Exchange rate
#2521
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 14,227
Re: Exchange rate
Exactly. The way the use CPI to adjust interest rates amplifies the cycle rather than dampens it.
#2522
Just Joined
Joined: May 2007
Posts: 22
Re: Exchange rate
Okay, need some positive movement here in the short term - closing on our house in two months.
Can everyone hold off buying crude oil for a few months please?
Can everyone hold off buying crude oil for a few months please?
#2523
Re: Exchange rate
I have a theory that the Canadian Government tries to keep the CAD low by "suggesting" inflation. The 10pc rise in the cost of Monthly Transit Passes came right at a time when the CAD was touching the USD. I could be wrong but I wonder if anyone has noticed any similar tricks like that.
#2524
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 14,227
Re: Exchange rate
I have a theory that the Canadian Government tries to keep the CAD low by "suggesting" inflation. The 10pc rise in the cost of Monthly Transit Passes came right at a time when the CAD was touching the USD. I could be wrong but I wonder if anyone has noticed any similar tricks like that.
#2527
Wanna-be Canadian
Joined: May 2008
Posts: 176
Re: Exchange rate
Hi..
Yeah, just out of curiosity I've been watching the exchange rate too.
If memory serves me right the EU & Canada have begun trade talk agreements, and the exchange rate needs to increase a lot further to make Canadian products & services appealing to Europeans - so maybe this, with the recent UK emergency budget are helping things.
M.
Yeah, just out of curiosity I've been watching the exchange rate too.
If memory serves me right the EU & Canada have begun trade talk agreements, and the exchange rate needs to increase a lot further to make Canadian products & services appealing to Europeans - so maybe this, with the recent UK emergency budget are helping things.
M.
#2528
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 14,227
Re: Exchange rate
Hi..
Yeah, just out of curiosity I've been watching the exchange rate too.
If memory serves me right the EU & Canada have begun trade talk agreements, and the exchange rate needs to increase a lot further to make Canadian products & services appealing to Europeans - so maybe this, with the recent UK emergency budget are helping things.
M.
Yeah, just out of curiosity I've been watching the exchange rate too.
If memory serves me right the EU & Canada have begun trade talk agreements, and the exchange rate needs to increase a lot further to make Canadian products & services appealing to Europeans - so maybe this, with the recent UK emergency budget are helping things.
M.
#2531
Wanna-be Canadian
Joined: May 2008
Posts: 176
Re: Exchange rate
...also a new influence on the international exchange rates will be China's decision to unpeg it's Yuan from the US dollar - I don't know how this is going to effect sterling and the Canadian dollar.
#2532
Re: Exchange rate
The price has broken through a range ceiling that it's been under since March, around 1.56 and it's been quite a strong break, so the trend is definitely upward.
#2534
BE Enthusiast
Joined: Apr 2008
Location: Barrie
Posts: 349
Re: Exchange rate
I've been very bearish about the pound in the past, and long term, I continue to be, but now the new Government has shown it is willing to grasp the nettle, I think we could see it head back towards 1.90 or even 2.00 over the next 6 months. Depending on what happens with the Canadian economy it could stay there a long time before the looming long term energy crisis makes Canada one of the stronger economies in the West, then I think the pound may decline again, even beating current lows. But that is a long way off.
#2535
Re: Exchange rate
Depending on what happens with the Canadian economy it could stay there a long time before the looming long term energy crisis makes Canada one of the stronger economies in the West, then I think the pound may decline again, even beating current lows. But that is a long way off.