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Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Old Feb 7th 2013, 11:11 pm
  #31  
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Originally Posted by _0v0_
Glasgow's a bit odd though.

(not just in terms of the housing )

There are lots and lots of tenement flats which I remember being quite cheap (although this was some years ago) OR detached bungalows in only the posher areas like Bearsden and Newton Mearns. I don't remember seeing miles and miles of terraced houses and semis that like gets in the average English town.

So, quoting the average for a Glaswegian house is perhaps a bit misleading.
You get them too! I just used Glasgow cos that's what I know and was making a point about everywhere sucking.
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Old Feb 8th 2013, 9:01 am
  #32  
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Originally Posted by Assanah
I was just pointing out the difference between an industrial country such as the UK (or Germany) with lots of people and with big cities such as London and an agricultural rural country such as NZ without real city life but with lots of space. One should expect that lots of space means cheaper prices for houses with big gardens and lack of space means higher prices for generally smaller houses with smaller gardens. So I can't really understand the drooling over having bigger gardens in NZ than in London.
That doesn't answer my question ...
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Old Feb 8th 2013, 9:15 am
  #33  
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Originally Posted by TommyLuck
That doesn't answer my question ...
Drooling was a strange word to use. From my perspective, I was trying to express why Auckland seems better value than London/Birmingham/Manchester etc despite the numbers indicating that it isn't. I guess if you're happy to live in an average city dwelling and follow an average city lifestyle, then NZ isn't good value. My household has 2 kids, a dog, 2 boats, 4 bikes, 3 windsurfers, 3 kayaks, a nice trampoline on the lawn and a hot tub on the deck. I can't have all this "stuff" in an average UK city dwelling, but I like having it and it lets me do the things I and my family like. If that makes me materialistic or a drooler, then fine, but it means that NZ is a much better "fit" for me than urban Europe.
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Old Feb 8th 2013, 9:17 am
  #34  
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Originally Posted by lapsed kiwi
My household has 2 kids, a dog, 2 boats, 4 bikes, 3 windsurfers, 3 kayaks, a nice trampoline on the lawn and a hot tub on the deck.
Sounds good to me.

When do I move in?

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Old Feb 8th 2013, 9:22 am
  #35  
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Originally Posted by TommyLuck
Sounds good to me.

When do I move in?

Unless you bear a striking resemblance to Michelle Pfeiffer, you're out of luck
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Old Feb 8th 2013, 9:31 am
  #36  
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Originally Posted by lapsed kiwi
Unless you bear a striking resemblance to Michelle Pfeiffer, you're out of luck
No, but I reckon I'd look good in a cat suit.


Joking aside, I think that what you have is what I'm aspiring too when I arrive later this year.

I have mentioned on here before the although I'm not leaving London for any negative reasons I don't 'do' the culture and the shenanigans that London has on it's doorstep.

I generally stick to what I like and know, these days.

Therefore, in effect I make London an average place to experiece because I don't try anything new, I've found what I like and stick to the same places, although I'm willing to be invited along to a museum, pub or restaurant by friends, but that is my only source of experiencing anything new.

I want to sample to a different (at this stage not better, nor worse) type of life which all comes in to measuring the value I'm getting for my money.
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Old Feb 8th 2013, 2:49 pm
  #37  
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

My husband has said a hot tub is part of the agreement to go to NZ
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Old Feb 8th 2013, 5:26 pm
  #38  
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Hold up folks. We are not talking value for money here, but the financial feasability of purchasing a house in the UK versus purchasing a house in NZ. There are only three relevant criteria I can see:

1. the cost of what's on offer
2. the cost of buying it (e.g. taking out a home loan and paying interest on it)
3. the ability of buyers to pay it.

Section size, whether the house is detatched, whether you have trees outside and so on is irrelevant to this question, although it is perfectly valid to point out that individual people might decide to purchase a house, despite its being less affordable, because it is more desirable to them. I am looking purely at the money equation.

