RI Election Year...2014

Old Jan 14th 2014, 1:48 pm
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Default RI Election Year...2014

Elections for the both levels of Government and Districts will be held in Indonesia on 9 April 2014. The poll for a new President will be on 9 July 2014.
Whilst there may not be any trouble I suggest that anyone contemplating visiting Indonesia, especially Java but excluding Bali, should have this in mind.
This country is a democracy and has about 190 million available voters...so it is an incredible task to administer. Fraud is possible but the simple logistic of voter compliance in remote areas is fraught.
There are about 12 different parties and it will be unusual for any one party to get a majority, so a coalition (where parties become friendly and have a party) is probable.
Who is finally proposed for Presidency can only be determined after the general election, as there are thresholds to overcome from that poll.

For those interested in the politics here is an interesting link for study....http://carnegieendowment.org/2013/10...7?reloadFlag=1
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Old Apr 10th 2014, 3:51 am
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Default Re: RI Election Year...2014

Well the elections were held yesterday and there appears to be no drama...everything went smoothly and about 99% of the votes have been counted.
As I said above...no one party gained any majority so coalitions will be formed. One party (PDI-P) which is 'owned' by Megawati (Soekarno's daughter) was predicted to have a large majority....but they failed.

The next test is to see who will be President in July's election. The proposed PDI-P member is the popular Governor of Jakarta named 'Jokowi', but he is unskilled in politics, so it will remain to see who he selects as his running mate.
I'll keep posting any dramatic news.
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Old Aug 23rd 2014, 7:25 am
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Default Re: RI Election Year...2014

As promised I'm reporting on the state of the elections in Indonesia.
The vote for the President took place with only 2 contenders. Jokowi (current Governor of Jakarta) and Probowo (a rich but disgraced ex-general). Jokowi won by a small margin and that was contested. Yesterday the court decided there was no evidence of fraud and declared Jokowi the winner.
There was some small scale rioting in downtown Jakarta but that was soon extinguished by the massive police force deployed...imo it's all over and the new President will be in place in the first week of October.
Hopefully he will form a cabinet with some teeth and less corruption. Corruption and religious fanaticism are the main issues that will make or break this Government and the economic development of this Republic.
If the masses can behave when inevitably Indonesia will have to change its subsidized gasoline policy, it could be a haven for foreign investment.
The Jakarta stock market is poised to grow and the Rupiah has every sign of getting stronger, but the speculators might have a field day with the money market before the new government is installed. They will obviously re-arrange the 2015 budget that has recently been passed by the outgoing President and government. No easy task for the incoming legislators.
I'll report further if any major news occurs.

Last edited by Davita; Aug 23rd 2014 at 7:58 am.
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Old Sep 27th 2014, 3:20 pm
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Default Re: RI Election Year...2014

Well the Indonesian legislators have really done a number on the incoming President.
The Government, of which the incoming President's party only has a minority of representation, voted to deny future direct elections for regional administrative positions such as Governors, Mayors, Regents etc. An advisory committee will be selected to interview future applicants for suitability and make recommendations.
The details are still incomplete but it does seem a backward step for democracy and only time will tell of its effect.
One of the reasons given is the previous direct elections created opportunity for corruption... and yet.... the leader of the Constitutional Court was appointed, and he's currently in jail for corruption and money laundering...go figure!

I think there may be some demonstrations in Jakarta as soon as the rabble get their heads around this but...who can tell...just avoid areas where they congregate.
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Old Oct 1st 2014, 7:33 am
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Default Re: RI Election Year...2014

The farce of Indonesian politics continues.
Last week the Govt. vote to reject direct elections was achieved by the Democrat Party walking out of the vote, basically abstaining.The leader of that party is currently President Yodoyuno (SBY).
Today, the President, who only has 19 more days in office, issued an emergency rule to overturn that vote...this is seemingly an attempt to save his credibility, face and legacy, although imo....futile.
Those who have read my recent post about the possibility of RI being an investment haven....I now suggest caution on that advice, at least until some established setting emanates.
Today the new government was sworn in and on 20 Oct the new President will be installed...I hope I'm wrong but I fear there will be some demonstrations and, Indonesians are not renowned for peaceful demo's, unlike Hong Kong citizens.
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Old Oct 25th 2014, 10:01 am
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Default Re: RI Election Year...2014

The new President is installed and, unpredictably, there was a carnival atmosphere and no hostility...this bodes well.
The position the President left vacant was Governor of Jakarta...this has, by constitution, been taken over by his deputy called Ahok, who is ethnically Chinese and Christian.
A Moslem group, called FPI, staged a violent protest saying he cannot be Governor due to race/religion and some police were injured. Subsequently, the leaders of FPI, who were identified on camera during the riot, have been arrested.
The Police Chief has asked that the FPI be declared illegal and disbanded......so we'll see.
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Old Oct 25th 2014, 12:28 pm
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Default Re: RI Election Year...2014

Sounds eventful
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Old Nov 23rd 2014, 9:35 am
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Default Re: RI Election Year...2014

As expected, the new President (Jokowi) very quickly adjusted the gasoline subsidy. A litre was increased by about 30% to Rp. 8500/litre (UScents 70: GBpence 45).
This is for octane 88 which is the type of gas subsidized. For higher performance unsubsidized Ron 92/95 it is Rp 10,200 and Rp 11,600 respectively.

Predictably the students of a university in Makasser went on the rampage, which they are famous for, so the government closed the university UFN and the police destroyed many of their motorbikes during the riot....I applaud

Ironically, Indonesia used to be a member of OPEC and is now the leading importer of processed gasoline...they haven't built a refinery in decades.

This should free up the budget for a number of infrastructure problems RI faces going forward. The economy will benefit, assuming this extra money isn't stolen by corruptors which, reportedly, is also on the new President's agenda...
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Old Jan 21st 2015, 2:55 pm
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Default Re: RI Election Year...2014

An update for those following Indonesian politics.

Just yesterday the Gov't rescinded the rule to deny direct elections to those smaller appointments in local government. So it's a return to before and probably with better worded rules.

Due to the lowered international price of oil, the increase at the pump due to some subsidy removal was temporary, and the price is now lowered to Rp7500/litre. IMO....The gods (OPEC) blessed the new President.

He nearly blundered by removing the Chief of Police before his retirement to put in his own choice (reportedly his sponsor Megawati's) and the Govt Commission 3, who oversee, also recommended. This was against the advice of the Corruption Agency (KPK) as there is an outstanding investigation into the Proposed Chief as to his assets...he is extremely rich and recently so.
There was public outrage so the President suspended the appointment and replaced the current Chief with his deputy....temporarily.

The ill-fated Air Asia crash has the new Minister of Transportation clambering to reform his Dept....hopefully he will do it correctly and avoid any hiccup to the aviation industry as Indonesia really needs to upgrade that area.
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