Ukraine flight PS752 crash
#91
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
I think that you're in danger of seeing the event in isolation and blaming, as always, the man charged with actually doing the job. The real culprits, those who play politics, are never questioned, never put in this position. They simply give orders, they never get their clean hands dirty.
I suspect you'd agree that the 'button pusher' didn't wake up that morning with the idea of downing a civilian aircraft but found himself in a position where decisions needed to be made. Either through inadequate training, system failure, fright or simple human error, he made a decision that downed an aircraft.
It's not difficult to compare this action with the action the man on the Vincennes took and that comparison is one that bares closer examination. Each 'button pusher' was backed by a system that failed and the result and the reasoning behind the decision making that led to it are similar although the outcomes are proving to be wildly different. The US has never apologised for the Vincennes incident although you can argue their system failure was worse.
Yes, you can blame the man who pulls the trigger because that simplistically draws a line under the event, but the more difficult questions, those that could prevent future events such as these, are never asked because the answers highlight who's really responsible.
I buy a hammer, I buy a nail, I pick up the hammer, I pick up the nail, I swing the hammer, I close my eyes, I hit my thumb.
Which action led to my shouting 'Ow'?
None. There is a sequence of actions from the decision to purchase of the hammer and nail to the lack of expertise in knowing how to use it that could have prevented it. Simply choosing the last act is much too simplistic.
I suspect you'd agree that the 'button pusher' didn't wake up that morning with the idea of downing a civilian aircraft but found himself in a position where decisions needed to be made. Either through inadequate training, system failure, fright or simple human error, he made a decision that downed an aircraft.
It's not difficult to compare this action with the action the man on the Vincennes took and that comparison is one that bares closer examination. Each 'button pusher' was backed by a system that failed and the result and the reasoning behind the decision making that led to it are similar although the outcomes are proving to be wildly different. The US has never apologised for the Vincennes incident although you can argue their system failure was worse.
Yes, you can blame the man who pulls the trigger because that simplistically draws a line under the event, but the more difficult questions, those that could prevent future events such as these, are never asked because the answers highlight who's really responsible.
I buy a hammer, I buy a nail, I pick up the hammer, I pick up the nail, I swing the hammer, I close my eyes, I hit my thumb.
Which action led to my shouting 'Ow'?
None. There is a sequence of actions from the decision to purchase of the hammer and nail to the lack of expertise in knowing how to use it that could have prevented it. Simply choosing the last act is much too simplistic.
#92
Account Closed
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 0
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
From the LA Times article - link posted by Jsmth321 - https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-...792-story.html
#93
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
If you shoot a bear in the ass and it gets mad and bites a kid's head off, who is at fault - the bear or the guy that provoked it?
#94
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
That doesn't work, as Iran has stated it was an accident. Using your example, rather than the bear biting the kid's head off, a more accurate analogy would be to say that, after shooting the bear dead, the bear fell, dislodged a rock that came down a hill that hit a boulder that continued down the hill until it destroyed the bear's den, killing its offspring. The shooter started the chain of events but the deaths were not reasonably foreseeable. Trump did not take the civilian airliner to the "fight" with Iran.
Last edited by Almost Canadian; Jan 12th 2020 at 2:00 pm.
#95
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
I think the causation chain is relevant. If Trump hadn't ordered the killing of Soleimani, that civilian aircraft wouldn't have been shot down by the IRGC.
#96
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
However, to blame the shooting down of a civilian airliner by "accident" by Iran on the US is not that credible, IMO. I accept that others will disagree, usually, upon their attitude towards Trump.
#97
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
Causation chains become apparent after the fact, obviously. As much as I dislike Trump and disapprove of him holding his current position, I don't feel inclined to finger him - or his advisors - for this tragedy.
#98
Account Closed
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 2
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
I blame Soleimani's mother, if she had not given birth to him none of this would have happened.
#100
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
Apparently the Vincennes did try to communicate on civilian frequencies but the thinking is that the A300 pilots concluded that the Vincennes was addressing a different aircraft. The confusion arose because the Vincennes addressed an unidentified aircraft by quoting it's ground speed whereas the aircraft referenced it's airspeed. A difference of 50 mph led the pilots to conclude that the Vincennes wasn't talking to them but an Orion that they probably knew was thereabouts..
I think that it's worth commenting that in the years since the Vincennes incident I'm not aware of the US downing another airliner so they learned something from it. We can only hope that those designing 'foolproof' systems take these events as lessons as how not to do it.
Last edited by dave_j; Jan 12th 2020 at 4:08 pm.
#101
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
I’m sure we will all get this statement soon
We all need to have conversations about this incident and review all the facts, have deep discussions so we can all learn from this mistake.
one persons interpretation of a mistake can be interpreted differently by another
We all need to have conversations about this incident and review all the facts, have deep discussions so we can all learn from this mistake.
one persons interpretation of a mistake can be interpreted differently by another
#102
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
Not much sign of protests against Trump or the USA for the shooting down of the airliner:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...cklash-ukraine
Iranians and Iraqis I've spoken to in the last couple of days certainly didn't like Trump but put the blame entirely on the Iranian government.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...cklash-ukraine
Iranians and Iraqis I've spoken to in the last couple of days certainly didn't like Trump but put the blame entirely on the Iranian government.
#103
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
If Trump wasn't being impeached would he have killed General Soleimani? It shouldn't be long until the latest book by White House Insider comes out and tells who told him to do it and who tried to stop him.
#104
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
That doesn't work, as Iran has stated it was an accident. Using your example, rather than the bear biting the kid's head off, a more accurate analogy would be to say that, after shooting the bear dead, the bear fell, dislodged a rock that came down a hill that hit a boulder that continued down the hill until it destroyed the bear's den, killing its offspring. The shooter started the chain of events but the deaths were not reasonably foreseeable. Trump did not take the civilian airliner to the "fight" with Iran.
But the salient question is: what was the real motivation for Trump to order the assassination of Soleimani at that particular point in time, compared to the 20 years he's been on the US radar as a troublemaker? I doubt very much that I am in a minority when I posit that the timing of this assassination and Trump's impeachment is not a coincidence - Trump is a master at deflection, diversion and water-muddying. You will, of course, note that he ensured that the press announcement included the words "on the direction of the President"...
#105
Re: Ukraine flight PS752 crash
That's a fair enough analogy but it's also along the lines of the point I was trying to make. In this case though, the shooter lauded his decision to shoot the bear, despite knowing that people had advised that unpleasant consequences (e.g. your rock fall) were extremely likely.
But the salient question is: what was the real motivation for Trump to order the assassination of Soleimani at that particular point in time, compared to the 20 years he's been on the US radar as a troublemaker? I doubt very much that I am in a minority when I posit that the timing of this assassination and Trump's impeachment is not a coincidence - Trump is a master at deflection, diversion and water-muddying. You will, of course, note that he ensured that the press announcement included the words "on the direction of the President"...
But the salient question is: what was the real motivation for Trump to order the assassination of Soleimani at that particular point in time, compared to the 20 years he's been on the US radar as a troublemaker? I doubt very much that I am in a minority when I posit that the timing of this assassination and Trump's impeachment is not a coincidence - Trump is a master at deflection, diversion and water-muddying. You will, of course, note that he ensured that the press announcement included the words "on the direction of the President"...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opini...-he-drew-iran/