Originally Posted by simonsi
Ha! I'm sure there must be some reason for it. If you shift the goal-posts like this then of course NZ property will be both cheaper AND more expensive at the same time.

You really need to compare like-for-like in this discussion otherwise any comparison falls flat.
My original comment was that the reason for greater affordability of houses in the UK is because section sizes are smaller.

If you think I am shifting the goalposts it is because you have misunderstood my point - in fact you are confusing affordability with value for money. If, for example, in country X the only cars available for purchase are Rolls-Royces, Aston Martins and Ferraris, people will generally find cars less affordable than in other countries even if those cars generally sell for less in country X than their average worldwide market price. As it happens, I don't think NZ houses fall into the Rolls-Royce bracket, but I hope this illustrates my point.

I will remark that it must be pretty frustrating to sit in an Aston Martin but with no money for petrol (like the ACDC song).

Originally Posted by simonsi
Only if the bank margins are the same.
This was in response to a point (which I thought very valid) made by Genesis: that bank loan rates make houses less affordable in NZ.

I don't think the bank margins have anything to do with it. The ability to service a loan is of central relevance to housing affordability - what the banks charge will determine this. What margin they take between their lending rate and the OCR is purely a matter for the bank.

Originally Posted by lapsed kiwi
Exactly - all very well talking about the average house, but what is the average house in London? I can almost guarantee it's not detached, with some (albeit small in Auckland) garden, at least one, probably double garage plus multiple off-street parking. On the other hand it probably has good heating and is made from permanent materials...
This shows why one should leave such matters out of account. Value for money will depend on what the individual wants in a house. If, for example, one likes year-round snow, houses in London and Auckland represent poor value.

Originally Posted by Assanah
One should think that house prices are very low in a countries that have lots of space and in countries with a higher population and less space they should be more expensive. I still can not see why anyone would compare prices in London with prices in Auckland.
No, it depends on what people are able to pay - up to a point. When economists talk about "high" house prices, they mean they are out of kilter with market fundamentals. The Philippines are crowded, but I expect house prices are lower than in developed countries with lower population density.

Simonsi, you also picked me up on these reasons I gave for the relevance of this discussion (which you denied)

I said:

Originally Posted by _0v0_
You are of course right that all potential immigrants should do their due dilligence, so to speak, but I think the point needs to be made for a number of reasons.

1. Some immigrants don't.
2. it is useful for immigrants to have benchmark figures when looking at prices for individual houses, to know whether they are getting a good deal.
3. our dear Gvt is quite happy to pretend there is no housing crisis by saying it's worse in other countries.
You said

Originally Posted by simonsi
But the point isnt simply "made", it is a complex issue that stands or completely falls depending on the personal circumstances and history of circumstances of the individual concerned. As posts above have stated, the issue of house prices vs incomes is replicated and worse in other areas in other countries (not all of whom build brick-and-tile), it isnt a unique NZ problem.

Whether this issue makes a particular house "unaffordable" for a particular immigrant involves a whole load of other factors in a combination possibly unique to that individual.

Most financial advisors would balk at this leap :-)
I think this reply only applies to cashed-up retirees who own a house without having to service a mortgage.

This discussion is relevant to the immigrant who is (quite reasonably) opts to move to NZ without first buying a house and who (quite reasonably) wants to know how much of a burden housing costs will be on his or her budget.

It is relevant to locals who want to move the other way.

In short, it is relevant to everyone else.

It is particularly relevant to me, because I am contemplating moving away - either to the UK or SA. Both offer greater housing affordability when compared to the incomes I can expect in either of those places and the cost of borrowing. If I buy overseas and sell in NZ now, I will have closed out a very profitable financial position (due to rising NZD and falling house prices in the UK particularly).

I suspect also that you are confusing affordability with value once again. Cost of housing is only one consideration for an emigrant. But it remains a consideration. I expect it's no fun sitting in the shade under a fruit tree, contemplating how one can't afford a beer because all one's disposable income is going to the bank.
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Old Feb 8th 2013, 6:07 pm
  #39  
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

...and this discussion is relevant to domestic policy too.

