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-   -   Is now the time to buy Dollars? (https://britishexpats.com/forum/maple-leaf-98/now-time-buy-dollars-799236/)

big ron Jun 5th 2013 12:33 pm

Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
Been a while since the pound was at the $1.60 mark is it giong to keep rising .Shall I transfer or shall I not.?:unsure:

geedee Jun 5th 2013 12:59 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
Hello Big Ron... you might want to look at this thread, for a laugh....


http://britishexpats.com/forum/showt...=exchange+rate

Have some time on your hands, it's 179 pages.....

The opening poster is worried at $2.10!!

I doubt anyone will call it right. If anything, someone will have a lucky guess. Bottom line is.... do you need to swap it over? Is there any chance you might go back to the UK? Why not transfer what you have to only? Having said that, if I'd transferred more when I could have back then, I wouldn't have "lost" so much!!

Good luck.

cjones Jun 5th 2013 1:29 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by geedee (Post 10743185)
...Having said that, if I'd transferred more when I could have back then, I wouldn't have "lost" so much!!

Good luck.

I feel your pain. :frown:

geedee Jun 5th 2013 1:43 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by cjones (Post 10743199)
I feel your pain. :frown:

It breaks my heart... if only I hadn't had so much faith in the "strength" of the GBP!!:crown:

Aviator Jun 5th 2013 2:08 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by geedee (Post 10743185)
Hello Big Ron... you might want to look at this thread, for a laugh....


http://britishexpats.com/forum/showt...=exchange+rate

Have some time on your hands, it's 179 pages.....

The opening poster is worried at $2.10!!

I doubt anyone will call it right. If anything, someone will have a lucky guess. Bottom line is.... do you need to swap it over? Is there any chance you might go back to the UK? Why not transfer what you have to only? Having said that, if I'd transferred more when I could have back then, I wouldn't have "lost" so much!!

Good luck.

I was mortified at $2.15, the norm was 2.25-2.39

cjones Jun 5th 2013 2:19 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by Aviator (Post 10743227)
I was mortified at $2.15, the norm was 2.25-2.39

I'm struggling to "feel your pain" quite so intensely. ;)

London-England-Lads Jun 5th 2013 2:29 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
Difficult decision - we have our house sale money and cant decide what to do with it. However we think investing in Canadian property will over time earn us a better interest than in the bank ... I guess it depends on how safe you wanna be and how angry you will be if the dollar weakens more.

Aviator Jun 5th 2013 4:48 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by cjones (Post 10743233)
I'm struggling to "feel your pain" quite so intensely. ;)

For the most part I am going the other way now and am getting 30% savings on the FX. The best GBP I got was $2.62, for a fleeting moment.

Aviator Jun 5th 2013 4:49 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by London-England-Lads (Post 10743241)
Difficult decision - we have our house sale money and cant decide what to do with it. However we think investing in Canadian property will over time earn us a better interest than in the bank ... I guess it depends on how safe you wanna be and how angry you will be if the dollar weakens more.

Set yourself a realistic FX rate, exchange at that and move on. Getting the 'best' rate is like chasing rainbows.

Mikeypm Jun 6th 2013 1:12 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
Currency fair have good rates at the moment

Souvy Jun 6th 2013 2:43 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by Aviator (Post 10743343)
Set yourself a realistic FX rate, exchange at that and move on. Getting the 'best' rate is like chasing rainbows.

I used to work on 2.20 being a realistic rate (it was higher at the time). I rather miss those days:(

geedee Jun 6th 2013 5:48 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
Also, you'd think it's a good thing for going back the other way.... e.g. trips to the UK. But getting more pounds for your dollar doesn't help... everything's shot up in price instead!

London-England-Lads Jun 6th 2013 5:54 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
set mine at 2-1, who knows was there once and we don't need the money yet .

MarkG Jun 6th 2013 6:43 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by Aviator (Post 10743227)
I was mortified at $2.15, the norm was 2.25-2.39

I had to transfer a chunk at $1.85. That was horrible.

orly Jun 6th 2013 6:50 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by big ron (Post 10743162)
Been a while since the pound was at the $1.60 mark is it giong to keep rising .Shall I transfer or shall I not.?:unsure:

Around $1.63 has been the resistance point for about 3 years now.

If it gets above $1.65 for any length of time (talking weeks or months rather than minutes or hours) then more research might be needed.

If it dips back down again then it's business as usual.

Steve_ Jun 6th 2013 6:52 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
It's impossible to determine the "best time" to buy currency because currency fluctuations aren't in any respect predictable over a long period of time.

London-England-Lads Jun 6th 2013 6:56 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by orly (Post 10744430)
Around $1.63 has been the resistance point for about 3 years now.

If it gets above $1.65 for any length of time (talking weeks or months rather than minutes or hours) then more research might be needed.

If it dips back down again then it's business as usual.

Thanks for that - shall watch carefully, means the area we were looking at property has just got better !

canadian_critic Jun 6th 2013 7:49 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
One thing you can do is set up a trigger where you agree to buy a certain amount of currency at a rate you specify. You are obviously contractually bound but the nice thing is that currencies can spike overnight and you'd never know it by the time you're munching your breakfast. I managed to get some better deals over a period of one year, moving money from Canada to UK. I would be cautious bringing all my money over to Canada with the rate as it is. It's been like this for some time having reached about 1.45 a few years back and peaking at about 1.65. At least the decline seems to have subsided but I don't envy people exchanging at any of those rates.

