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-   -   Where will the AUD on friday? (https://britishexpats.com/forum/barbie-92/where-will-aud-friday-727718/)

Turban Explorer Aug 6th 2011 5:06 pm

Where will the AUD on friday?
 
The Aussie dollar suffered big losses against all major currencies this week as the global economy turned a darkish shade of gloom...

Where will it be against the greenback at the end of this week?

Place yer bets.

Bix Aug 6th 2011 5:50 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
Recovery to dizzyland.

GarryP Aug 6th 2011 8:19 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
Oz dollar and US dollar will both fall, limiting the overall change in exchange rate. However, against the Swiss Franc .....

Rambi Aug 6th 2011 8:42 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
US$1.035

Bix Aug 6th 2011 8:46 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by Rambi (Post 9542627)
US$1.035


Can you please be less woolly?

DadAgain Aug 6th 2011 8:57 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
AU$1 = US$1.10 again by Friday (and GBP 67p)

Rambi Aug 6th 2011 9:04 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by Bix (Post 9542629)
Can you please be less woolly?

US$1.0352 :thumbup:

Bix Aug 6th 2011 9:07 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by Rambi (Post 9542650)
US$1.0352 :thumbup:

:thumbsup: now we're talking.

US$ 1.0874

Turban Explorer Aug 6th 2011 9:16 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by GarryP (Post 9542612)
Oz dollar and US dollar will both fall, limiting the overall change in exchange rate. However, against the Swiss Franc .....

Would you buy Swiss franc or yen?

renth Aug 6th 2011 10:33 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by Turban Explorer (Post 9542663)
Would you buy Swiss franc or yen?

My guess, a short term bizarre "flight to quality" to the US Dollar!!

There's no way I'm trading that hunch though.

Anyway TE, come on, what's your vote?

Turban Explorer Aug 6th 2011 10:41 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by renth (Post 9542743)
My guess, a short term bizarre "flight to quality" to the US Dollar!!

There's no way I'm trading that hunch though.

Anyway TE, come on, what's your vote?

I've got way too much sterling so am probably going to transfer to Swiss as I am getting anxious as UK will get even more screwed by EU. Think short term AUD is a sell but I'm not spreadbetting. I reckon whack a wedge into Swiss and then to Aussie in a few months.

All told I reckon around 1.02

Tina7 Aug 6th 2011 11:02 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
Check the 3 month LIBOR rate and you'll notice that the Swiss central bank won't tolerate much of a spread.

Turban Explorer Aug 6th 2011 11:11 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by Tina7 (Post 9542775)
Check the 3 month LIBOR rate and you'll notice that the Swiss central bank won't tolerate much of a spread.

:cool: elaborate?

Tina7 Aug 6th 2011 11:33 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by Turban Explorer (Post 9542790)
:cool: elaborate?

There is barely any spread left. Positions were reversed when the target was pulled back to 0.25 from 0.75 earlier this week.

carolinephillips Aug 7th 2011 8:41 am

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
So it would be a good idea to convert the £5k in our UK account to Aussie dollars and whack it in our account here to help pay some bills?
OH is thinking of doing it today.

Turban Explorer Aug 7th 2011 8:53 am

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by carolinephillips (Post 9543571)
So it would be a good idea to convert the £5k in our UK account to Aussie dollars and whack it in our account here to help pay some bills?
OH is thinking of doing it today.

I think so. Although it could possibly run a bit further. Perhaps touch 1.6? Not sure but there is a bit of a negative head of steam for the AUD at the moment with some poor data. Sterling's improved a bit as its not the target bum currency - not that there are any decent fundamental improvements. All in all - yes in my opinion.

carolinephillips Aug 7th 2011 9:03 am

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
Ok will pass on the tip- thanks:thumbup:

In Exile Aug 7th 2011 4:17 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
i'm off to hawaii in 6 days, so the more the merrier for me!

moneypenny20 Aug 7th 2011 7:40 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
Well it won't be in my purse if that helps.:rolleyes:

renth Aug 7th 2011 9:10 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

carolinephillips Aug 8th 2011 9:59 am

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
Traded at 1.5658.

That should cover car rego and insurance, and the roof insulation.

paulandcelia Aug 8th 2011 11:02 am

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by renth (Post 9544323)

He didn't have a very good day

renth Aug 8th 2011 1:30 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by paulandcelia (Post 9545853)
He didn't have a very good day

I can so relate to it. Never lost that much though!

A warning to traders regarding holding positions over the weekend.

Turban Explorer Aug 8th 2011 1:52 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by renth (Post 9546115)
I can so relate to it. Never lost that much though!

A warning to traders regarding holding positions over the weekend.

Me too. Up for half the night (on a mooring buoy at michelmas cay - which in any other circumstance would have been blissful) wondering whether I should panic sell shares. Didn't. Has to settle down soon ?

renth Aug 8th 2011 1:57 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by Turban Explorer (Post 9546143)
Me too. Up for half the night (on a mooring buoy at michelmas cay - which in any other circumstance would have been blissful) wondering whether I should panic sell shares. Didn't. Has to settle down soon ?

Hang on to those gold miners whatever you do, I reckon they they will de-couple.

AUD just dropped below USD - do I win a prize?

Turban Explorer Aug 8th 2011 3:06 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by renth (Post 9546146)
Hang on to those gold miners whatever you do, I reckon they they will de-couple.

AUD just dropped below USD - do I win a prize?

Technically you should but I've decided to default it's so vogue these days.

Amazulu Aug 8th 2011 4:51 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
ASX is +9
AUD is back over 1

Bix Aug 10th 2011 6:56 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
She's rebounding.

Turban Explorer Aug 10th 2011 6:59 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by Bix (Post 9552128)
She's rebounding.

Thank ****. At the moment I'm in so many currencies looking for a safe haven away from the quid I'm spread like a whore in a reaper barn window.

Rambi Aug 11th 2011 12:31 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by Rambi (Post 9542650)
US$1.0352 :thumbup:

At 7.30 AEST this morning :thumbup:

Vash the Stampede Aug 11th 2011 1:21 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
I voted for "below or at parity AUD< or = 1 USD."

Pretty close!

:)

renth Aug 11th 2011 1:22 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
me too, looks like we're in the "close, but no cigar" group - like always.

Turban Explorer Aug 11th 2011 2:01 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 
Another brown trousers week ahead?

renth Aug 11th 2011 2:48 pm

Re: Where will the AUD on friday?
 

Originally Posted by Turban Explorer (Post 9554053)
Another brown trousers week ahead?

Absolutely - insane whipsawing, possibility of a 20-30% crash then Jackson Hole and QEIII then time to be long again.

IMHO


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