See this article Bryan Gould: Blame ideology for housing crisis and this: (Stuff) Exodus warning by house seekers.

There is (on any reasonable criteria) a housing crisis in New Zealand: families are finding it hard to house themselves adequately on their NZ incomes. It is worth noting that below the line it is quickly pointed out that the problem is "worse in other countries" (meaning the UK) - a claim that in my opinion is untrue.
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Old Feb 8th 2013, 7:03 pm
  #40  
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Originally Posted by _0v0_

No, it depends on what people are able to pay - up to a point. When economists talk about "high" house prices, they mean they are out of kilter with market fundamentals. The Philippines are crowded, but I expect house prices are lower than in developed countries with lower population density.
Sure. Having money is the absolute basis of course. And prices in NZ are high because they don't correspond to the income of people. I understand that.

But I was talking about a more specific topic. If you move (within first world countries) from a big city to a remote location you can't be surprised that you are able to afford a house with a bigger garden. And I am sure that demand and supply has something to do with it.

Last edited by Assanah; Feb 8th 2013 at 7:21 pm.
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Old Feb 8th 2013, 7:09 pm
  #41  
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Originally Posted by _0v0_
...and this discussion is relevant to domestic policy too.

See this article Bryan Gould: Blame ideology for housing crisis and this: (Stuff) Exodus warning by house seekers.

There is (on any reasonable criteria) a housing crisis in New Zealand: families are finding it hard to house themselves adequately on their NZ incomes. It is worth noting that below the line it is quickly pointed out that the problem is "worse in other countries" (meaning the UK) - a claim that in my opinion is untrue.
Recently read an article in the NZHerald:

....Auckland continues to be the least affordable market, with a median multiple of 6.7, followed by Christchurch (6.6), Tauranga-Western Bay of Plenty (5.9), Wellington (5.4) and Dunedin (5.1) all severely unaffordable.
Palmerston North (4.4), Napier-Hastings (4.5) and Hamilton (4.7) are all ranked as seriously unaffordable.
Auckland is still more affordable than Australian cities Sydney (8.3) and Melbourne (7.5), but less affordable than Adelaide (6.5), Perth (5.9) and Brisbane (5.8).
Houses are now nearly 80 per cent more expensive than the historic affordability housing norm of 3 times the median income, which was last experienced in the 1990s.


Affordability around the world:
Housing market, median multiple
Hong Kong, China, 13.5
Sydney, Australia, 8.3
Melbourne, Australia, 7.5
Auckland, New Zealand, 6.7
Adelaide, Australia, 6.5
New York, US, 6.2
Los Angeles, US, 6.2
Perth, Australia, 5.9
Brisbane, Australia, 5.8
London, United Kingdom, 5.1
Dublin, Ireland, 3.6
Source: Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey
(Median multiple represents the median house price divided by the median income)
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Old Feb 8th 2013, 7:14 pm
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Originally Posted by _0v0_
I don't think the bank margins have anything to do with it. The ability to service a loan is of central relevance to housing affordability - what the banks charge will determine this. What margin they take between their lending rate and the OCR is purely a matter for the bank.
If you carefully read Genesis' post he was talking about OCR and Base rates - now I don't know about you but I pay what the banks charge, not the OCR or Base rate. So the bank margins are wholly relevant (especially as we pay them!). I agree the lending rate is the key factor, but that isn't what Genesis said. In simple terms that is made up of bank cost (which may or may not be the OCR or Base rate), and bank margin.

"I think this reply only applies to cashed-up retirees who own a house without having to service a mortgage."

So I comment that it is a complex issue that will apply to people differently and you somehow deduce I am making a comment that only applies to a certain part of the population??