MarkG Jun 6th 2013 7:53 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by Steve_ (Post 10744432)
It's impossible to determine the "best time" to buy currency because currency fluctuations aren't in any respect predictable over a long period of time.

I think it's a fair bet that there will be a spike after the next election if the LibTorDems get thrown out. But it probably won't last long, particularly if Labour replace them.

Ultimately, it's not likely to improve a lot so long as the British economy is doing much worse than the Canadian economy.

London-England-Lads Jun 6th 2013 11:40 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
1.60 now

Alan2005 Jun 6th 2013 1:25 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
There will come a point where the level is such that going back to the UK would be irresistible.

Novocastrian Jun 6th 2013 3:05 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by Alan2005 (Post 10744895)
There will come a point where the level is such that going back to the UK would be irresistible.

Oh no, there wouldn't.

Alan2005 Jun 6th 2013 3:25 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by Novocastrian (Post 10744950)
Oh no, there wouldn't.

Maybe not for you. But at 1.2 or 1.3 I'd seriously consider it.

Novocastrian Jun 6th 2013 3:35 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by Alan2005 (Post 10744968)
Maybe not for you. But at 1.2 or 1.3 I'd seriously consider it.

At anything like that I'd consider staying in Canada where my pension would be a more liveable amount.

I'm obviously more concerned about the C$/Euro rate.

But not that much.

London-England-Lads Jun 20th 2013 2:19 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
Another dropping day - now $1.60 to the £.

Only 40 more cents to drop then I will be happy !!!!

Novocastrian Jun 20th 2013 3:32 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by London-England-Lads (Post 10767562)
Another dropping day - now $1.60 to the £.

Only 40 more cents to drop then I will be happy !!!!

I'm a bit confused by that. From your earlier posts I'd understood that you have some capital from a house sale in the UK (presumably in Sterling), and are wondering when to move into C$?

If that's correct why would a drop of 40c help?

Atlantic Xpat Jun 20th 2013 11:30 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
I'd like the CAD$ to stay strong against the GBP for the next 3 weeks while I'm spending in the UK. Then it can got the other way again.

London-England-Lads Jun 20th 2013 11:50 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by Novocastrian (Post 10767615)
I'm a bit confused by that. From your earlier posts I'd understood that you have some capital from a house sale in the UK (presumably in Sterling), and are wondering when to move into C$?

If that's correct why would a drop of 40c help?

Sorry, bad use of terminology, meant I am holding out for $2 for a pound. I know I may have a very, very long wait !

Souvy Jun 21st 2013 12:27 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by London-England-Lads (Post 10768055)
Sorry, bad use of terminology, meant I am holding out for $2 for a pound. I know I may have a very, very long wait !

I dream of that!

It would be a 25% pay increase for me.

Shard Jun 21st 2013 2:39 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
Hard to see how the £ will appreciate (in the medium term) with a slacking economy and Carney at the helm. C$ could depreciate if global resource demand slows. My guess is 1.60-1.80 over the next two years.

Souvy Jun 21st 2013 2:50 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by Shard (Post 10768285)
Hard to see how the £ will appreciate (in the medium term) with a slacking economy and Carney at the helm. C$ could depreciate if global resource demand slows. My guess is 1.60-1.80 over the next two years.

I also do not see appreciation in the £. Depreciation in the loonie seems more likely and I would welcome it. Not terribly patriotic, I know, of me but getting back to the C$ being the peso of the north would make me wealthier.

Steve_ Jun 22nd 2013 9:55 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
Meh, couldn't care less about sterling, the question to my mind is whether now is the time to buy US dollars because it looks to me as though the USD is going up sharply because everyone is expecting US interest rates to move up, so they're thinking about buying US bonds.

Editha Jun 24th 2013 3:03 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 
The loonie has actually taken a nose dive against the dollar and the pound in the last week.

I am painfully aware of this because I am in the process of selling a house in Canada and buying one in the UK. We don't get the proceeds of sale of our Canadian house until mid-July and then I will have to transfer the cash to the UK for completion on our purchase.

By the time I noticed the exchange rate was changing the loonie had gone into free-fall. I've taken out a future exchange contract to insure against any further losses. but in the meantime I've "lost" £9,000.

So the answer to the O.P's question on June 5th was yes, now on 24th June, not so much.

macadian Jun 24th 2013 3:49 pm

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by London-England-Lads (Post 10768055)
Sorry, bad use of terminology, meant I am holding out for $2 for a pound. I know I may have a very, very long wait !

Much of my income (Pensions) is in Sterling. Were 2 for 1 the case, I could retire tomorrow!:cool:

davedba Aug 21st 2013 5:12 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by orly (Post 10744430)
Around $1.63 has been the resistance point for about 3 years now.

If it gets above $1.65 for any length of time (talking weeks or months rather than minutes or hours) then more research might be needed.

If it dips back down again then it's business as usual.

$1.64 now and going up :fingerscrossed:

orly Aug 21st 2013 6:06 am

Re: Is now the time to buy Dollars?
 

Originally Posted by davedba (Post 10862373)
$1.64 now and going up :fingerscrossed:

Put some Canadian in charge of the BoE and look what happens :D


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