Cyclone Season......Queensland - TC Ului
#16
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#17
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Re: Cyclone Season......
The moral of this story (as far as I am concerned) is "don't mock those who are snowed in at home as the weather will come and bite you on the bum"
Here we go again.
Don't forget to get some cash out (smallish notes) as the ATMs and EFPOS will fail in a blackout and you won't be able to buy anything even though it there
Good luck all, see you out there
Here we go again.
Don't forget to get some cash out (smallish notes) as the ATMs and EFPOS will fail in a blackout and you won't be able to buy anything even though it there
Good luck all, see you out there
Once again - this is a model, NOT a forecast
#19
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Re: Cyclone Season......
Come on Pollyana, 'fess you just like the pretty swirly colour patterns...
#20
Re: Cyclone Season......
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 am CST [11:30 am EST] Saturday 16 January 2010
A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for a developing tropical low for coastal
The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 36 to 48 hours.
There is the possibility of a Tropical Cyclone developing but GALES are not
expected in coastal areas within the next 24 hours, however gales could develop later.
May not come to much, but one of the models has it developing to a 1 or 2, and predicted to turn towards Cape York, and cross it in the Weipa - Lockhart River area.
Couple of other interesting lows building out in the Coral Sea too........
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 am CST [11:30 am EST] Saturday 16 January 2010
A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for a developing tropical low for coastal
The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 36 to 48 hours.
There is the possibility of a Tropical Cyclone developing but GALES are not
expected in coastal areas within the next 24 hours, however gales could develop later.
May not come to much, but one of the models has it developing to a 1 or 2, and predicted to turn towards Cape York, and cross it in the Weipa - Lockhart River area.
Couple of other interesting lows building out in the Coral Sea too........
Grrrr. I misread that as Cylon Season...
S
#21
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#22
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Re: Cyclone Season......
Coral Sea low threatens to form cyclone, hit Cairns
Cairns is bracing for flooding and damaging winds, with a possible cyclone on the way from a developing low pressure system in the Coral Sea. Bureau of Meteorology duty forecaster Terry Erbs said a monsoonal low had formed in the Gulf of Carpentaria before crossing Cape York and was moving south-east as a "dynamic system" into the Coral Sea. "The low is disorganised," said Mr Erbs. "But there is a one in three chance of it developing into a cyclone as it hits the ocean. Either way there will be heavy rain and a potential for flooding."
Cairns is bracing for flooding and damaging winds, with a possible cyclone on the way from a developing low pressure system in the Coral Sea. Bureau of Meteorology duty forecaster Terry Erbs said a monsoonal low had formed in the Gulf of Carpentaria before crossing Cape York and was moving south-east as a "dynamic system" into the Coral Sea. "The low is disorganised," said Mr Erbs. "But there is a one in three chance of it developing into a cyclone as it hits the ocean. Either way there will be heavy rain and a potential for flooding."
#23
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Re: Cyclone Season......
TROPICAL CYCLONE NEVILLE
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:40am EST on Thursday the 21st of January 2010
A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Cape Melville to
Cooktown.
A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal areas from Coen to Cape Melville,
and from Cooktown to Cape Tribulation.
At 4:00 am EST Tropical Cyclone Neville, Category 1 was estimated to be
210 kilometres east of Cape Flattery and 235 kilometres east northeast of
Cooktown and was near stationary.
TROPICAL CYCLONE Neville, CATEGORY 1, is expected to remain near stationary off
the far north Queensland coast over the next 24 hours as it slowly intensifies.
GALES extending 75 kilometres out from the centre may possibly develop on the
coast between Cape Melville and Cooktown during the next 24 hours.
People between Cape Melville and Cooktown should take precautions and listen to
the next advice at 8 am. If you are unsure about precaution to be taken,
information is available from your local government or local State Emergency
Service.
People between Coen and Cape Melville, and also those between Cooktown and Cape
Tribulation should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone
threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to be taken, information
is available from your local government or local State Emergency Service.
Details of Tropical Cyclone Neville at 4:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.7 degrees South 147.3 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... near stationary
.Wind gusts near centre... 95 kilometres per hour and slowly INTENSIFYING
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 994 hectoPascals
The next advice will be issued by 8:00 am EST Thursday 21 January.