"Affordable" by definition takes into account the ability to pay (as your simple Ferrari/Aston example), whereas "value for money" does not. This is a forum for expats and should provide experience and assistance relevant to their likely circumstances and not necessarily the NZ income average, after all NZ is loking for skilled migrants, the average income of which should be above the NZ average...
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Old Feb 8th 2013, 7:16 pm
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Originally Posted by Assanah
Recently read an article in the NZHerald:

....Auckland continues to be the least affordable market, with a median multiple of 6.7, followed by Christchurch (6.6), Tauranga-Western Bay of Plenty (5.9), Wellington (5.4) and Dunedin (5.1) all severely unaffordable.
Palmerston North (4.4), Napier-Hastings (4.5) and Hamilton (4.7) are all ranked as seriously unaffordable.
Auckland is still more affordable than Australian cities Sydney (8.3) and Melbourne (7.5), but less affordable than Adelaide (6.5), Perth (5.9) and Brisbane (5.8).
Houses are now nearly 80 per cent more expensive than the historic affordability housing norm of 3 times the median income, which was last experienced in the 1990s.


Affordability around the world:
Housing market, median multiple
Hong Kong, China, 13.5
Sydney, Australia, 8.3
Melbourne, Australia, 7.5
Auckland, New Zealand, 6.7
Adelaide, Australia, 6.5
New York, US, 6.2
Los Angeles, US, 6.2
Perth, Australia, 5.9
Brisbane, Australia, 5.8
London, United Kingdom, 5.1
Dublin, Ireland, 3.6
Source: Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey
(Median multiple represents the median house price divided by the median income)
Cool! That's the "affordable" factual part of this discussion over with then, the rest of the discussion can be about the relevance of averages and value for money.
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Old Feb 8th 2013, 9:40 pm
  #44  
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

As I said, many parts of UK higher than 5.1 times.
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Old Feb 17th 2013, 12:59 am
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Default Re: Affordability of houses: NZ v UK

Simonsi, you are a naughty, naughty fellow.

Originally Posted by simonsi
If you carefully read Genesis' post he was talking about OCR and Base rates - now I don't know about you but I pay what the banks charge, not the OCR or Base rate. So the bank margins are wholly relevant (especially as we pay them!). I agree the lending rate is the key factor, but that isn't what Genesis said. In simple terms that is made up of bank cost (which may or may not be the OCR or Base rate), and bank margin.
Genesis' point was very clear and simple. It was that the higher OCR in NZ means that banks charge higher interest rates on home loans.

Higher interest rates means, to put it bluntly, you pay more to buy a house. I'm sure you understand this very well.

"I think this reply only applies to cashed-up retirees who own a house without having to service a mortgage."

So I comment that it is a complex issue that will apply to people differently and you somehow deduce I am making a comment that only applies to a certain part of the population??
I make no comment on what you intended to say. My comment is that what you in fact say is not relevant to anyone for whom affordability isn't an issue, ie, because they've got lots and lots of money. I know a few migrants who have basically retired to New Zealand: from the sales of their UK homes they can buy very decent properties here - a person with an unencumbered London property and a decent pension can still buy a very, very decent property here. But, such people are a minority: they are pretty far from the circumstances of the majority of migrants, who have or intend to have families at some point, who are working age and far from financially independent: such people have to take what is offered them by the market and by the banks.

"Affordable" by definition takes into account the ability to pay (as your simple Ferrari/Aston example), whereas "value for money" does not. This is a forum for expats and should provide experience and assistance relevant to their likely circumstances and not necessarily the NZ income average, after all NZ is loking for skilled migrants, the average income of which should be above the NZ average...
If it is true that the average employment-age migrant will command an above-average salary in NZ it is also true that said migrants will command an above-average salary in their country of origin. So I don't think what you say has any bearing on this discussion.

Originally Posted by simonsi
(replying to Assenah) Cool! That's the "affordable" factual part of this discussion over with then, the rest of the discussion can be about the relevance of averages and value for money.
If you wish. If those stats are reliable, I win! London is more affordable than Auckland: it can be presumed that so is the rest of the UK unless you can prove to the contrary.

Now go to the naughty step.
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