The dollar again.

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Old Aug 25th 2009, 10:24 am
  #31  
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Default Re: The dollar again.

Originally Posted by chocolate cake
Yep, $2.38 is a killer that's for sure, but can it get worse still? it can there's no doubt. Regarding another post earlier I doubt a couple of hundred or thousand or so returning NZers from the UK will have much effect on the UK GBP/NZ$ exchange rate.
Also I don't think the property market in NZ is suddenly going to be shooting up. There's more properties coming on the market now, but related to earnings they are still at a historic high level.

It ought to be the ideal time to introduce a capital gains tax on non residential homes like virtually every other country already has. No doubt though those that make the decisions have no interest in voting for such a tax as no doubt they already have second & subsequent homes.
Yes it looks like its heading for the lowest $2.20 it was back in the late 90's. Its utterly ridiculous and I am amazed that the NZ Reserve Bank has not done more to stop the kiwi's value getting so out of control. I feel sorry for those who feel they have to change up now, however those leaving NZ for other shores will be well happy!! I am in the process of tieing up my UK funds now for a minimum of a year.

I have found 3.7% for 12 months offshore with Allied Irish. I will not change a cent until it gets back to $2.75. If I have to wait 10 years so be it. On the positive side I have a nice little nest egg ticking over in GB that I cannot spend....money for the late autumn of my life!!
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Old Aug 25th 2009, 9:37 pm
  #32  
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Default Re: The dollar again.

Presumably these rates are going to start damaging NZexports are they not. Isnt the NZ economy export dependant? It canhardly do much to encourage inward tourism either can it?
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Old Aug 25th 2009, 9:50 pm
  #33  
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Default Re: The dollar again.

Originally Posted by zoglet
Presumably these rates are going to start damaging NZexports are they not. Isnt the NZ economy export dependant? It canhardly do much to encourage inward tourism either can it?
People will avoid NZ like the plague at these rates..correct re exports too. I am amazed its allowed to happen. I understand some of the problem is to do with the weak GBP BUT, the interest rates in Nz are so much higher than everywhere else thus making it a haven for investors..the more kiwi $ they buy the stronger it gets. No one is buying GBP just now thus its very weak.

I am amazed anyone would be prepared to change up anything more than a bit of pocket money at these rates..but I guess needs must and those who are about to start a new life can hardly put it on hold because of a shite rate.

Typical innit?? When it was over $3 back in early 2006 did I have any GBP..did I ****, and now that I have a wee bit to bring over its at these rates and stuck in an account earning .045%. That's less than one half of a %
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Old Aug 25th 2009, 11:10 pm
  #34  
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Default Re: The dollar again.

So I just got a note from my financial advisor this morning regarding exchange rates etc.

His companies view (OK so not necessarily correct lets face it everyone is getting it wrong so far) is;

S&P 500 index has another 5-10% growth in it and this is fuelling risk taking so supporting higher return higher risk currencies like the kiwi dollar.

However they forecast a bottom (or top) in Sept/Oct. with a return to 2.7/37p by early 2010. They do not forecast a return to 3/33p anytime.

Let’s see if they are right.

In the meantime I’m buying sterling at 2.38
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Old Aug 26th 2009, 10:53 am
  #35  
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Default The dollar again.

When we arrived in NZ some years ago, the NZ$ V's pound was at $3.37

Bugger, still got some dosh in the UK!!!
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Old Aug 27th 2009, 12:31 am
  #36  
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Default Re: The dollar again.

Can anyone point me to a website that can give the historical exchange rates in a table or such going back for say 10 years or so?
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Old Aug 27th 2009, 1:29 am
  #37  
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Default Re: The dollar again.

Originally Posted by Black Sheep
Can anyone point me to a website that can give the historical exchange rates in a table or such going back for say 10 years or so?
Here's 5 years

http://uk.finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=G...=on&z=m&q=l&c=
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Old Aug 27th 2009, 4:16 am
  #38  
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Default Re: The dollar again.

Originally Posted by Black Sheep
Can anyone point me to a website that can give the historical exchange rates in a table or such going back for say 10 years or so?
Or just look at HIFX's home page, go to 'marketwatch' top right hand corner and then look at 'historical data'..you change the currency by clicking on 'instrument' and the time line is on another one of those bars along side 'instrument'. It will give you right back to 1995.
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Old Aug 27th 2009, 7:43 am
  #39  
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Default Re: The dollar again.

Originally Posted by Genesis
People will avoid NZ like the plague at these rates..correct re exports too. I am amazed its allowed to happen. I understand some of the problem is to do with the weak GBP BUT, the interest rates in Nz are so much higher than everywhere else thus making it a haven for investors..the more kiwi $ they buy the stronger it gets. No one is buying GBP just now thus its very weak.

I am amazed anyone would be prepared to change up anything more than a bit of pocket money at these rates..but I guess needs must and those who are about to start a new life can hardly put it on hold because of a shite rate.

Typical innit?? When it was over $3 back in early 2006 did I have any GBP..did I ****, and now that I have a wee bit to bring over its at these rates and stuck in an account earning .045%. That's less than one half of a %
The issue is that you are looking at the GBPNZD rate, they dont export to much to the UK, so the NZDUSD is key to exports.

It is a tough one, i think lots of people were lookig at 2.40 as a bottom, although Finanacial Advisors generally dont know more that you or I about Foreign Exchange
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Old Aug 27th 2009, 5:58 pm
  #40  
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Default Re: The dollar again.

At the moment i'm hoping the value drops again and moving money back to the UK. Managed to get 2.80 in Feb. and can make a tidy profit if i move it back to the UK.

I think the NZ goverment will have to make a move shortly in order stop the $NZ dropping much further.
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Old Aug 28th 2009, 6:35 am
  #41  
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Default Re: The dollar again.

I think the NZ goverment will have to make a move shortly in order stop the $NZ dropping much further.
climbing ...you mean
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