5-10% growth in it and this is fuelling risk taking so supporting higher return higher risk currencies like the kiwi dollar.
However they forecast a bottom (or top) in Sept/Oct. with a return to 2.7/37p by early 2010. They do not forecast a return to 3/33p anytime.
Let’s see if they are right.
In the meantime I’m buying sterling at 2.38
#35
BE Forum Addict
Joined: Dec 2004
Posts: 3,038
The dollar again.
When we arrived in NZ some years ago, the NZ$ V's pound was at $3.37
Bugger, still got some dosh in the UK!!!
Bugger, still got some dosh in the UK!!!
#36
BE Enthusiast
Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 405
Re: The dollar again.
Can anyone point me to a website that can give the historical exchange rates in a table or such going back for say 10 years or so?
#38
Re: The dollar again.
Or just look at HIFX's home page, go to 'marketwatch' top right hand corner and then look at 'historical data'..you change the currency by clicking on 'instrument' and the time line is on another one of those bars along side 'instrument'. It will give you right back to 1995.
#39
Forum Regular
Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 66
Re: The dollar again.
People will avoid NZ like the plague at these rates..correct re exports too. I am amazed its allowed to happen. I understand some of the problem is to do with the weak GBP BUT, the interest rates in Nz are so much higher than everywhere else thus making it a haven for investors..the more kiwi $ they buy the stronger it gets. No one is buying GBP just now thus its very weak.
I am amazed anyone would be prepared to change up anything more than a bit of pocket money at these rates..but I guess needs must and those who are about to start a new life can hardly put it on hold because of a shite rate.
Typical innit?? When it was over $3 back in early 2006 did I have any GBP..did I ****, and now that I have a wee bit to bring over its at these rates and stuck in an account earning .045%. That's less than one half of a %
I am amazed anyone would be prepared to change up anything more than a bit of pocket money at these rates..but I guess needs must and those who are about to start a new life can hardly put it on hold because of a shite rate.
Typical innit?? When it was over $3 back in early 2006 did I have any GBP..did I ****, and now that I have a wee bit to bring over its at these rates and stuck in an account earning .045%. That's less than one half of a %
It is a tough one, i think lots of people were lookig at 2.40 as a bottom, although Finanacial Advisors generally dont know more that you or I about Foreign Exchange
#40
Re: The dollar again.
At the moment i'm hoping the value drops again and moving money back to the UK. Managed to get 2.80 in Feb. and can make a tidy profit if i move it back to the UK.
I think the NZ goverment will have to make a move shortly in order stop the $NZ dropping much further.
I think the NZ goverment will have to make a move shortly in order stop the $NZ dropping much further.
#41
Re: The dollar again.
I think the NZ goverment will have to make a move shortly in order stop the $NZ dropping much further.