jimtrish

Hi honey,

Have been keeping track of it this am, appears to have gone to a cat 3...
Will keep checking.....think its best to recheck the cyclone kit...as you never know, it may fancy coming to visit us here in the 'ville'.
My poor son, its his 13th birthday on saturday....its the joke now that he gets the most unusual presents!

Cheers for all the info you are a star

Trish

Pollyana

"Weather nerd porn" is how this pic of the eye of Ului is referred to by a poster on Weatherzone I have to say I agree, its s a stunning image. Apparently the name Ului, when translated, means something like "to dumbfound or amaze".....sounds fairly accurate to me. This is one heck of a system......

Still not in Qld waters - the Bureau don't take over until the centre reaches our area, (which is the 160 degree line) Cat 4 already..... probably become a QLd responsibility about 1600-1700 today our time, personally I want her to hold off for another couple of hours so she turns up on my shift, but thats just being greedy, I already had Nevillethis year after all!!.....


Bureau State forecast this morning - its going to be very windy along the coast all week, but until the track is more certain rthat's the best anyone can say.....
TC Ului is expected to continue to move very slowly, initially in a W'ly direction and then in a SW'ly direction. Gale force winds may temporarily ease to strong winds on Monday for most of the east coast. However, gale force winds may return to the central parts of the east coast from Tuesday and may increase further by late week depending on the movement and intensity of TC Ului. Similarly, the weather over the south-east and central coastal areas of the state may increasing by late week.

Pollyana

Cat Five now....

HURRICANE WARNING 023 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 14/0057 UTC 2010 UTC.
TROPICAL CYCLONE ULUI CENTRE 930HPA CATEGORY 5 LOCATED NEAR 12.7 SOUTH 161.7
EAST AT 140000 UTC.
POSITION GOOD.
REPEAT POSITION 12.7S 161.7E AT 140000 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE INCREASING TO 125 KNOTS
IN THE NEXT 18 TO 24 HOURS.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 40 MILES OF CENTRE.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE IN THE
EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 150 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION NEAR 12.6S 160.3E AT 141200 UTC.
AND NEAR 12.7S 158.9E AT 150000 UTC.

wanderingwombat

Ului has appeared and developed to Cat 5 very quickly. Google earth shows just how big it is.

Brisbane/GC hasnt had a cyclone for a long time http://www.bom.gov.au/lam/climate/le...c/cyclone3.htm and this may just be the one to test local preparedness.

There was a Cat 2 back in the early 90's that was forecast to hit Brisbane. Nothing became of it but it did cause major damage to vehicles as drivers panicked trying too get home.

Might just go and track down the remnants of our cyclone kit, just in case. I may regret having sold our 2 gensets in Cairns when we left, oh well.

rocket01

upgraded to catagory 6 now, this thing looks scary, making plans to move west if required.
Read on internet 895HPA

rocket01

http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news...-1225840560509

rocket01

Polly where your feedback?

wanderingwombat

Move west to where? The tablelands is not really an option (previous local belief) as there was a lot of damage to buildings up there when Larry went through.

NT or WA perhaps?

rocket01

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohe...s/shirgms.html

wanderingwombat

According to the CM report you're safe for quite a while. "Senior forecaster Brett Harrison said at midday (AEST) today it was more than 15,000 kilometres northeast of the Whitsundays" That's Sydney to Washington away.

Has anyone told the Yank's???

Pollyana

Hey c'mon, I'm posting on here in my free time, and funnily enough I wanted a couple of hours off before my night shift

rocket01

no time off for the wicked

Pollyana

There is no Cat 6.
Some charts seems to have a 6 on them but officially there is no category 6, and I think its down to the pixellating of the type-face. TC Ului is still a 5 and is due to enter Aus waters at some point tonight (during my shift)

She is still a long way offshore, as WW has pointed out, today being the 14th, landfall is still 5-6 days away, and we will have a far better idea long before then as to where she is likely to come ashore. And yes, I will post it on here, but please remember that it has to take second place to work and even I take time off BE occasionally
I did think it was quite funny when I walked in tonight and someone from the day shift had been googling Ului and come up with a link to this thread. Good thing I am(usually) polite about the boss when posting on here

Pollyana

Once she enters Australian waters, Ului can be tracked here - http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/ when I have the audacity to take time off and go to the pub without my laptop

jimtrish

All your advice is really appreciated Polly...have a good shift