El Niño is forecast
 

BOM have finally upgrade to a declared El Niño event for this winter, spring and summer.

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/m...no34.small.png

ENSO Wrap-Up
Bureau of Meteorology officially declares a major El Nino; predicts drier, hotter conditions - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

Though with the amount of rain we've been getting, I'm not seeing those 'dryer than average' conditions... :sneaky:

(to be fair, they do point to the warmer-than-average Indian Ocean dominating the weather)

Re: El Niño is forecast
 

We did point out the rainfall to our Bureau guy at work, but he is sticking to the 'We have an El Nino' line.
I thn diverted his attention by pointing out the cyclone building near the Solomons and he lost interest in El Nino and started playing with cyclone models instead :D Far more colourful he reckons!