View Poll Results: Which statement do you agree with
Global warming is caused by humans
27
19.01%
Global warming is a natural process, contribution of human activity is substantial
44
30.99%
Global warming is a natural process, contribution of human activity is negligible
65
45.77%
Global warming seems unlikely
6
4.23%
Voters: 142. You may not vote on this poll
Global warming
#48
Re: Global warming
I am amazed at the number of people here, and in innumerable blogs worldwide, who seem to have made up their minds on this from the facts!
I have some training in climatology and meteorology but the data and conclusions on climate change are way beyond my knowledge - and, I suggest, way way beyond the understanding of 99.9% of all of us with opinions one way or the other.
So many disciplines are involved, including climatology, meteorology, paleontology, statistics, astronomy, computer modelling, oceanography, mathematics and a host more, that no one person can possibly be conversant enough with all the data sufficient to form a valid opinion.
All that we 99.9% can do is to see which group we accept as being the more educated on the subject and, having followed this for several decades I accept more or less what the IPCC have come up with.
The IPCC themselves do not say they are 100% sure - that would be very unscientific but they have a 90% confidence.
There are thousands of "deniers" (for want of a better word) but when you drill down a little into their references - and you don't often get many of *them* - you find all too often regurgitated myths, journalists' prognostications and so on.
The UEA "scandal" that's been hyped up by all sorts of groups is a storm in a teacup, and the several possibly inappropriate phrases in some emails have been taken out of context, IMO.
So many people bring up "other" climate change drivers such as the Milankovitch cycles, solar activity, cosmic rays, volcanic emissions and the rest as if the IPCC is ignorant of these! The fact is that all the drivers have, as far as is possible with present knowledge, been taken into account in the conclusions.
Many of the deniers don't even seem to be able to distinguish between weather and climate, and will quote numbers a few years apart - nothing to do with climate at all, except that they will in time, and retrospect, indicate trends.
The whole issue is so complicated that we must stop passing on opinions as facts - the internet has become the medium for disinformation as much as education and nowhere more so than on this subject.
Sorry to rant but - as Quoll says - it gets me up and running!
I have some training in climatology and meteorology but the data and conclusions on climate change are way beyond my knowledge - and, I suggest, way way beyond the understanding of 99.9% of all of us with opinions one way or the other.
So many disciplines are involved, including climatology, meteorology, paleontology, statistics, astronomy, computer modelling, oceanography, mathematics and a host more, that no one person can possibly be conversant enough with all the data sufficient to form a valid opinion.
All that we 99.9% can do is to see which group we accept as being the more educated on the subject and, having followed this for several decades I accept more or less what the IPCC have come up with.
The IPCC themselves do not say they are 100% sure - that would be very unscientific but they have a 90% confidence.
There are thousands of "deniers" (for want of a better word) but when you drill down a little into their references - and you don't often get many of *them* - you find all too often regurgitated myths, journalists' prognostications and so on.
The UEA "scandal" that's been hyped up by all sorts of groups is a storm in a teacup, and the several possibly inappropriate phrases in some emails have been taken out of context, IMO.
So many people bring up "other" climate change drivers such as the Milankovitch cycles, solar activity, cosmic rays, volcanic emissions and the rest as if the IPCC is ignorant of these! The fact is that all the drivers have, as far as is possible with present knowledge, been taken into account in the conclusions.
Many of the deniers don't even seem to be able to distinguish between weather and climate, and will quote numbers a few years apart - nothing to do with climate at all, except that they will in time, and retrospect, indicate trends.
The whole issue is so complicated that we must stop passing on opinions as facts - the internet has become the medium for disinformation as much as education and nowhere more so than on this subject.
Sorry to rant but - as Quoll says - it gets me up and running!
#49
Account Closed
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 14,188
Re: Global warming
So on the basis that they think they might have it right, we should spend trillions globally and attempt to modify everything we do when it comes to energy consumption?.
#50
Banned
Joined: Apr 2009
Posts: 1,054
Re: Global warming
I am amazed at the number of people here, and in innumerable blogs worldwide, who seem to have made up their minds on this from the facts!
I have some training in climatology and meteorology but the data and conclusions on climate change are way beyond my knowledge - and, I suggest, way way beyond the understanding of 99.9% of all of us with opinions one way or the other.
So many disciplines are involved, including climatology, meteorology, paleontology, statistics, astronomy, computer modelling, oceanography, mathematics and a host more, that no one person can possibly be conversant enough with all the data sufficient to form a valid opinion.