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:40am EST on Thursday the 21st of January 2010
A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Cape Melville to
Cooktown.
A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal areas from Coen to Cape Melville,
and from Cooktown to Cape Tribulation.
At 4:00 am EST Tropical Cyclone Neville, Category 1 was estimated to be
210 kilometres east of Cape Flattery and 235 kilometres east northeast of
Cooktown and was near stationary.
TROPICAL CYCLONE Neville, CATEGORY 1, is expected to remain near stationary off
the far north Queensland coast over the next 24 hours as it slowly intensifies.
GALES extending 75 kilometres out from the centre may possibly develop on the
coast between Cape Melville and Cooktown during the next 24 hours.
People between Cape Melville and Cooktown should take precautions and listen to
the next advice at 8 am. If you are unsure about precaution to be taken,
information is available from your local government or local State Emergency
Service.
People between Coen and Cape Melville, and also those between Cooktown and Cape
Tribulation should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone
threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to be taken, information
is available from your local government or local State Emergency Service.
Details of Tropical Cyclone Neville at 4:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.7 degrees South 147.3 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... near stationary
.Wind gusts near centre... 95 kilometres per hour and slowly INTENSIFYING
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 994 hectoPascals
The next advice will be issued by 8:00 am EST Thursday 21 January.
#24
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Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
This is a really unpredictable one, deepened very quickly over night before becoming a cyclone early this morning. Gave me a hectic night anyway
Predicted track may now take it south parallel to the coast, but because it developed so fast its predicted track is still pretty uncertain. I'd say anyone from Townsville north would be advised to keep an eye on it.
TC Advice 2, 8.01am:
TROPICAL CYCLONE Neville, CATEGORY 1, is expected to remain near stationary off the far north Queensland coast over the next 24 hours as it slowly intensifies.
GALES with damaging gusts to 95 km/hr may develop on the coast between Cape Melville and Cooktown during the next 24 hours.
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/
Predicted track may now take it south parallel to the coast, but because it developed so fast its predicted track is still pretty uncertain. I'd say anyone from Townsville north would be advised to keep an eye on it.
TC Advice 2, 8.01am:
TROPICAL CYCLONE Neville, CATEGORY 1, is expected to remain near stationary off the far north Queensland coast over the next 24 hours as it slowly intensifies.
GALES with damaging gusts to 95 km/hr may develop on the coast between Cape Melville and Cooktown during the next 24 hours.
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/
#25
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Re: Cyclone Season......TC Magda - WA
Meanwhile WA finally got TC Magda, who was also named last night,
A Cyclone WARNING continues for coastal areas from Kalumburu to Cockatoo Island.
A Cyclone WATCH continues for coastal areas from Wyndham to Kalumburu and
Cockatoo Island to Beagle Bay
There is a significant risk that by Friday Magda will have intensified into a
Severe Tropical Cyclone and be located close to the Kimberley coast. Hence there is the risk of very destructive winds between Kalumburu and Cape Leveque on Friday
Magda is still building in intensity and may track inland a fair way
A Cyclone WARNING continues for coastal areas from Kalumburu to Cockatoo Island.
A Cyclone WATCH continues for coastal areas from Wyndham to Kalumburu and
Cockatoo Island to Beagle Bay
There is a significant risk that by Friday Magda will have intensified into a
Severe Tropical Cyclone and be located close to the Kimberley coast. Hence there is the risk of very destructive winds between Kalumburu and Cape Leveque on Friday
Magda is still building in intensity and may track inland a fair way
#26
Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
NEVILLE is not a very good name for a TC, maybe we should call the next one Pollyana (when P come around again)
#27
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Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclon...ne-names.shtml
#29
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Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
When is brisbane gonna get some rain/storms. Seems to have been a very dry summer, storms very scarce. Only relief in summer is the storms and I am sick of boiling every day. Brisvegas later 32 nice not.
#30
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Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE
The cyclone formed so quickly overnight, when yesterday they said only really a 5 to 20% chance of the low developing into a cyclone.
So might be worth being a bit worried about this one and keeping a good eye on it.
So might be worth being a bit worried about this one and keeping a good eye on it.