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Cyclone Season......Queensland - TC Ului

Cyclone Season......Queensland - TC Ului

Old Jan 17th 2010, 4:14 pm
  #16  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......

Originally Posted by Bix View Post
That could be smack on top of our minesite.
80k North of Weipa.
Looks like a distinct possibility at present........
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Old Jan 17th 2010, 4:20 pm
  #17  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......

Originally Posted by Rabc View Post
The moral of this story (as far as I am concerned) is "don't mock those who are snowed in at home as the weather will come and bite you on the bum"

Here we go again.

Don't forget to get some cash out (smallish notes) as the ATMs and EFPOS will fail in a blackout and you won't be able to buy anything even though it there

Good luck all, see you out there
Your guys followers of the Weatherzone models? Some interesting looking stuff poossibly developing at the end of the week, moving down towards the Far North coast......

Once again - this is a model, NOT a forecast
Attached Thumbnails Cyclone Season......Queensland - TC Ului-possible-24.1.10r.jsp.png  
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Old Jan 17th 2010, 7:31 pm
  #18  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......

Originally Posted by Bix View Post
That could be smack on top of our minesite.
80k North of Weipa.
Now you own a minesite?

What sort of a hole have you dug yourself into now?

WW
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Old Jan 17th 2010, 7:33 pm
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......

Originally Posted by Pollyana View Post
Your guys followers of the Weatherzone models? Some interesting looking stuff poossibly developing at the end of the week, moving down towards the Far North coast......

Once again - this is a model, NOT a forecast
Come on Pollyana, 'fess you just like the pretty swirly colour patterns...
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Old Jan 17th 2010, 10:29 pm
  #20  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......

Originally Posted by Pollyana View Post
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 am CST [11:30 am EST] Saturday 16 January 2010
A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for a developing tropical low for coastal
The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 36 to 48 hours.

There is the possibility of a Tropical Cyclone developing but GALES are not
expected in coastal areas within the next 24 hours, however gales could develop later.


May not come to much, but one of the models has it developing to a 1 or 2, and predicted to turn towards Cape York, and cross it in the Weipa - Lockhart River area.

Couple of other interesting lows building out in the Coral Sea too........

Grrrr. I misread that as Cylon Season...


S
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Old Jan 18th 2010, 12:52 am
  #21  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......

Originally Posted by wanderingwombat View Post
Come on Pollyana, 'fess you just like the pretty swirly colour patterns...
I love them!!! I'm a really sad person, spend my life watchin the BoM radar and getting excited when it goes red Think I need to get a life.......
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Old Jan 19th 2010, 5:22 pm
  #22  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......

Coral Sea low threatens to form cyclone, hit Cairns

Cairns is bracing for flooding and damaging winds, with a possible cyclone on the way from a developing low pressure system in the Coral Sea. Bureau of Meteorology duty forecaster Terry Erbs said a monsoonal low had formed in the Gulf of Carpentaria before crossing Cape York and was moving south-east as a "dynamic system" into the Coral Sea. "The low is disorganised," said Mr Erbs. "But there is a one in three chance of it developing into a cyclone as it hits the ocean. Either way there will be heavy rain and a potential for flooding."
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Old Jan 20th 2010, 6:46 pm
  #23  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......

TROPICAL CYCLONE NEVILLE

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:40am EST on Thursday the 21st of January 2010

A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Cape Melville to
Cooktown.

A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal areas from Coen to Cape Melville,
and from Cooktown to Cape Tribulation.

At 4:00 am EST Tropical Cyclone Neville, Category 1 was estimated to be
210 kilometres east of Cape Flattery and 235 kilometres east northeast of
Cooktown and was near stationary.

TROPICAL CYCLONE Neville, CATEGORY 1, is expected to remain near stationary off
the far north Queensland coast over the next 24 hours as it slowly intensifies.

GALES extending 75 kilometres out from the centre may possibly develop on the
coast between Cape Melville and Cooktown during the next 24 hours.

People between Cape Melville and Cooktown should take precautions and listen to
the next advice at 8 am. If you are unsure about precaution to be taken,
information is available from your local government or local State Emergency
Service.

People between Coen and Cape Melville, and also those between Cooktown and Cape
Tribulation should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone
threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to be taken, information
is available from your local government or local State Emergency Service.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Neville at 4:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.7 degrees South 147.3 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... near stationary
.Wind gusts near centre... 95 kilometres per hour and slowly INTENSIFYING
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 994 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 8:00 am EST Thursday 21 January.
Attached Thumbnails Cyclone Season......Queensland - TC Ului-tc-neville.gif  
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Old Jan 20th 2010, 10:13 pm
  #24  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE

This is a really unpredictable one, deepened very quickly over night before becoming a cyclone early this morning. Gave me a hectic night anyway

Predicted track may now take it south parallel to the coast, but because it developed so fast its predicted track is still pretty uncertain. I'd say anyone from Townsville north would be advised to keep an eye on it.

TC Advice 2, 8.01am:
TROPICAL CYCLONE Neville, CATEGORY 1, is expected to remain near stationary off the far north Queensland coast over the next 24 hours as it slowly intensifies.
GALES with damaging gusts to 95 km/hr may develop on the coast between Cape Melville and Cooktown during the next 24 hours.

http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/
Attached Thumbnails Cyclone Season......Queensland - TC Ului-tc-map-2-0801-210110.gif  
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Old Jan 20th 2010, 10:16 pm
  #25  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......TC Magda - WA

Meanwhile WA finally got TC Magda, who was also named last night,

A Cyclone WARNING continues for coastal areas from Kalumburu to Cockatoo Island.
A Cyclone WATCH continues for coastal areas from Wyndham to Kalumburu and
Cockatoo Island to Beagle Bay
There is a significant risk that by Friday Magda will have intensified into a
Severe Tropical Cyclone and be located close to the Kimberley coast. Hence there is the risk of very destructive winds between Kalumburu and Cape Leveque on Friday

Magda is still building in intensity and may track inland a fair way
Attached Thumbnails Cyclone Season......Queensland - TC Ului-magda-track-map-210110.gif  
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Old Jan 20th 2010, 10:17 pm
  #26  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE

NEVILLE is not a very good name for a TC, maybe we should call the next one Pollyana (when P come around again)
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Old Jan 20th 2010, 10:28 pm
  #27  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE

Originally Posted by themerlin View Post
NEVILLE is not a very good name for a TC, maybe we should call the next one Pollyana (when P come around again)
I wish! We were in fits in the office this morning cos we share exactly the same opinion - Neville just sounds wrong! Apologies to any Nevilles out there, but its just not a cyclonic image!! After two in one night I am expecting to get at least one more tonight to complete the set.....Olga, Paul, Robyn and Sean are the next ones!
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclon...ne-names.shtml
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Old Jan 20th 2010, 10:56 pm
  #28  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE

Thanks for the updates Polly
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Old Jan 20th 2010, 11:02 pm
  #29  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE

When is brisbane gonna get some rain/storms. Seems to have been a very dry summer, storms very scarce. Only relief in summer is the storms and I am sick of boiling every day. Brisvegas later 32 nice not.
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Old Jan 21st 2010, 12:02 am
  #30  
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Default Re: Cyclone Season......CAIRNS/FNQ - TC NEVILLE

The cyclone formed so quickly overnight, when yesterday they said only really a 5 to 20% chance of the low developing into a cyclone.
So might be worth being a bit worried about this one and keeping a good eye on it.
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