All that we 99.9% can do is to see which group we accept as being the more educated on the subject and, having followed this for several decades I accept more or less what the IPCC have come up with.
The IPCC themselves do not say they are 100% sure - that would be very unscientific but they have a 90% confidence.
There are thousands of "deniers" (for want of a better word) but when you drill down a little into their references - and you don't often get many of *them* - you find all too often regurgitated myths, journalists' prognostications and so on.
The UEA "scandal" that's been hyped up by all sorts of groups is a storm in a teacup, and the several possibly inappropriate phrases in some emails have been taken out of context, IMO.
So many people bring up "other" climate change drivers such as the Milankovitch cycles, solar activity, cosmic rays, volcanic emissions and the rest as if the IPCC is ignorant of these! The fact is that all the drivers have, as far as is possible with present knowledge, been taken into account in the conclusions.
Many of the deniers don't even seem to be able to distinguish between weather and climate, and will quote numbers a few years apart - nothing to do with climate at all, except that they will in time, and retrospect, indicate trends.
The whole issue is so complicated that we must stop passing on opinions as facts - the internet has become the medium for disinformation as much as education and nowhere more so than on this subject.
Sorry to rant but - as Quoll says - it gets me up and running!
I have some training in climatology and meteorology but the data and conclusions on climate change are way beyond my knowledge - and, I suggest, way way beyond the understanding of 99.9% of all of us with opinions one way or the other.
So many disciplines are involved, including climatology, meteorology, paleontology, statistics, astronomy, computer modelling, oceanography, mathematics and a host more, that no one person can possibly be conversant enough with all the data sufficient to form a valid opinion.
All that we 99.9% can do is to see which group we accept as being the more educated on the subject and, having followed this for several decades I accept more or less what the IPCC have come up with.
The IPCC themselves do not say they are 100% sure - that would be very unscientific but they have a 90% confidence.
There are thousands of "deniers" (for want of a better word) but when you drill down a little into their references - and you don't often get many of *them* - you find all too often regurgitated myths, journalists' prognostications and so on.
The UEA "scandal" that's been hyped up by all sorts of groups is a storm in a teacup, and the several possibly inappropriate phrases in some emails have been taken out of context, IMO.
So many people bring up "other" climate change drivers such as the Milankovitch cycles, solar activity, cosmic rays, volcanic emissions and the rest as if the IPCC is ignorant of these! The fact is that all the drivers have, as far as is possible with present knowledge, been taken into account in the conclusions.
Many of the deniers don't even seem to be able to distinguish between weather and climate, and will quote numbers a few years apart - nothing to do with climate at all, except that they will in time, and retrospect, indicate trends.
The whole issue is so complicated that we must stop passing on opinions as facts - the internet has become the medium for disinformation as much as education and nowhere more so than on this subject.
Sorry to rant but - as Quoll says - it gets me up and running!
If people are to bear the cost of prevention, they have a right to ask questions.
Water vapour is a more potent green house gas than carbon dioxide, largely because there is more of it.
I have not seen, and would like to, proof that man made changes in carbon dioxide is more significant than natural or man made changes in water vapour.
I'd like the experts to communicate clearly instead of preaching.
#51
Re: Global warming
The alternative of not doing it is far worse in the event they are right. Do we really have a choice ?
#52
Guest
Posts: n/a
Re: Global warming
I am glad you said that, because I am as confused by all this as anything.
#55
Account Closed
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 14,188
Re: Global warming
That's a valid statement only if we can be certain that any action we take will prevent climate change, which is debatable at best. Who's to say that any action we take wouldn't/couldn't make it worse?.
#56
Re: Global warming
Money is never lost - it just gets transferred to someone else. So who is going to make the most money out of the ETS?
#57
Forum Regular
Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 159
Re: Global warming
Well isn't this interesting. Our little poll seems to be at odds with the apparently accurate data being claimed by our Gov't parties in this leadership challenge. In that they claimed a high 60% caused by us and touted much need for the carbon schemes.
#58
Re: Global warming
Most people I speak to seem to support the idea without the foggiest as to what it does and what it will mean to them. It seems that you can achieve anything by painting it green nowadays.
#59
Re: Global warming
Governments work to their own agendas whatever the subject, it's best not to assume they're telling the truth, they don't tend to know what it is.
#60
BE Enthusiast
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 906
Re: Global warming
There is an old cliche if it walks like a duck and talks like a duck...its a duck.
Skeptics is a better word. 'Denier' suggests a definitiveness that may not be there. We don't 100% know. You may want to accept the findings of the CRU as they stand but I and many others want a full and thorough investigation.